{"id":114296,"date":"2020-03-16T06:32:59","date_gmt":"2020-03-16T06:32:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=114296"},"modified":"2020-03-16T06:35:25","modified_gmt":"2020-03-16T06:35:25","slug":"20200316-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20200316-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20200316 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2020<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>03<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>16<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a3\u670816\u81f320\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0e\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u5927\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u6709\u6240\u56de\u5347\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e98.46\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5b58\u5728\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u4ecd\u7136\u5f3a\u52b2\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u627f\u8bfa\u91c7\u53d6\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u6765\u5bf9\u6297\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4ecd\u4fdd\u6301\u9886\u5148\u5730\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u8be5\u8bfb\u6570\u4e3a95.9\uff0c\u8d85\u8d8a\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u4e3a95\u6839\u636e\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5927\u5b66\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8fd8\u8868\u793a\u5c06\u628a\u5229\u7387\u964d\u81f3\u96f6\uff0c\u5e76\u542f\u52a8\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u7684\u5927\u89c4\u6a217000\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u91cf\u5316\u5bbd\u677e\u8ba1\u5212\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8fd8\u5c06\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u7d27\u6025\u8d37\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u524a\u51cf\u4e86125\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u81f30.25\uff05\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u8d37\u6b3e\u671f\u9650\u5ef6\u957f\u81f390\u5929\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u4e3e\u63aa\u7ee7\u7eed\u652f\u6301\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d2d\u4e70\u52bf\u5934\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u968f\u7740\u5e02\u573a\u7ee7\u7eed\u731c\u6d4b\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u8fdb\u5c55\u4ee5\u53ca\u5373\u5c06\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002
\n<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u6c47\u7387\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e107.99\u3002 \u7531\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u592e\u884c\u7684\u964d\u606f\u548c\u91cf\u5316\u5bbd\u677e\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u79ef\u6781\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u5171\u540c\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u4f5c\u4e3a\u907f\u9669\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5176\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u4ece\u907f\u9669\u5e02\u573a\u8f6c\u5411\u98ce\u9669\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u603b\u4f53\u4e0a\u7ee7\u7eed\u6323\u624e\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u5468\u4ea4\u6613\u65f6\u6bb5\u6536\u4e8e1.1155\u3002 \u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5f3a\u52bf\u52a0\u4e0a\u610f\u5927\u5229\u60c5\u51b5\u7684\u6076\u5316\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u53d7\u5230\u6253\u51fb\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u653e\u5f03\u8fd9\u5bf9\u8d27\u5e01\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151 (GBP\/USD)\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4ee51.2394\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u7ed3\u675f\u5e02\u573a\u4ea4\u6613\u3002 \u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u53d1\u8868\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5f3a\u5927\u5b9e\u529b\u540e\uff0c\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u4e0b\u884c\u98ce\u9669\u4e2d\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u8fd1\u671f\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\uff0c\u5e76\u51b3\u5b9a\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u8c0350\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff0c\u5e76\u8868\u793a\u5982\u679c\u9700\u8981\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8c03\u5229\u7387\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6050\u60e7\u4ecd\u7136\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7740\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5bfc\u81f4\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u82f1\u9551\u4ea7\u751f\u8d1f\u9762\u53cd\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u4ecd\u7136\u6323\u624e\u800c\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u6536\u4e8e\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81529.35\u7f8e\u5143\u3002 \u7531\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5d29\u6e83\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4e89\u76f8\u5c06\u5176\u8d44\u4ea7\u6e05\u7b97\u4e3a\u73b0\u91d1\uff0c\u4ee5\u5f25\u8865\u4fdd\u8bc1\u91d1\u3002 \u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u4ee5\u53ca\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u603b\u7edf\u8ba1\u5212\u5ba3\u5e03\u5e94\u5bf9\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u7d27\u6025\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u4f7f\u5468\u4e94\u6574\u4e2a\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4fdd\u6301\u8b66\u60d5\u3002 \u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5c06\u4efb\u4f55\u6709\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\u53d8\u6210\u73b0\u91d1\u7684\u6e34\u671b\u4f7f\u9ec4\u91d1\u6210\u4e3a\u6e05\u7b97\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>16<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>20<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u672c\u5468\u5c06\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u53d6\u66f4\u591a\u5e02\u573a\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8fd8\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55\u4ee5\u53ca\u5168\u7403\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>16<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>20<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e00<\/strong>, 3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>16<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 \u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 \u89c4\u6a21\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5de5\u4e1a\u589e\u52a0\u503c\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65b0\u897f\u5170<\/strong> \u2013 \u65b0\u897f\u5170\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013\u00a0 \u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 \u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e(Donald Trump)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/p>\n

\u65b0\u897f\u5170<\/strong> \u2013 \u65b0\u897f\u5170\u8054\u50a8\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 \u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/strong>, 3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>17<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u542b\u7ea2\u5229\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u5e73\u5747\u5de5\u8d44\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u82f1\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u7533\u8bf7\u4eba\u6570(\u4eba) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fdZEW\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u4e09\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>JOLTs\u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a (\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong>
\n<\/strong>\u6fb3\u6d32<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e09<\/strong>, 3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>18<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u8425\u5efa\u8bb8\u53ef\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u56db<\/strong>, <\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>19<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65b0\u897f\u5170<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>GDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3(\u4eba) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u745e\u58eb<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570 (\u4e09\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

CHF \u2013 <\/strong>\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8bc4\u4f30<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/strong>, <\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>20<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u4e2d\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u8d37\u6b3e\u5e02\u573a\u62a5\u4ef7\u5229\u7387(LPR)<\/p>\n

\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6210\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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