{"id":156623,"date":"2021-01-04T04:13:55","date_gmt":"2021-01-04T04:13:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=156623"},"modified":"2021-01-04T04:13:55","modified_gmt":"2021-01-04T04:13:55","slug":"20210104-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20210104-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20210104 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2020<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>28<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u672a\u80fd\u6536\u590d\u5931\u5730\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u521b\u4e0b\u4e24\u5e74\u6765\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u5728\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4e0b\u6323\u624e\uff0c\u800c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9884\u8ba12021\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c06\u51fa\u53f0\u66f4\u591a\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u6700\u7ec8\u6279\u51c69000\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\u6210\u4e3a\u6cd5\u5f8b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u6536\u590d\u4e86\u90e8\u5206\u5931\u5730\uff0c\u89e3\u9664\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u5931\u6548\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u6b62\u5927\u7ea61400\u4e07\u4eba\u5931\u53bb\u5931\u4e1a\u4fdd\u9669\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4ecd\u7136\u575a\u6301\u5176\u5f3a\u786c\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u575a\u79f0\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\u89c4\u6a21\u592a\u5c0f\uff0c\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u652f\u6491\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u5e76\u8981\u6c42\u56fd\u4f1a\u5c06\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u652f\u7968\u91d1\u989d\u4ece600\u7f8e\u5143\u589e\u52a0\u52302000\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u51fa\u53f0\u66f4\u591a\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u548c\u8d22\u653f\u652f\u6301\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u4ecd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u6784\u6210\u538b\u529b\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6253\u8d4c\u62dc\u767b\u5c06\u5b9e\u65bd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u632f\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u5e02\u573a\u8d70\u52bf\u7f13\u6162\uff0c\u56e0\u5723\u8bde\u8282\u548c\u65b0\u5e74\u5047\u671f\u4ea4\u6613\u6e05\u6de1\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u622a\u81f3\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u6b63\u5728\u7b49\u5f852021\u5e74\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u50ac\u5316\u5242\uff0c\u4ee5\u51b3\u5b9a\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u5411\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u5168\u7403\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY) \u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u53d7\u5230\u5de8\u5927\u7a7a\u5934\u6253\u538b\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a103.24\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u8d21\u732e\u6765\u81ea\u7f8e\u56fd\u51fa\u53f0\u66f4\u591a\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u66f4\u9ad8\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4f7f\u7f8e\u5143\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d2c\u503c\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u52a0\u5267\u4e5f\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u5347\u4e86\u65e5\u5143\u907f\u9669\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u672c\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI\u7b49\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u8fd9\u4e00\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u8d70\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u6210\u529f\u5ef6\u7eed\u8be5\u4e0a\u6da8\u8d70\u52bf\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4ee51.2215\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u7ecf\u8fc7\u6570\u6708\u7684\u8131\u6b27\u540e\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u8c08\u5224\uff0c\u6b27\u76df\u548c\u82f1\u56fd\u6700\u7ec8\u8fbe\u6210\u5171\u8bc6\uff0c\u5141\u8bb8\u82f1\u56fd\u57282020\u5e7412\u670831\u65e5\u79bb\u5f00\u5355\u4e00\u5173\u7a0e\u8054\u76df\u3002\u81ea2016\u5e74\u590f\u5929\u5c31\u82f1\u56fd\u662f\u5426\u7559\u5728\u6b27\u76df\u4e3e\u884c\u516c\u6295\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u90fd\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u79ef\u6781\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd152%\u7684\u82f1\u56fd\u9009\u6c11\u6295\u7968\u79bb\u5f00\u6b27\u76df\uff0c48%\u7684\u4eba\u6295\u7968\u7559\u6b27\u3002\u82f1\u56fd\u6709\u6761\u4ef6\u9000\u6b27\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u53cc\u65b9\u6700\u597d\u7684\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u672a\u6765\u590d\u6742\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(GBP\/USD)\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u603b\u4f53\u4e0a\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u800c\u4ee51.3670\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u82f1\u56fd\u5bf9\u65b0\u578b\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u682a\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u65e5\u76ca\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u4f46\u82f1\u56fd\u4e0e\u6b27\u76df\u8fbe\u6210\u534f\u8bae\u8fd9\u4e00\u91cc\u7a0b\u7891\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u5347\u503c\u3002\u57282021\u5e741\u67081\u65e5\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u4e0e\u6b27\u6d32\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u6380\u5f00\u4e86\u65b0\u7bc7\u7ae0\u3002\u82f1\u56fd\u9000\u51fa\u6b27\u76df\u4ee3\u8868\u7740\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u65b0\u638c\u63a7\u82f1\u56fd\u51b3\u7b56\u6743\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u672a\u6765\u8fd8\u6709\u8bb8\u591a\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>28<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7531\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u9884\u671f\u5728\u4e54\u00b7\u62dc\u767b(Joe Biden)\u6210\u4e3a\u4e0b\u4e00\u4efb\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u540e\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u5c06\u6709\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u548c\u8d22\u653f\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u672c\u5468\u5168\u5929\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee51900.40\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u65b0\u75c5\u6bd2\u682a\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\u7387\u66f4\u9ad8\uff0c\u6bd4\u82f1\u56fd\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u4e3b\u6d41\u75c5\u6bd2\u9ad8\u51fa70%\uff0c\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u6839\u636e\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\uff0c\u51e0\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u53d8\u5f02\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5\u4f8b\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6cd5\u56fd\uff0c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7b49\u3002\u65b0\u578b\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u7206\u53d1\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u8d44\u91d1\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u907f\u98ce\u6e2f – \u9ec4\u8272\u91d1\u5c5e\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u5728\u53d8\u79cd\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u548c\u975e\u519c\u7b49\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u518d\u5ea6\u8bc4\u4f30\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:55<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n58.6<\/td>\n58.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n57.3<\/td>\n57.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:55<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u5931\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u52a8 (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n10K<\/td>\n-39K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n56.5<\/td>\n57.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u7efc\u5408PMI\u6307\u6570 (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n50.7<\/td>\n50.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n49.9<\/td>\n49.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:15<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdADP\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n307K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8d1d\u5229(Andrew Bailey)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
03:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5efa\u7b51\u4e1aPMI (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n55.0<\/td>\n54.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.2%<\/td>\n-0.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n833K<\/td>\n787K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n54.6<\/td>\n55.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927IVEY\u5b63\u8c03\u540ePMI (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n54.7<\/td>\n52.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3\u53d8\u52a8 (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n100K<\/td>\n245K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387 (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n6.8%<\/td>\n6.7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u52a8(\u4eba) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-5.0K<\/td>\n62.1K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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