{"id":103989,"date":"2020-01-06T06:36:32","date_gmt":"2020-01-06T06:36:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=103989"},"modified":"2020-01-06T06:36:32","modified_gmt":"2020-01-06T06:36:32","slug":"20200106-%e6%af%8f%e5%91%a8%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20200106-%e6%af%8f%e5%91%a8%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90\/","title":{"rendered":"20200106 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2020<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u81f3<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>30<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u590d\u65e9\u524d\u7684\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u5176\u4ed6\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u6536\u5e02\u4e8e96.55\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u81ea\u53bb\u5e7412\u6708\u5e95\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u540e\u7684\u6280\u672f\u56de\u8c03\u540e\uff0c\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u591a\u5934\u652f\u6491\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u52a0\u5267\u548c\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u53d1\u5e03\u60b2\u89c2\u6570\u636e\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5347\u503c\u5e45\u5ea6\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5728\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5728\u5df4\u683c\u8fbe\u56fd\u9645\u673a\u573a\u53d1\u52a8\u7a7a\u88ad\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u5305\u62ec\u4f0a\u6717\u5c06\u519bQasem Soleimani\u5728\u5185\u7684\u51e0\u540d\u91cd\u8981\u6210\u5458\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff0c\u4e4b\u540e\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4f0a\u6717\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u5347\u7ea7\u5230\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u7684\u9ad8\u5ea6\u3002\u88ad\u51fb\u53d1\u751f\u540e\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u603b\u7edf\u54c8\u6851\u00b7\u9c81\u54c8\u5c3c\u8b66\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u53d1\u52a8\u88ad\u51fb\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u201c\u4e25\u91cd\u9519\u8bef\u201d\uff0c\u4ed6\u8a93\u8a00\u8981\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u91c7\u53d6\u62a5\u590d\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u9669\u4e0a\u5347\u5bfc\u81f4\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d44\u4ea7\u906d\u5230\u629b\u552e\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5bfc\u81f4\u7f8e\u5143\u6301\u7eed\u88ab\u627f\u538b\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u53bb\u5e7412\u6708ISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570(PMI)\u521b\u4e0b10\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u6700\u5927\u964d\u5e45\uff0c\u4e3a47.2\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb649.0\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e24\u56fd\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u9636\u6bb5\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u4e0a\u8fbe\u6210\u4e86\u5171\u8bc6\uff0c\u4f46\u4e4b\u524d\u4e24\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u7ed9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd\u5373\u5c06\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u5176\u7ecf\u6d4e\u52bf\u5934\u3002
\n<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\uff08USDJPY\uff09\u4e0a\u5468\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e86\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u65f6\u62a5\u4ef7\u4e3a108.09\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u52a0\u5267\u540e\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u907f\u9669\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u65e5\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u62c5\u5fc3\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u53d1\u52a8\u88ad\u51fb\u3001\u5bfc\u81f4\u4f0a\u6717\u653f\u5e9c\u51e0\u540d\u5173\u952e\u4eba\u7269\u4e27\u751f\u540e\uff0c\u4e24\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u53ef\u80fd\u7206\u53d1\u6218\u4e89\u3002\u88ad\u51fb\u53d1\u751f\u540e\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u603b\u7edf\u54c8\u6851\u00b7\u9c81\u54c8\u5c3c(Hassan Rouhani)\u8b66\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u72af\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u201c\u4e25\u91cd\u9519\u8bef\u201d\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c06\u4e3a\u201c\u540e\u679c\u201d\u4ed8\u51fa\u4ee3\u4ef7\u3002\u4e0d\u65ad\u52a0\u5267\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u629b\u552e\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u5bf9\u5b89\u5168\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\uff08EURUSD\uff09\u4e0a\u5468\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u56e0\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u60b2\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u3002\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u76d8\u65f6\u62a5\u4ef7\u4e3a1.1159\u300212\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u53d8\u52a8\u589e\u52a0\u4e868,000\u4eba\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u4e3a2,000\u4eba\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u635f\u5931\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u56e0\u5fb7\u56fd12\u6708\u4efd\u7684CPI\u4e0a\u53470.5%\uff0c\u8fdc\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u4e4b\u524d\u7684-0.8%\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\uff08GBPUSD\uff09\u4e0a\u5468\u5ef6\u7eed\u8dcc\u52bf\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e1.3075\u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u82f1\u56fd\u9996\u76f8\u9c8d\u91cc\u65af\u00b7\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a(Boris Johnson)\u62d2\u7edd\u63a8\u8fdf\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u8fc7\u6e21\u671f\uff0c\u5e76\u8a93\u8a00\u57282020\u5e7412\u670831\u65e5\u524d\u5b8c\u6210\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u82f1\u56fd\u548c\u6b27\u76df\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8c08\u5224\u5c06\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u5b98\u65b9\u65e5\u671f1\u670831\u65e5\u4e4b\u540e\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u800c\u53cc\u65b9\u53ea\u670911\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u6765\u8fbe\u6210\u5b9e\u8d28\u6027\u534f\u8bae\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u62c5\u5fc3\uff0c\u7ed9\u5b9a\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u6846\u67b6\u592a\u77ed\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e24\u56fd\u4e0d\u65e0\u6cd5\u8fbe\u6210\u5171\u8bc6\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u201c\u786c\u8131\u6b27\u201d\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>30<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u5ef6\u7eed\u6da8\u52bf\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u62a5\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f8\u7ea61,527.37\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4f0a\u6717\u4e4b\u95f4\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\u629b\u552e\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5bfc\u81f4\u907f\u9669\u4ea7\u54c1\u9700\u6c42\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u98ce\u9669\u4e5f\u4e3a\u8be5\u5546\u54c1\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u989d\u5916\u7684\u591a\u5934\u652f\u6491\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5982ISM\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570(PMI)\u3001ADP\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u4ee5\u53ca\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4f0a\u6717\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u8ba1<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e00<\/strong> \u2013 1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>06<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u7efc\u5408PMI\u6307\u6570 (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n48.6<\/td>\n48.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n49.1<\/td>\n49.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/strong> \u2013 1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>07<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.3%<\/td>\n1.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n54.5<\/td>\n53.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927IVEY\u5b63\u8c03\u540ePMI (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n53.8<\/td>\n60.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e09<\/strong> \u2013 1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>08<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:15<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdADP\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570 (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n156K<\/td>\n67K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u56db<\/strong> \u2013 1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>09<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u5931\u4e1a\u7387(\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n7.5%<\/td>\n7.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u516c\u5e03\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n

–<\/td>\n222K<\/td>\n222K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/strong>\u2013 1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
03:00<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u6ce2\u6d1b\u5179(Stephen Poloz)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
08:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.3%<\/td>\n0.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3\u53d8\u52a8 (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n160K<\/td>\n266K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387 (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n3.5%<\/td>\n3.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u52a8(\u4eba) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n22.5K<\/td>\n-71.2K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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