{"id":201479,"date":"2021-09-13T07:18:06","date_gmt":"2021-09-13T07:18:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=201479"},"modified":"2021-09-13T07:18:06","modified_gmt":"2021-09-13T07:18:06","slug":"20210913-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20210913-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20210913 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2021<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>13<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>13<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>17<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5151\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u98d9\u5347\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u731c\u6d4b\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5f00\u59cb\u7f29\u51cf\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u8fd9\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 92.60\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e0a\u6708\u7f8e\u56fd\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570 (PPI) \u4e3a 0.7%\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 0.6%\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u9ad8\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u5c06\u6fc0\u53d1\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u5f00\u59cb\u51cf\u5c11\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d2d\u4e70\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f29\u51cf\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u770b\u6da8\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u6da8\u52bf\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd JOLT \u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 1018.5 \u4e07\u4e2a\u8bfb\u6570\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 1093.4 \u4e07\u4e2a\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 1000 \u4e07\u4e2a\u3002\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5728\u7d27\u7f29\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u9884\u671f\u4e0b\u6269\u5927\u6da8\u5e45\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u5f00\u59cb\u51cf\u5c11\u6bcf\u6708 1,200 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u89c4\u6a21\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u5373\u5c06\u8f6c\u5411\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u540e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b65\u3002\u8be5\u653f\u7b56\u5c06\u51cf\u5c11\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u6d41\u901a\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u523a\u6fc0\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u514b\u5229\u592b\u5170\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6d1b\u96f7\u5854\u00b7\u6885\u65af\u7279 (Loretta Mester) \u5728\u5468\u4e94\u4e5f\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u5979\u4eca\u5e74\u4ecd\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u652f\u6301\u592e\u884c\u6536\u7d27\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e 109.90\u3002 \u5728\u5229\u597d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u591a\u5934\u652f\u6491\u3002 \u6839\u636e\u5185\u9601\u5e9c\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u4e0a\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c (GDP) \u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 -0.9% \u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 0.5%\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 0.4%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 1.1805\u3002\u968f\u7740\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u53d1\u51fa\u9e3d\u6d3e\u57fa\u8c03\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u6839\u636e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7ef4\u6301\u5176\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5176\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u7d27\u6025\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\uff08PEPP\uff09\u4e0b\u9009\u62e9\u653e\u6162\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8fdb\u7a0b\u7684\u6b65\u4f10\u3002\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u6295\u7968\u51b3\u5b9a\u5c06\u4e3b\u8981\u518d\u878d\u8d44\u64cd\u4f5c\u7684\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728 0%\uff0c\u5c06\u8fb9\u9645\u8d37\u6b3e\u5de5\u5177\u7684\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728 0.25%\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u5b58\u6b3e\u5de5\u5177\u7684\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728 -0.5%\u3002\u8be5\u592e\u884c\u8fd8\u91cd\u7533\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5b9e\u65bd\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u6269\u5f20\u6027\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u4e2d\u671f\u5185\u901a\u80c0\u7a33\u5b9a\u5728 2%\u3002\u5728\u901a\u80c0\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u5728 8 \u6708\u521b\u4e0b 3% \u7684\u5341\u5e74\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u8fd9\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5bf9\u901a\u80c0\u6210\u4e3a\u6301\u7eed\u6027\u800c\u975e\u201c\u6682\u65f6\u6027\u201d\u5371\u9669\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u4e00\u4e9b\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u63a8\u6d4b\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u5728 12 \u6708\u5ba3\u5e03\u524a\u51cf\u5176\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u4e8e1.3625\u3002 \u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u589e\u957f\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u4e5f\u56e0\u82f1\u56fd\u7684\u5229\u7a7a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u800c\u4e0b\u632b\u3002 \u6839\u636e\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 0.2% \u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3 0.0%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 0.1%\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4e50\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5e76\u4e14\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f8 1783.00 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002 \u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fdb\u5c55\u4ecd\u7136\u6301\u4e50\u89c2\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u4ece\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u8f6c\u5411\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u573a\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u98ce\u9669\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7f29\u51cf\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u3002 \u8be5\u653f\u7b56\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c11\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u6d41\u901a\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u964d\u4f4e\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u62d6\u7d2f\u907f\u9669\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>17<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u5173\u952e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u60c5\u51b5\u4e5f\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u7126\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>17<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>13<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u65e0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>14<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u542b\u7ea2\u5229\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u5e73\u5747\u5de5\u8d44\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u4e03\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n8.20%<\/td>\n8.80%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u7533\u8bf7\u4eba\u6570(\u4eba) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-7.8K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.30%<\/td>\n0.30%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>15<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u4e2d\u56fd<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u89c4\u6a21\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5de5\u4e1a\u589e\u52a0\u503c\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n5.80%<\/td>\n6.40%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n2.90%<\/td>\n2.