{"id":190531,"date":"2021-07-19T05:47:08","date_gmt":"2021-07-19T05:47:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=190531"},"modified":"2021-07-19T05:47:24","modified_gmt":"2021-07-19T05:47:24","slug":"20210719-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20210719-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20210719 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2021<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>19<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>19<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>23<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>16<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4e50\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u6c47\u7387\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u8fd9\u589e\u5f3a\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fdb\u5c55\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u6fc0\u53d1\u4e86\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u50a8\u5907\u5c06\u5f00\u59cb\u7f29\u51cf\u5176\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u7f29\u51cf\u5176\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d2d\u4e70\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u7684\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u9e3d\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\u4e2d\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u6709\u9650\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 92.70\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u91cd\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5747\u5448\u6b63\u503c\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570 (CPI) \u73af\u6bd4\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 0.7% \u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 0.9%\uff0c\u8d85\u51fa\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 0.4%\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\uff08PPI\uff09\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 0.8% \u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 1.0%\uff0c\u4e5f\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 0.6%\u3002\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6536\u7f29\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u51cf\u5c11\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u6d41\u901a\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u589e\u52a0\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0a\u5468\u53d1\u5e03\u9e3d\u6d3e\u57fa\u8c03\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u6709\u9650\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u5728\u7f29\u51cf\u8d27\u5e01\u652f\u6301\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8ddd\u79bb\u592e\u884c\u76ee\u6807\u6c34\u5e73\u4ecd\u6709\u4e00\u6bb5\u8ddd\u79bb\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u731c\u6d4b\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u5728\u957f\u671f\u5185\u7ee7\u7eed\u5b9e\u65bd\u6269\u5f20\u6027\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u63d0\u632f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u52a8\u80fd\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u603b\u4f53\u58f0\u660e\u4ecd\u7136\u542b\u7cca\u4e0d\u6e05\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5efa\u8bae\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u672a\u6765\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u3001\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u53ca \u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e 109.85\u4ef7\u683c\u3002 \u5fb7\u5c14\u5854(Delta)\u53d8\u4f53\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u98d9\u5347\u548c \u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u5c01\u9501\u5728\u4e9a\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5b9e\u65bd\u5df2\u7ecf\u6697\u793a\u4e86\u5916\u6c47\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u907f\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5176\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u8f6c\u5411\u907f\u9669\u7684\u65e5\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u6c47\u7387\u5728\u4e00\u5468\u5185\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 1.1800\u3002 \u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5e02\u573a\u50ac\u5316\u5242\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u52a8\u80fd\u4ecd\u7136\u4f4e\u8ff7\u3002 \u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u6b27\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca \u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2 \u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u8d27\u5e01\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(GBP\/USD)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u632b\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e1.3760\u4ef7\u683c\u3002 \u968f\u7740\u82f1\u56fd\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5\u4f8b\u5c45\u9ad8\u4e0d\u4e0b\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u4e0a\u5468\u627f\u53d7\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u6839\u636e\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u5468\u65e5\u53c8\u8bb0\u5f55\u4e86 48,161 \u4f8b \u7684\u8fd1\u671f\u9ad8\u4f4d\u75c5\u4f8b\uff0c\u6bd4\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u8fd1 36%\u3002 \u6295\u8d44\u8005\u62c5\u5fc3\uff0c\u5728\u6240\u6709\u9501\u5b9a\u9650\u5236\u653e\u677e\u540e\uff0c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u611f\u67d3\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u98d9\u5347\u3002 \u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u6709\u7ebf\u7535\u89c6\u65b0\u95fb\u7f51\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u4ece\u5468\u4e00\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u51e0\u4e4e\u6240\u6709\u7684\u9650\u5236\u90fd\u5c06\u53d6\u6d88\u3002 \u5f3a\u5236\u6234\u53e3\u7f69\u5c06\u53d6\u6d88\uff0c\u591c\u603b\u4f1a\u3001\u4f53\u80b2\u573a\u7b49\u573a\u6240\u5c06\u81ea\u7531\u6ee1\u8d1f\u8377\u5f00\u653e\u3002 \u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u82f1\u56fd \u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2 \u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u63a5\u6536\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>16<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u632b\u81f3\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f8 1880.00 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8fd9\u6fc0\u53d1\u4e86\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u5f00\u59cb\u7f29\u51cf\u5176\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u3002 \u7d27\u7f29\u6027\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c11\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u6d41\u901a\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u523a\u6fc0\u8d27\u5e01\u5347\u503c\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u51cf\u5c11\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u62c5\u5fc3\u5168\u7403\u901a\u80c0\u4e0a\u5347\u548c \u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5\u4f8b\uff0c\u8fd9\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u907f\u9669\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u907f\u9669\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u635f\u5931\u6709\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>19<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>23<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u5173\u952e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5fb7\u56fdGDP\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u60c5\u51b5\u4e5f\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u7126\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>19<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>23<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>19<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u65e0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>20<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8425\u5efa\u8bb8\u53ef\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.700M<\/td>\n1.683M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>21<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.50%<\/td>\n0.40%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>22<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19:45<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19:45<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u4e03\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.00%<\/td>\n0.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n350K<\/td>\n360K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n5.90M<\/td>\n5.80M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>23<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.50%<\/td>\n-1.40%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u4e03\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n64.1<\/td>\n65.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n62.7<\/td>\n63.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n62<\/td>\n62.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-2.00%<\/td>\n-7.20%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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