{"id":175270,"date":"2021-05-03T05:41:01","date_gmt":"2021-05-03T05:41:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=175270"},"modified":"2021-05-03T05:41:22","modified_gmt":"2021-05-03T05:41:22","slug":"20210503-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20210503-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20210503 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2021<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>26<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>30<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u4e0e\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4ee591.23\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u5728\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u652f\u6301\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u6001\u5ea6\u4f7f\u7f8e\u5143\u906d\u53d7\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u4e70\u76d8\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4ece\u6570\u636e\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5173\u952e\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u90fd\u504f\u5411\u79ef\u6781\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u8fbe\u5230\u9884\u671f\u76841.6\uff05\uff0c\u800cGDP\u8fdb\u6b65\u81f36.4\uff05\uff0c\u8d85\u8d8a\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u76846.2\uff05\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c4\u6708\u4efd\u7684CB\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570\u4e5f\u4ece\u9884\u671f\u7684113.0\u5347\u81f3121.7\u3002\u867d\u7136\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u9886\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u8f83\u9884\u671f\u768454.9\u4e07\u7a0d\u5fae\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u8bfb\u6570\u4e3a55.3\u4e07\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u4e0e\u524d\u4e00\u6570\u636e\u76f8\u6bd4\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u8be5\u7ed3\u679c\u4e5f\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u3002\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u4e5f\u5728\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c3\u6708\u4efd\u8054\u50a8\u5c40\u504f\u7231\u7684\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5347\u4e861.8\uff05\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4e5f\u6d88\u5316\u4e86\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0a\u5468\u4e09\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u5b9a\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\uff08Jerome Powell\uff09\u627f\u8ba4\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u4ecd\u6301\u6000\u7591\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u5e76\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\u8868\u793a\u53ef\u5bfc\u81f4\u653f\u7b56\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5bf9\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u63d0\u524d\u7f29\u51cf\u8d44\u4ea7\u89c4\u6a21\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8be5\u9884\u671f\u63d0\u632f\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u4f7f\u4ef7\u683c\u5347\u81f32021\u5e743\u6708\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8868\u793a\u9e3d\u6d3e\u7684\u8bed\u6c14\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u523a\u6fc0\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u6539\u5584\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4ecd\u6709\u671b\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u6269\u5927\u6da8\u5e45\uff0c\u800c\u5e02\u573a\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u54cd\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u50ac\u5316\u5242\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u4e00\u8def\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4ee5109.32\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002 \u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u7ef4\u6301\u5176\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u5e76\u5bf9\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u524d\u666f\u6301\u66f4\u4e3a\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u518d\u6b21\u51fa\u73b0\u75c5\u6bd2\u7d27\u6025\u60c5\u51b5\u540e\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u5df2\u5c06\u5176\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u9884\u6d4b\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f30.1\uff05\u3002 \u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u5bf92023\u8d22\u5e74\u7684\u65b0\u9884\u6d4b\u8fd8\u8bc1\u5b9e\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u9ed1\u7530\u4e1c\u5f66\uff08Haruhiko Kuroda\uff09\u5728\u5f53\u524d\u4efb\u671f\u5185\u53ef\u80fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u5b9e\u73b0\u5176\u7a33\u5b9a\u589e\u957f2\uff05\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u4e0a\u5468\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4ee51.1793\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u7ed3\u675f\u5e02\u573a\u3002 \u5728\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5\u4f8b\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6fc0\u589e\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u6570\u636e\u90fd\u504f\u5411\u8d1f\u6570\u3002 \u5fb7\u56fdIFO\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570\u964d\u81f396.8\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u768497.8\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u53d8\u5316\u4e5f\u5f31\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8bfb\u6570\u4e3a9000\u5bf9-10K\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u800c\u5fb7\u56fd\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6GDP\u4e5f\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\uff0c\u8bfb\u6570\u4e3a-1.7\uff05\uff0c\u800c\u9884\u671f\u4e3a-1.5\uff05\u3002 \u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u4e5f\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u62d6\u7d2f\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(GBP\/USD)\u5bf9\u4e5f\u5728\u6574\u4e2a\u4e0a\u5468\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4ee51.3813\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u7ed3\u675f\u5e02\u573a\u3002 \u7531\u4e8e\u7f3a\u4e4f\u63d0\u4f9b\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u53d7\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u7684\u63a8\u52a8\u3002 \u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u6539\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u82cf\u683c\u5170\u5927\u9009\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002 \u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u82cf\u683c\u5170\u8bae\u4f1a\u4e2d\u8d5e\u6210\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u653f\u515a\u5360\u591a\u6570\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u52a0\u5927\u5bf9\u5168\u6c11\u516c\u6295\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u5e76\u6210\u4e3a\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u4e0d\u5229\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>26<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>30<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u6574\u4f53\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1768.66\u7f8e\u5143\u3002 \u7ee7\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5347\u503c\u548c\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u9ec4\u8272\u91d1\u5c5e\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\u3002 \u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u503a\u5238\u5f00\u59cb\u627f\u53d7\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u5bfc\u81f4\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u7d27\u968f\u5176\u540e\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5546\u54c1\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u4e5f\u9762\u4e34\u963b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u548c\u5f71\u54cd\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fdADP\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u975e\u519c\u7b56\u7b49\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u518d\u5ea6\u8bc4\u4f30\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:55<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n66.4<\/td>\n66.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n65.0<\/td>\n64.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
12:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.10%<\/td>\n0.10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
12:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n60.7<\/td>\n60.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
06:45<\/td>\n\u65b0\u897f\u5170<\/td>\n\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.2%<\/td>\n0.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:15<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdADP\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570 (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n815K<\/td>\n517K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n64.3<\/td>\n63.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u7efc\u5408PMI\u6307\u6570 (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n60.0<\/td>\n60.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n60.1<\/td>\n60.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.10%<\/td>\n0.10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n540K<\/td>\n553K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5efa\u7b51\u4e1aPMI (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n62.5<\/td>\n61.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3\u53d8\u52a8 (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n978K<\/td>\n916K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387 (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n5.7%<\/td>\n6.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u52a8(\u4eba) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-187.5K<\/td>\n303.1K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927IVEY\u5b63\u8c03\u540ePMI (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n60.5<\/td>\n72.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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