{"id":100288,"date":"2019-12-09T06:58:32","date_gmt":"2019-12-09T06:58:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=100288"},"modified":"2019-12-09T06:58:32","modified_gmt":"2019-12-09T06:58:32","slug":"20191209-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20191209-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20191209 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2019<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>09<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u81f3<\/strong>14<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>2<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u671f\u65f6\u5019\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u65f6\u53cd\u5f39\u4ee597.59\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u521d\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u90fd\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u5347\u7ea7\u548c\u60e8\u6de1\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u906d\u53d7\u7684\u635f\u5931\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6839\u636e\u4f9b\u5e94\u7ba1\u7406\u534f\u4f1a\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\uff08PMI\uff09\u4e3a48.1\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u6d4b49.2\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\uff08PMI\uff09\u4e3a53.9\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768454.5\u3002\u4e24\u9879\u6570\u636e\u5747\u6bd4\u9884\u671f\u7cdf\u7cd5\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u5927\u5e45\u629b\u552e\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a26.6\u4e07\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u671f18.6\u4e07\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u964d\u81f33.5\uff05\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u4e3a3.6\uff05\u3002\u4e24\u9879\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u90fd\u8868\u73b0\u5f97\u975e\u5e38\u597d\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u906d\u53d7\u7684\u635f\u5931\u3002\u6765\u81ea\u7f8e\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u7684\u8fd9\u4e9b\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8d38\u6613\u4e89\u7aef\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u9677\u5165\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u4f46\u5c1a\u672a\u8513\u5ef6\u5230\u6574\u4e2a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u65f6\u523a\u6fc0\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5173\u4e8e\u8d38\u6613\u7ea0\u7eb7\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff08Donald Trump\uff09\u58f0\u79f0\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u63a8\u8fdf\u52302020\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5927\u9009\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4ed6\u91cd\u7533\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u5b9a\u6ca1\u6709\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4efb\u4f55\u671f\u9650\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u8d1f\u9762\u60c5\u7eea\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u629b\u552e\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8bf4\uff0c\u4ed6\u5c06\u5bf9\u4ece\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u548c\u5df4\u897f\u8fdb\u53e3\u7684\u91d1\u5c5e\u5f81\u6536\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u6cd5\u56fd\u5546\u54c1\u52a0\u5f81\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u7eea\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u770b\u8dcc\u7684\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u7136\u800c\u5728\u6b64\u65f6\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u8d38\u6613\u95ee\u9898\u5c1a\u672a\u5b8c\u5168\u89e3\u51b3\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u5c06\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u8d38\u6613\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u5934\u6761\u65b0\u95fb\u4e0a\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fd9\u4e2a\u661f\u671f\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u63a8\u6d4b\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u8d70\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143 (USDJPY) \u6c47\u7387\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u4ea4\u6613\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a108.58\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u60b2\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u8fd9\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u65e5\u5143\u7b49\u7684\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u5728\u516c\u5e03\u60e8\u6de1\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u65e5\u5143\u6709\u5c11\u4e9b\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u65e5\u672c\u5bb6\u5ead\u652f\u51fa\uff08MoM\uff09\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3-11.5\uff05\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u6d4b-9.8\uff05\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u5347\u5e45\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (EURUSD)\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1.1103\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6765\u81ea\u6b27\u76df\u5730\u533a\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4f46\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u65f6\u4ecd\u7136\u627f\u53d7\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\u3002\u6839\u636eMarkit Economics\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u6307\u6570\uff08PMI\uff09\u4ece43.8\u5347\u81f344.1\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u6d4b43.8\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\uff08PMI\uff09\u4e3a51.7\uff0c\u8d85\u51fa\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768451.3\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u53ea\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (EURUSD) \u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u66b4\u8dcc\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (GBPUD) \u5728\u6574\u4e2a\u4e0a\u5468\u4ea4\u6613\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u800c\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.3135\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5927\u9009\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u82f1\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u672a\u6765\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u8bb8\u591a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5411\u82f1\u9551\u5e02\u573a\u6295\u5165\u4e86\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u3002\u6839\u636eYouGov\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7531\u73b0\u4efb\u603b\u7406\u9c8d\u91cc\u65af\u00b7\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a\uff08Boris Johnson\uff09\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u4fdd\u5b88\u515a\u62e5\u6709\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\uff0843\uff05\uff09\u5728\u5373\u5c06\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u4e2d\u8d62\u5f97\u591a\u6570\u5e2d\u4f4d\uff0c\u800c\u53cd\u5bf9\u515a\u5982\u5de5\u515a\uff0832\uff05\uff09\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u82f1\u56fd\u5927\u9009\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u4ecd\u7136\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u73b0\u4eca\u6709\u5c11\u4e9b\u907f\u5f00\u4e86\u82f1\u9551\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>2<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> \u2013 12<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6574\u4e2a\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81459.60\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u53d1\u5e03\u60b2\u89c2\u6570\u636e\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u6536\u5230\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982ISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u548cADP\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u53d8\u5316\uff08Nov\uff09\u5206\u522b\u4e3a48.1\u548c67K\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u5f31\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768449.2\u548c149K\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u4e4e\u610f\u6599\u7684\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768426.6\u4e07\u548c18.6\u4e07\u4e4b\u95f4\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u66b4\u8dcc\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u62d6\u7d2f\u4e86\u9ec4\u91d1\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u636e\u8868\u660e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u7136\u62e5\u6709\u7740\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>14<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u4e00\u5468\u4e2d\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u5173\u952e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\uff0c\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u548c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7b49\u5c11\u6570\u592e\u884c\u4e5f\u5c06\u5ba3\u5e03\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>14<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e00<\/strong>,12<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u5143 – \u65e5\u672cGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/strong>, 12<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd – \u82f1\u56fdGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd -\u82f1\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32 -\u5fb7\u56fdZEW\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong>
