{"id":168317,"date":"2021-03-29T04:21:25","date_gmt":"2021-03-29T04:21:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=168317"},"modified":"2021-03-29T04:30:35","modified_gmt":"2021-03-29T04:30:35","slug":"20210329-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20210329-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20210329 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2021<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>29<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>29<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>2<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>22<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>26<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5151\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u5927\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4ee592.66\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u7531\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\u800c\u4e0d\u65ad\u5149\u660e\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e89\u5148\u6050\u540e\u5730\u6295\u5411\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6GDP\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u4e3a4.3\uff05\uff0c\u800c\u524d\u503c\u4e3a4.1\uff05\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\u4e5f\u4ee4\u7f8e\u5143\u53d7\u76ca\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e0a\u5468\u8dcc\u81f3\u4e00\u5e74\u4f4e\u70b9\u768468.4\u4e07\u5151 73\u4e07\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u623f\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u548c\u6838\u5fc3\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u7b49\u6570\u636e\u8f83\u5f31\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u611f\u5230\u4e50\u89c2\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u636e\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u6ca1\u4efb\u4f55\u6781\u5927\u53cd\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u5f3a\u52b2\u53d1\u5c55\u52a0\u4e0a\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u4e54\u00b7\u62dc\u767b\uff08Joe Biden\uff09\u5c06\u75ab\u82d7\u63a5\u79cd\u6570\u91cf\u7ffb\u500d\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e3a\u7f8e\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u652f\u6301\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u4e54\u00b7\u62dc\u767b\uff08Joe Biden\uff09\u627f\u8bfa\u5728\u8fbe\u5230\u5176\u5148\u524d\u76841\u4ebf\u76ee\u6807\u540e\uff0c\u5c06\u5176\u75ab\u82d7\u63a5\u79cd\u8ba1\u5212\u589e\u52a0\u4e00\u500d\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u5468\u516d\uff0c\u5927\u7ea6\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u6210\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\uff08\u7ea69,100\u4e07\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u6c11\uff09\u81f3\u5c11\u63a5\u79cd\u4e86\u4e00\u9488\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75ab\u82d7\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u6301\u7eed\u5b9e\u65bd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u75ab\u82d7\u5f00\u53d1\u548c\u524d\u666f\u6539\u5584\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u5feb\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u76d1\u6d4b\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u72b6\u51b5\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u8bc4\u4f30\u8fd1\u671f\u60c5\u7eea\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u6c47\u7387\u4e00\u8def\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u4ee5109.65\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002 \u5728\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4ece51.4\u4e0a\u5347\u81f352.0\uff0c\u800c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI\u4ece46.3\u4e0a\u5347\u81f346.5\u3002 \u4e1c\u4eac\u6838\u5fc3\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u4e5f\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86-0.1\uff05\uff0c\u800c\u9884\u671f\u4e3a-0.2\uff05\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u636e\u5bf9\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u8fd8\u662f\u5f88\u5c0f\u3002 \u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u53d7\u5230\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u524d\u666f\u652f\u6491\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4ee51.1793\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u7ed3\u675f\u4e86\u672c\u5468\u3002 \u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u8dc3\u5347\u81f366.6\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768460.8\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fdIFO\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570\u4e5f\u4e0a\u534796.6\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u4e3a93.2\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5176\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5173\u952e\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u4ee4\u4eba\u5370\u8c61\u6df1\u523b\uff0c\u4f46\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u75ab\u82d7\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e09\u6ce2\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u548c\u91cd\u65b0\u65bd\u884c\u5c01\u9501\u7ee7\u7eed\u5bf9\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u4ea7\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5e76\u5b8c\u5168\u62b5\u6d88\u4e86\u79ef\u6781\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u3002 \u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u516c\u62a5\u300b\u4e5f\u8c08\u5230\u4e86\u4e0a\u5468\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(GBP\/USD) \u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u4e0a\u5468\u4ee5\u4e8f\u635f\u7ed3\u675f\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u8bbe\u6cd5\u6536\u590d\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u4ee51.3789\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u7ed3\u675f\u3002 \u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u524d\u4e00\u534a\uff0c\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u76df\u548c\u82f1\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u7f13\u548c\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u8fc7\u540e\u6536\u56de\u4e86\u90e8\u5206\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5728\u6b27\u76df\u5148\u524d\u51b3\u5b9a\u9650\u5236\u75ab\u82d7\u51fa\u53e3\u5230\u82f1\u56fd\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u51b3\u5b9a\u5171\u540c\u52aa\u529b\u8fbe\u6210\u4e00\u9879\u4f7f\u4e24\u56fd\u53d7\u76ca\u7684\u534f\u8bae\u3002 \u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u7684\u75ab\u82d7\u63a5\u79cd\u548c\u5c01\u9501\u5bbd\u677e\u4e5f\u4e3a\u82f1\u9551\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u652f\u6301\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>22<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>26<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u6574\u4f53\u4e0a\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u800c\u4ee51732.20\u7f8e\u5143\u6536\u5e02\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6d88\u5316\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u76f8\u4e92\u77db\u76fe\u4e3b\u9898\u4f8b\u5982\u75ab\u82d7\u63a5\u79cd\u8fdb\u5ea6\u548c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u65b0\u7684\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5\u4f8b\uff0c\u8be5\u9ec4\u8272\u91d1\u5c5e\u4ecd\u7136\u4fdd\u6301\u5f39\u6027\u548c\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002 \u7531\u4e8e\u7f3a\u4e4f\u660e\u786e\u7684\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u50ac\u5316\u5242\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u6216\u4efb\u4f55\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u65b0\u95fb\uff0c\u4ee5\u8bc4\u4f30\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/u><\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>29<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>2<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u548c\u5f71\u54cd\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fdADP\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u975e\u519c\u7b56\u7b49\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u518d\u5ea6\u8bc4\u4f30\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>29<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>2<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>29<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u65e0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>30<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8c18\u5546\u4f1a\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570 (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n97.0<\/td>\n91.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:00<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b98\u65b9\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n51.0<\/td>\n50.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.0%<\/td>\n1.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:55<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u5931\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u52a8 (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-5K<\/td>\n9K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.3%<\/td>\n0.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:15<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdADP\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570 (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n525K<\/td>\n117K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927GDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.5%<\/td>\n0.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u6210\u5c4b\u7b7e\u7ea6\u9500\u552e\u6307\u6570\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-2.6%<\/td>\n-2.8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>2<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
07:50<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u77ed\u89c2\u5927\u578b\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u5224\u65ad\u6307\u6570 (\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-15<\/td>\n-10<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
07:50<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u77ed\u89c2\u5927\u578b\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u5224\u65ad\u6307\u6570 (\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-5<\/td>\n-5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
08:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-1.1%<\/td>\n0.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:45<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u8d22\u65b0\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n51.0<\/td>\n50.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:55<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n66.6<\/td>\n66.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n57.9<\/td>\n57.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n680K<\/td>\n684K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n61.3<\/td>\n60.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3\u53d8\u52a8 (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n182K<\/td>\n379K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387 (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n6.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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