{"id":153798,"date":"2020-11-30T06:53:27","date_gmt":"2020-11-30T06:53:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=153798"},"modified":"2020-11-30T06:53:27","modified_gmt":"2020-11-30T06:53:27","slug":"20201130-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20201130-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20201130 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2020<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>30<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a11\u670830\u65e5\u81f312\u67084\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>23<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>27<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5151\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u5927\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u6301\u7eed\u6269\u5927\u8dcc\u5e45\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4ee591.77\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u7ed3\u675f\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u53c2\u5dee\u4e0d\u9f50\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u7f8e\u56fd\u65b0\u7684\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5\u4f8b\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4ecd\u7136\u75b2\u8f6f\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u4e5f\u4e3a\u9ad8\u98ce\u9669\u5e02\u573a\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7b49\u907f\u9669\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5728\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c11\u6708\u4efd\u79c1\u8425\u90e8\u95e8\u7684\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\u4ee4\u4eba\u5370\u8c61\u6df1\u523b\u3002 Markit \u670d\u52a1\u4e1a PMI\u4ece56.9\u4e0a\u5347\u81f357.7\uff0c\u800c\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4ece53.4\u4e0a\u5347\u81f356.7\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u5c31\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u622a\u81f311\u670820\u65e5\u5f53\u5468\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u4ece74.2\u4e07\u4e0a\u5347\u81f377.8\u4e07\u3002\u8be5\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8bc1\u5b9e\uff0c\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u590d\u82cf\u505c\u6ede\u4e86\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\uff08GDP\uff09\u4e5f\u5f31\uff0c\u8bfb\u6570\u4e3a33.1\uff05\uff0c\u800c\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u9884\u671f\u4e3a33.2\uff05\u3002\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5dde\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570\u4e5f\u8dcc\u81f376.9\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768477.0\u3002\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5e74\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4ece1.6\uff05\u964d\u81f31.4\uff05\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e5f\u5bf9\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u65bd\u52a0\u538b\u529b\u3002\u6839\u636eFOMC\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\uff0cFOMC\u6210\u5458\u89c1\u8bc1\u4e86\u603b\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u8ba4\u4e3a\u9700\u8981\u91c7\u53d6\u66f4\u591a\u884c\u52a8\u624d\u80fd\u4f7f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u56de\u5230\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u59d4\u5458\u4eec\u8fd8\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e86\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u9009\u62e9\u4ee5\u652f\u6301\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u589e\u52a0\u8d2d\u4e70\u6b65\u4f10\u6216\u5c06\u91cd\u70b9\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u66f4\u957f\u7684\u503a\u5238\u671f\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u968f\u7740\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u7ee7\u7eed\u652f\u6301\u98ce\u9669\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u8dcc\u800c\u5e02\u573a\u5728\u7b49\u5f85\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u50ac\u5316\u5242\u548c\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u5176\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e5f\u5c06\u91cd\u70b9\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u7f8e\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u5728\u4e0a\u6574\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e104.08\u3002 \u5728\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u672b\u768411\u6708\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u672a\u80fd\u52a8\u6447\u5e02\u573a\u3002 \u4e1c\u4eac\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u6d88\u8d39\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e860.7\uff05\uff0c\u6b64\u524d10\u6708\u4efd\u4e0b\u8dcc0.5\uff05\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u653f\u5e9c\u5ba3\u5e03\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u523a\u6fc0\u653f\u7b56\u5e2e\u52a9\u65e5\u5143\u56de\u5347\u3002 \u83c5\u4e49\u4f1f \uff08Yoshihide Suga\uff09\u5e26\u9886\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5c06\u628a\u5176\u53d7\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u8865\u507f\u8ba1\u5212\u5ef6\u957f\u81f32\u6708\u3002 \u8be5\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u622a\u6b62\u65e5\u671f\u539f\u4e3a12\u6708\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6709\u5404\u79cd\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6570\u636e\u548c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u4e25\u5cfb\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4ecd\u5728\u98de\u6da8\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u4ea4\u6613\u65f6\u6bb5\u4ee51.1961\u4ef7\u683c\u7ed3\u675f\u3002 \u91c7\u53d6\u5c01\u9501\u63aa\u65bd\u540e\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u53d7\u5230\u6253\u51fb\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI\u4ece46.9\u964d\u81f341.3\u3002 \u6b27\u5143\u533a\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6d3b\u52a8\u56e0\u6cd5\u56fd\u6536\u7f29\u800c\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u800c\u5fb7\u56fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u62a5\u544a\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u7a33\u5065\u589e\u957f\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5fb7\u56fd\u7684GDP\u5448\u6b63\u6570\uff0c\u4f46\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u4e0b\u6ed1\u5374\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\u3002 Ifo\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570\u4ece92.5\u4e0b\u964d\u81f390.7\u3002 \u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u5ba1\u67e5\u548c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u4e5f\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u4e25\u5cfb\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u4fdd\u6301\u4e86\u5f39\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(GBP\/USD)\u4e5f\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\u5e76\u5728\u4e0a\u6574\u5468\u5185\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4ee50.3221\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u7ed3\u675f\u4e86\u5468\u4e94\u5e02\u573a\u3002 \u5728\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u60c5\u51b5\u53c2\u5dee\u4e0d\u9f50\uff0c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6d3b\u52a8\u56de\u5347\uff0c\u800c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u840e\u7f29\u3002 \u82f1\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\u4ece53.3\u5347\u81f355.2\uff0c\u800c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\u4ece52.3\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f345.8\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u6536\u5230\u5c01\u9501\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u6253\u51fb\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u5bf9\u5373\u5c06\u8fbe\u6210\u8131\u6b27\u534f\u8bae\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u4ee5\u53ca\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u4ecd\u6536\u5230\u652f\u6491\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>23<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>27<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u7ee7\u7eed\u627f\u53d7\u5de8\u5927\u538b\u529b\u5e76\u4e14\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u6536\u4e8e\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81786.80\u7f8e\u5143\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u5bf9\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6700\u5927\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5\u4f8b\u603b\u6570\u5df2\u8d85\u8fc76000\u4e07\uff0c\u4f46\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u53d1\u5c55\u5bf9\u98ce\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u4ecd\u4fdd\u6301\u6709\u5229\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5bfc\u81f4\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u504f\u79bb\u907f\u9669\u5e02\u573a\u3002 \u4e0d\u4ec5\u82f1\u56fd\u7684\u836f\u54c1\u548c\u4fdd\u5065\u4ea7\u54c1\u76d1\u7ba1\u673a\u6784\uff08MHRA\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u836f\u54c1\u76d1\u7ba1\u673a\u6784\u90fd\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u4e89\u53d6\u6279\u51c6\u8f89\u745eBioNtech\uff0cModerna\u548cAstraZeneca\u7684\u9876\u7ea7\u75ab\u82d7\u3002 \u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u514b\u670d\u8fd9\u4e00\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u671f\u671b\u6b63\u5728\u4e0a\u5347\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u767d\u5bab\u7684\u5e73\u7a33\u8fc7\u6e21\u4e5f\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u98ce\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u63a8\u4f4e\u4e86\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a11<\/u><\/strong>\u670830<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f312<\/u><\/strong>\u67084<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u75ab\u82d7\u4ee5\u53ca\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u5173\u952e\u6570\u636e\u5982\u975e\u519c\u7b49\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u786e\u5b9a\u6bcf\u79cd\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>30<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>30<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:00<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b98\u65b9\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n51.5<\/td>\n51.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927GDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u6210\u5c4b\u7b7e\u7ea6\u9500\u552e\u6307\u6570\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.0%<\/td>\n-2.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:45<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u8d22\u65b0\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n53.5<\/td>\n53.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.10%<\/td>\n0.10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:55<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n57.9<\/td>\n57.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:55<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u5931\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u52a8 (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n10K<\/td>\n-35K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n55.2<\/td>\n55.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.2%<\/td>\n-0.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927GDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.9%<\/td>\n1.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u53d1\u8868\u8bc1\u8bcd\u9648\u8ff0<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n57.9<\/td>\n59.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>2<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
01:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
08:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9aGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n2.5%<\/td>\n-7.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
08:30<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u8d22\u65b0\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n53.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:15<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdADP\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\uff08\u5341\u4e00\u6708\uff09<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n400K<\/td>\n365K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u53d1\u8868\u8bc1\u8bcd\u9648\u8ff0<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u7efc\u5408PMI\u6307\u6570 (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n47.4<\/td>\n47.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n45.8<\/td>\n45.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n770K<\/td>\n778K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n56.0<\/td>\n56.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
08:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.6%<\/td>\n-1.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5efa\u7b51\u4e1aPMI (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n52.0<\/td>\n53.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3\u53d8\u52a8 (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n500K<\/td>\n638K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387 (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n6.8%<\/td>\n6.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u52a8(\u4eba) (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n27.5K<\/td>\n83.6K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2020\u5e7411\u670830\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790   GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a11\u670830\u65e5\u81f312\u67084\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a11\u670823\u81f327\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5151\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u5927\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u6301\u7eed\u6269\u5927\u8dcc\u5e45\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4ee591.77\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u7ed3\u675f\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u53c2\u5dee\u4e0d\u9f50\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u7f8e\u56fd\u65b0\u7684\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5\u4f8b\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4ecd\u7136\u75b2\u8f6f\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u4e5f\u4e3a\u9ad8\u98ce\u9669\u5e02\u573a\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7b49\u907f\u9669\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u3002   \u5728\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c11\u6708\u4efd\u79c1\u8425\u90e8\u95e8\u7684\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\u4ee4\u4eba\u5370\u8c61\u6df1\u523b\u3002 Markit \u670d\u52a1\u4e1a PMI\u4ece56.9\u4e0a\u5347\u81f357.7\uff0c\u800c\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4ece53.4\u4e0a\u5347\u81f356.7\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u5c31\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u622a\u81f311\u670820\u65e5\u5f53\u5468\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u4ece74.2\u4e07\u4e0a\u5347\u81f377.8\u4e07\u3002\u8be5\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8bc1\u5b9e\uff0c\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u590d\u82cf\u505c\u6ede\u4e86\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\uff08GDP\uff09\u4e5f\u5f31\uff0c\u8bfb\u6570\u4e3a33.1\uff05\uff0c\u800c\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u9884\u671f\u4e3a33.2\uff05\u3002\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5dde\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570\u4e5f\u8dcc\u81f376.9\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768477.0\u3002\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5e74\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4ece1.6\uff05\u964d\u81f31.4\uff05\u3002   \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e5f\u5bf9\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u65bd\u52a0\u538b\u529b\u3002\u6839\u636eFOMC\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\uff0cFOMC\u6210\u5458\u89c1\u8bc1\u4e86\u603b\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u8ba4\u4e3a\u9700\u8981\u91c7\u53d6\u66f4\u591a\u884c\u52a8\u624d\u80fd\u4f7f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u56de\u5230\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u59d4\u5458\u4eec\u8fd8\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e86\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u9009\u62e9\u4ee5\u652f\u6301\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u589e\u52a0\u8d2d\u4e70\u6b65\u4f10\u6216\u5c06\u91cd\u70b9\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u66f4\u957f\u7684\u503a\u5238\u671f\u9650\u3002   \u968f\u7740\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u7ee7\u7eed\u652f\u6301\u98ce\u9669\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u8dcc\u800c\u5e02\u573a\u5728\u7b49\u5f85\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u50ac\u5316\u5242\u548c\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u5176\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e5f\u5c06\u91cd\u70b9\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u7f8e\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u65b9\u5411\u3002 \u00a0 \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u5728\u4e0a\u6574\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e104.08\u3002 \u5728\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u672b\u768411\u6708\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u672a\u80fd\u52a8\u6447\u5e02\u573a\u3002 \u4e1c\u4eac\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u6d88\u8d39\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e860.7\uff05\uff0c\u6b64\u524d10\u6708\u4efd\u4e0b\u8dcc0.5\uff05\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u653f\u5e9c\u5ba3\u5e03\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u523a\u6fc0\u653f\u7b56\u5e2e\u52a9\u65e5\u5143\u56de\u5347\u3002 \u83c5\u4e49\u4f1f \uff08Yoshihide Suga\uff09\u5e26\u9886\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5c06\u628a\u5176\u53d7\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u8865\u507f\u8ba1\u5212\u5ef6\u957f\u81f32\u6708\u3002 \u8be5\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u622a\u6b62\u65e5\u671f\u539f\u4e3a12\u6708\u3002 \u00a0 \u6b27\u6d32 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u6709\u5404\u79cd\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6570\u636e\u548c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u4e25\u5cfb\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4ecd\u5728\u98de\u6da8\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u4ea4\u6613\u65f6\u6bb5\u4ee51.1961\u4ef7\u683c\u7ed3\u675f\u3002 \u91c7\u53d6\u5c01\u9501\u63aa\u65bd\u540e\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u53d7\u5230\u6253\u51fb\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI\u4ece46.9\u964d\u81f341.3\u3002 \u6b27\u5143\u533a\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6d3b\u52a8\u56e0\u6cd5\u56fd\u6536\u7f29\u800c\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u800c\u5fb7\u56fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u62a5\u544a\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u7a33\u5065\u589e\u957f\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5fb7\u56fd\u7684GDP\u5448\u6b63\u6570\uff0c\u4f46\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u4e0b\u6ed1\u5374\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\u3002 Ifo\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570\u4ece92.5\u4e0b\u964d\u81f390.7\u3002 \u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u5ba1\u67e5\u548c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u4e5f\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u4e25\u5cfb\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u4fdd\u6301\u4e86\u5f39\u6027\u3002   \u82f1\u56fd 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