{"id":215475,"date":"2021-11-22T08:07:19","date_gmt":"2021-11-22T08:07:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=215475"},"modified":"2021-11-22T08:07:36","modified_gmt":"2021-11-22T08:07:36","slug":"20211122-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20211122-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20211122 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2021<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>22<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>15<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>19<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>15<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>19<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u56e0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4e50\u89c2\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u98d9\u5347\u63a8\u52a8\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u652f\u51fa\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u8fd9\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u731c\u6d4b\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u6536\u7f29\u5176\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5151\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u6269\u5927\u6da8\u5e45\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 96.00\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u548c\u4e0a\u6708\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u5747\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u76840.7%\u548c0.8%\u4e0a\u5347\u81f31.7%\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b9e\u65bd\u7d27\u7f29\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u7a33\u5b9a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\u4ece\u6b64\u524d\u768423.8\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u81f339.0\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a26.8\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768426\u4e07\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u7ee7\u7eed\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u672a\u6765\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u5b9a\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u6da8\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u4e8e 113.90\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u65e5\u5143\u8d2c\u503c\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c(BoJ)\u51b3\u5b9a\u542f\u52a8\u5176\u5bbd\u677e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u8dcc\u5e45\u3002\u636e\u300a\u65e5\u672c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u65b0\u95fb\u300b\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u542f\u52a8\u603b\u503c3,500\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u8d22\u653f\u652f\u51fa\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u632f\u65e5\u672c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c(GDP)\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u76841.5%\u4e0b\u964d\u5230-3.0%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684-0.8%\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a 1.1280\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c(ECB)\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fdb\u5c55\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u6e29\u548c\u8a00\u8bba\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e(Reuters)\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u8482\u5a1c\u00b7\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u9ad8\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u53ea\u662f\u6682\u65f6\u73b0\u8c61\uff0c\u6697\u793a\u660e\u5e74\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u7d27\u7f29\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u5b9e\u73b0\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570(CPI)\u4e3a4.1%\uff0c\u4e0e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u76f8\u7b26\u3002\u6301\u7eed\u5bbd\u677e\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u548c\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u524d\u666f\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u6301\u5e73\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u4e8e 1.3760\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u4e0a\u5468\u4ecd\u6301\u5e73\u3002 \u6839\u636e\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd9\u6708\u4efd\u5e73\u5747\u6536\u76ca\u6307\u6570(Average Earnings Index)\u8fbe\u5230\u4e865.8%\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e865.6%\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\u7684\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u5de5\u8d44\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u9884\u8ba1\u4f1a\u52a0\u5927\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd10\u6708\u4efd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570(CPI)\u4e5f\u8fbe\u5230\u4e864.2%\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e863.9%\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u3002\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd10\u6708\u4efd\u96f6\u552e\u989d\u4e3a0.8%\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u76840.5%\u3002\u8fd9\u4e24\u9879\u6570\u636e\u90fd\u8868\u660e\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5f15\u53d1\u5e02\u573a\u731c\u6d4b\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c(Bank of England)\u5c06\u5728\u5b9a\u4e8e12\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u4e0b\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u5ba3\u5e03\u7d27\u7f29\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u5b83\u5e0c\u671b\u4ece\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u627e\u5230\u66f4\u591a\u7ebf\u7d22\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u5176\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>15<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>19<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u91d1\u4ef7\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f3\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f8 1857.30 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u8fd1\u671f\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9762\u4e34\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5f15\u53d1\u5e02\u573a\u731c\u6d4b\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u63d0\u524d\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u6700\u65b0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u672a\u6765\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u5b9a\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u4ee5\u63a5\u6536\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>22<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>26<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u5173\u952e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u00a0 \u4ee5\u4fbf\u5224\u65ad\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>22<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>26<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>22<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u7efc\u5408PMI\u6307\u6570 (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n54.1<\/td>\n54.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n6.20M<\/td>\n6.29M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>23<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0EUR<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.80%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n56.3<\/td>\n56.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n54.6<\/td>\n54.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0EUR<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n56.7<\/td>\n57.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>24<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
9:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0NZD<\/td>\n\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.75%<\/td>\n0.50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
9:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0NZD<\/td>\n\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0NZD<\/td>\n\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u8054\u50a8\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0EUR<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdIFO\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n96.7<\/td>\n97.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6263\u9664\u8fd0\u8f93\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.50%<\/td>\n0.50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b9e\u9645GDP\u5e74\u5316\u5b63\u7387 (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n2.10%<\/td>\n2.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n264K<\/td>\n268K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u65b0\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n800K<\/td>\n800K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>25<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0EUR<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.50%<\/td>\n1.80%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0EUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>26<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8d1d\u5229(Andrew Bailey)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
8:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0AUD<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n2.50%<\/td>\n1.30%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0EUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u548c\u4e0a\u6708\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u5747\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u76840.7%\u548c0.8%\u4e0a\u5347\u81f31.7%\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b9e\u65bd\u7d27\u7f29\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u7a33\u5b9a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\u4ece\u6b64\u524d\u768423.8\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u81f339.0\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a26.8\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768426\u4e07\u4eba\u3002   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