{"id":145164,"date":"2020-09-07T06:15:27","date_gmt":"2020-09-07T06:15:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=145164"},"modified":"2020-09-07T06:15:46","modified_gmt":"2020-09-07T06:15:46","slug":"20200907-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20200907-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20200907 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2020<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a9\u67087\u65e5\u81f31\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>31<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e00\u7bee\u5b506\u5927\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5df2\u7ecf\u6210\u529f\u5730\u4ece\u4f4e\u70b9\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4ee592.75\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u603b\u4f53\u4e0a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u53c2\u5dee\u4e0d\u9f50\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7ed3\u679c\u8db3\u4ee5\u652f\u6491\u7f8e\u5143\u5e76\u9632\u6b62\u518d\u6b21\u4e0b\u6ed1\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c8\u6708\u4efdISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4ece54.2\u4e0a\u5347\u81f356.0\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4ece58.1\u4e0b\u964d\u81f356.9\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u5173\u952e\u884c\u4e1a\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5408\u5e76\u540e\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u8db3\u4ee5\u7f13\u89e3\u5e02\u573a\u538b\u529b\u3002\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5c31\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6539\u5584\u4e5f\u4e3a\u7f8e\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u5b89\u6170\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u90e8\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u7533\u8bf7\u7d22\u8d54\u4eba\u6570\u7684\u201c\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u201d\u6570\u636e\u51cf\u5c11\u81f381.8\u4e07\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768495\u4e07\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6311\u6218\u8005\u88c1\u5458\u4eba\u6570\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86115.762K\uff0c\u4f18\u4e8e\u4e4b\u524d\u7684262.649K\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u5207\u90fd\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u5468\u4e94\u7684\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd8\u6708\u4efd\u589e\u52a0\u4e861371\u4e07\u4e2a\u5de5\u4f5c\u5c97\u4f4d\uff0c\u7565\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u76841400K\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4ece10.2\uff05\u63d0\u9ad8\u52308.4\uff05\uff0c\u8be5\u6570\u636e\u8fd8\u8db3\u4ee5\u7ee7\u7eed\u652f\u6491\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u5916\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u65e5\u76ca\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u8c28\u614e\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u548c\u5bf9\u770b\u8dcc\u62bc\u6ce8\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4ecd\u7136\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u8fd9\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u6f5c\u529b\u3002\u6839\u636e\u6700\u65b0\u52a8\u6001\uff0c\u56fd\u52a1\u537f\u8fc8\u514b\u00b7\u5e9e\u57f9\uff08Mike Pompeo\uff09\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u9ad8\u7ea7\u5916\u4ea4\u5b98\u9700\u8981\u4e8b\u5148\u83b7\u5f97\u8bb8\u53ef\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u8bbf\u95ee\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u5b66\u6821\u56ed\uff0c\u4e0e\u5f53\u5730\u5b98\u5458\u4f1a\u9762\u6216\u5728\u4f7f\u9986\u8303\u56f4\u5916\u7ec4\u7ec7\u8d85\u8fc750\u4eba\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u6700\u8fd1\u56e0\u95f4\u8c0d\u7f6a\u6307\u63a7\u8feb\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u9a7b\u4f11\u65af\u6566\u9886\u4e8b\u9986\u5173\u95ed\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6b64\u4e3e\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6076\u5316\u4e86\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u5728\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c1a\u672a\u4ece\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u4e2d\u6062\u590d\u8fc7\u6765\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5927\u5b66\u5065\u5eb7\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u5468\u4e94\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5230\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u6b7b\u4ea1\u5c06\u8fbe\u523041\u4e07\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u62d2\u7edd\u4e0e\u4e16\u754c\u536b\u751f\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6709\u5173\u7684\u75ab\u82d7\u7814\u53d1\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u6d88\u606f\u4e5f\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u6c14\u6c1b\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u73b0\u5728\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u52a8\u6001\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u4e2d\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u66f4\u591a\u65b0\u95fb\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u8fd8\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5065\u5eb7\u72b6\u51b5\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ece\u5176\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u6574\u4f53\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4ee5106.05\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002 \u7531\u4e8e\u5927\u591a\u6570\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u90fd\u504f\u5411\u6b63\u503c\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u603b\u4f53\u4e0a\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002 7\u6708\u4efd\u5de5\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u589e\u957f\u4e868\uff05\uff0c\u800c\u96f6\u552e\u989d\u4e5f\u589e\u957f\u4e861\uff05\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e5f\u8bbe\u6cd5\u907f\u514d\u6536\u7f29\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3aPMI\u4ece45.4\u7565\u5fae\u4e0b\u964d\u81f345.0\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1.1836\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u76f8\u5bf9\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\u7684\u6570\u636e\u548c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u9e3d\u6d3e\u8bc4\u8bba\u5bfc\u81f4\u6b27\u5143\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u5927\u91cf\u629b\u552e\u3002 \u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4ece53.0\u4e0b\u964d\u81f352.2\uff0c\u800c\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u4e5f\u4ece0.2\uff05\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3-0.2\uff05\u3002 \u5fb7\u56fd\u7684\u96f6\u552e\u989d\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u7ed9\u4eba\u7559\u4e0b\u6df1\u523b\u7684\u5370\u8c61\uff0c\u7ed9\u4e86\u5f31\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u8bfb\u6570\u4e3a-0.9%\uff0c\u9884\u671f\u4e3a0.5\uff05\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6b63\u662f\u9e3d\u6d3e\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\u6700\u7ec8\u5bfc\u81f4\u6b27\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u6025\u5267\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002 \u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u83f2\u5229\u666e\u00b7\u83b1\u6069\uff08Philip Lane\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u4f4d\u4e8e1.20\u5173\u53e3\u786e\u5b9e\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\u201d\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u592e\u884c\u5bf9\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u5347\u503c\u611f\u5230\u4e0d\u5b89\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(GBP\/USD)\u603b\u4f53\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u672b\u9650\u5236\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4ee51.3080\u6536\u76d8\u3002 \u5728\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u5927\u591a\u504f\u5411\u8d1f\u6570\u3002 \u82f1\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4ece55.3\u964d\u81f355.2\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u7efc\u5408\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\u4e5f\u4ece60.3\u964d\u81f359.1\uff0c\u800c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f358.8\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768460.1\u3002 \u5728\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u524d\u666f\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5bb9\u4e50\u89c2\u3002 \u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u9884\u8ba1\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c06\u6bd46\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u9884\u671f\u51fa\u73b0\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u6536\u7f29\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>31<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e3a\u91cd\u65b0\u83b7\u5f97\u63a7\u5236\u800c\u82e6\u82e6\u6323\u624e\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u4e0a\u6574\u4e2a\u661f\u671f\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81933.48\u7f8e\u5143\u3002 \u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u53cd\u5f39\u52bf\u5934\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9752\u7750\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5bf9\u907f\u9669\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u6b63\u5728\u4e0b\u964d\u3002 \u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u98d9\u5347\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u548c\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u7968\u671f\u8d27\u4e5f\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u8fd9\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u9a71\u4f7f\u9700\u6c42\u4ece\u65e0\u5229\u606f\u7684\u9ec4\u8272\u91d1\u5c5e\u4e2d\u64a4\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u5e93\u5b58\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8bc4\u4f30\u4f9b\u5e94\u6c34\u5e73\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u6f5c\u5728\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u786e\u5b9a\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u4ee5\u53ca\u8bf8\u5982CPI\u7b49\u5173\u952e\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u52a8\u6001\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u786e\u5b9a\u6bcf\u79cd\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9\u67087\u65e5\u81f311\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
N\/A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
07:50<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672cGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-8.1%<\/td>\n-0.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdJOLTs\u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a (\u4e03\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n6.000M<\/td>\n5.889M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.25%<\/td>\n0.25%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19:45<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.00%<\/td>\n0.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19:45<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n838K<\/td>\n881K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdPPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.2%<\/td>\n0.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdGDP\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-21.7%<\/td>\n-1.7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e03\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n5.0%<\/td>\n11.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2020\u5e749\u67087\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790   GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a9\u67087\u65e5\u81f31\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a8\u670831\u81f39\u67081\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e00\u7bee\u5b506\u5927\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5df2\u7ecf\u6210\u529f\u5730\u4ece\u4f4e\u70b9\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4ee592.75\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u603b\u4f53\u4e0a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u53c2\u5dee\u4e0d\u9f50\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7ed3\u679c\u8db3\u4ee5\u652f\u6491\u7f8e\u5143\u5e76\u9632\u6b62\u518d\u6b21\u4e0b\u6ed1\u3002   \u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c8\u6708\u4efdISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4ece54.2\u4e0a\u5347\u81f356.0\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4ece58.1\u4e0b\u964d\u81f356.9\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u5173\u952e\u884c\u4e1a\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5408\u5e76\u540e\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u8db3\u4ee5\u7f13\u89e3\u5e02\u573a\u538b\u529b\u3002\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5c31\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6539\u5584\u4e5f\u4e3a\u7f8e\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u5b89\u6170\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u90e8\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u7533\u8bf7\u7d22\u8d54\u4eba\u6570\u7684\u201c\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u201d\u6570\u636e\u51cf\u5c11\u81f381.8\u4e07\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768495\u4e07\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6311\u6218\u8005\u88c1\u5458\u4eba\u6570\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86115.762K\uff0c\u4f18\u4e8e\u4e4b\u524d\u7684262.649K\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u5207\u90fd\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u5468\u4e94\u7684\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd8\u6708\u4efd\u589e\u52a0\u4e861371\u4e07\u4e2a\u5de5\u4f5c\u5c97\u4f4d\uff0c\u7565\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u76841400K\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4ece10.2\uff05\u63d0\u9ad8\u52308.4\uff05\uff0c\u8be5\u6570\u636e\u8fd8\u8db3\u4ee5\u7ee7\u7eed\u652f\u6491\u5e02\u573a\u3002   \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u5916\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u65e5\u76ca\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u8c28\u614e\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u548c\u5bf9\u770b\u8dcc\u62bc\u6ce8\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4ecd\u7136\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u8fd9\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u6f5c\u529b\u3002\u6839\u636e\u6700\u65b0\u52a8\u6001\uff0c\u56fd\u52a1\u537f\u8fc8\u514b\u00b7\u5e9e\u57f9\uff08Mike Pompeo\uff09\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u9ad8\u7ea7\u5916\u4ea4\u5b98\u9700\u8981\u4e8b\u5148\u83b7\u5f97\u8bb8\u53ef\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u8bbf\u95ee\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u5b66\u6821\u56ed\uff0c\u4e0e\u5f53\u5730\u5b98\u5458\u4f1a\u9762\u6216\u5728\u4f7f\u9986\u8303\u56f4\u5916\u7ec4\u7ec7\u8d85\u8fc750\u4eba\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u6700\u8fd1\u56e0\u95f4\u8c0d\u7f6a\u6307\u63a7\u8feb\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u9a7b\u4f11\u65af\u6566\u9886\u4e8b\u9986\u5173\u95ed\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6b64\u4e3e\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6076\u5316\u4e86\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u5728\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c1a\u672a\u4ece\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u4e2d\u6062\u590d\u8fc7\u6765\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5927\u5b66\u5065\u5eb7\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u5468\u4e94\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5230\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u6b7b\u4ea1\u5c06\u8fbe\u523041\u4e07\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u62d2\u7edd\u4e0e\u4e16\u754c\u536b\u751f\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6709\u5173\u7684\u75ab\u82d7\u7814\u53d1\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u6d88\u606f\u4e5f\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u6c14\u6c1b\u3002   \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u73b0\u5728\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u52a8\u6001\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u4e2d\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u66f4\u591a\u65b0\u95fb\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u8fd8\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5065\u5eb7\u72b6\u51b5\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ece\u5176\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u6765\u3002 \u00a0\u00a0 \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u6574\u4f53\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4ee5106.05\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002 \u7531\u4e8e\u5927\u591a\u6570\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u90fd\u504f\u5411\u6b63\u503c\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u603b\u4f53\u4e0a\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002 7\u6708\u4efd\u5de5\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u589e\u957f\u4e868\uff05\uff0c\u800c\u96f6\u552e\u989d\u4e5f\u589e\u957f\u4e861\uff05\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e5f\u8bbe\u6cd5\u907f\u514d\u6536\u7f29\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3aPMI\u4ece45.4\u7565\u5fae\u4e0b\u964d\u81f345.0\u3002   \u6b27\u6d32 \u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1.1836\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u76f8\u5bf9\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\u7684\u6570\u636e\u548c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u9e3d\u6d3e\u8bc4\u8bba\u5bfc\u81f4\u6b27\u5143\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u5927\u91cf\u629b\u552e\u3002 \u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4ece53.0\u4e0b\u964d\u81f352.2\uff0c\u800c\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u4e5f\u4ece0.2\uff05\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3-0.2\uff05\u3002 \u5fb7\u56fd\u7684\u96f6\u552e\u989d\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u7ed9\u4eba\u7559\u4e0b\u6df1\u523b\u7684\u5370\u8c61\uff0c\u7ed9\u4e86\u5f31\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u8bfb\u6570\u4e3a-0.9%\uff0c\u9884\u671f\u4e3a0.5\uff05\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6b63\u662f\u9e3d\u6d3e\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\u6700\u7ec8\u5bfc\u81f4\u6b27\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u6025\u5267\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002 \u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u83f2\u5229\u666e\u00b7\u83b1\u6069\uff08Philip Lane\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u4f4d\u4e8e1.20\u5173\u53e3\u786e\u5b9e\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\u201d\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u592e\u884c\u5bf9\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u5347\u503c\u611f\u5230\u4e0d\u5b89\u3002   \u82f1\u56fd \u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(GBP\/USD)\u603b\u4f53\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u672b\u9650\u5236\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4ee51.3080\u6536\u76d8\u3002 \u5728\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u5927\u591a\u504f\u5411\u8d1f\u6570\u3002 \u82f1\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4ece55.3\u964d\u81f355.2\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u7efc\u5408\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\u4e5f\u4ece60.3\u964d\u81f359.1\uff0c\u800c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f358.8\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768460.1\u3002 \u5728\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u524d\u666f\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5bb9\u4e50\u89c2\u3002 \u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u9884\u8ba1\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c06\u6bd46\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u9884\u671f\u51fa\u73b0\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u6536\u7f29\u3002 \u00a0 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a8\u670831\u81f39\u67081\u65e5 \u9ec4\u91d1 \u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e3a\u91cd\u65b0\u83b7\u5f97\u63a7\u5236\u800c\u82e6\u82e6\u6323\u624e\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u4e0a\u6574\u4e2a\u661f\u671f\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81933.48\u7f8e\u5143\u3002 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