\n<\/strong>\u6fb3\u6d32 -\u5e74\u4e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u8d22\u653f\u5c55\u671b<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e09<\/strong>, 12<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> –<\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> –<\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fdCPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u56db<\/strong>, <\/strong>12<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> -\u7f8e\u56fdPPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u745e\u58eb<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong>\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> –<\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u5b58\u6b3e\u4fbf\u5229\u5229\u7387(%) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> –<\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8fb9\u9645\u501f\u8d37\u5229\u7387(%)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9884\u6d4b<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> -\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> –<\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u82f1\u56fd\u5927\u9009<\/p>\n

\u745e\u58eb<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8bc4\u4f30<\/p>\n

\u745e\u58eb<\/strong> – \u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> –<\/strong>\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> –<\/strong>\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u5fb7\u62c9\u57fa\u53ec\u5f00\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/strong>, <\/strong>12<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>13<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong> -\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u77ed\u89c2\u5927\u578b\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u5224\u65ad\u6307\u6570 (\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong> -\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u77ed\u89c2\u5927\u578b\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u5224\u65ad\u6307\u6570 (\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> – \u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> -\u7f8e\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/strong>\u2013<\/strong>\u00a0 \u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u6ce2\u6d1b\u5179(Stephen Poloz)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2019\u5e7412\u670809\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790   GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a12\u67089\u81f314\u65e5\u00a0   \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a12\u67082\u65e5\u81f37\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u671f\u65f6\u5019\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u65f6\u53cd\u5f39\u4ee597.59\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u521d\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u90fd\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u5347\u7ea7\u548c\u60e8\u6de1\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u906d\u53d7\u7684\u635f\u5931\u3002 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\u5173\u4e8e\u8d38\u6613\u7ea0\u7eb7\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff08Donald Trump\uff09\u58f0\u79f0\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u63a8\u8fdf\u52302020\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5927\u9009\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4ed6\u91cd\u7533\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u5b9a\u6ca1\u6709\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4efb\u4f55\u671f\u9650\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u8d1f\u9762\u60c5\u7eea\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u629b\u552e\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8bf4\uff0c\u4ed6\u5c06\u5bf9\u4ece\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u548c\u5df4\u897f\u8fdb\u53e3\u7684\u91d1\u5c5e\u5f81\u6536\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u6cd5\u56fd\u5546\u54c1\u52a0\u5f81\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u7eea\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u770b\u8dcc\u7684\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u7136\u800c\u5728\u6b64\u65f6\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u8d38\u6613\u95ee\u9898\u5c1a\u672a\u5b8c\u5168\u89e3\u51b3\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u5c06\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u8d38\u6613\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u5934\u6761\u65b0\u95fb\u4e0a\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fd9\u4e2a\u661f\u671f\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u63a8\u6d4b\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u8d70\u5411\u3002 \u65e5\u672c \u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143 (USDJPY) \u6c47\u7387\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u4ea4\u6613\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a108.58\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u60b2\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u8fd9\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u65e5\u5143\u7b49\u7684\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u5728\u516c\u5e03\u60e8\u6de1\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u65e5\u5143\u6709\u5c11\u4e9b\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u65e5\u672c\u5bb6\u5ead\u652f\u51fa\uff08MoM\uff09\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3-11.5\uff05\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u6d4b-9.8\uff05\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u5347\u5e45\u3002 \u00a0 \u6b27\u6d32 \u4e0a\u5468\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (EURUSD)\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1.1103\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6765\u81ea\u6b27\u76df\u5730\u533a\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4f46\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u65f6\u4ecd\u7136\u627f\u53d7\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\u3002\u6839\u636eMarkit Economics\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u6307\u6570\uff08PMI\uff09\u4ece43.8\u5347\u81f344.1\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u6d4b43.8\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\uff08PMI\uff09\u4e3a51.7\uff0c\u8d85\u51fa\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768451.3\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u53ea\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (EURUSD) \u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u66b4\u8dcc\u3002   \u82f1\u56fd \u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (GBPUD) \u5728\u6574\u4e2a\u4e0a\u5468\u4ea4\u6613\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u800c\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.3135\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5927\u9009\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u82f1\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u672a\u6765\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u8bb8\u591a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5411\u82f1\u9551\u5e02\u573a\u6295\u5165\u4e86\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u3002\u6839\u636eYouGov\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7531\u73b0\u4efb\u603b\u7406\u9c8d\u91cc\u65af\u00b7\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a\uff08Boris 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