{"id":204353,"date":"2021-09-27T07:20:44","date_gmt":"2021-09-27T07:20:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=204353"},"modified":"2021-09-27T07:20:44","modified_gmt":"2021-09-27T07:20:44","slug":"20210927-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20210927-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20210927 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2021<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>27<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>27<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>20<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>24<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u5229\u597d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\u589e\u5f3a\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fdb\u5c55\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u5927\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 93.20\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u53d7\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u5f00\u59cb\u51cf\u5c11\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u8d8b\u52bf\u4ecd\u7136\u770b\u6da8\u3002\u6839\u636e\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5efa\u7b51\u8bb8\u53ef\u8bc1\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 163 \u4e07\u4efd\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 172.8 \u4e07\u4efd\uff0c\u8d85\u8d8a\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 160 \u4e07\u4efd\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u5c40\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u65b0\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u4ece\u5148\u524d\u7684 72.9 \u4e07\u5957\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 74 \u4e07\u5957\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 71.4 \u4e07\u5957\uff0c\u8fd9\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u52bf\u5934\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u524d\u666f\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6210\u5458\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u53d1\u51fa\u9e70\u6d3e\u7684\u58f0\u660e\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u6da8\u52bf\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u582a\u8428\u65af\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u57c3\u65af\u7279\u4e54\u6cbb(George Esther)\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fbe\u5230\u4e86\u592e\u884c\u7f29\u51cf\u6bcf\u6708\u8d2d\u503a\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u9664\u4e86\uff0c\u514b\u5229\u592b\u5170\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6d1b\u96f7\u5854\u00b7\u6885\u65af\u7279 (Loretta Mester) \u8fd8\u91cd\u7533\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5c31\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\u7ee7\u7eed\u663e\u7740\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u660e\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u5f00\u59cb\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u6700\u5927\u7684\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5f00\u53d1\u5546\u6052\u5927\u7684\u503a\u52a1\u5371\u673a\u5bfc\u81f4\u5916\u6c47\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u907f\u9669\u7f8e\u5143\u4e5f\u83b7\u5f97\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5176\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u4ece\u5176\u4ed6\u98ce\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u8f6c\u5411\u7f8e\u5143\u7b49\u7684\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u7684\u58f0\u660e\u4ecd\u7136\u542b\u7cca\u4e0d\u6e05\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5efa\u8bae\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u5173\u952e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u66f4\u65b0\u4ee5\u53ca\u672a\u6765\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e 109.90\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u907f\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u5347\u503c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u3002 \u5728\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u96c6\u56e2\u4e2d\u56fd\u6052\u5927\u7684\u9ebb\u70e6\u5f15\u53d1\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6ea2\u51fa\u6548\u5e94\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u907f\u9669\u65e5\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u663e\u7740\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u4ece\u98ce\u9669\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u8f6c\u5411\u65e5\u5143\u548c\u745e\u58eb\u6cd5\u90ce\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u731c\u6d4b\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728 FOMC \u4f1a\u8bae\u671f\u95f4\u91ca\u653e\u9e70\u6d3e\u7684\u57fa\u8c03\u3002 \u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u5229\u7387\u9884\u671f\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u5bf9\u76c8\u5229\u548c\u516c\u53f8\u5185\u5728\u4ef7\u503c\u4ea7\u751f\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u62d6\u7d2f\u5168\u7403\u80a1\u5e02\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u589e\u52a0\u907f\u9669\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 1.1710\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6b27\u6d32\u5e02\u573a\u7f3a\u4e4f\u50ac\u5316\u5242\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u6574\u4f53\u8d70\u52bf\u4ecd\u7136\u4f4e\u8ff7\u3002 \u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u6709\u5173\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u66f4\u65b0\uff0c\u4ee5\u63a5\u6536\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u4e8e 1.3680\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u53d1\u51fa\u9e70\u6d3e\u7684\u7acb\u573a\u540e\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u98d9\u5347\u3002\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u7ee7\u7eed\u5236\u5b9a\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u5b9e\u73b0 2% \u7684\u901a\u80c0\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u67d0\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u63d0\u632f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u548c\u5c31\u4e1a\u7387\u3002\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a (MPC) \u4e00\u81f4\u6295\u7968\u51b3\u5b9a\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728 