{"id":154490,"date":"2020-12-07T05:37:33","date_gmt":"2020-12-07T05:37:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=154490"},"modified":"2020-12-07T05:37:44","modified_gmt":"2020-12-07T05:37:44","slug":"20201207-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20201207-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20201207 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2020<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>30<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5151\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u5927\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u4e09\u5468\u4fdd\u6301\u7ea2\u8272\u5e76\u4e14\u5728\u524d\u4e00\u5468\u4e00\u76f4\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4ee590.74\u4ef7\u683c\u7ed3\u675f\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u75ab\u82d7\u5f00\u53d1\u63a8\u9ad8\u98ce\u9669\u5e02\u573a\u5916\uff0c\u75b2\u5f31\u7684\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u4f7f\u7f8e\u5143\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5931\u671b\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5728\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u603b\u4f53\u7684\u6570\u636e\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u6df7\u5408\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5927\u591a\u6570\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u5747\u504f\u5411\u8d1f\u6570\u3002\u5341\u4e00\u6708\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u3002 11\u6708\u4efd\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u589e\u957f\u4e5f\u653e\u7f13\u968f\u7740ISM\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI\u4ece56.6\u964d\u81f355.9\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u66f4\u52a0\u5931\u671b\uff0c\u8bfb\u6570\u4ec5\u4e3a24.5\u4e07\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768446.9\u4e07\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4e5f\u4ece\u4e00\u4e9b\u79ef\u6781\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u7f13\u89e3\u3002\u622a\u81f311\u670827\u65e5\u5f53\u5468\uff0c\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\u4ece77.8\u4e07\u964d\u81f371.2\u4e07\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4e5f\u8fdb\u6b65\u81f36.7\uff05\uff0c\u8d85\u8d8a\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u76846.8\uff05\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u6570\u636e\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u79ef\u6781\u53d1\u5c55\u8fd8\u7ee7\u7eed\u63d0\u9ad8\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u9ad8\u98ce\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u6301\u7eed\u6253\u538b\u7f8e\u5143\u4e3a\u907f\u9669\u8d27\u5e01\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u968f\u7740\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u4e0d\u65ad\u5f00\u53d1\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6062\u590d\u5230\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u4e4b\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u671f\u671b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u529b\u91cf\u6709\u671b\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u800c\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u50ac\u5316\u5242\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u786e\u8ba4\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY) \u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u5185\u4ea4\u6613\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd8\u662f\u4ee5\u4e8f\u635f\u7684\u72b6\u6001\u7ed3\u675f\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a104.16\u3002 \u5728\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u96f6\u552e\u989d\u51fa\u4e4e\u610f\u6599\u5730\u589e\u957f\u4e866.4\uff05\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684-7.7\u3002 \u5de5\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u4e5f\u7ee7\u7eed\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u672c\u5b63\u5ea6\u521d\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u56de\u5347\u3002 \u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u548c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4e5f\u6709\u6240\u6539\u5584\u3002 \u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4e3a49.0\uff0c\u670d\u52a1PMI\u4e3a47.8\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u768448.3\u548c46.7\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u652f\u6301\u9ad8\u98ce\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\u4ecd\u5728\u538b\u5236\u65e5\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u6574\u4e2a\u661f\u671f\u4e2d\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4ee51.2119\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u6570\u636e\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\u548c\u7f8e\u5143\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u62b5\u6d88\u4e86\u75b2\u8f6f\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002 \u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c11\u6708\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7efc\u5408PMI\u4ece50.0\u964d\u81f345.3\u3002 \u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6076\u5316\u81f3-0.3\uff05\uff0c\u672a\u8fbe\u5230-0.2\uff05\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002 \u5728\u5fb7\u56fd\uff0c11\u6708\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4e0b\u964d\u81f357.8\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768457.9\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c \u5fb7\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u548c\u5931\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u4e00\u4e9b\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u6709\u6240\u6539\u5584\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(GBP\/USD)\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u7ee7\u7eed\u6269\u5927\u6da8\u5e45\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4ee51.3431\u4ef7\u683c\u7ed3\u675f\u5e02\u573a\u3002 \u9664\u4e86\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u534f\u8bae\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u4e5f\u7ee7\u7eed\u652f\u6301\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u98d9\u5347\u3002 \u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u5347\u81f355.6\uff0c\u800c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI\u4e5f\u5347\u81f347.6\uff0c\u5747\u8d85\u8fc7\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768455.2\u548c45.8\u3002 \u5927\u591a\u6570\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u4ecd\u5bf9\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u4ea4\u6613\u6301\u4e50\u89c2\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0a\u5468\u63a5\u8fd1\u5468\u672b\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u963b\u6b62\u4e86\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u800c\u5e02\u573a\u5728\u7b49\u5f85\u66f4\u591a\u6d88\u606f\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>16<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u5df2\u7ecf\u6210\u529f\u626d\u8f6c\u4e86\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u4e8f\u635f\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee5\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f81838.53\u7f8e\u5143\u7ed3\u675f\u4e86\u6700\u597d\u7684\u661f\u671f\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5e02\u573a\u6301\u7eed\u5f3a\u8c03\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u65b0\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u4e5f\u5f15\u53d1\u7f8e\u5143\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4f5c\u4e3a\u907f\u9669\u5546\u54c1\u5df2\u7ecf\u4ece\u5148\u524d\u7684\u6b8b\u9177\u629b\u552e\u4e2d\u8131\u9896\u800c\u51fa\u3002 \u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u4e2d\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u5728\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0a\u4ecd\u7136\u4fdd\u6301\u5f3a\u786c\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u50f5\u5c40\u6700\u7ec8\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u6253\u7834\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u7531\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u548c\u5171\u548c\u515a\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u4e24\u515a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u63d0\u51fa\u4e869080\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6551\u6d4e\u6cd5\u6848\uff0c\u6b64\u540e\u53cc\u65b9\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u8c08\u5224\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u75ab\u82d7\u4ee5\u53ca\u6570\u636e\u4f8b\u5982CPI\u548cPPI\uff0c\u4ee5\u518d\u5ea6\u8bc4\u4f30\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927IVEY\u5b63\u8c03\u540ePMI (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n51.5<\/td>\n54.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
07:50<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672cGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n5.0%<\/td>\n-7.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdZEW\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n46.0<\/td>\n39.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdEIA\u77ed\u671f\u80fd\u6e90\u5c55\u671b\u62a5\u544a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdJOLTs\u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n6.436M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.25%<\/td>\n0.25%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdGDP\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.2%<\/td>\n0.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:45<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:45<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.1%<\/td>\n0.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n725K<\/td>\n712K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdPPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.2%<\/td>\n0.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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