{"id":131693,"date":"2020-06-08T03:11:52","date_gmt":"2020-06-08T03:11:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=131693"},"modified":"2020-06-08T04:08:08","modified_gmt":"2020-06-08T04:08:08","slug":"20200608-%e6%af%8f%e5%91%a8%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20200608-%e6%af%8f%e5%91%a8%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90\/","title":{"rendered":"20200608 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2020<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a6\u67088\u65e5\u81f313\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e96.90\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u6269\u5927\u4e0a\u5468\u8dcc\u5e45\uff0c\u56e0\u5e02\u573a\u4e50\u89c2\u5730\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u9020\u6210\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u7684\u6700\u7cdf\u7cd5\u9636\u6bb5\u5df2\u7ecf\u7ed3\u675f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8f6c\u5411\u98ce\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u6b63\u9762\u6570\u636e\u4e3a\u4e3b\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u90e8\u5206\u6570\u636e\u900a\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u3002\u6839\u636e\u4f9b\u5e94\u7ba1\u7406\u534f\u4f1a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570(PMI)\u4ece\u5728\u524d\u768441.5\u98d9\u5347\u81f343.1\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f43.0\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f9b\u5e94\u7ba1\u7406\u534f\u4f1a(ISM)\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570 (PMI) \u4ece\u5148\u524d\u768441.8\u5347\u81f345.4\uff0c\u4e5f\u597d\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u4f30\u768445.4\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fdADP\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3\u4ece\u5148\u524d\u7684-19,557K\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u81f3-2,760K\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u4f30\u7684-9,000K\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3\u548c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u5747\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8fd9\u589e\u5f3a\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a1,877\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u76841,800\u4e07\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u7684\u5192\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u6c14\u5df2\u5927\u5e45\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u76ee\u524d\u5173\u6ce8\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7206\u53d1\u540e\u53cd\u5f39\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\uff0c\u8be5\u60c5\u7eea\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u629b\u552e\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u8f6c\u5411\u82f1\u9551\u548c\u6b27\u5143\u7b49\u98ce\u9669\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u4ecd\u6709\u7f13\u6162\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u7531\u4e8e\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u548c\u8d22\u653f\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u7ed9\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u80a1\u5e02\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u8fbe\u5230\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u70b9\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u6570\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u5728\u4e3b\u8981\u592e\u884c\u8868\u793a\u5c06\u4f1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u8d2d\u4e70\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u91d1\u878d\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u4ee5\u589e\u5f3a\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u507f\u4ed8\u80fd\u529b\u548c\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u95ee\u9898\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4e3a\u5e02\u573a\u63d0\u4f9b\u8bb8\u591a\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u5bf9\u6b64\u4ed6\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8d8b\u52bf\u5c06\u4f1a\u6301\u7eed\u4e2d\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4ecd\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u4ecd\u6709\u8bb8\u591a\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4eca\u5e74\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u9009\u4e3e\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6b64\u65f6\u4ecd\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u6709\u5173\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u5173\u7cfb\u4ee5\u53ca\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75ab\u82d7\u7814\u53d1\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143 (USDJPY) \u6c47\u7387\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a5109.84\u3002\u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u524d\u666f\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5bf9\u6b64\u523a\u6fc0\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5927\u5e45\u629b\u552e\u907f\u9669\u7684\u65e5\u5143\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4f4e\u8ff7\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u6839\u636e\u65e5\u672c\u5185\u9601\u5e9c\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e0a\u5b63\u5ea6\u65e5\u672c\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c(GDP)\u4e3a-0.6%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684-0.5%\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5927\u81e3\u897f\u6751\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u653f\u5e9c\u5c06\u96c6\u4e2d\u7cbe\u529b\u63a7\u5236\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u5927\u6d41\u884c\uff0c\u4ee5\u63a8\u52a8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (EURUSD) \u4e0a\u5468\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u65f6\u4e3a1.1292\u3002\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u725b\u5e02\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u800c\u9020\u6210\u7684\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u52a0\u5927\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u4ee5\u63d0\u632f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u4e5f\u6301\u7eed\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u660e\u663e\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u5176\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u7d27\u6025\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212(PEPP)\u89c4\u6a21\u4ece7,500\u4ebf\u6b27\u5143\u589e\u52a0\u81f31.35\u4e07\u4ebf\u6b27\u5143\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (GBPUSD) \u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u62a51.2717\u3002\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (GBPUSD) \u7684\u6574\u4f53\u725b\u5e02\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d2c\u503c\u800c\u9020\u6210\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c (Bank of England) \u8d1f\u8d23\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6267\u884c\u8463\u4e8b\u8868\u660e\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u5c06\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5b9e\u884c\u8d1f\u5229\u7387\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u5bf9\u6b64\u5bfc\u81f4\u82f1\u9551\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u5f3a\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u65e0\u6761\u4ef6\u8131\u6b27\u98ce\u9669\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u6709\u9650\u3002\u5728\u65e9\u524d\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u76df\u548c\u82f1\u56fd\u8c08\u5224\u4eba\u5458\u8868\u793a\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u786c\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u4ee5\u53ca\u82f1\u56fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u8be5\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u672a\u6765\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u91d1\u4ef7\u6574\u4f53\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u62a5\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81674.90\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u610f\u5916\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4ee4\u9ec4\u91d1\u5e02\u573a\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u632b\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40(Bureau of Labor Statistics)\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684<\/p>\n

-20,697K\u589e\u81f32,509K\uff0c\u8fdc\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 -8,000K\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4ece\u6b64\u524d\u768414.7%\u964d\u81f313.3%\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u4ecd\u6301\u4e50\u89c2\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5168\u7403\u80a1\u5e02\u66b4\u6da8\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6253\u538b\u907f\u9669\u5546\u54c1\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u3001\u5168\u7403\u592e\u884c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u3001\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u8d38\u6613\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u66f4\u591a\u91cd\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5982\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8bc4\u4f30\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
07:50<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672cGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.5%<\/td>\n-0.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdJOLTs\u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n5.750M<\/td>\n6.191M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
04:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f53\u5468API\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u53d8\u52a8(\u6876)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.500M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.1%<\/td>\n-0.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f53\u5468EIA\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u53d8\u52a8(\u6876)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n3.038M<\/td>\n-2.077M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
02:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9884\u6d4b<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
02:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
02:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.25%<\/td>\n0.25%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
02:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1,877K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdPPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.1%<\/td>\n-1.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdGDP\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-18.7%<\/td>\n-5.8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-15.0%<\/td>\n-4.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
01:00<\/p>\n

(13\u65e5)<\/td>\n

\u539f\u6cb9<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f53\u5468\u8d1d\u514b\u4f11\u65af\u77f3\u6cb9\u94bb\u4e95\u603b\u6570(\u53e3)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n206<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2020\u5e746\u67088\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790 GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a6\u67088\u65e5\u81f313\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a6\u67081\u81f36\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e96.90\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u6269\u5927\u4e0a\u5468\u8dcc\u5e45\uff0c\u56e0\u5e02\u573a\u4e50\u89c2\u5730\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u9020\u6210\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u7684\u6700\u7cdf\u7cd5\u9636\u6bb5\u5df2\u7ecf\u7ed3\u675f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8f6c\u5411\u98ce\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u9650\u3002   \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u6b63\u9762\u6570\u636e\u4e3a\u4e3b\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u90e8\u5206\u6570\u636e\u900a\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u3002\u6839\u636e\u4f9b\u5e94\u7ba1\u7406\u534f\u4f1a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570(PMI)\u4ece\u5728\u524d\u768441.5\u98d9\u5347\u81f343.1\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f43.0\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f9b\u5e94\u7ba1\u7406\u534f\u4f1a(ISM)\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570 (PMI) \u4ece\u5148\u524d\u768441.8\u5347\u81f345.4\uff0c\u4e5f\u597d\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u4f30\u768445.4\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fdADP\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3\u4ece\u5148\u524d\u7684-19,557K\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u81f3-2,760K\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u4f30\u7684-9,000K\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3\u548c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u5747\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8fd9\u589e\u5f3a\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a1,877\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u76841,800\u4e07\u4eba\u3002   \u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u7684\u5192\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u6c14\u5df2\u5927\u5e45\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u76ee\u524d\u5173\u6ce8\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7206\u53d1\u540e\u53cd\u5f39\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\uff0c\u8be5\u60c5\u7eea\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u629b\u552e\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u8f6c\u5411\u82f1\u9551\u548c\u6b27\u5143\u7b49\u98ce\u9669\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u4ecd\u6709\u7f13\u6162\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u7531\u4e8e\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u548c\u8d22\u653f\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u7ed9\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u80a1\u5e02\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u8fbe\u5230\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u70b9\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u6570\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u5728\u4e3b\u8981\u592e\u884c\u8868\u793a\u5c06\u4f1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u8d2d\u4e70\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u91d1\u878d\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u4ee5\u589e\u5f3a\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u507f\u4ed8\u80fd\u529b\u548c\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u95ee\u9898\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4e3a\u5e02\u573a\u63d0\u4f9b\u8bb8\u591a\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u5bf9\u6b64\u4ed6\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8d8b\u52bf\u5c06\u4f1a\u6301\u7eed\u4e2d\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4ecd\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u4ecd\u6709\u8bb8\u591a\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4eca\u5e74\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u9009\u4e3e\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6b64\u65f6\u4ecd\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u6709\u5173\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u5173\u7cfb\u4ee5\u53ca\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75ab\u82d7\u7814\u53d1\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002 \u00a0 \u65e5\u672c \u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143 (USDJPY) \u6c47\u7387\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a5109.84\u3002\u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u524d\u666f\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5bf9\u6b64\u523a\u6fc0\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5927\u5e45\u629b\u552e\u907f\u9669\u7684\u65e5\u5143\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4f4e\u8ff7\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u6839\u636e\u65e5\u672c\u5185\u9601\u5e9c\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e0a\u5b63\u5ea6\u65e5\u672c\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c(GDP)\u4e3a-0.6%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684-0.5%\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5927\u81e3\u897f\u6751\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u653f\u5e9c\u5c06\u96c6\u4e2d\u7cbe\u529b\u63a7\u5236\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u5927\u6d41\u884c\uff0c\u4ee5\u63a8\u52a8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002   \u6b27\u6d32 \u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (EURUSD) \u4e0a\u5468\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u65f6\u4e3a1.1292\u3002\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u725b\u5e02\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u800c\u9020\u6210\u7684\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u52a0\u5927\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u4ee5\u63d0\u632f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u4e5f\u6301\u7eed\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u660e\u663e\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u5176\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u7d27\u6025\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212(PEPP)\u89c4\u6a21\u4ece7,500\u4ebf\u6b27\u5143\u589e\u52a0\u81f31.35\u4e07\u4ebf\u6b27\u5143\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u3002   \u82f1\u56fd \u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (GBPUSD) \u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u62a51.2717\u3002\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (GBPUSD) \u7684\u6574\u4f53\u725b\u5e02\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d2c\u503c\u800c\u9020\u6210\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c (Bank of England) \u8d1f\u8d23\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6267\u884c\u8463\u4e8b\u8868\u660e\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u5c06\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5b9e\u884c\u8d1f\u5229\u7387\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u5bf9\u6b64\u5bfc\u81f4\u82f1\u9551\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u5f3a\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u65e0\u6761\u4ef6\u8131\u6b27\u98ce\u9669\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u6709\u9650\u3002\u5728\u65e9\u524d\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u76df\u548c\u82f1\u56fd\u8c08\u5224\u4eba\u5458\u8868\u793a\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u786c\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u4ee5\u53ca\u82f1\u56fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u8be5\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u672a\u6765\u8d70\u52bf\u3002 \u00a0 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a6\u67081\u65e5\u81f36\u65e5 \u9ec4\u91d1 \u4e0a\u5468\u91d1\u4ef7\u6574\u4f53\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u62a5\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81674.90\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u610f\u5916\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4ee4\u9ec4\u91d1\u5e02\u573a\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u632b\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40(Bureau of Labor Statistics)\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 -20,697K\u589e\u81f32,509K\uff0c\u8fdc\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 -8,000K\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4ece\u6b64\u524d\u768414.7%\u964d\u81f313.3%\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u4ecd\u6301\u4e50\u89c2\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5168\u7403\u80a1\u5e02\u66b4\u6da8\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6253\u538b\u907f\u9669\u5546\u54c1\u3002   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