{"id":22221,"date":"2017-07-17T06:54:58","date_gmt":"2017-07-17T06:54:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=22221"},"modified":"2017-07-17T06:54:58","modified_gmt":"2017-07-17T06:54:58","slug":"2017-07-17-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/2017-07-17-2\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5f53\u5468\u5206\u6790\u00a0 \u5229\u7387\u5927\u6218\u6781\u7aef\u5bf9\u649e \u6b27\u65e5\u592e\u884c\u6700\u540e\u94fa\u57ab"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u4e0a\u5468\u56de\u987e\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u53d7\u5230\u8036\u4f26\u9e3d\u6d3e\u8bc1\u8bcd\u548c\u75b2\u5f31\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u4e00\u5ea6\u964d\u81f310\u4e2a\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u4f4e\u3002\u968f\u7740\u5e02\u573a\u76ee\u5149\u5728\u672c\u5468\u7ee7\u7eed\u805a\u7126\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u592e\u884c\u95f4\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u5916\u6c47\u5e02\u573a\u672c\u5468\u7684\u535a\u5f08\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u56f4\u7ed5\u5229\u5dee\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u5c55\u5f00\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u7f8e\u6307\u4e0b\u884c\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u9707\u8361\u7565\u5fae\u56de\u8c03\uff0c\u6b27\u7f8e\u9ad8\u4f4d\u76d8\u6574\uff0c\u9707\u8361\u504f\u5f31\uff0c\u4ea4\u6295\u4e8e1.1450\uff1b\u6fb3\u7f8e\u51b2\u9ad8\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u9707\u8361\u504f\u5f31\uff0c\u4ea4\u6295\u4e8e7805\uff1b\u7f8e\u65e5\u9ad8\u4f4d\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u9707\u8361\u56de\u8c03\uff0c\u4ea4\u6295\u4e8e112.65\uff1b\u9ec4\u91d1\u4f4e\u4f4d\u56de\u8c03\uff0c\u9707\u8361\u4e0a\u884c\uff0c\u4ea4\u6295\u4e8e1229.6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5229\u7387\u5927\u6218\u6781\u7aef\u5bf9\u649e \u6b27\u65e5\u592e\u884c\u6700\u540e\u94fa\u57ab<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u968f\u7740\u4e0a\u5468\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u7684\u5982\u671f\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u5728\u5f53\u524d\u5168\u7403\u592e\u884c\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u6392\u5e8f\u4e2d\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u548c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u65e0\u7591\u5df2\u7ecf\u7262\u7262\u5360\u636e\u4e86\u7d27\u7f29\u9635\u8425\u7684\u524d\u4e24\u628a\u4ea4\u6905\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u51b3\u8bae\u548c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u8036\u4f26\u56fd\u4f1a\u8bc1\u8bcd\uff0c\u4ee4\u5e02\u573a\u76ee\u5149\u9f50\u9f50\u805a\u7126\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e24\u5bb6\u5317\u7f8e\u7d27\u7f29\u9635\u8425\u592e\u884c\u3002\u672c\u5468\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u770b\u70b9\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u5c06\u4ece\u4e00\u4e2a\u6781\u7aef\u8f6c\u5411\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u6781\u7aef\u2014\u2014\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u548c\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u5728\u672c\u5468\u9646\u7eed\u516c\u5e03\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae\uff0c\u800c\u5b83\u4eec\u6070\u6070\u662f\u5f53\u524d\u4e3b\u8981\u592e\u884c\u4e2d\u653f\u7b56\u6700\u4e3a\u5bbd\u677e\u7684\u4e24\u5bb6\u592e\u884c\uff01<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c(ECB)\u5c06\u4e8e\u5468\u56db\u53ec\u5f00\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\uff0c\u5916\u754c\u666e\u904d\u9884\u671f\u8be5\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6709\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u53d8\u52a8\uff0c\u4f46\u63aa\u8f9e\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u4e00\u4e9b\u5fae\u8c03\u3002\u5728\u7ecf\u8fc7\u591a\u5e74\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u523a\u6fc0\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u6b63\u8d70\u5411\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\uff0c\u800c\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5c0f\u5fc3\u5730\u8c03\u6574\u5176\u63aa\u65bd\u3002\u503c\u5f97\u4e00\u63d0\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u6536\u7d27\u7684\u811a\u6b65\u65e5\u76ca\u4e34\u8fd1\uff0c\u5728\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e1a\u5185\u4eba\u58eb\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u5982\u4eca\u5fb7\u62c9\u57fa\u751a\u81f3\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d85\u8d8a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u8036\u4f26\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u5f53\u524d\u80fd\u591f\u5f71\u54cd\u5e02\u573a\u8d70\u5411\u7684\u5934\u53f7\u5173\u952e\u4eba\u7269\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u51b3\u8bae\u548c\u5fb7\u62c9\u57fa\u8bb2\u8bdd\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