{"id":166973,"date":"2021-03-22T04:38:25","date_gmt":"2021-03-22T04:38:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=166973"},"modified":"2021-03-22T04:38:25","modified_gmt":"2021-03-22T04:38:25","slug":"20210322-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20210322-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20210322 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2021<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>22<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a3\u670822\u65e5\u81f326\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>15<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>19<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>15<\/u><\/strong>\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>19<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

\u539f\u6cb9<\/strong><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>22<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>26<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u91cd\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e(\u5982\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fdGDP\u6570\u636e)\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u7387\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u9ad8\u5ea6\u5173\u6ce8\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u6765\u8fdb\u884c\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u5212\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>22<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>26<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>22<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n6.49M<\/td>\n6.69N<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>23<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u542b\u7ea2\u5229\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u5e73\u5747\u5de5\u8d44\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n4.9%<\/td>\n4.7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u7533\u8bf7\u4eba\u6570(\u4eba) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-20.0K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u65b0\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n876K<\/td>\n923K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>24<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.9%<\/td>\n0.7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n61.0<\/td>\n60.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n54.9<\/td>\n54.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n49.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6263\u9664\u8fd0\u8f93\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.6%<\/td>\n1.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u53d1\u8868\u8bc1\u8bcd\u9648\u8ff0<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:30<\/td>\n\u539f\u6cb9<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f53\u5468EIA\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u53d8\u52a8(\u6876)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n2.964M<\/td>\n2.396M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>25<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u745e\u58eb<\/td>\n\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.75%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u745e\u58eb<\/td>\n\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8bc4\u4f30<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8d1d\u5229(Andrew Bailey)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b9e\u9645GDP\u5e74\u5316\u5b63\u7387 (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n4.1%<\/td>\n4.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n770K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>26<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n2.2%<\/td>\n-8.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdIFO\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n93.2<\/td>\n92.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2021\u5e743\u670822\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790 GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a3\u670822\u65e5\u81f326\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a3\u670815\u81f319\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u5ba3\u79f0\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\u5c06\u7ef4\u6301\u5176\u6fc0\u8fdb\u8d27\u5e01\u523a\u6fc0\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u91cd\u7533\u5728\u5173\u6ce8\u75ab\u60c5\u7ed3\u675f\u540e\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u548c\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u5c06\u5927\u5e45\u56de\u5347\u3002\u8be5\u79ef\u6781\u8a00\u8bba\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u957f\u671f\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u7684\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u8fd9\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u632f\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u4ea4\u6613\u4e2d\u4ee591.90\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002   \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8(Federal Reserve)\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c2021\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c06\u4ee56.5%\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u800c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u5c06\u57282021\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u5c06\u4ece\u6b64\u524d\u76845.0%\u964d\u81f34.5%\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u9884\u8ba1\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u4e3a2.4%\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u6b64\u524d\u9884\u8ba1\u76841.8%\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fdb\u5c55\u7684\u6539\u5584\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u75ab\u82d7\u63a5\u79cd\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\u4ee5\u53ca\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u611f\u67d3\u4eba\u6570\u7684\u663e\u8457\u4e0b\u964d\u4f7f\u5176\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u79ef\u6781\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c10\u5e74\u671f\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387(\u6b96\u5229\u7387)\u5f98\u5f8a\u572814\u4e2a\u6708\u9ad8\u4f4d\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u56e0\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5f00\u59cb\u8003\u8651\u603b\u8ba11.9\u4e07\u4ebf(\u5146)\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6fc0\u8fdb\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5168\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u503a\u5238\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52a8\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4f3c\u4e4e\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e8e\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u7684\u5f3a\u52b2\u52bf\u5934\u548c\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5c06\u5438\u5f15\u8d44\u672c\u6d41\u5165\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u523a\u6fc0\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u663e\u8457\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002   \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75ab\u82d7\u7814\u53d1\u3001\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u8d70\u52bf\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u7f8e\u5143\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u3002   \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\uff08USD\/JPY\uff09\u7684\u6c47\u7387\u4e0a\u5468\u6500\u5347\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a5108.90\u3002\u65e5\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (USDJPY) \u6c47\u7387\u6574\u4f53\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u800c\u9020\u6210\u7684\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u65b0\u51a0\u72b6\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u53d1\u5c55\u4e5f\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u5916\u6c47\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u65e5\u5143\u7b49\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u4e16\u536b\u7ec4\u7ec7\u603b\u5e72\u4e8b\u8c2d\u5fb7\u585e\u5728\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u5168\u7403\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u75c5\u4f8b\u6570\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u4e09\u5468\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e3a\u907f\u9669\u65e5\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u90e8\u5206\u4e0b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002 \u00a0 \u6b27\u6d32 \u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u4e0a\u5468\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u632b\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e3a1.1860\u3002\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u4e0b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d70\u5f3a\u800c\u9020\u6210\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u51e0\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5df2\u6682\u505c\u725b\u6d25\u5927\u5b66\/\u963f\u65af\u5229\u5eb7\uff08AZ\uff09Covid-19\u75ab\u82d7\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u6709\u62a5\u9053\u79f0\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u63a5\u79cd\u75ab\u82d7\u540e\u8840\u6db2\u51dd\u7ed3\u5bfc\u81f4\u51e0\u4f8b\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff0c\u8fd9\u62d6\u7d2f\u4e86\u6b27\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u7684\u75ab\u82d7\u63a5\u79cd\u8ba1\u5212\u540c\u65f6\u6d88\u5f31\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u6b27\u76df\u5730\u533a\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u6001\u5ea6\u3002   \u82f1\u56fd \u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(GBP\/USD)\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5468\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u5e02\u573a\u6536\u4e8e1.3820\u3002\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (GBPUSD) 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\u00a0 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a3\u670815\u81f319\u65e5 \u9ec4\u91d1 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