0.1%\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u7ee7\u7eed\u5176\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\u3002\u5728\u901a\u80c0\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u8b66\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u53ef\u80fd\u6500\u5347\u81f3\u201c\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e\u201d4%\uff0c\u662f\u76ee\u6807\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u4e24\u500d\uff0c\u8fd9\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u6536\u7d27\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u53d7\u5230\u770b\u8dcc\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u9650\u5236\u3002\u6839\u636e Markit Economics\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570 (PMI) \u4ece\u5148\u524d\u7684 60.3 \u964d\u81f3 56.3\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 59.0\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>20<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>24<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7531\u4e8e\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u96c6\u56e2\u4e2d\u56fd\u6052\u5927\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6ea2\u51fa\u6548\u5e94\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u51fa\u73b0\u907f\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u5e76\u4e14\u5bfc\u81f4\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ece\u98ce\u9669\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u8f6c\u5411\u9ec4\u91d1\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u91d1\u4ef7\u5927\u5e45\u98d9\u5347\u81f3\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f8 1760.00 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002 \u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u516c\u53f8\u4e2d\u56fd\u6052\u5927\u96c6\u56e2\u8d1f\u503a\u8d85\u8fc7 3000 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u6709\u62a5\u9053\u79f0\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u65e0\u6cd5\u507f\u8fd8\u5176\u79bb\u5cb8\u503a\u5238\u7684\u5229\u606f\u652f\u4ed8\u671f\u9650\u3002 \u503a\u52a1\u507f\u8fd8\u5931\u8d25\u53ef\u80fd\u8feb\u4f7f\u516c\u53f8\u7834\u4ea7\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u884c\u4e1a\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u5371\u673a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>27<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u5173\u952e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u60c5\u51b5\u4e5f\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u7126\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>27<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>27<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19:45<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n <\/td>\n <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6263\u9664\u8fd0\u8f93\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.50%<\/td>\n0.80%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>28<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
02:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8d1d\u5229(Andrew Bailey)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-2.50%<\/td>\n-2.79%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8c18\u5546\u4f1a\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570 (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n114.5<\/td>\n113.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u53d1\u8868\u8bc1\u8bcd\u9648\u8ff0<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>29<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u6210\u5c4b\u7b7e\u7ea6\u9500\u552e\u6307\u6570\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.30%<\/td>\n-1.80%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f53\u5468EIA\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u53d8\u52a8(\u6876)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-3.481M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:45<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8d1d\u5229(Andrew Bailey)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:45<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:45<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>30<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u4e2d\u56fd<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b98\u65b9\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n50.2<\/td>\n50.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:45<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u4e2d\u56fd<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u8d22\u65b0\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n49.6<\/td>\n49.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n4.80%<\/td>\n4.80%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:55<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u5931\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u52a8 (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-35K<\/td>\n-53K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b9e\u9645GDP\u5e74\u5316\u5b63\u7387 (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n6.60%<\/td>\n6.60%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n328K<\/td>\n351K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
07:50<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u65e5\u672c<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u77ed\u89c2\u5927\u578b\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u5224\u65ad\u6307\u6570 (\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
07:50<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u65e5\u672c<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u77ed\u89c2\u5927\u578b\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u5224\u65ad\u6307\u6570 (\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:55<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n58.5<\/td>\n58.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n56.3<\/td>\n56.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n3.30%<\/td>\n3.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927GDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e03\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.20%<\/td>\n0.70%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n59.5<\/td>\n59.