{"id":322303,"date":"2023-05-11T00:26:24","date_gmt":"2023-05-11T00:26:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/?p=322303"},"modified":"2023-05-11T00:26:24","modified_gmt":"2023-05-11T00:26:24","slug":"110523-morning-session-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/information\/day\/110523-morning-session-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"110523 Morning Session Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"

11 May 2023\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Morning Session Analysis<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

US dollar dived as inflation eased further.<\/span> <\/strong><\/p>\n

The dollar index, which was traded against a basket of six major currencies, reversed its previous trading session gains as yesterday\u2019s downbeat data wiped off the bullish sentiment in the dollar market. According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the best and long-awaited inflation-gauge data, posted a reading of 4.9% for the month of April, slightly lower than both the consensus forecast and previous reading at 5.0%. The further drop in CPI data indicated that the rate hikes plan which has been implementing since more than a year ago is working well to curb the stubbornly high inflation in the US. The Federal Reserve (Fed) has adjusted the interest rates consecutively for 10 times, bringing the interest rate to their highest level in nearly 16 years. Despite, the inflation figure of 4.9% is still well-above the Fed\u2019s long term target level at 2.0%. With that, the investors are now facing a fork in the road as the inflation report did not provide a clear signal if the Fed would really stop its rate hike plan in the next meeting. Therefore, the investors are now awaiting for more economic events, data and Fed members\u2019 speak to determine the future path of monetary policy in the US. As of writing, the dollar index ticked down -0.15% to 101.45.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

In the commodities market, crude oil prices were traded lower by -1.33% to $72.60 per barrel as the still-high inflation figure in the US pointed to a further rate hike, which dampened the prospect of oil market. Besides, gold prices ticked up by 0.05% to $2031.20 per troy ounce as the CPI eased more than expectation.<\/p>\n

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Today\u2019s Holiday Market Close<\/u><\/p>\n

Time\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Market\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Event <\/strong><\/p>\n

N\/A<\/p>\n

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Today\u2019s Highlight Events<\/u><\/p>\n

Time\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Market\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Event<\/strong><\/p>\n

19:00\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 GBP\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 BoE Interest Rate Decision (May)<\/p>\n

19:00\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 GBP\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 BoE MPC Meeting Minutes<\/p>\n

19:00\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 CrudeOIl\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 OPEC Monthly Report<\/p>\n

21:15\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 GBP\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 BoE Gov Bailey Speaks<\/p>\n

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Today\u2019s Highlight Economic Data<\/u><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Time<\/strong><\/td>\nNation & Data<\/strong><\/td>\nPrevious<\/strong><\/td>\nForecast<\/strong><\/td>\nActual<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nUSD – Initial Jobless Claims<\/td>\n242K<\/td>\n245K<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nUSD – PPI (MoM) (Apr)<\/td>\n-0.5%<\/td>\n0.3%<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

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Technical Analysis<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

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DOLLAR_INDX, Daily: <\/strong>Dollar index was traded higher following the prior rebound from the support level at 100.65. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggests the index to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 103.15.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Resistance level: 103.15, 104.95<\/p>\n

Support level: 100.65, 99.40<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

GBPUSD, Daily: <\/strong>GBPUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1.2645. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Resistance level: 1.2645, 1.2765<\/p>\n

Support level: 1.2525, 1.2405<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

EURUSD, Daily: <\/strong>EURUSD was traded lower following the prior breakout below the previous support level at 1.1010. MACD which illustrated bearish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward the support level at 1.0915.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Resistance level: 1.1010, 1.1050<\/p>\n

Support level: 1.0915, 1.0770<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

USDJPY, Daily: <\/strong>USDJPY was traded lower following the prior retracement from the resistance level at 135.20. MACD which illustrated bearish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward the support level at 133.05.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Resistance level: 135.20, 136.30<\/p>\n

Support level: 133.05, 130.70<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

AUDUSD, Daily: <\/strong>AUDUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 0.6785. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level at 0.6785.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Resistance level: 0.6785, 0.6925<\/p>\n

Support level: 0.6675, 0.6565<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

NZDUSD, Daily: <\/strong>NZDUSD was traded higher following the prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 0.6290. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 0.6455.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Resistance level: 0.6455, 0.6515<\/p>\n

Support level: 0.6290, 0.6150<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

USDCAD, Daily: <\/strong>USDCAD was traded lower following the prior breakout below the previous support level at 1.3395. MACD which illustrated bearish bias momentum suggests the pair to extend its losses toward the support level at 1.3330.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Resistance level: 1.3395, 1.3485<\/p>\n

Support level: 1.3330, 1.3245<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

USDCHF, Daily: <\/strong>USDCHF was traded higher following the prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 0.8865. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 0.9000.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Resistance level: 0.9000, 0.9075<\/p>\n

Support level: 0.8865, 0.8780<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

CrudeOIL, Daily: <\/strong>Crude oil price was traded lower following the prior retracement from the resistance level at 73.90. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to undergo technical correction in short term.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Resistance level: 73.90, 77.15<\/p>\n

Support level: 70.15, 66.50<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

GOLD_, Daily: <\/strong>Gold price was traded higher following the prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 2025.50. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggests the commodity to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 2051.90.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Resistance level: 2051.90, 2069.55<\/p>\n

Support level: 2025.50, 2000.00<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

11 May 2023\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Morning Session Analysis   US dollar dived as inflation eased further. The dollar index, which was traded against a basket of six major currencies, reversed its previous trading session gains as yesterday\u2019s downbeat data wiped off the bullish sentiment in the dollar market. According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/322303"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/25"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=322303"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/322303\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":322349,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/322303\/revisions\/322349"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=322303"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=322303"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=322303"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}