{"id":50066,"date":"2019-03-19T05:13:15","date_gmt":"2019-03-19T05:13:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/?p=50066"},"modified":"2019-03-19T05:13:15","modified_gmt":"2019-03-19T05:13:15","slug":"190319-afternoon-session-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/information\/day\/190319-afternoon-session-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"190319-Afternoon Session Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>19 March 2019\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Afternoon Session Analysis<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>Greenback pinned down by dovish bets.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Greenback remains under pressure during mid-Asian trading following higher expectation towards US Federal Reserve to adopt a more dovish outlook over-the-backdrop of recessive economic data from the region. The dollar index slumped 0.10% to 95.83 as of writing. In general, most investors expect the Fed to held off from raising interest rates further while pledging a \u201cwait-and-see\u201d approach with regards to monetary policy. Prior, US inflationary pressure seems to lose some traction while activities in several key sectors from the region have seen some easing. Such progression would force the Fed to reassess their policy forward guidance, particularly with regards to dot-plot (Fed\u2019s interest rate outlook). Moving forward, market participants will place their focus upon this week\u2019s Fed policy meeting where some speculates the central bank to reveal their plan to end balance sheet tapering and make adjustment on prior dot-plot projection. On the other hand, pair of AUD\/USD rose 0.06% to 0.7107, unfazed by dovish meeting minutes from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). According to the meeting minutes, RBA took note of \u201csignificant uncertainties\u201d in the market, especially with respect to domestic demand. However, the central bank reiterated that the case for near-term policy adjustment is still low at this point of time.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>As for commodities market, crude oil price extended its gains by 0.15% to $59.34 per barrel. Oil futures remains well in bid after Kazakhstan announced to shut production at its giant Kashagan oil field next month in compliance with OPEC-led supply cut. On the other hand, gold price extended gains by 0.39% to $1,307.43 a troy ounce due to weaker US dollar.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><u>Today\u2019s Holiday Market Close<\/u><\/p>\n<p><strong>Time\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Market\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Event<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>N\/A<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><u>Today\u2019s Highlight Events<\/u><\/p>\n<p><strong>Time\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Market\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Event<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>N\/A<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><u>Today\u2019s Highlight Economic Data<\/u><\/p>\n<table width=\"104%\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"14%\"><strong>Time<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"51%\"><strong>Market &amp; Data<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\"><strong>Previous<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\"><strong>Forecast<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\"><strong>Actual<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"14%\">17:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"51%\">GBP \u2013 Average Earnings Index +Bonus (Jan)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">3.4%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">3.2%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"14%\">17:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"51%\">GBP \u2013 Claimant Count Change (Feb)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">14.2K<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">13.1K<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"14%\">17:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"51%\">GBP \u2013 Unemployment Rate (Jan)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">4.0%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">4.0%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"14%\">18:00<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"51%\">EUR \u2013 German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Mar)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">-13.4<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">-11.0<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"14%\">22:00<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"51%\">USD \u2013 Factory Orders (MoM) (Jan)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">0.1%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">0.3%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"14%\">04:30 (20<sup>th<\/sup>)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"51%\">CrudeOIL \u2013 API Weekly Crude Oil Stock<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">-2.580M<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"9%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>Technical Analysis<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-50069\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/03\/190319-DOLLAR_INDX-noon.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>DOLLAR_INDX, H1: <\/strong>Dollar index was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 95.80. MACD which illustrate diminishing bullish momentum suggest the index to extend its losses after successfully breakout the support level at 95.80.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 96.10, 96.40<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 95.80, 95.45<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-50071\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/03\/190319-GBPUSD-noon.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>GBPUSD, H4: <\/strong>GBPUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 1.3220. MACD which illustrate diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 1.3295.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 1.3295, 1.3400<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 1.3220, 1.3145<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-50076\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/03\/190319-EURUSD-noon.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>EURUSD, H1: <\/strong>EURUSD was traded higher folliwing prior rebound from the support level at 1.1335. MACD which illustrate diminishing bearish momentum and the formation of golden cross suggest the pair to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 1.1355.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 1.1355, 1.1395<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 1.1335, 1.1315<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-50077\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/03\/190319-USDJPY-noon.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>USDJPY, H4: <\/strong>USDJPY was traded lower following prior breakout below the upward channel bottom level. MACD which illustrate bearish momentum and the formation of death cross suggest the pair to extend its losses toward the support level at 111.10.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 111.40, 112.00<br \/>\nSupport level: 111.10, 110.60<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-50078\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/03\/190319-AUDUSD-noon.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>AUDUSD, H1: <\/strong>AUDUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the lower level. MACD which illustrate diminishing bearish momentum and the formation of golden cross suggest the pair to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 0.7120.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 0.7120, 0.7145<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 0.7070, 0.7045<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-50079\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/03\/190319-NZDUSD-noon.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>NZDUSD, H4: <\/strong>NZDUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 0.6840. Due to lack of signal from MACD, a retracement from or breakout above the resistance level is required to attain further confirmation before entering the market.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 0.6875, 0.6900<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 0.6840, 0.6805<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-50082\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/03\/190319-USDCAD-noon.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>USDCAD, H1: <\/strong>USDCAD was traded lower following prior retracement from the top level of upward channel. MACD which illustrate bearish momentum and the formation of death cross suggest the pair to extend its losses toward the support level at 1.3320.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 1.3355, 1.3410<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 1.3320, 1.3290<br \/>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-50085\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/03\/190319-USDCHF-noon.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>USDCHF, H1: <\/strong>USDCHF was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 1.0025. MACD which illustrate diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward the next support level at 0.9990.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 1.0025, 1.0040<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 0.9990, 0.9965<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-50086\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/03\/19319-CrudeOIL-noon.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>CrudeOIL, H4: <\/strong>Crude oil was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 59.45. Due to lack of clear signal from MACD, it is suggested to wait until further signal appear such as a breakout above or retracement from the resistance level before entering the market.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 59.45, 61.25<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 57.65, 55.85<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-50087\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/03\/190319-GOLD_-noon.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>GOLD<\/strong><strong>_, H<\/strong><strong>4: <\/strong>Gold was traded higher following prior breakout above the downward trend line. MACD which illustrate bullish momentum and the formation of golden cross suggest the commodity to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 1310.35.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Resistance level: 1310.35, 1321.10<\/p>\n<p>Support level: 1298.90, 1292.05<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>19 March 2019\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Afternoon Session Analysis &nbsp; &nbsp; Greenback pinned down by dovish bets. Greenback remains under pressure during mid-Asian trading following higher expectation towards US Federal Reserve to adopt a more dovish outlook over-the-backdrop of recessive economic data from the region. The dollar index slumped 0.10% to 95.83 as of writing. In general, most [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":54,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50066"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/54"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50066"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50066\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50066"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50066"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50066"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}