{"id":200093,"date":"2021-09-06T07:07:07","date_gmt":"2021-09-06T07:07:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=200093"},"modified":"2021-09-06T07:07:07","modified_gmt":"2021-09-06T07:07:07","slug":"20210906-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20210906-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20210906 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2021<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>30<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9e3d\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e0a\u5468\u75b2\u8f6f\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5151\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u632b\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 92.10\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u6770\u514b\u900a\u970d\u5c14\u7814\u8ba8\u4f1a\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u8c28\u614e\u7684\u8bed\u6c14\u3002\u867d\u7136\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u8868\u793a\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u5f00\u59cb\u7f29\u51cf\u89c4\u6a21\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u4e5f\u8b66\u544a\u8fc7\u65e9\u6536\u7d27\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5e76\u91cd\u7533\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b9e\u73b0\u5c31\u4e1a\u6700\u5927\u5316\u4ecd\u6709\u201c\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u201d\u3002\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 1,053K \u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3 235K\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 750K\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4e3a 5.2%\uff0c\u4e0e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 5.2% \u76f8\u540c\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u5229\u7a7a\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u5c06\u4fc3\u4f7f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7ee7\u7eed\u5b9e\u65bd\u5176\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u6269\u5f20\u6027\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u589e\u52a0\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u6d41\u901a\u91cf\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u62d6\u7d2f\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u51e0\u5468\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5\u4f8b\u6697\u793a\u4e86\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u53ef\u80fd\u505c\u6ede\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u6709\u5173\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5173\u952e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u66f4\u65b0\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e 109.75\u3002 \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d2c\u503c\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u8d1f\u9762\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u907f\u9669\u65e5\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002 \u8be5\u8d1f\u9762\u7684\u6570\u636e\u5c06\u8868\u660e\u4e3b\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u4ecd\u7136\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u5bf9\u907f\u9669\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 1.1755\u3002 \u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u6574\u4f53\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d2c\u503c\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5229\u597d\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u6da8\u52bf\u3002 \u6839\u636e Destatis \u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u53d8\u5316\u4e3a -53K\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 -40K\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u4e8e 1.3625\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d2c\u503c\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u6709\u9650\u3002 \u6839\u636e Markit Economics\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u670d\u52a1\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570 (PMI) \u548c\u82f1\u56fd\u7efc\u5408\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570 (PMI) \u5206\u522b\u4e3a 55.0 \u548c 54.8\uff0c\u5747\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 55.5 \u548c 55.3\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>30<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14 (Jerome Powell) \u91ca\u653e\u9e3d\u6d3e\u7acb\u573a\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u770b\u7a7a\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u91d1\u4ef7\u98d9\u5347\u81f3\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f8 1781.15 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002 \u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u4e3e\u884c\u6770\u514b\u900a\u970d\u5c14\u6f14\u8bb2\u4e2d\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u8c28\u614e\u7684\u8bed\u6c14\u3002 \u867d\u7136\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u8868\u793a\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u5f00\u59cb\u7f29\u51cf\u89c4\u6a21\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u4e5f\u8b66\u544a\u8fc7\u65e9\u6536\u7d27\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5e76\u91cd\u7533\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b9e\u73b0\u5c31\u4e1a\u6700\u5927\u5316\u4ecd\u6709\u201c\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u201d\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u5916\u6c47\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u5bf9\u907f\u9669\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u5173\u952e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u60c5\u51b5\u4e5f\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u7126\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u539f\u6cb9\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd\u77f3\u6cb9\u5b66\u4f1a(API)\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u4fe1\u606f\u7ba1\u7406\u5c40(EIA)\u7684\u6bcf\u5468\u5e93\u5b58\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5efa\u7b51\u4e1aPMI (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n56.9<\/td>\n58.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
12:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.10%<\/td>\n0.10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
12:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdZEW\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n30.0<\/td>\n40.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
07:50<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u65e5\u672c<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672cGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.40%<\/td>\n0.30%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdJOLTs\u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a (\u4e03\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n9.281M<\/td>\n10.073M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.25%<\/td>\n0.25%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927IVEY\u5b63\u8c03\u540ePMI (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n56.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5f85\u5b9a<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19:45<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19:45<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.00%<\/td>\n0.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n335K<\/td>\n340K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdGDP\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.80%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e03\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.10%<\/td>\n0.20%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdPPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.60%<\/td>\n1.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u52a8(\u4eba) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n75.0K<\/td>\n94.0K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u6770\u514b\u900a\u970d\u5c14\u7814\u8ba8\u4f1a\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u8c28\u614e\u7684\u8bed\u6c14\u3002\u867d\u7136\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u8868\u793a\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u5f00\u59cb\u7f29\u51cf\u89c4\u6a21\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u4e5f\u8b66\u544a\u8fc7\u65e9\u6536\u7d27\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5e76\u91cd\u7533\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b9e\u73b0\u5c31\u4e1a\u6700\u5927\u5316\u4ecd\u6709\u201c\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u201d\u3002\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 1,053K \u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3 235K\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 750K\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4e3a 5.2%\uff0c\u4e0e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 5.2% \u76f8\u540c\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u5229\u7a7a\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u5c06\u4fc3\u4f7f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7ee7\u7eed\u5b9e\u65bd\u5176\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u6269\u5f20\u6027\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u589e\u52a0\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u6d41\u901a\u91cf\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u62d6\u7d2f\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u51e0\u5468\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5\u4f8b\u6697\u793a\u4e86\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u53ef\u80fd\u505c\u6ede\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u3002   \u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u6709\u5173\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5173\u952e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u66f4\u65b0\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002 \u00a0 \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e 109.75\u3002 \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d2c\u503c\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u8d1f\u9762\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u907f\u9669\u65e5\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002 \u8be5\u8d1f\u9762\u7684\u6570\u636e\u5c06\u8868\u660e\u4e3b\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u4ecd\u7136\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u5bf9\u907f\u9669\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u9700\u6c42\u3002 \u00a0 \u6b27\u6d32 \u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 1.1755\u3002 \u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u6574\u4f53\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d2c\u503c\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5229\u597d\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u6da8\u52bf\u3002 \u6839\u636e Destatis \u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u53d8\u5316\u4e3a -53K\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 -40K\u3002   \u82f1\u56fd \u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u4e8e 1.3625\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d2c\u503c\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u6709\u9650\u3002 \u6839\u636e Markit Economics\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u670d\u52a1\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570 (PMI) \u548c\u82f1\u56fd\u7efc\u5408\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570 (PMI) \u5206\u522b\u4e3a 55.0 \u548c 54.8\uff0c\u5747\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 55.5 \u548c 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