{"id":127183,"date":"2020-05-18T05:59:05","date_gmt":"2020-05-18T05:59:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=127183"},"modified":"2020-05-18T05:59:05","modified_gmt":"2020-05-18T05:59:05","slug":"20200518-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20200518-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20200518 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2020<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>18<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a5\u670818\u65e5\u81f323\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>16<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e100.275\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a(\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8) \u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u63d0\u4f9b\u5f3a\u786c\u7684\u58f0\u660e\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e\u4ee5\u53ca\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6ce2\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u611f\u67d3\u6050\u60e7\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u907f\u9669\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u6765\u81ea\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u60b2\u89c2\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u6765\u81ea\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5927\u591a\u88ab\u9eef\u6de1\u7684\u524d\u666f\u6240\u4e3b\u5bfc\u3002\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40(Bureau of Labor Statistics)\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u6d88\u8d39\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570(CPI)\u4e0a\u6708\u4e5f\u4ece\u65e9\u524d\u7684-0.4%\u66b4\u8dcc\u81f3-0.15%\uff0c\u900a\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u7684-0.2%\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u56fd\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570 (PPI) \u4e0a\u6708\u4e5f\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684-0.2% \u4e0b\u964d\u81f3\u5230-1.3%\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u5dee\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684-0.5%\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u5c40(Census Bureau)\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u989d\u4e3a-17.25%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684-8.6%\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a2,981\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u4f30\u76842,500\u4e07\u4eba\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u6240\u6709\u6570\u636e\u90fd\u663e\u793a\u975e\u5e38\u9eef\u6de1\u7684\u6210\u7ee9\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4ecd\u7136\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4ecd\u7136\u5c0f\u5e45\u8d70\u9ad8\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u62d2\u7edd\u4f7f\u7528\u8d1f\u5229\u7387\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8d27\u5e01\u5de5\u5177\u6765\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4ed6\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6301\u60b2\u89c2\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u5bf9\u6b64\u8be5\u7b56\u7565\u4e3a\u7f8e\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u8bb8\u591a\u4e0a\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5728\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75ab\u60c5\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u65b0\u589e\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u5468\u65e5\u589e\u52a0780\u4eba\uff0c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u603b\u4eba\u6570\u8d85\u8fc790978\u4eba\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u6240\u4f4d\u4e8e\u5df4\u5c14\u7684\u6469\u7684\u5927\u5b66\u8bb0\u5f55\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7152.7\u4e07\u4eba\u611f\u67d3\u4e86\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u5347\u7ea7\uff0c\u8fd9\u5728\u5916\u6c47\u5e02\u573a\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u907f\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u91cd\u7533\uff0c\u4ed6\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u672a\u80fd\u5904\u7406\u597d\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5\u4f8b\u611f\u5230\u5931\u671b\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u300a\u73af\u7403\u65f6\u62a5\u300b(Global Times) \u62a5\u9053\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u62a5\u590d\u884c\u52a8\u540e\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u963b\u6b62\u7f8e\u56fd\u5411\u534e\u4e3a\u51fa\u4ea7\u82af\u7247\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6b64\u65f6\u4ecd\u4f1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u6709\u5173\u75ab\u60c5\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u83b7\u5f97\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\uff08USDJPY\uff09\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5728\u5468\u4e94\u5e02\u573a\u6536\u4e8e\u7ea6107.08\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u5916\u6c47\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u907f\u9669\u8d27\u5e01\u65e5\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e0a\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u56e0\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u62c5\u5fc3\u8bb8\u591a\u56fd\u5bb6\u91cd\u542f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u540e\uff0c\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6ce2\u65b0\u51a0\u72b6\u75ab\u60c5\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u4e5f\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u65e5\u5143\u7b49\u907f\u9669\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5927\u81e3\u897f\u6751\u6cf0\u654f (Yasutoshi Nishimura) \u58f0\u79f0\u65e5\u672c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u57282020\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u7531\u4e8e\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u800c\u4ee53.4%\u7684\u5e74\u7387\u6536\u7f29\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u5347\u503c\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u9650\u5236\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\uff08EURUSD\uff09\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.0814\u3002\u3002\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (EURUSD) \u7684\u6574\u4f53\u4e0b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u5176\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u8d70\u5f3a\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u7f8e\u5143\u800c\u9020\u6210\u7684\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u8d1f\u9762\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u7ee7\u7eed\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u66f4\u591a\u4e0b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u636e\u5fb7\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40(Bundesamt