{"id":214025,"date":"2021-11-15T07:29:51","date_gmt":"2021-11-15T07:29:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=214025"},"modified":"2021-11-15T07:29:51","modified_gmt":"2021-11-15T07:29:51","slug":"20211115-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20211115-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20211115 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2021<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>15<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>15<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>19<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5728\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\u6697\u793a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u6536\u7f29\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5e76\u63d0\u9ad8\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5151\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u6269\u5927\u6da8\u5e45\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 93.95\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40 (Bureau of Labor Statistics) \u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0a\u6708\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570 (PPI) \u8f83 9 \u6708\u4e0a\u6da8 0.6%\uff0c\u4e0e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 0.6% \u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\uff08CPI\uff09\u4ece\u5148\u524d\u7684 0.2% \u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 0.6%\uff0c\u8d85\u51fa\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 0.4%\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u91cd\u7533\u5176\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u4e0a\u6da8\u53ea\u662f\u6682\u65f6\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u8bb8\u591a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u62c5\u5fc3\u4f4e\u4f30\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u4ee3\u4ef7\u9ad8\u6602\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u9519\u8bef\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u526f\u4e3b\u5e2d\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7\u514b\u62c9\u91cc\u8fbe(Richard Clarida)\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u901a\u80c0\u3001\u5c31\u4e1a\u548c\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u7ee7\u7eed\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u53bb\uff0c\u5c06\u589e\u52a0\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7f29\u51cf\u6fc0\u8fdb\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u7d27\u7f29\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u548c\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u5c06\u51cf\u5c11\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u6d41\u901a\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u589e\u52a0\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u53d7\u5230\u770b\u8dcc\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u7684\u9650\u5236\u3002\u52b3\u5de5\u90e8\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a 26.7 \u4e07\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 26.5 \u4e07\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u672a\u6765\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u5b9a\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u6da8\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u4e8e 112.95\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u65e5\u5143\u8d2c\u503c\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u672a\u6765\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u8f83\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u53d1\u8868\u9e3d\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u8dcc\u52bf\u3002 \u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u9ed1\u7530\u4e1c\u5f66\u58f0(Haruhiko Kuroda)\u79f0\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5b9e\u65bd\u6269\u5f20\u6027\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u8fbe\u5230 2% \u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002 \u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570 (PPI) \u4e3a 1.2%\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 0.4%\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 1.1585\u3002 \u5728\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u52bf\u5934\u4ecd\u7136\u770b\u8dcc\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u731c\u6d4b\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5b9e\u65bd\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u6269\u5f20\u6027\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u7ef4\u6301\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u8dcc\u52bf\u3002 \u636e\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u8482\u5a1c\u00b7\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u98d9\u5347\u53ea\u662f\u6682\u65f6\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u957f\u671f\u6301\u7eed\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u8a93\u8a00\u5728\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u6325\u4e4b\u4e0d\u53bb\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u7ee7\u7eed\u5e2e\u52a9\u6b27\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u4e8e 1.3760\u3002 \u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4e0d\u4f73\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002 \u6839\u636e\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u4e0a\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c (GDP) \u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 5.5% \u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3 1.3%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 1.5%\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 0.3% \u4e0b\u964d\u81f3 0.1%\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684 0.2%\u3002 \u82f1\u56fd\u9000\u6b27\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5458\u5de5\u77ed\u7f3a\u3001\u4f9b\u5e94\u53d7\u9650\u4ee5\u53ca\u4ea4\u6613\u8868\u73b0\u4e0d\u4f73\u7ee7\u7eed\u62d6\u7d2f\u82f1\u56fd\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u8868\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u9e3d\u6d3e\u9884\u671f\u4ee5\u53ca\u672a\u6765\u7684\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u8f6c\u5411\u9ec4\u91d1\u7b49\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u4ee5\u5bf9\u51b2\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u5468\u66b4\u8dcc\u81f3\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f8 1755.50 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u58f0\u660e\u4ecd\u7136\u542b\u7cca\u4e0d\u6e05\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u6700\u65b0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u672a\u6765\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u5b9a\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u4ee5\u63a5\u6536\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>15<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>22<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u5173\u952e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u56fd\u7f8e\u56fd\u96f6\u9500\u552e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>15<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>19<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>15<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u65e0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>16<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
08:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0AUD<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u542b\u7ea2\u5229\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u5e73\u5747\u5de5\u8d44\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n5.60%<\/td>\n7.20%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u7533\u8bf7\u4eba\u6570(\u4eba) (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-51.1K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.80%<\/td>\n0.80%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>17<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n3.90%<\/td>\n3.10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0EUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n4.10%<\/td>\n4.10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8425\u5efa\u8bb8\u53ef\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.630M<\/td>\n1.586M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0CAD<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.30%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>18<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n260K<\/td>\n267K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570 (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n24<\/td>\n23.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>19<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.40%<\/td>\n-0.20%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0EUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0CAD<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n2.80%<\/td>\n2.80%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2021\u5e7411\u670815\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790   GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a11\u670815\u65e5\u81f319\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a11\u67088\u65e5\u81f312\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u5728\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\u6697\u793a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u6536\u7f29\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5e76\u63d0\u9ad8\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5151\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u6269\u5927\u6da8\u5e45\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 93.95\u3002   \u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40 (Bureau of Labor Statistics) \u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0a\u6708\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570 (PPI) \u8f83 9 \u6708\u4e0a\u6da8 0.6%\uff0c\u4e0e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 0.6% \u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\uff08CPI\uff09\u4ece\u5148\u524d\u7684 0.2% \u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 0.6%\uff0c\u8d85\u51fa\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 0.4%\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u91cd\u7533\u5176\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u4e0a\u6da8\u53ea\u662f\u6682\u65f6\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u8bb8\u591a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u62c5\u5fc3\u4f4e\u4f30\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u4ee3\u4ef7\u9ad8\u6602\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u9519\u8bef\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u526f\u4e3b\u5e2d\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7\u514b\u62c9\u91cc\u8fbe(Richard Clarida)\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u901a\u80c0\u3001\u5c31\u4e1a\u548c\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u7ee7\u7eed\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u53bb\uff0c\u5c06\u589e\u52a0\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7f29\u51cf\u6fc0\u8fdb\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u7d27\u7f29\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u548c\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u5c06\u51cf\u5c11\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u6d41\u901a\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u589e\u52a0\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u53d7\u5230\u770b\u8dcc\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u7684\u9650\u5236\u3002\u52b3\u5de5\u90e8\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a 26.7 \u4e07\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 26.5 \u4e07\u3002   \u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u672a\u6765\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u5b9a\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002 \u00a0 \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u6da8\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u4e8e 112.95\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u65e5\u5143\u8d2c\u503c\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u672a\u6765\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u8f83\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u53d1\u8868\u9e3d\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u8dcc\u52bf\u3002 \u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u9ed1\u7530\u4e1c\u5f66\u58f0(Haruhiko Kuroda)\u79f0\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5b9e\u65bd\u6269\u5f20\u6027\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u8fbe\u5230 2% \u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002 \u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570 (PPI) \u4e3a 1.2%\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 0.4%\u3002   \u6b27\u6d32 \u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 1.1585\u3002 \u5728\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u52bf\u5934\u4ecd\u7136\u770b\u8dcc\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u731c\u6d4b\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5b9e\u65bd\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u6269\u5f20\u6027\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u7ef4\u6301\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u8dcc\u52bf\u3002 \u636e\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u8482\u5a1c\u00b7\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine 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