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2021\u5e749\u670827\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790   GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a9\u670827\u65e5\u81f310\u67081\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a9\u670820\u65e5\u81f324\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u5229\u597d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\u589e\u5f3a\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fdb\u5c55\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u5927\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 93.20\u3002   \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u53d7\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u5f00\u59cb\u51cf\u5c11\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u8d8b\u52bf\u4ecd\u7136\u770b\u6da8\u3002\u6839\u636e\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5efa\u7b51\u8bb8\u53ef\u8bc1\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 163 \u4e07\u4efd\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 172.8 \u4e07\u4efd\uff0c\u8d85\u8d8a\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 160 \u4e07\u4efd\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u5c40\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u65b0\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u4ece\u5148\u524d\u7684 72.9 \u4e07\u5957\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 74 \u4e07\u5957\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 71.4 \u4e07\u5957\uff0c\u8fd9\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u52bf\u5934\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u524d\u666f\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6210\u5458\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u53d1\u51fa\u9e70\u6d3e\u7684\u58f0\u660e\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u6da8\u52bf\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u582a\u8428\u65af\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u57c3\u65af\u7279\u4e54\u6cbb(George Esther)\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fbe\u5230\u4e86\u592e\u884c\u7f29\u51cf\u6bcf\u6708\u8d2d\u503a\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u9664\u4e86\uff0c\u514b\u5229\u592b\u5170\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6d1b\u96f7\u5854\u00b7\u6885\u65af\u7279 (Loretta Mester) \u8fd8\u91cd\u7533\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5c31\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\u7ee7\u7eed\u663e\u7740\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u660e\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u5f00\u59cb\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u6700\u5927\u7684\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5f00\u53d1\u5546\u6052\u5927\u7684\u503a\u52a1\u5371\u673a\u5bfc\u81f4\u5916\u6c47\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u907f\u9669\u7f8e\u5143\u4e5f\u83b7\u5f97\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5176\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u4ece\u5176\u4ed6\u98ce\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u8f6c\u5411\u7f8e\u5143\u7b49\u7684\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002   \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u7684\u58f0\u660e\u4ecd\u7136\u542b\u7cca\u4e0d\u6e05\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5efa\u8bae\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u5173\u952e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u66f4\u65b0\u4ee5\u53ca\u672a\u6765\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002 \u00a0 \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e 109.90\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u907f\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u5347\u503c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u3002 \u5728\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u96c6\u56e2\u4e2d\u56fd\u6052\u5927\u7684\u9ebb\u70e6\u5f15\u53d1\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6ea2\u51fa\u6548\u5e94\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u907f\u9669\u65e5\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u663e\u7740\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u4ece\u98ce\u9669\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u8f6c\u5411\u65e5\u5143\u548c\u745e\u58eb\u6cd5\u90ce\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u731c\u6d4b\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728 FOMC \u4f1a\u8bae\u671f\u95f4\u91ca\u653e\u9e70\u6d3e\u7684\u57fa\u8c03\u3002 \u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u5229\u7387\u9884\u671f\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u5bf9\u76c8\u5229\u548c\u516c\u53f8\u5185\u5728\u4ef7\u503c\u4ea7\u751f\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u62d6\u7d2f\u5168\u7403\u80a1\u5e02\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u589e\u52a0\u907f\u9669\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002 \u00a0 \u6b27\u6d32 \u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 1.1710\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6b27\u6d32\u5e02\u573a\u7f3a\u4e4f\u50ac\u5316\u5242\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u6574\u4f53\u8d70\u52bf\u4ecd\u7136\u4f4e\u8ff7\u3002 \u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u6709\u5173\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u66f4\u65b0\uff0c\u4ee5\u63a5\u6536\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002   \u82f1\u56fd \u4e0a\u5468\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u4e8e 1.3680\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u53d1\u51fa\u9e70\u6d3e\u7684\u7acb\u573a\u540e\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u98d9\u5347\u3002\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u7ee7\u7eed\u5236\u5b9a\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u5b9e\u73b0 2% \u7684\u901a\u80c0\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u67d0\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u63d0\u632f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u548c\u5c31\u4e1a\u7387\u3002\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a (MPC) \u4e00\u81f4\u6295\u7968\u51b3\u5b9a\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728 0.1%\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u7ee7\u7eed\u5176\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\u3002\u5728\u901a\u80c0\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u8b66\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u53ef\u80fd\u6500\u5347\u81f3\u201c\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e\u201d4%\uff0c\u662f\u76ee\u6807\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u4e24\u500d\uff0c\u8fd9\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u6536\u7d27\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u53d7\u5230\u770b\u8dcc\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u9650\u5236\u3002\u6839\u636e 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