Deutschland)\u7edf\u8ba1\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u4e0a\u5b63\u5ea6\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c(GDP)\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684-0.1%\u964d\u81f3-2.2%\uff0c\u4ee4\u6d88\u5f31\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u5fb7\u56fd\u7b49\u5c11\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6\u91cd\u65b0\u5f00\u653e\u90e8\u5206\u7ecf\u6d4e\u90e8\u95e8\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u6b27\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u7684\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\uff08GBPUSD\uff09\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u6301\u7eed\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.2115\u3002\u8fd9\u5bf9\u7ec4\u5408\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\u548c\u5916\u6c47\u5e02\u573a\u907f\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u4e0a\u5347\u800c\u9020\u6210\u4e86\uff0c\u8fd9\u77ed\u6682\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u98ce\u9669\u8f83\u9ad8\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u548c\u6b27\u76df\u56e0\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u540e\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u4ea4\u6362\u5a01\u80c1\u540e\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u5176\u635f\u5931\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u91cd\u7533\u62d2\u7edd\u5ef6\u957f\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u8fc7\u6e21\u671f\u540e\uff0c\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u82f1\u56fd\u786c\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u5bf9\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u6784\u6210\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u538b\u529b\u3002\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c(Bank of England)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c06\u57283\u6708\u4efd\u6536\u7f29\u4e865.8%\uff0c\u800c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u6536\u7f29\u5e45\u5ea6\u53ef\u80fd\u63a5\u8fd125%\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u82f1\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u51fa\u73b0\u4e09\u4e2a\u591a\u4e16\u7eaa\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u5927\u5e74\u5ea6\u964d\u5e45\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>16<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u91d1\u4ef7\u6574\u4f53\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u4e8e\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81742.28\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a(Federal Reserve)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u80a1\u5e02\u4ee5\u53ca\u8d44\u4ea7\u4ef7\u683c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53d7\u5230\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u4e25\u91cd\u51b2\u51fb\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u968f\u540e\u98d9\u5347\u81f37\u5e74\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4ed6\u4eec\u8b66\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u9020\u6210\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u635f\u5931\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u5f88\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u9eef\u6de1\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u907f\u9669\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd4\u6708\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u548c\u5de5\u5382\u4ea7\u51fa\u5747\u5f55\u5f97\u6709\u8bb0\u5f55\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u5927\u964d\u5e45\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u89e3\u51b3\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5c0f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6ce2\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u4e5f\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u8f6c\u5411\u9ec4\u91d1\u7b49\u907f\u9669\u5546\u54c1\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>18<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>23<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u3001\u5168\u7403\u592e\u884c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u3001\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u8d38\u6613\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u66f4\u591a\u91cd\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5982\u7f8e\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e \uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8bc4\u4f30\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>18<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>23<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e00<\/strong> \u2013 5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>18<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
07:50<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672cGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-1.2%<\/td>\n-1.8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/strong> \u2013 5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>19<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u542b\u7ea2\u5229\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u5e73\u5747\u5de5\u8d44\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n2.7%<\/td>\n2.8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u7533\u8bf7\u4eba\u6570(\u4eba) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n150.0K<\/td>\n12.1K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdZEW\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n33.5<\/td>\n28.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8425\u5efa\u8bb8\u53ef\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.000M<\/td>\n1.350M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e09<\/strong> \u2013 5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>20<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:30<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u8d37\u6b3e\u5e02\u573a\u62a5\u4ef7\u5229\u7387(LPR)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n3.85%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.8%<\/td>\n1.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.4%<\/td>\n0.7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u56db<\/strong> \u2013 5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>21<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
02:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u7efc\u5408PMI\u6307\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n13.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n32.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n13.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n2,981K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570 (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-45.0<\/td>\n-56.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n4.30M<\/td>\n5.27M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/strong>\u2013 5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>22<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-16.5%<\/td>\n-5.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:30<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n40.0<\/td>\n34.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-5.0%<\/td>\n-15.