{"id":160386,"date":"2021-02-15T05:29:46","date_gmt":"2021-02-15T05:29:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=160386"},"modified":"2021-02-15T05:29:46","modified_gmt":"2021-02-15T05:29:46","slug":"20210215-%e6%af%8f%e5%91%a8%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20210215-%e6%af%8f%e5%91%a8%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90\/","title":{"rendered":"20210215 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2021<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>2<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>15<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a2\u670815\u65e5\u81f319\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>2<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>2<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

\u539f\u6cb9<\/strong><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>2<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>15<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>19<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u91cd\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e(\u5982\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570)\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e9e\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u523a\u6fc0\u65b9\u6848\u6765\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u9ad8\u5ea6\u5173\u6ce8\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u6765\u8fdb\u884c\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u5212\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u539f\u6cb9\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd\u77f3\u6cb9\u5b66\u4f1a(API)\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u4fe1\u606f\u7ba1\u7406\u5c40(EIA)\u7684\u6bcf\u5468\u5e93\u5b58\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>2<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>15<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>19<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>2<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>15<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
07:50<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672cGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n2.3%<\/td>\n5.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>2<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>16<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
08:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdZEW\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n59.5<\/td>\n61.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>2<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>17<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.5%<\/td>\n0.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.0%<\/td>\n-1.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdPPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.4%<\/td>\n0.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>2<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>18<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
03:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
08:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3(\u4eba) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n40.0K<\/td>\n50.0K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u516c\u5e03\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8425\u5efa\u8bb8\u53ef\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.680M<\/td>\n1.704M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n775K<\/td>\n793K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570 (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n20.0<\/td>\n26.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>2<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>19<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
00:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f53\u5468EIA\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u53d8\u52a8(\u6876)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-6.644M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
08:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-4.2%<\/td>\n-4.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-1.6%<\/td>\n0.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n56.5<\/td>\n57.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n54.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n39.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.3%<\/td>\n2.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n6.60M<\/td>\n6.76M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2021\u5e742\u670815\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790 GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a2\u670815\u65e5\u81f319\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a2\u67088\u81f312\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u5728\u9eef\u6de1\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u952e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u516c\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u8fd9\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u906d\u53d7\u627f\u538b\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u518d\u8fd1\u671f\u5185\u5c06\u4f1a\u65bd\u884c\u4e00\u9879\u5e9e\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u523a\u6fc0\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u9b45\u529b\uff0c\u4e3a\u7f8e\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u66f4\u591a\u7a7a\u5934\u52bf\u529b\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a590.25\u3002   \u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40(Bureau of Labor Statistics)\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u6307\u6570(CPI)\u5df2\u4ece\u6700\u521d\u76840.1%\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u81f30.0%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u76840.2%\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u52b3\u5de5\u90e8\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a79\u4e073\u5343\u4eba\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u4f30\u768475.7\u4e07\u4eba\u3002\u8be5\u8d1f\u9762\u6570\u636e\u8ba9\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u62c5\u5fe7\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8(fed)\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u7ef4\u6301\u5176\u8d85\u5bbd\u677e\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u7ecf\u6d4e\u901a\u80c0\u548c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u79ef\u6781\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u51fa\u73b0\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u53c2\u8bae\u9662\u4ee551\u7968\u5bf950\u7968\u901a\u8fc7\u4e86\u4e00\u9879\u9884\u7b97\u51b3\u8bae\uff0c\u8be5\u51b3\u8bae\u5c06\u5141\u8bb8\u5feb\u901f\u65bd\u884c\u7531\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u63d0\u51fa\u76841.9\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u8be5\u8ba1\u5212\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u6ca1\u6709\u5171\u548c\u515a\u652f\u6301\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u83b7\u5f97\u6279\u51c6\u3002\u5728\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u8d22\u653f\u6551\u52a9\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u5c06\u88ab\u6ce8\u5165\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u3002   \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u8c08\u5224\u4ecd\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u4e2d\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u6709\u5173\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u9ad8\u5ea6\u5173\u6ce8\u5728\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\uff0c\u51a0\u72b6\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u6700\u65b0\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u8be5\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u672a\u6765\u8d70\u52bf\u3002   \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\uff08USD\/JPY\uff09\u7684\u6c47\u7387\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a5105.00\u3002\u65e5\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (USDJPY) \u6c47\u7387\u6574\u4f53\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u7f8e\u5143\u8d2c\u503c\u800c\u9020\u6210\u7684\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u5730\u533a\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u8fd9\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4fc3\u4f7f\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143 (USDJPY) \u9650\u5236\u4e86\u5176\u8dcc\u5e45\u3002\u6839\u636e\u65e5\u672c\u5185\u9601\u5e9c(Cabinet Office)\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u4e0a\u4e2a\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c(GDP)\u4e3a3.0%\uff0c\u8fdc\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u76842.3%\u3002 \u00a0 \u6b27\u6d32 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