{"id":46628,"date":"2019-02-14T01:12:26","date_gmt":"2019-02-14T01:12:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/?p=46628"},"modified":"2019-02-14T01:12:26","modified_gmt":"2019-02-14T01:12:26","slug":"140219-morning-session-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/information\/day\/140219-morning-session-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"140219 Morning Session Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>14 February 2019\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Morning Session Analysis<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>Greenback thrives as inflation firms.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>US dollar rose sharply on Wednesday over the backdrop of optimistic inflation data from the region. The dollar index was quoted up 0.51%, last seen around 96.93 against a basket of six major peers. According to the US Labor Department, its Consumer Price Index came in flat for the month of January with only 0.2%. However, Core CPI rose 2.2% for year-over-year comparison, beating economists\u2019 forecast for a reading of only 2.1%. Although the report portrays mixed signals, its underlying inflationary pressure is well supported by the acceleration of prices in medical care services and shelter categories. As such, continuous appreciation and pickup in inflation for the upcoming months may revive Federal Reserve\u2019s initiation to raise interest rates sooner again. Otherwise, pair of EUR\/USD tumbled 0.05% to 1.1258, its lowest level in three months. The single common currency received large selloff after EU zone Industrial Production data missed economists\u2019 forecast, fueling more concern of an accelerated slowdown in the region.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>As for commodities, crude oil price extended gains by 0.03% to $53.87 per barrel. Oil prices rose after US President Donald Trump commented that trade talks between Washington and Beijing is doing \u201cvery well\u201d, dialing down market concerns over possible economic slowdown due to trade wars. On the other hand, gold price rose 0.09% to $1,307.40 a troy ounce due persistent risks in EU and UK.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><u>Today\u2019s Holiday Market Close<\/u><\/p>\n<p><strong>Time\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Market\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Event<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>N\/A<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><u>Today\u2019s Highlight Events<\/u><\/p>\n<p><strong>Time\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Market\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Event<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>N\/A<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><u>Today\u2019s Highlight Economic Data<\/u><\/p>\n<table width=\"98%\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"14%\"><strong>Time<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"51%\"><strong>Market &amp; Data<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\"><strong>Previous<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\"><strong>Forecast<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\"><strong>Actual<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"14%\">Tentative<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"51%\">CNY \u2013 Trade Balance (USD) (Jan)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">57.06B<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">33.90B<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"14%\">15:00<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"51%\">EUR \u2013 German GDP (QoQ) (Q4)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">-0.2%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">0.1%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"14%\">21:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"51%\">USD \u2013 Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Dec)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">0.2%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">0.0%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"14%\">21:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"51%\">USD \u2013 Retail Sales (MoM) (Dec)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">0.2%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">0.1%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"14%\">21:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"51%\">USD \u2013 PPI (MoM) (Jan)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">-0.2%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">0.1%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>Technical Analysis<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-46654\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/02\/140219-DOLLARINDX.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>DOLLAR_INDX, H1: <\/strong>Dollar index extended gains while currently testing near the resistance of 97.00. MACD which illustrate bullish signal suggests the index to advance further up after a successful closure above 97.00.<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 97.00, 97.30<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 96.65, 96.30<strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-46655\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/02\/140219-GBPUSD.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>GBPUSD, H4: <\/strong>GBPUSD remains traded within a descending channel following prior retrace from the top. MACD which begins to form a death cross signal suggests the pair to be traded lower in short-term, towards the bottom level.<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 1.2855, 1.2930<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 1.2800, 1.2670<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-46658\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/02\/140219-EURUSD.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>EURUSD, H4: <\/strong>EURUSD was traded lower following prior close below the support at 1.1300. MACD which begins to form a death cross signal suggests the pair to advance further down, towards the direction of 1.1220.<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 1.1300, 1.1375<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 1.1200, 1.1185<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-46660\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/02\/140219-USDJPY.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>USDJPY, H4: <\/strong>USDJPY was lower following prior retrace from the resistance of 111.00. MACD which illustrate diminished upward momentum suggests the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 111.00, 111.45<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 110.50, 110.00<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-46662\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/02\/140219-AUDUSD.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>AUDUSD, H4: <\/strong>AUDUSD was traded lower while currently testing near the support of 0.7070. MACD which illustrate diminishing upward momentum suggests the pair to extend its losses after closing below 0.7070.<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 0.7170, 0.7275<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 0.7070, 0.7015<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-46664\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/02\/140219-NZDUSD.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>NZDUSD, H1: <\/strong>NZDUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from its lower levels. MACD which illustrate diminished downward momentum suggests the pair to extend its gains in short-term, towards the direction of 0.6830.<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 0.6830, 0.6855<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 0.6800, 0.6770<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-46666\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/02\/140219-USDCAD.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>USDCAD, H1: <\/strong>USDCAD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support of 1.3220. MACD which illustrate persistent bullish signal suggests the pair to extend its gains, towards the direction of 1.3280.<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 1.3280, 1.3325<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 1.3220, 1.3175<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-46667\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/02\/140219-USDCHF.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>USDCHF, H1: <\/strong>USDCHF was traded lower following prior retracement from its higher levels. MACD which illustrate diminished upward momentum suggests the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 1.0130, 1.0170<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 1.0080, 1.0040<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-46668\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/02\/140219-CrudeOIL.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>CrudeOIL, H4: <\/strong>Crude oil price was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance at 54.40. MACD which illustrate diminished upward momentum suggests its prices to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 54.40, 55.20<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 53.70, 52.80<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-46671\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/02\/140219-GOLD.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>GOLD_, H1: <\/strong>Gold price remains traded within a sideways channel following prior rebound from the lower levels. MACD which illustrate diminished bearish momentum suggests its prices to be traded higher in short-term.<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 1309.00, 1315.00<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 1303.00, 1292.85<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>14 February 2019\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Morning Session Analysis &nbsp; &nbsp; Greenback thrives as inflation firms. US dollar rose sharply on Wednesday over the backdrop of optimistic inflation data from the region. The dollar index was quoted up 0.51%, last seen around 96.93 against a basket of six major peers. According to the US Labor Department, its Consumer [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":54,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46628"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/54"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46628"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46628\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46628"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46628"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46628"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}