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2020\u5e745\u670818\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790   GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a5\u670818\u65e5\u81f323\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a5\u670811\u81f316\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e100.275\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a(\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8) \u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u63d0\u4f9b\u5f3a\u786c\u7684\u58f0\u660e\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e\u4ee5\u53ca\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6ce2\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u611f\u67d3\u6050\u60e7\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u907f\u9669\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u6765\u81ea\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u60b2\u89c2\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002   \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u6765\u81ea\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5927\u591a\u88ab\u9eef\u6de1\u7684\u524d\u666f\u6240\u4e3b\u5bfc\u3002\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40(Bureau of Labor Statistics)\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u6d88\u8d39\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570(CPI)\u4e0a\u6708\u4e5f\u4ece\u65e9\u524d\u7684-0.4%\u66b4\u8dcc\u81f3-0.15%\uff0c\u900a\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u7684-0.2%\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u56fd\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570 (PPI) \u4e0a\u6708\u4e5f\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684-0.2% \u4e0b\u964d\u81f3\u5230-1.3%\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u5dee\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684-0.5%\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u5c40(Census Bureau)\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u989d\u4e3a-17.25%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684-8.6%\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a2,981\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u4f30\u76842,500\u4e07\u4eba\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u6240\u6709\u6570\u636e\u90fd\u663e\u793a\u975e\u5e38\u9eef\u6de1\u7684\u6210\u7ee9\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4ecd\u7136\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4ecd\u7136\u5c0f\u5e45\u8d70\u9ad8\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u62d2\u7edd\u4f7f\u7528\u8d1f\u5229\u7387\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8d27\u5e01\u5de5\u5177\u6765\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4ed6\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6301\u60b2\u89c2\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u5bf9\u6b64\u8be5\u7b56\u7565\u4e3a\u7f8e\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u8bb8\u591a\u4e0a\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002   \u5728\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75ab\u60c5\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u65b0\u589e\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u5468\u65e5\u589e\u52a0780\u4eba\uff0c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u603b\u4eba\u6570\u8d85\u8fc790978\u4eba\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u6240\u4f4d\u4e8e\u5df4\u5c14\u7684\u6469\u7684\u5927\u5b66\u8bb0\u5f55\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7152.7\u4e07\u4eba\u611f\u67d3\u4e86\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u5347\u7ea7\uff0c\u8fd9\u5728\u5916\u6c47\u5e02\u573a\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u907f\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u91cd\u7533\uff0c\u4ed6\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u672a\u80fd\u5904\u7406\u597d\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5\u4f8b\u611f\u5230\u5931\u671b\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u300a\u73af\u7403\u65f6\u62a5\u300b(Global Times) \u62a5\u9053\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u62a5\u590d\u884c\u52a8\u540e\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u963b\u6b62\u7f8e\u56fd\u5411\u534e\u4e3a\u51fa\u4ea7\u82af\u7247\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6b64\u65f6\u4ecd\u4f1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u6709\u5173\u75ab\u60c5\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u83b7\u5f97\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002 \u00a0 \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\uff08USDJPY\uff09\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5728\u5468\u4e94\u5e02\u573a\u6536\u4e8e\u7ea6107.08\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u5916\u6c47\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u907f\u9669\u8d27\u5e01\u65e5\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e0a\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u56e0\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u62c5\u5fc3\u8bb8\u591a\u56fd\u5bb6\u91cd\u542f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u540e\uff0c\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6ce2\u65b0\u51a0\u72b6\u75ab\u60c5\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u4e5f\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u65e5\u5143\u7b49\u907f\u9669\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5927\u81e3\u897f\u6751\u6cf0\u654f (Yasutoshi Nishimura) \u58f0\u79f0\u65e5\u672c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u57282020\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u7531\u4e8e\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u800c\u4ee53.4%\u7684\u5e74\u7387\u6536\u7f29\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u5347\u503c\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u9650\u5236\u3002   \u6b27\u6d32 \u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\uff08EURUSD\uff09\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.0814\u3002\u3002\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (EURUSD) \u7684\u6574\u4f53\u4e0b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u5176\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u8d70\u5f3a\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u7f8e\u5143\u800c\u9020\u6210\u7684\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u8d1f\u9762\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u7ee7\u7eed\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u66f4\u591a\u4e0b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u636e\u5fb7\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40(Bundesamt Deutschland)\u7edf\u8ba1\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u4e0a\u5b63\u5ea6\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c(GDP)\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684-0.1%\u964d\u81f3-2.2%\uff0c\u4ee4\u6d88\u5f31\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u5fb7\u56fd\u7b49\u5c11\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6\u91cd\u65b0\u5f00\u653e\u90e8\u5206\u7ecf\u6d4e\u90e8\u95e8\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u6b27\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u7684\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u53d1\u5c55\u3002   \u82f1\u56fd 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