{"id":136106,"date":"2020-07-06T04:05:14","date_gmt":"2020-07-06T04:05:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=136106"},"modified":"2020-07-06T04:05:14","modified_gmt":"2020-07-06T04:05:14","slug":"20200706-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20200706-4\/","title":{"rendered":"20200706 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2020<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a7\u67086\u65e5\u81f37\u670810\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>29<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u6c47\u7387\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u8dcc\u81f3\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u4f4e\u70b9\u540e\u6536\u590d\u4e86\u90e8\u5206\u5931\u5730\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5728\u5168\u7403\u5371\u673a\u52a0\u5267\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4f5c\u4e3a\u907f\u9669\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u5927\u589e\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u9886\u57df\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u6570\u636e\u7ed9\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u6839\u636e\u5168\u7f8e\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u7ecf\u7eaa\u4eba\u534f\u4f1a(National Association of Realtors)\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f85\u5b8c\u6210\u623f\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u6570\u636e\u4e3a44.3%\uff0c\u51fa\u4e4e\u610f\u6599\u5730\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4ec5\u4e3a18.9%\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u906d\u53d7\u75c5\u6bd2\u91cd\u521b\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u884c\u4e1a\u51fa\u73b0\u5f3a\u52b2\u590d\u82cf\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u59826\u6708CB\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u4e5f\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u7a0d\u65e9\u63d0\u632f\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0d\u5e78\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u672a\u80fd\u5ef6\u7eed\u6da8\u52bf\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d22\u957f\u53f2\u8482\u6587\u2022\u52aa\u94a6(Steven Mnuchin)\u548c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u2022\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u6709\u5173\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u672a\u6765\u7684\u9e3d\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\u3002\u5728\u4e24\u4efd\u58f0\u660e\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u90fd\u540c\u610f\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u53d7\u5230\u75ab\u60c5\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5e94\u5728\u4e0d\u4e45\u7684\u5c06\u6765\u5b9e\u65bd\u989d\u5916\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6551\u52a9\u8ba1\u5212\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u57287\u6708\u5e95\u83b7\u5f97\u56fd\u4f1a\u6279\u51c6\u540e\u624d\u4f1a\u88ab\u5b9e\u65bd\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u6709\u610f\u63a8\u51fa\u989d\u5916\u7684\u6551\u52a9\u8ba1\u5212\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u629b\u552e\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9003\u5f80\u5176\u4ed6\u8d27\u5e01\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u672c\u5468\u4ecd\u6210\u529f\u4ee5\u8f83\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u6536\u76d8\uff0c\u56e0\u975e\u519c\u62a5\u544a\u548c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u6570\u636e\u8d85\u51fa\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5e76\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u597d\u8f6c\u7684\u826f\u597d\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u76ee\u524d\u4ecd\u5728\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u75ab\u60c5\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u5c06\u51b3\u5b9a\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u8d70\u5411\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u50ac\u5316\u5242\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u62a5107.50\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u523a\u6fc0\u65b9\u6848\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u62c9\u4f4e\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u6709\u9650\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u4ecd\u5b58\u6709\u672a\u77e5\u6570\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u4e0a\u5468\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u76d8\u6574\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u62a51.1245\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0a\u534a\u6bb5\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6b27\u76df\u5ba3\u5e03\u5ef6\u957f\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u6e38\u5ba2\u7684\u7b7e\u8bc1\u7981\u4ee4\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u6b27\u5143\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u629b\u552e\u6301\u6709\u7684\u6b27\u5143\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0d\u4e45\u5c06\u5bf9\u6b27\u76df\u91c7\u53d6\u62a5\u590d\u884c\u52a8\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u6b27\u76df\u5730\u533a\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570(CPI)\u3001\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570(PMI)\u548c\u5fb7\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u53d8\u5316\u63a8\u52a8\u6b27\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u8d70\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(GBP\/USD)\u6301\u7eed\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5728\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u4ee51.2480\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u4e00\u5468\u91cc\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u5927\u5e45\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u800c\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u4e5f\u51fa\u73b0\u660e\u663eV\u5f62\u53cd\u5f39\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6b27\u76df\u4e0e\u82f1\u56fd\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u7684\u50f5\u5c40\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u5728\u8131\u6b27\u540e\u8d38\u6613\u6761\u6b3e\u7684\u8c08\u5224\u4e2d\u90fd\u4e0d\u613f\u201c\u540e\u9000\u201d\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u6ca1\u6709\u8131\u6b27\u534f\u8bae\u8fbe\u6210\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u9996\u76f8\u9c8d\u91cc\u65af\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a\u4ecd\u575a\u6301\u4e0d\u5ef6\u957f\u8131\u6b27\u8fc7\u6e21\u671f\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u53cc\u65b9\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u8c08\u5224\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>29<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u6210\u529f\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e0a\u6da8\u8d70\u52bf\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u559c\u5fe7\u53c2\u534a\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u62a5\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81775.00\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u7ee7\u7eed\u9886\u7740\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5\u4f8b\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6ce2\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u6765\u81ea\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u6291\u5236\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u524d\u666f\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9003\u5411\u98ce\u9669\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u75c5\u6bd2\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6b63\u5728\u5931\u63a7\u5730\u8513\u5ef6\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u521d\u671f\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\u548c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\u7b49\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5c06\u51b3\u5b9a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0e\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u4f5c\u6218\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4e5f\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u60c5\u51b5\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>7\u67086\u65e5\u81f37\u670810\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5efa\u7b51\u4e1aPMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n47.0<\/td>\n28.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n50.0<\/td>\n45.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
12:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u4e03\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.25%<\/td>\n0.25%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
12:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u5de5\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n10.0%<\/td>\n-17.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdJOLTs\u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n4.850M<\/td>\n5.046M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927IVEY\u5b63\u8c03\u540ePMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n39.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1,378K<\/td>\n1,427K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdPPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.4%<\/td>\n0.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u52a8(\u4eba) (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n800.0K<\/td>\n289.6K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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