{"id":194711,"date":"2021-08-09T07:12:01","date_gmt":"2021-08-09T07:12:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=194711"},"modified":"2021-08-09T07:12:26","modified_gmt":"2021-08-09T07:12:26","slug":"20210809-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20210809-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20210809 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2021<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>13<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>2<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u589e\u5f3a\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u5e76\u4e14\u4f7f\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6210\u5458\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\u4e5f\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 92.05\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6839\u636e\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u7684\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u526f\u4e3b\u5e2d\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7\u514b\u62c9\u91cc\u8fbe\uff08Richard Clarida\uff09\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u590d\u82cf\u901f\u5ea6\u6bd4\u666e\u904d\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7684\u8981\u5feb\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5f00\u59cb\u7f29\u51cf\u5176\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u8a00\u8bba\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u7684\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u7d27\u7f29\u6027\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5c06\u51cf\u5c11\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u6d41\u901a\u91cf\u4ee5\u53ca\u672a\u6765\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5173\u952e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u8868\u73b0\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u3002\u6839\u636e\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 5.9% \u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3 5.4%\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 5.7%\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a 94.3 \u4e07\uff0c\u4e5f\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 87 \u4e07\uff0c\u63d0\u632f\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u5173\u952e\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u4ee5\u63a5\u6536\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u672c\u5468\u5c06\u6709\u56db\u4f4d\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u53d1\u8868\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u65e0\u7591\u4f1a\u5c31\u662f\u5426\u7f29\u51cf\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u53d1\u8868\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6536\u4e8e 110.20\u3002 \u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u5fb7\u5c14\u5854\u53d8\u4f53\u7684\u98d9\u5347\u4e5f\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5bf9\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u8f6c\u53d8\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u9650\u5236\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u6c47\u7387\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e 1.1755\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\u3002 \u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5173\u952e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u90fd\u5f88\u9eef\u6de1\u3002 \u6839\u636eMarkit\/CIPS\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\uff08PMI\uff09\u548c\u6b27\u5143\u533aMarkit\u7efc\u5408\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\uff08PMI\uff09\u5206\u522b\u4e3a59.8\u548c60.2\uff0c\u5747\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768460.4\u548c60.6\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(GBP\/USD)\u6c47\u7387\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u4e8e 1.3860\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u60c5\u7eea\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002 \u636e\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u5b89\u5fb7\u9c81\u00b7\u8d1d\u5229 (Andrew Bailey) \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5df2\u4ece\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u6027\u8870\u9000\u4e2d\u5927\u5e45\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u9884\u8ba1\u4eca\u5e74\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u5c06\u8d85\u8fc7 3%\u3002 \u901a\u80c0\u7387\u7684\u6025\u5267\u4e0a\u5347\u53ef\u80fd\u6697\u793a\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u6bd4\u9884\u671f\u66f4\u65e9\u5730\u6536\u7d27\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u51b3\u5b9a\u7ef4\u6301\u5f53\u524d\u5229\u7387\u5728 0.10%\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u7ef4\u6301\u91cf\u5316\u5bbd\u677e\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u4ee5\u652f\u6301\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>2<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5728\u9e70\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\u548c\u5229\u597d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4e0b\u5f15\u53d1\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u6bd4\u9884\u671f\u66f4\u65e9\u5f00\u59cb\u5b9e\u65bd\u7d27\u7f29\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\uff0c\u8fd9\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u5e76\u4e14\u5bfc\u81f4\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e0a\u5468\u66b4\u8dcc\u5e76\u4e14\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f8 1815.00 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002 \u6295\u8d44\u8005\u58eb\u731c\u6d4b\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u7d27\u7f29\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5c06\u964d\u4f4e\u672a\u6765\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u4ece\u907f\u9669\u9ec4\u91d1\u8f6c\u5411\u5176\u4ed6\u5e02\u573a\u5982\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u58f0\u660e\u76ee\u524d\u4ecd\u542b\u7cca\u4e0d\u6e05\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5e94\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u6709\u5173\u672a\u6765\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u66f4\u65b0\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u9ec4\u91d1\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u539f\u6cb9<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u632b\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e73.15\u7f8e\u5143\u3002 \u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u5229\u7a7a\u5e93\u5b58\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u51fa\u73b0\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002 \u6839\u636e\u80fd\u6e90\u4fe1\u606f\u7f72\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u4e3a 362.6 \u4e07\uff0c\u5dee\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 -310.2 \u4e07\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u5185 \u5fb7\u5c14\u5854 \u53d8\u4f53\u6570\u91cf\u6fc0\u589e\uff0c\u539f\u6cb9\u9700\u6c42\u524d\u666f\u4e0d\u4f73\uff0c\u539f\u6cb9\u5e02\u573a\u6269\u5927\u8dcc\u5e45\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u6709\u5173\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u8bc4\u4f30\u8be5\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u53d8\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u5173\u952e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u60c5\u51b5\u4e5f\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u7126\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdJOLTs\u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n9.270M<\/td>\n9.209M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdZEW\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n57.0<\/td>\n63.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e03\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.4%<\/td>\n0.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n4.8%<\/td>\n-1.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.4%<\/td>\n-0.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n373K<\/td>\n385K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdPPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e03\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.6%<\/td>\n1.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>13<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3(\u4eba) (\u4e03\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n30.0K<\/td>\n29.1K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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