{"id":209877,"date":"2021-10-25T07:25:43","date_gmt":"2021-10-25T07:25:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=209877"},"modified":"2021-10-25T07:25:43","modified_gmt":"2021-10-25T07:25:43","slug":"20201025-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20201025-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20201025 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2021<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>18<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>25<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>29<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>18<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>22<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u968f\u7740\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5229\u7a7a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9e3d\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5151\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u5927\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 93.55\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u9e3d\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u8fd9\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u5728\u5468\u4e94\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5e94\u8be5\u5728 11 \u6708\u5f00\u59cb\u7f29\u51cf\u5176\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u7684\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u4f46\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\u73b0\u5728\u8fd8\u4e0d\u662f\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4ecd\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e\u592e\u884c 2% \u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5df2\u627f\u8bfa\u5c06\u57fa\u51c6\u9694\u591c\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u76ee\u524d\u63a5\u8fd1\u96f6\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6062\u590d\u5230\u5145\u5206\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u3002\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u63a8\u6d4b 2022 \u5e74\u5c06\u9700\u8981\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u8ba4\u4e3a\u53ef\u80fd\u5fc5\u987b\u5728\u590f\u5b63\u4e4b\u524d\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u7f8e\u56fd9\u6708\u623f\u5c4b\u5efa\u7b51\u4e1a\u5728\u539f\u6750\u6599\u548c\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u4e25\u91cd\u77ed\u7f3a\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u610f\u5916\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u52a8\u80fd\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u5e76\u5bfc\u81f4\u7f8e\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u8dcc\u52bf\u3002\u6839\u636e\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5efa\u7b51\u8bb8\u53ef\u8bc1\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 172.1 \u4e07\u4efd\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3 158.9 \u4e07\u4efd\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 168 \u4e07\u4efd\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\u4ec5\u62a5 23.8\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 25.0\u3002\u91cc\u58eb\u6ee1\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6258\u9a6c\u65af\u00b7\u5df4\u91d1(Thomas Barkin)\u5728\u5468\u4e8c\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u77ed\u7f3a\u95ee\u9898\u53ef\u80fd\u6bd4\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u66f4\u957f\uff0c\u5e76\u9650\u5236\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u8be5\u56fd\u56e0\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u63d0\u51fa\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u85aa\u916c\u4ee5\u589e\u52a0\u5de5\u4f5c\u4eba\u6570\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u5c06\u5728 11 \u6708\u5f00\u59cb\u8ba8\u8bba\u672a\u6765\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u5b9a\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u63a8\u6d4b\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5ba3\u5e03\u7f29\u51cf\u5176\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u6697\u793a\u672a\u6765\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u8868\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u58f0\u660e\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u66f4\u65b0\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e 113.45\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d2c\u503c\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u8be5\u6c47\u7387\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u65e5\u5143\u75b2\u8f6f\u7684\u9650\u5236\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u6307\u521b\u4e0b\u76d8\u4e2d\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\u60c5\u7eea\u4f7f\u907f\u9669\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u75b2\u8f6f\u3002 \u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u76c8\u5229\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u4fdd\u6301\u4e50\u89c2\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e00\u4e9b\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u5f15\u7528\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u95ee\u9898\u548c\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u4eec\u4f3c\u4e4e\u80fd\u591f\u901a\u8fc7\u5c06\u6210\u672c\u8f6c\u5ac1\u7ed9\u5ba2\u6237\u6765\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u6da6\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 1.1585\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u6b27\u5143\u6574\u4f53\u52bf\u5934\u4f9d\u7136\u770b\u6da8\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d2c\u503c\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u5229\u597d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u6da8\u52bf\u3002 \u6839\u636e Markit Economics\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570 (PMI) \u4e3a 58.2\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 56.5\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6536\u4e8e 1.3760\u3002\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u597d\u574f\u53c2\u534a\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u4ea4\u6613\u6301\u5e73\u3002\u5728\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6570\u636e\u4e3a -0.2%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 0.5%\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u6839\u636e Markit Economics \u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u7efc\u5408\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570 (PMI) \u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 54.9 \u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 56.8\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 54.0\u3002\u5728\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u300a\u536b\u62a5\u300b\u62a5\u9053\u79f0\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8ba4\u4e3a 11 \u6708\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e3a 56%\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u58f0\u660e\u4ecd\u7136\u542b\u7cca\u4e0d\u6e05\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u4ed4\u7ec6\u5ba1\u67e5\u6709\u5173\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u5b9a\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u4ee5\u63a5\u6536\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u5b9a\u4e8e12\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u5f00\u4f1a\uff0c\u8ba8\u8bba\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u540e\u5c31\u4e1a\u7387\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u672a\u6765\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u95ee\u9898\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u5f97\u5230\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u4ee5\u51b3\u5b9a\u7d27\u7f29\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u5b9e\u65bd\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>18<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>22<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u672a\u6765\u7684\u9e3d\u6d3e\u9884\u671f\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u5bf9\u907f\u9669\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u5468\u98d9\u5347\u81f3\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f8 1792.75 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c \u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u5c06\u5176\u65e9\u5148\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u7acb\u573a\u8f6c\u53d8\u4e3a\u9e3d\u6d3e\u7acb\u573a\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u52bf\u5934\u4ecd\u7136\u770b\u6da8\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u60c5\u7eea\u4ecd\u7136\u6a21\u7cca\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u4ee5\u63a5\u6536\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002 \u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5f00\u59cb\u7f29\u51cf\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c11\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u6d41\u901a\u91cf\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u964d\u4f4e\u672a\u6765\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\u5bf9\u907f\u9669\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>25<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>29<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u5173\u952e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5982\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u60c5\u51b5\u4e5f\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u7126\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>25<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>29<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>25<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdIFO\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n97.9<\/td>\n98.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>26<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8c18\u5546\u4f1a\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570 (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n108.8<\/td>\n109.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u65b0\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n755K<\/td>\n740K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>27<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
08:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9aCPI\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.80%<\/td>\n0.80%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6263\u9664\u8fd0\u8f93\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.40%<\/td>\n0.30%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.25%<\/td>\n0.25%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>28<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5f85\u5b9a<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u65e5\u672c<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5f85\u5b9a<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u65e5\u672c<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u5b63\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c55\u671b\u62a5\u544a (\u540c\u6bd4)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:55<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u5931\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u52a8 (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-20K<\/td>\n-30K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19:45<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b9e\u9645GDP\u5e74\u5316\u5b63\u7387 (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n2.80%<\/td>\n6.70%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n292K<\/td>\n290K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u6210\u5c4b\u7b7e\u7ea6\u9500\u552e\u6307\u6570\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.50%<\/td>\n8.10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>29<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
08:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6fb3\u6d32<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.20%<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n2.20%<\/td>\n1.60%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u6b27\u76df<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n3.70%<\/td>\n3.40%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927GDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516b\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.70%<\/td>\n-0.10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2021\u5e7410\u670818\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790   GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a10\u670825\u65e5\u81f329\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a10\u670818\u65e5\u81f322\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u968f\u7740\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5229\u7a7a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9e3d\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5151\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u5927\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 93.55\u3002   \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u9e3d\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u8fd9\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u5728\u5468\u4e94\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5e94\u8be5\u5728 11 \u6708\u5f00\u59cb\u7f29\u51cf\u5176\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u7684\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u4f46\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\u73b0\u5728\u8fd8\u4e0d\u662f\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4ecd\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e\u592e\u884c 2% \u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5df2\u627f\u8bfa\u5c06\u57fa\u51c6\u9694\u591c\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u76ee\u524d\u63a5\u8fd1\u96f6\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6062\u590d\u5230\u5145\u5206\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u3002\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u63a8\u6d4b 2022 \u5e74\u5c06\u9700\u8981\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u8ba4\u4e3a\u53ef\u80fd\u5fc5\u987b\u5728\u590f\u5b63\u4e4b\u524d\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u7f8e\u56fd9\u6708\u623f\u5c4b\u5efa\u7b51\u4e1a\u5728\u539f\u6750\u6599\u548c\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u4e25\u91cd\u77ed\u7f3a\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u610f\u5916\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u52a8\u80fd\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u5e76\u5bfc\u81f4\u7f8e\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u8dcc\u52bf\u3002\u6839\u636e\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5efa\u7b51\u8bb8\u53ef\u8bc1\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 172.1 \u4e07\u4efd\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3 158.9 \u4e07\u4efd\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 168 \u4e07\u4efd\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\u4ec5\u62a5 23.8\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 25.0\u3002\u91cc\u58eb\u6ee1\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6258\u9a6c\u65af\u00b7\u5df4\u91d1(Thomas Barkin)\u5728\u5468\u4e8c\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u77ed\u7f3a\u95ee\u9898\u53ef\u80fd\u6bd4\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u66f4\u957f\uff0c\u5e76\u9650\u5236\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u8be5\u56fd\u56e0\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u63d0\u51fa\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u85aa\u916c\u4ee5\u589e\u52a0\u5de5\u4f5c\u4eba\u6570\u3002   \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u5c06\u5728 11 \u6708\u5f00\u59cb\u8ba8\u8bba\u672a\u6765\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u5b9a\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u63a8\u6d4b\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5ba3\u5e03\u7f29\u51cf\u5176\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u6697\u793a\u672a\u6765\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u8868\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u58f0\u660e\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u66f4\u65b0\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u3002 \u00a0 \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e 113.45\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d2c\u503c\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u8be5\u6c47\u7387\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u65e5\u5143\u75b2\u8f6f\u7684\u9650\u5236\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u6307\u521b\u4e0b\u76d8\u4e2d\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\u60c5\u7eea\u4f7f\u907f\u9669\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u75b2\u8f6f\u3002 \u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u76c8\u5229\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u4fdd\u6301\u4e50\u89c2\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e00\u4e9b\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u5f15\u7528\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u95ee\u9898\u548c\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u4eec\u4f3c\u4e4e\u80fd\u591f\u901a\u8fc7\u5c06\u6210\u672c\u8f6c\u5ac1\u7ed9\u5ba2\u6237\u6765\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u6da6\u7387\u3002 \u00a0 \u6b27\u6d32 \u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 1.1585\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u6b27\u5143\u6574\u4f53\u52bf\u5934\u4f9d\u7136\u770b\u6da8\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d2c\u503c\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u5229\u597d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u6da8\u52bf\u3002 \u6839\u636e Markit Economics\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570 (PMI) \u4e3a 58.2\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 56.5\u3002   \u82f1\u56fd \u4e0a\u5468\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6536\u4e8e 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