{"id":202939,"date":"2021-09-20T07:20:29","date_gmt":"2021-09-20T07:20:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=202939"},"modified":"2021-09-20T07:20:29","modified_gmt":"2021-09-20T07:20:29","slug":"20210920-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20210920-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20210920 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2021<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>20<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>20<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>24<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>17<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9e70\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e0a\u5468\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5151\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u5927\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 93.25\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u9e70\u6d3e\u9884\u671f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u5f00\u59cb\u51cf\u5c11\u5176\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\u5c3d\u7ba1 \u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5\u4f8b\u6fc0\u589e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u8d8b\u52bf\u4ecd\u7136\u770b\u6da8\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u5e15\u7279\u91cc\u514b\u00b7\u54c8\u514b(Patrick Harker)\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u4ed6\u652f\u6301\u7f8e\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u4eca\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u7f29\u51cf\u89c4\u6a21\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u514b\u5229\u592b\u5170\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6d1b\u96f7\u5854\u00b7\u6885\u65af\u7279\uff08Loretta Mester\uff09\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6210\u5458\u4e5f\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u6536\u7d27\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u3002\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u51cf\u5c11\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5411\u7d27\u7f29\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8fc8\u51fa\u4e00\u6b65\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u51cf\u5c11\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u6d41\u901a\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u589e\u52a0\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5728\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4e50\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u6da8\u52bf\u3002\u6839\u636e\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 19.4 \u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 30.7\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 18.8\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u5c40\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0a\u6708\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 -1.8% \u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 0.7%\uff0c\u4e5f\u8fdc\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 -0.8%\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u4e24\u9879\u5173\u952e\u6570\u636e\u5747\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8fd9\u7f13\u89e3\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6025\u5267\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u52a8\u80fd\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u524d\u666f\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u5927\u591a\u6570\u6210\u5458\u6700\u8fd1\u90fd\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u4f46\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u6770\u514b\u900a\u970d\u5c14\u6f14\u8bb2\u4e2d\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u8c28\u614e\u7684\u8bed\u6c14\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u58f0\u660e\u4ecd\u7136\u542b\u7cca\u4e0d\u6e05\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5efa\u8bae\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u672c\u5468 FOMC \u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6536\u4e8e 109.90\u3002 \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5229\u7a7a\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002 \u636e\u8d22\u52a1\u5927\u81e3\u79f0\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u51fa\u53e3\u5df2\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 37.0% \u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f3 26.2 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 34.0%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 1.1710\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6b27\u6d32\u5e02\u573a\u7f3a\u4e4f\u50ac\u5316\u5242\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u6574\u4f53\u8d70\u52bf\u4ecd\u7136\u4f4e\u8ff7\u3002 \u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u66f4\u65b0\uff0c\u4ee5\u63a5\u6536\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u4e8e 1.3625\u3002\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5229\u7a7a\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u632b\u3002\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u82f1\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u610f\u5916\u518d\u6b21\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u521b\u4e0b\u6708\u5ea6\u8fde\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u7eaa\u5f55\uff0c\u8fd9\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u82f1\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u3002\u6839\u636e\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u96f6\u552e\u989d\u4e3a -0.9%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 0.5%\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u77ed\u7f3a\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u4e2d\u65ad\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u96f6\u552e\u5546\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u6323\u624e\u5730\u4fdd\u6301\u5546\u54c1\u5145\u8db3\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u8d1f\u9762\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5c06\u6fc0\u53d1\u4eba\u4eec\u5e0c\u671b\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5728\u8f83\u957f\u671f\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u7ef4\u6301\u5176\u6269\u5f20\u6027\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8ba1\u5212\u4ee5\u63d0\u632f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u52a8\u529b\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5927\u591a\u6570\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u8ba1\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u8981\u5230\u660e\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u624d\u4f1a\u5f00\u59cb\u6536\u7d27\uff0c\u4f46\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u8ba4\u4e3a 2 \u6708\u4efd\u9996\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u63a5\u8fd1 60%\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>17<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4e50\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5e76\u4e14\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f8 1783.00 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002 \u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fdb\u5c55\u4ecd\u7136\u6301\u4e50\u89c2\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u4ece\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u8f6c\u5411\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u573a\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u98ce\u9669\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7f29\u51cf\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u3002 \u8be5\u653f\u7b56\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c11\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u6d41\u901a\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u964d\u4f4e\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u62d6\u7d2f\u907f\u9669\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>20<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>24<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u5173\u952e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5982FOMC\u4f1a\u8bae\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u60c5\u51b5\u4e5f\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u7126\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>20<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>24<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>20<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u65e0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>21<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8425\u5efa\u8bb8\u53ef\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.600M<\/td>\n1.630M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>22<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u65e5\u672c<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u65e5\u672c<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u53ec\u5f00\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n5.88M<\/td>\n5.99M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>23<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
02:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9884\u6d4b<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
02:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
02:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.25%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
02:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u745e\u58eb<\/td>\n\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.75%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u745e\u58eb<\/td>\n\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8bc4\u4f30<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n61.5<\/td>\n62.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u7efc\u5408PMI\u6307\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n54.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n59<\/td>\n60.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n55<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.10%<\/td>\n0.10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n320K<\/td>\n332K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e03\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-1.70%<\/td>\n4.70%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>24<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u6d32<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdIFO\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n98.9<\/td>\n99.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u65b0\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n713K<\/td>\n708K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2021\u5e749\u670820\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790   GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a9\u670820\u65e5\u81f324\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a9\u670813\u65e5\u81f317\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9e70\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e0a\u5468\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5151\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u5927\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 93.25\u3002   \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u9e70\u6d3e\u9884\u671f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u5f00\u59cb\u51cf\u5c11\u5176\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\u5c3d\u7ba1 \u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5\u4f8b\u6fc0\u589e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u8d8b\u52bf\u4ecd\u7136\u770b\u6da8\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u5e15\u7279\u91cc\u514b\u00b7\u54c8\u514b(Patrick Harker)\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u4ed6\u652f\u6301\u7f8e\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u4eca\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u7f29\u51cf\u89c4\u6a21\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u514b\u5229\u592b\u5170\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6d1b\u96f7\u5854\u00b7\u6885\u65af\u7279\uff08Loretta Mester\uff09\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6210\u5458\u4e5f\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u6536\u7d27\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u3002\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u51cf\u5c11\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5411\u7d27\u7f29\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8fc8\u51fa\u4e00\u6b65\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u51cf\u5c11\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u6d41\u901a\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u589e\u52a0\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5728\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4e50\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u6da8\u52bf\u3002\u6839\u636e\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 19.4 \u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 30.7\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 18.8\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u5c40\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0a\u6708\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 -1.8% \u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 0.7%\uff0c\u4e5f\u8fdc\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 -0.8%\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u4e24\u9879\u5173\u952e\u6570\u636e\u5747\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8fd9\u7f13\u89e3\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6025\u5267\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u52a8\u80fd\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u524d\u666f\u3002   \u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u5927\u591a\u6570\u6210\u5458\u6700\u8fd1\u90fd\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u4f46\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u6770\u514b\u900a\u970d\u5c14\u6f14\u8bb2\u4e2d\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u8c28\u614e\u7684\u8bed\u6c14\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u58f0\u660e\u4ecd\u7136\u542b\u7cca\u4e0d\u6e05\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5efa\u8bae\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u672c\u5468 FOMC \u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u8d70\u52bf\u3002 \u00a0 \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6536\u4e8e 109.90\u3002 \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5229\u7a7a\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002 \u636e\u8d22\u52a1\u5927\u81e3\u79f0\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u51fa\u53e3\u5df2\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 37.0% \u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f3 26.2 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 34.0%\u3002 \u00a0 \u6b27\u6d32 \u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 1.1710\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6b27\u6d32\u5e02\u573a\u7f3a\u4e4f\u50ac\u5316\u5242\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u6574\u4f53\u8d70\u52bf\u4ecd\u7136\u4f4e\u8ff7\u3002 \u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u66f4\u65b0\uff0c\u4ee5\u63a5\u6536\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002   \u82f1\u56fd \u4e0a\u5468\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u4e8e 1.3625\u3002\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5229\u7a7a\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u632b\u3002\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u82f1\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u610f\u5916\u518d\u6b21\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u521b\u4e0b\u6708\u5ea6\u8fde\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u7eaa\u5f55\uff0c\u8fd9\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u82f1\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u3002\u6839\u636e\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u96f6\u552e\u989d\u4e3a -0.9%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 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