{"id":177376,"date":"2021-05-17T03:33:32","date_gmt":"2021-05-17T03:33:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=177376"},"modified":"2021-05-17T03:42:00","modified_gmt":"2021-05-17T03:42:00","slug":"20210517-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20210517-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20210517 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2021<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>17<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>17<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>21<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>14<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5151\u4e00\u7bee\u5b506\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u8fdb\u884c\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0a\u534a\u5468\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u540e\u5df2\u7ecf\u56de\u5410\u4e86\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u4ee5\u76c8\u5229\u7684\u72b6\u6001\u548c90.23\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u6d88\u5316\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u5bf9\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u6570\u636e\u5747\u504f\u5411\u6b63\u503c\u3002\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u5982JOLTs\u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a \u7ed9\u4e09\u6708\u548c\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\u6570\u636e\u8868\u73b0\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u4e3a810\u4e07\u5bf9750\u4e07\u9884\u671f\u548c473\u5343\u5bf9\u9884\u671f\u7684490\u5343\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u4e09\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u5347\u81f312\u4e2a\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u81f30.9\uff05\uff0c\u8d85\u8d8a\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u76840.3\uff05\u3002\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\u4e5f\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u81f30.6\uff05\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u76840.3\uff05\u3002\u7ee7CPI\u548cPPI\u5f15\u53d1\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u63d0\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u901a\u80c0\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5bfc\u81f4\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5e03\u540e\u98d9\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u8bdd\u867d\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u6307\u51fa\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u662f\u9884\u6599\u4e4b\u4e2d\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u6682\u65f6\u7684\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u5f88\u5feb\u53d7\u5230\u9650\u5236\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u884c\u957f\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u6258\u5f17\u2022\u6c83\u52d2\uff08Christopher Waller\uff09\u79f0\uff0c\u5728\u786e\u5b9a\u4f55\u65f6\u5f00\u59cb\u7f29\u51cf\u5176\u5bbd\u677e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u518d\u67e5\u770b\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u548c\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\u3002\u5468\u4e94\uff0c\u60b2\u89c2\u7684\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u8be5\u6570\u636e\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f30.0\uff05\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u76841.0\uff05\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u75ab\u82d7\u63a5\u79cd\u8fdb\u5c55\u5f3a\u52b2\u4ee5\u53ca\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5\u4f8b\u51cf\u5c11\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u7136\u5e0c\u671b\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u6b63\u5728\u9010\u6b65\u5efa\u7acb\uff0c\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u5bfc\u81f4\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u57fa\u8c03\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u73b0\u5728\u6b63\u5728\u4ece\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5bfb\u627e\u66f4\u591a\u7ebf\u7d22\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u6c47\u7387\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a109.33\u3002 \u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u603b\u4f53\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e0a\u5468\u524d\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u6240\u81f4\u3002 \u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5\u4f8b\u6fc0\u589e\u7684\u6d88\u606f\u4e5f\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u636e\u62a5\u9053\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u533b\u9662\u4e0d\u582a\u91cd\u8d1f\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u8bbe\u6cd5\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u5f25\u8865\u4e86\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4ee5\u4e8f\u635f\u7684\u72b6\u6001\u548c1.2144\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002 \u5728\u7f3a\u4e4f\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u50ac\u5316\u5242\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u603b\u4f53\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u5f52\u529f\u4e8e\u7ade\u4e89\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5347\u503c\u3002 \u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fdZEW\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570\u5347\u81f384.4\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768472.0\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(GBP\/USD)\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u591a\u6570\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u5e02\u573a\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1.4096\u3002 \u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u91cd\u65b0\u5f00\u653e\u548c\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u7684\u75ab\u82d7\u63a5\u79cd\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e24\u4eba\u7ee7\u7eed\u53d7\u5230\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u9752\u7750\u3002 \u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u5b98\u5458\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u8bc4\u8bba\u4e5f\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u63d0\u632f\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u3002 \u636e\u82f1\u56fd\u75ab\u82d7\u90e8\u957f\u7eb3\u8fea\u59c6\u00b7\u624e\u54c8\u7ef4\uff08Nadhim Zahawi\uff09\u79f0\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u53d8\u79cd\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u4ed6\u4ecd\u5e0c\u671b\u91cd\u65b0\u5f00\u653e\u7684\u8def\u7ebf\u56fe\u80fd\u591f\u7ee7\u7eed\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0b\u53bb\uff0c\u4e8c\u75ab\u82d7\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4ea4\u4ed8\u3002 \u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u82f1\u56fdGDP\u589e\u81f3-1.5\uff05\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u76841.6\uff05\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>14<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5468\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f81843.25\u7f8e\u5143\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u548c\u5546\u52a1\u90e8\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\u7f13\u89e3\u4e86\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002 \u5728\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u63a8\u6d4b\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u63d0\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u5b9a\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002 \u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u884c\u957f\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u6258\u5f17\u2022\u6c83\u52d2\uff08Christopher Waller\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u518d\u67e5\u770b\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u548c\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u51b3\u5b9a\u6539\u53d8\u5176\u653f\u7b56\u3002 \u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5ba1\u67e5\u6709\u5173\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u52a8\u6001\uff0c\u4ee5\u63a5\u6536\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>17<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>21<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u6709\u5173\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u4ee5\u53ca\u82f1\u56fdGDP\u7b49\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u518d\u5ea6\u8bc4\u4f30\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>17<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>21<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>17<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u65e0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>18<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
07:50<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672cGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-1.2%<\/td>\n2.8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u542b\u7ea2\u5229\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u5e73\u5747\u5de5\u8d44\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n4.6%<\/td>\n4.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u7533\u8bf7\u4eba\u6570(\u4eba) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n10.1K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8425\u5efa\u8bb8\u53ef\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.770M<\/td>\n1.759M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>19<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.4%<\/td>\n0.7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.6%<\/td>\n1.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>20<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
02:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3(\u4eba) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n15.0K<\/td>\n70.7K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10:00<\/td>\n\u65b0\u897f\u5170<\/td>\n\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u5e74\u5ea6\u9884\u7b97\u62a5\u544a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n450K<\/td>\n473K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570 (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n43.0<\/td>\n50.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>21<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n4.0%<\/td>\n5.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:30<\/td>\n\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n65.8<\/td>\n66.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n60.7<\/td>\n60.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n60.1<\/td>\n60.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n2.0%<\/td>\n4.8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n6.09M<\/td>\n6.01M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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