{"id":31293,"date":"2018-07-31T01:18:31","date_gmt":"2018-07-31T01:18:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/?p=31293"},"modified":"2018-07-31T01:18:31","modified_gmt":"2018-07-31T01:18:31","slug":"310718-daily-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/information\/day\/310718-daily-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"310718 Daily Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>31 July 2018\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Daily Analysis<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>Dollar sags in anticipation of policy outlook.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>US dollar extended its back leg on Monday while Euro and Pound Sterling edged higher, in anticipation over a number of central bank meetings scheduled later this week. The dollar index plunged 0.34%, last quoted around 94.08 during early Asian trading session. At present, investors are pondering towards a series of central bank policy decision scheduled later in the week which could provide further direction for its respective currencies. While the Federal Reserve is scheduled to announce their decision on Thursday, no rate hike from the central bank is expected for this month. According to Fed Rate Monitor Tool, investors are currently pricing in at an 87.8% chance for an interest rate hike during September instead. On the contrary, losses on the greenback remains limited after Pending Home Sales reportedly rose 0.9%, beating economist forecast for a rise of up to 0.4% for the month of June. Against other major peers, pair of EUR\/USD tacks up 0.23% to $1.1708 while Pound Sterling rose 0.22% to $1.3135 against the US dollar.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>As for commodities, crude oil price settled up 0.03% to $70.02 per barrel while gains remain limited as investors place higher concern over global crude supply which continues may continue to rise. On the other hand, gold price tacks up 0.06% to $1,222.05 a troy ounce over the backdrop of a weaker greenback.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><u>Today\u2019s Holiday Market Close<\/u><\/p>\n<p><strong>Time\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Market\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Events<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>N\/A<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><u>Today\u2019s Highlight Events<\/u><\/p>\n<p><strong>Time\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Market\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0Events<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>11:00\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 JPY\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 BoJ Monetary Policy Statement<\/p>\n<p>11:00\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 JPY\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 BoJ Outlook Report (YoY)<\/p>\n<p>Tentative\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0JPY\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 BoJ Press Conference<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><u><br \/>\n<\/u><\/p>\n<p><u>\u00a0<\/u><\/p>\n<p><u>Today\u2019s Highlight Economy Data<\/u><\/p>\n<table width=\"100%\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"8%\"><strong>Time<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"56%\"><strong>Nation &amp; Data<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\"><strong>Previous<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\"><strong>Forecast<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\"><strong>Actual<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"8%\">09:00<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"56%\">CNY \u2013 Manufacturing PMI (Jul)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">51.5<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">51.4<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"8%\">09:00<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"56%\">CNY \u2013 Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jul)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">55.0<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">55.0<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"8%\">11:00<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"56%\">JPY \u2013 BoJ Interest Rate Decision<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">-0.10%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">-0.10%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"8%\">15:55<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"56%\">EUR \u2013 German Unemployment Change (Jul)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">-15K<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">-10K<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"8%\">17:00<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"56%\">EUR \u2013 CPI (YoY) (Jul)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">2.0%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">2.0%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"8%\">20:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"56%\">USD \u2013 Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Jun)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">2.0%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">2.0%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"8%\">20:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"56%\">USD \u2013 Employment Cost Index (QoQ) (Q2)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">0.8%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">0.7%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"8%\">20:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"56%\">USD \u2013 Personal Income (MoM) (Jun)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">0.4%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">0.4%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"8%\">20:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"56%\">USD \u2013 Personal Spending (MoM) (Jun)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">0.2%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">0.4%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"8%\">20:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"56%\">CAD \u2013 GDP (MoM) (May)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">0.1%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">0.3%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"8%\">22:00<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"56%\">USD \u2013 CB Consumer Confidence (Jul)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">126.4<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">126.5<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>GBPUSD<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-31296\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2018\/07\/310718-GBPUSD.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>GBPUSD, H1: <\/strong>GBPUSD was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level near 1.3150. MACD which illustrate the formation bearish signal suggests the pair to extend its losses towards the mini upward trendline.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 1.3130, 1.3150<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 1.3100, 1.3070<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>EURUSD<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-31297\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2018\/07\/310718-EURUSD.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>EURUSD, H4: <\/strong>EURUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level near 1.1700. However, MACD histogram which illustrate diminishing upward momentum suggests the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 1.1720, 1.1740<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 1.1700, 1.1685<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>USDJPY<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-31300\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2018\/07\/310718-USDJPY.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>USDJPY, H1: <\/strong>USDJPY was traded lower following recent breakout from the bottom level of narrowing triangle. MACD which begins to form a bearish signal suggests the pair to extend its losses, towards the direction of support level near 110.70.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 111.00, 111.25<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 110.70, 110.50<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>CrudeOIL<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-31301\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2018\/07\/310718-CrudeOIL.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>CrudeOIL, H1: <\/strong>Crude oil price remains traded within an ascending channel while recently rebounded from the support level near 69.80. However, MACD histogram which illustrate diminished upward momentum suggests the commodity price to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 70.30, 70.75<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 69.80, 69.20<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>GOLD<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-31302\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2018\/07\/310718-GOLD.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>GOLD_, H1: <\/strong>Gold price remains traded within a narrowing triangle while currently testing at the upper level. Due to the lack of signal from recent price action and MACD, it is suggested to wait until further signal has emerged before entering the market.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 1226.50, 1230.00<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 1222.00, 1219.00<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>31 July 2018\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Daily Analysis &nbsp; Dollar sags in anticipation of policy outlook. US dollar extended its back leg on Monday while Euro and Pound Sterling edged higher, in anticipation over a number of central bank meetings scheduled later this week. The dollar index plunged 0.34%, last quoted around 94.08 during early Asian trading session. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31293"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/25"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31293"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31293\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31293"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31293"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31293"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}