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.60%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>16<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
06:45<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u65b0\u897f\u5170<\/td>\n\u65b0\u897f\u5170GDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.50%<\/td>\n1.60%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3(\u4eba) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-70.0K<\/td>\n2.2K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.10%<\/td>\n-0.40%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n318K<\/td>\n310K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570 (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n19<\/td>\n19.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-1.00%<\/td>\n-1.10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>17<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.50%<\/td>\n-2.50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n3.00%<\/td>\n2.20%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2021\u5e749\u670813\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790   GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a9\u670813\u65e5\u81f317\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a9\u67086\u65e5\u81f310\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5151\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u98d9\u5347\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u731c\u6d4b\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5f00\u59cb\u7f29\u51cf\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u8fd9\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 92.60\u3002   \u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e0a\u6708\u7f8e\u56fd\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570 (PPI) \u4e3a 0.7%\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 0.6%\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u9ad8\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u5c06\u6fc0\u53d1\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u5f00\u59cb\u51cf\u5c11\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d2d\u4e70\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f29\u51cf\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u770b\u6da8\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u6da8\u52bf\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd JOLT \u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 1018.5 \u4e07\u4e2a\u8bfb\u6570\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 1093.4 \u4e07\u4e2a\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 1000 \u4e07\u4e2a\u3002\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5728\u7d27\u7f29\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u9884\u671f\u4e0b\u6269\u5927\u6da8\u5e45\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u5f00\u59cb\u51cf\u5c11\u6bcf\u6708 1,200 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u89c4\u6a21\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u5373\u5c06\u8f6c\u5411\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u540e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b65\u3002\u8be5\u653f\u7b56\u5c06\u51cf\u5c11\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u6d41\u901a\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u523a\u6fc0\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u514b\u5229\u592b\u5170\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6d1b\u96f7\u5854\u00b7\u6885\u65af\u7279 (Loretta Mester) \u5728\u5468\u4e94\u4e5f\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u5979\u4eca\u5e74\u4ecd\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u652f\u6301\u592e\u884c\u6536\u7d27\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u3002 \u00a0 \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e 109.90\u3002 \u5728\u5229\u597d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u591a\u5934\u652f\u6491\u3002 \u6839\u636e\u5185\u9601\u5e9c\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u4e0a\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c (GDP) \u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 -0.9% \u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 0.5%\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 0.4%\u3002 \u00a0 \u6b27\u6d32 \u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 1.1805\u3002\u968f\u7740\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u53d1\u51fa\u9e3d\u6d3e\u57fa\u8c03\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u6839\u636e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7ef4\u6301\u5176\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5176\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u7d27\u6025\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\uff08PEPP\uff09\u4e0b\u9009\u62e9\u653e\u6162\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8fdb\u7a0b\u7684\u6b65\u4f10\u3002\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u6295\u7968\u51b3\u5b9a\u5c06\u4e3b\u8981\u518d\u878d\u8d44\u64cd\u4f5c\u7684\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728 0%\uff0c\u5c06\u8fb9\u9645\u8d37\u6b3e\u5de5\u5177\u7684\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728 0.25%\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u5b58\u6b3e\u5de5\u5177\u7684\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728 -0.5%\u3002\u8be5\u592e\u884c\u8fd8\u91cd\u7533\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5b9e\u65bd\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u6269\u5f20\u6027\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u4e2d\u671f\u5185\u901a\u80c0\u7a33\u5b9a\u5728 2%\u3002\u5728\u901a\u80c0\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u5728 8 \u6708\u521b\u4e0b 3% \u7684\u5341\u5e74\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u8fd9\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5bf9\u901a\u80c0\u6210\u4e3a\u6301\u7eed\u6027\u800c\u975e\u201c\u6682\u65f6\u6027\u201d\u5371\u9669\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u4e00\u4e9b\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u63a8\u6d4b\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u5728 12 \u6708\u5ba3\u5e03\u524a\u51cf\u5176\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u3002   \u82f1\u56fd 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