{"id":128559,"date":"2020-05-25T02:12:31","date_gmt":"2020-05-25T02:12:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=128559"},"modified":"2020-05-25T02:12:42","modified_gmt":"2020-05-25T02:12:42","slug":"20200525-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20200525-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20200525 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2020<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>25<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>25<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>29<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>18<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>22<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7ecf\u8fc7\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u629b\u552e\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5bf9\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u5927\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u5df2\u89e6\u5e95\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee599.75\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u6bcf\u5468\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u6570\u636e\u548cFOMC\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u662f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u9886\u57df\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6574\u4f53\u906d\u53d7\u635f\u5931\u3002\u4ece\u6570\u636e\u89d2\u5ea6\u770b\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u7684\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u6570\u636e\u66f4\u9ad8\uff0c\u8bfb\u6570\u4e3a243.8\u4e07\uff0c\u800c\u9884\u671f\u4e3a24\u4e07\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u623f\u5c4b\u90e8\u95e8\u4e5f\u6025\u5267\u6076\u5316\uff0c\u73b0\u6709\u65b0\u623f\u9500\u552e\u91cf\u4ece\u4e0a\u6708\u7684-8.5\uff05\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f317.8\uff05\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u63d0\u632f\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u8868\u793a\u4ecd\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u5f39\u836f\u652f\u6301\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u5c06\u7f13\u6162\u3002\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u4e0d\u65ad\u5347\u7ea7\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u4e5f\u7ed9\u7f8e\u5143\u65bd\u52a0\u4e86\u538b\u529b\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u4f17\u8bae\u9662\u901a\u8fc7\u4e86\u4e00\u9879\u6cd5\u6848\uff0c\u4ee5\u4ece\u7f8e\u56fd\u8bc1\u5238\u4ea4\u6613\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u9a71\u9010\u5e76\u7981\u6b62\u4e2d\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e2d\u56fd\u5a01\u80c1\u8981\u8fdb\u884c\u62a5\u590d\u3002\u5173\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\uff0c\u75c5\u4f8b\u603b\u6570\u589e\u52a0\u4e86163,260\u4f8b\uff0c\u8fbe\u52301,645,094\u4f8b\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u7531\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f3a\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u65e5\u76ca\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u53d7\u5230\u7f8e\u4e2d\u4e4b\u95f4\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4ee5\u53ca\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5e02\u573a\u4e13\u6ce8\u4e8e\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u53d1\u5c55\u4ee5\u8bc4\u4f30\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u603b\u4f53\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u800c\u4ee5107.61\u4ef7\u683c\u7ed3\u675f\u5e02\u573a\u3002 \u7531\u4e8e\u5404\u79cd\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u672a\u80fd\u83b7\u5f97\u652f\u6301\u3002 \u51fa\u53e3\u4e0b\u964d21.9\uff05\u540c\u65f6\u8fdb\u53e3\u4e5f\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002 \u79c1\u8425\u90e8\u95e8\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\u5468\u56db\u8868\u73b0\u4e0d\u4f73\uff0c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6d3b\u52a8\u6536\u7f29\u8f83\u5feb\uff0c\u524d\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u8bfb\u6570\u4e3a41.9\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u8bfb\u6570\u4e3a38.4\u3002 \u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u56fd\u6c11CPI\u4e5f\u8dcc\u81f30.1\uff05\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u6b64\u524d\u76840.0\uff05\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u5728\u524d\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u4e0a\u5468\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u653e\u5f03\u4e86\u90e8\u5206\u6da8\u5e45\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee51.0901\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002 \u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u524d\u4e00\u534a\uff0c\u6cd5\u56fd\u548c\u5fb7\u56fd\u7684\u590d\u82cf\u57fa\u91d1\u63d0\u6848\u5e2e\u52a9\u6b27\u5143\u5438\u5f15\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u7ade\u6807\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8be5\u52bf\u5934\u65e0\u6cd5\u7ef4\u6301\u5e76\u4e14\u53ea\u662f\u77ed\u6682\u3002 \u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4e5f\u5f88\u5c0f\u3002 \u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u7ee7\u7eed\u547c\u5401\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u63d0\u4f9b\u8d22\u653f\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0d\u8db3\u4e3a\u5947\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(GBP\/USD)\u5728\u524d\u4e00\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.2163\u3002 \u82f1\u56fd\u4e94\u5e74\u671f\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u4ee5\u8d1f\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u51fa\u552e\u5176\u7b2c\u4e00\u53ea\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\u540e\u9996\u6b21\u8dcc\u7834\u96f6\u3002 \u5bf9\u8d1f\u5229\u7387\u7684\u731c\u6d4b\u4e5f\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6076\u5316\u4e86\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u968f\u7740\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u8868\u793a\u9996\u6b21\u4f1a\u8003\u8651\u8d1f\u5229\u7387\u8ba1\u5212\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u8c08\u5224\u7f3a\u4e4f\u8fdb\u5c55\u4e5f\u7ed9\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u7ee7\u7eed\u65bd\u52a0\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>18<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>22<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u4e0a\u6574\u5468\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4ecd\u7136\u4ee5\u4e8f\u635f\u7684\u72b6\u6001\u548c\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81734.22\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u7ed3\u675f\u5e02\u573a\u3002 \u5728\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u5347\u7ea7\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u5bf9\u907f\u98ce\u6e2f\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4ecd\u7136\u5f97\u5230\u652f\u6491\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u8ba1\u5212\u5728\u9999\u6e2f\u5b9e\u65bd\u4e00\u9879\u5f15\u8d77\u4e89\u8bae\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u6cd5\uff0c\u8be5\u6cd5\u5f8b\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u9999\u6e2f\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u5c0f\u89c4\u6a21\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002 \u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8f6c\u5411\u907f\u9669\u9ec4\u91d1\uff0c\u4ee5\u89c4\u907f\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>25<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>29<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u4ee5\u53ca \u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u548cGDP\u7b49\u5173\u952e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u518d\u5ea6\u8bc4\u4f30\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u72b6\u51b5\u4e5f\u5c06\u5728\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u773c\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>25<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>29<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u8ba1<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e00<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>25<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14.00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-2.2%<\/td>\n-2.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16.00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdIFO\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n78.3<\/td>\n74.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>26<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22.00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8c18\u5546\u4f1a\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570 (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n88.0<\/td>\n86.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22.00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u65b0\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n490K<\/td>\n627K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u56db<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>22<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20.30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u6263\u9664\u8fd0\u8f93\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-14.0%<\/td>\n-0.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20.30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645GDP\u5e74\u5316\u5b63\u7387 (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-4.8%<\/td>\n-4.8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20.30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n2100K<\/td>\n2438K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20.30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u6210\u5c4b\u7b7e\u7ea6\u9500\u552e\u6307\u6570\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-15.0%<\/td>\n-20.8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>29<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17.00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.1%<\/td>\n0.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20.30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927GDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-9.0%<\/td>\n0.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2020\u5e745\u670825\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790   GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a5\u670825\u65e5\u81f329\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a5\u670818\u81f322\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u7ecf\u8fc7\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u629b\u552e\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5bf9\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u5927\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u5df2\u89e6\u5e95\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee599.75\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u6bcf\u5468\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u6570\u636e\u548cFOMC\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u662f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u9886\u57df\u3002   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