{"id":112194,"date":"2020-03-02T07:07:05","date_gmt":"2020-03-02T07:07:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=112194"},"modified":"2020-03-02T07:07:05","modified_gmt":"2020-03-02T07:07:05","slug":"20200302-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20200302-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20200302 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2020<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>2<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a3\u67082\u65e5\u81f36\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>2<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>24<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>29<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

\u5728\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75ab\u60c5\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u5730\u533a\u4f20\u64ad\u901f\u5ea6\u52a0\u5feb\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u9762\u4e34\u66f4\u591a\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\u3002\u5728\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u201c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u201d\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u65e5\u76ca\u52a0\u5267\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4eba\u4eec\u9884\u6d4b\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u4f1a\u5728\u4e0d\u4e45\u7684\u5c06\u6765\u964d\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u4ee5\u8212\u7f13\u201c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u201d\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u6839\u636e\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u5546\u4e1a\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u96c6\u56e2(CME Group)\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u89c2\u5bdf(FedWatch)\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a83\u6708\u4efd\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u76ee\u524d\u572897%\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u6b64\u524d\u4e00\u5468\u8fd19%\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5e94\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u6709\u5173\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6765\u81ea\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5224\u65ad\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u672a\u6765\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5706\uff08USDJPY\uff09\u4ece\u5148\u524d\u9ad8\u4f4d\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u5e02\u573a\u6536\u4e8e\u7ea6108.06\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6050\u60e7\u4ecd\u7136\u4e0d\u505c\u7684\u8513\u5ef6\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd9\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u5bf9\u6b64\u4e3a\u5b89\u5168\u8d44\u4ea7\u7b49\u7684\u65e5\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u8bb8\u591a\u4e0a\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\uff08EURUSD\uff09\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u7206\u6da8\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.1050\u3002\u3002\u8fd9\u5bf9\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5176\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5229\u597d\u6570\u636e\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u6839\u636eIFO\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u3001\u5fb7\u56fdIFO\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570\u4e3a96.1\uff0c\u4f18\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u671f\u4e3a95.3\uff0c\u800c\u5fb7\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u53d8\u5316\u4e5f\u4ece\u6b64\u524d\u76844 K\u964d\u81f3\u5230-10 K\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u4e3a3K\u5e76\u4e14\u663e\u793a\u6b27\u6d32\u533a\u57df\u5185\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u7136\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u8482\u5a1c\u2022\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u53d1\u8868\u9e70\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u770b\u6da8\u7684\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u5979\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u6b63\u5728\u201c\u975e\u5e38\u5c0f\u5fc3\u5730\u201d\u76d1\u63a7\u6b64\u6b21\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7206\u53d1\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u5979\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u8fd8\u4ecd\u7136\u8fd8\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u672a\u6709\u592a\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u8be5\u58f0\u660e\u4e3a\u5e02\u573a\u6697\u793a\u4e86\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u5728\u5728\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u671f\u95f4\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u5bf9\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>2<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>24<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>29<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>2<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u72b9\u5982\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684ISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u975e\u519c\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>2\u65e5<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u8ba1<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e00<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong> 3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>2<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:45<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u8d22\u65b0\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n45.7<\/td>\n51.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:55<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n47.8<\/td>\n47.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n51.8<\/td>\n51.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n50.4<\/td>\n50.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong> 3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.75%<\/td>\n0.75%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5efa\u7b51\u4e1aPMI (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n48.4<\/td>\n48.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.2%<\/td>\n1.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e09<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong> 3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
08:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9aGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.4%<\/td>\n0.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u7efc\u5408PMI\u6307\u6570 (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n53.3<\/td>\n53.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n53.3<\/td>\n53.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5f85\u5b9a<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u8d22\u653f\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u542c\u8bc1\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:15<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdADP\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570 (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n170K<\/td>\n291K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n54.9<\/td>\n55.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.75%<\/td>\n1.75%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u56db<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong> 3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u77f3\u6cb9\u8f93\u51fa\u56fd\u7ec4\u7ec7(OPEC)\u4f1a\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e94\u2013<\/strong> 3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
01:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u5361\u5c3c(Mark Carney)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
01:45<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u6ce2\u6d1b\u5179(Stephen Poloz)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
08:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3\u53d8\u52a8 (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n175K<\/td>\n225K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387 (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n3.6%<\/td>\n3.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u52a8(\u4eba) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n10.0K<\/td>\n34.5K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927IVEY\u5b63\u8c03\u540ePMI (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n57.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2020\u5e743\u67082\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790   GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a3\u67082\u65e5\u81f36\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a2\u670824\u81f329\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u632b\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e97.95 \u3002 \u539f\u56e0\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u9eef\u6de1\u6570\u636e\u4ecd\u7136\u663e\u793a\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7387\u76f8\u5f53\u7684\u75b2\u5f31\uff0c\u5bf9\u6b64\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u8bb8\u591a\u7a7a\u5934\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u7206\u53d1\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u4ece\u7f8e\u56fd\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5f15\u53d1\u7f8e\u5143\u906d\u53d7\u5230\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u629b\u552e\u3002   \u5728\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4ecd\u7136\u975e\u5e38\u60e8\u6de1\uff0c\u8ba9\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6df1\u611f\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f1a\u8bae\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fdCB\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570\u4e3a130.7\uff0c\u900a\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u4e3a132.0\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u62c5\u5fc3\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u5c06\u4f1a\u6301\u7eed\u7834\u574f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e2a\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u4e5f\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u76840.4%\u964d\u81f30.2%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u76840.3%\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u768421.1\u4e07\u4eba\u589e\u81f321.9\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e8621.2\u4e07\u4eba\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c31\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u524d\u666f\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u636e\u8868\u73b0\u6bd4\u9884\u671f\u5dee\uff0c\u8fd9\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5927\u91cf\u629b\u552e\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u7740\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u8fd9\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u635f\u5931\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u5168\u56fd\u5730\u4ea7\u7ecf\u7eaa\u5546\u534f\u4f1a(National Association of Realtors)\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u5c4b\u5f85\u5b8c\u6210\u9500\u552e\u6307\u6570\u4ece\u6b64\u524d\u7684-4.3%\u5347\u81f35.2%\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u76842.2%\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u8010\u4e45\u8d22\u8ba2\u5355\u4e3a0.9%\uff0c\u4e5f\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u76840.2%\u3002   \u5728\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75ab\u60c5\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u5730\u533a\u4f20\u64ad\u901f\u5ea6\u52a0\u5feb\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u9762\u4e34\u66f4\u591a\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\u3002\u5728\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u201c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u201d\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u65e5\u76ca\u52a0\u5267\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4eba\u4eec\u9884\u6d4b\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u4f1a\u5728\u4e0d\u4e45\u7684\u5c06\u6765\u964d\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u4ee5\u8212\u7f13\u201c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u201d\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u6839\u636e\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u5546\u4e1a\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u96c6\u56e2(CME Group)\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u89c2\u5bdf(FedWatch)\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a83\u6708\u4efd\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u76ee\u524d\u572897%\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u6b64\u524d\u4e00\u5468\u8fd19%\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5e94\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u6709\u5173\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6765\u81ea\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5224\u65ad\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u672a\u6765\u8d70\u52bf\u3002   \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5706\uff08USDJPY\uff09\u4ece\u5148\u524d\u9ad8\u4f4d\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u5e02\u573a\u6536\u4e8e\u7ea6108.06\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6050\u60e7\u4ecd\u7136\u4e0d\u505c\u7684\u8513\u5ef6\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd9\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u5bf9\u6b64\u4e3a\u5b89\u5168\u8d44\u4ea7\u7b49\u7684\u65e5\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u8bb8\u591a\u4e0a\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002   \u6b27\u6d32 \u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\uff08EURUSD\uff09\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u7206\u6da8\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.1050\u3002\u3002\u8fd9\u5bf9\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5176\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5229\u597d\u6570\u636e\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u6839\u636eIFO\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u3001\u5fb7\u56fdIFO\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570\u4e3a96.1\uff0c\u4f18\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u671f\u4e3a95.3\uff0c\u800c\u5fb7\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u53d8\u5316\u4e5f\u4ece\u6b64\u524d\u76844 K\u964d\u81f3\u5230-10 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