{"id":184575,"date":"2021-06-21T06:34:39","date_gmt":"2021-06-21T06:34:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=184575"},"modified":"2021-06-21T06:34:39","modified_gmt":"2021-06-21T06:34:39","slug":"20210621-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20210621-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20210621 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2021<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>21<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>21<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>25<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>14<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>18<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u53d1\u8868\u9e70\u6d3e\u7684\u7acb\u573a\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5151\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u5927\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u5728\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08MPC\uff09\u6697\u793a\u5728 2023 \u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u4e24\u6b21\u52a0\u606f 25 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c10 \u5e74\u671f\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u8fd9\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u4ea4\u6613\u65f6\u6bb5\u6536\u4e8e 92.20\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u8be5\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u9884\u6d4b\u4eca\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u901a\u80c0\u524d\u666f\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u800c\u6574\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u8fbe\u52307%\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8fd8\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u6280\u672f\u6027\u8c03\u6574\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u6b62\u5176\u5173\u952e\u7684\u9694\u591c\u57fa\u51c6\u5229\u7387\u8dcc\u81f3\u8fc7\u4f4e\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u4e24\u5e74\u671f\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7ed3\u675f\u65f6\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u671f\u95f4\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u9006\u56de\u8d2d\u5229\u7387\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a (MPC) \u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5927\u5e45\u590d\u82cf\u5e76\u5b9e\u73b0\u5176\u65e9\u5148\u7684 2% \u901a\u80c0\u7387\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u5219\u53ef\u80fd\u5728 2022 \u5e74\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u9e70\u6d3e\u7684\u8bed\u6c14\u6697\u793a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5f00\u59cb\u8ba8\u8bba\u7f29\u51cf\u6bcf\u6708\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u5e76\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u66f4\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u94fa\u5e73\u9053\u8def\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u5229\u7a7a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u6709\u9650\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\u5206\u522b\u4e3a-1.3%\u548c30.7\uff0c\u5747\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u4e3a-0.8%\u548c31.5\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 37.5 \u4e07\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 41.2 \u4e07\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 35.9 \u4e07\u3002\u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u66f4\u65b0\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u4e0a(USD\/JPY)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6536\u4e8e 110.20\u3002 \u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u51b3\u5b9a\u7ef4\u6301\u5176\u8d85\u5bbd\u677e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u51cf\u8f7b \u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2 \u5927\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u540e\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002 \u592e\u884c\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5c06\u77ed\u671f\u5229\u7387\u8bbe\u5b9a\u5728 -0.1%\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5c06 10 \u5e74\u671f\u65e5\u672c\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u96f6\u9644\u8fd1\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 1.1860\u3002 \u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\u3002 \u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u53d1\u8868\u9e3d\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002 \u636e CNBC \u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u9009\u62e9\u4e0d\u6697\u793a\u4f55\u65f6\u53ef\u80fd\u5f00\u59cb\u51cf\u5c11\u5176\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u5e76\u9884\u8ba1\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u5728\u53ef\u9884\u89c1\u7684\u672a\u6765\u4ecd\u5c06\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5176\u76ee\u6807\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u8fd8\u51b3\u5b9a\u5c06\u5176 1.85 \u4e07\u4ebf\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u6fc0\u8fdb\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\u7ef4\u6301\u5230 2022 \u5e74 3 \u6708\uff0c\u5e76\u7ef4\u6301\u5176\u8d85\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u672a\u6765\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u548c\u592e\u884c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4ee5\u63a5\u6536\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u632b\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e1.3810\u3002 \u7531\u4e8e\u5bf9\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u53d8\u79cd\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u5bfc\u81f4\u82f1\u56fd\u9996\u76f8\u9c8d\u91cc\u65af\u00b7\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a (Boris Johnson) \u5ef6\u957f\u4e86\u76ee\u524d\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u7684\u5c01\u9501\u89c4\u5b9a\u540e\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u4e0a\u5468\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002 \u636e CNBC \u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u90e8\u95e8\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u73b0\u5df2\u786e\u8ba4\u4e86 42,000 \u591a\u4f8b\u4e0e\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u5fb7\u5c14\u5854 \u53d8\u4f53\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u75c5\u4f8b\uff0c\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5468\u589e\u52a0\u4e86 240%\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u9996\u76f8\u9c8d\u91cc\u65af\u00b7\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a\u5ba3\u5e03\u5c06\u82f1\u56fd\u5c01\u9501\u91cd\u65b0\u5f00\u653e\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u9636\u6bb5\u63a8\u8fdf\u56db\u4e2a\u661f\u671f\u3002 \u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5229\u7a7a\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u5ef6\u7eed\u8dcc\u52bf\u3002 \u6839\u636e\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 9.2% \u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3 -1.4%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 1.6%\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u82f1\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>14<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>18<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f3\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f8 1766.15 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002 \u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6697\u793a\u53ef\u80fd\u6bd4\u9884\u671f\u66f4\u65e9\u52a0\u606f\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002 \u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u4f7f\u5f97\u6295\u8d44\u7f8e\u56fd\u503a\u5238\u5bf9\u5916\u56fd\u4eba\u66f4\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u907f\u9669\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002 \u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5efa\u8bae\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u672a\u6765\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u672a\u6765\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u907f\u9669\u9ec4\u91d1\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>21<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>25<\/u><\/strong>\u6708\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u5173\u952e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684FOMC\u4f1a\u8bae\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u60c5\u51b5\u4e5f\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u7126\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>21<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>25<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>21<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:15<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>22<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n5.72M<\/td>\n5.85M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>23<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
02:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u53d1\u8868\u8bc1\u8bcd\u9648\u8ff0<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:30<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n63.4<\/td>\n64.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n65.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n62.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-5.00%<\/td>\n4.30%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u65b0\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n875K<\/td>\n863K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>24<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdIFO\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n100.1<\/td>\n99.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.10%<\/td>\n0.10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u516c\u5e03\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6263\u9664\u8fd0\u8f93\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.70%<\/td>\n1.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b9e\u9645GDP\u5e74\u5316\u5b63\u7387 (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n1.6%<\/td>\n6.40%<\/td>\n6.40%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n115.2K<\/td>\n380K<\/td>\n412K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>25<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u8be5\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u9884\u6d4b\u4eca\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u901a\u80c0\u524d\u666f\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u800c\u6574\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u8fbe\u52307%\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8fd8\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u6280\u672f\u6027\u8c03\u6574\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u6b62\u5176\u5173\u952e\u7684\u9694\u591c\u57fa\u51c6\u5229\u7387\u8dcc\u81f3\u8fc7\u4f4e\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u4e24\u5e74\u671f\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7ed3\u675f\u65f6\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u671f\u95f4\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u9006\u56de\u8d2d\u5229\u7387\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a (MPC) \u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5927\u5e45\u590d\u82cf\u5e76\u5b9e\u73b0\u5176\u65e9\u5148\u7684 2% \u901a\u80c0\u7387\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u5219\u53ef\u80fd\u5728 2022 \u5e74\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u9e70\u6d3e\u7684\u8bed\u6c14\u6697\u793a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5f00\u59cb\u8ba8\u8bba\u7f29\u51cf\u6bcf\u6708\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u5e76\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u66f4\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u94fa\u5e73\u9053\u8def\u3002   \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u5229\u7a7a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u6709\u9650\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\u5206\u522b\u4e3a-1.3%\u548c30.7\uff0c\u5747\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u4e3a-0.8%\u548c31.5\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 37.5 \u4e07\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 41.2 \u4e07\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 35.9 \u4e07\u3002\u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u66f4\u65b0\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002 \u00a0 \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u4e0a(USD\/JPY)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6536\u4e8e 110.20\u3002 \u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u51b3\u5b9a\u7ef4\u6301\u5176\u8d85\u5bbd\u677e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u51cf\u8f7b \u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2 \u5927\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u540e\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002 \u592e\u884c\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5c06\u77ed\u671f\u5229\u7387\u8bbe\u5b9a\u5728 -0.1%\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5c06 10 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\u4e07\u4ebf\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u6fc0\u8fdb\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\u7ef4\u6301\u5230 2022 \u5e74 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