u63aa\u8f9e\uff0c\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u6c47\u5e02\u884c\u60c5\u4ea7\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u63a8\u52a8\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u672c\u5468\u56db(7\u670820\u65e5)\u4e5f\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae\u3002\u6b64\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u5c06\u662f\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u4e24\u5468\u524d\u627f\u8bfa\u201c\u65e0\u9650\u91cf\u8d2d\u503a\u201d\u540e\u7684\u9996\u5ea6\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5e02\u573a\u5e76\u4e0d\u8ba4\u4e3a\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u4f1a\u57287\u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u4f5c\u51fa\u653f\u7b56\u8c03\u6574\uff0c\u4f46\u4f9d\u7136\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u5176\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4eca\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u53d1\u8fbe\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u592e\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u57fa\u8c03\u7eb7\u7eb7\u8f6c\u5411\u7d27\u7f29\uff1a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u52a0\u606f\u4e24\u6b21\uff1b\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u4e03\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u9996\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\uff1b\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5df2\u7ecf\u628a\u91cf\u5316\u5bbd\u677e(QE)\u8d2d\u503a\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u9000\u51fa\u8ba1\u5212\u63d0\u4e0a\u4e86\u8bae\u4e8b\u65e5\u7a0b\uff1b\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u3001\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u7b49\u4e5f\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u4e86\u660e\u786e\u4e86\u672a\u6765\u52a0\u606f\u9884\u671f\u3002\u4e8e\u662f\uff0c\u53ea\u5269\u4e0b\u4e86\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u7ee7\u7eed\u8d70\u5728\u5bbd\u677e\u7684\u9053\u8def\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u4f11\u5e02\u5e02\u573a\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n
\u65e5\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u56fd\u5bb6<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u8282\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2017-07-17<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c<\/td>\n\u4e1c\u4eac\u8bc1\u5238\u4ea4\u6613\u6240<\/td>\n\u6d77\u4e4b\u65e5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u672c\u5468\u91cd\u8981\u8d22\u7ecf\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65e5\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u56fd\u5bb6<\/strong><\/td>\n\u91cd\u8981\u8d22\u7ecf\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2017-07-18<\/td>\n09:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u516c\u5e037\u6708\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u3002<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2017-07-20<\/td>\n11:00<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u516c\u5e03\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u8bae\u53ca\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e\u3002<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n19:45<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u516c\u5e03\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae\u3002<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n20:30<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u5fb7\u62c9\u57fa\u53ec\u5f00\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u3002<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7126\u70b9\u8d22\u7ecf\u6570\u636e\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65e5\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0e\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u8ba1<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2017-07-17<\/td>\n17:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533a6\u6708CPI\u5e74\u7387\u7ec8\u503c<\/td>\n1.3%<\/td>\n1.3%<\/td>\n\u7b49\u5f85\u4e2d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n <\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533a6\u6708CPI\u6708\u7387<\/td>\n-0.1%<\/td>\n—<\/td>\n\u7b49\u5f85\u4e2d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd7\u6708\u7ebd\u7ea6\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570<\/td>\n19.8<\/td>\n15<\/td>\n\u7b49\u5f85\u4e2d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2017-07-18<\/td>\n16:30<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd6\u6708CPI\u6708\u7387<\/td>\n0.3%<\/td>\n0.2%<\/td>\n\u7b49\u5f85\u4e2d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n <\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd6\u6708\u96f6\u552e\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u6708\u7387<\/td>\n0.4%<\/td>\n0.3%<\/td>\n\u7b49\u5f85\u4e2d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n17:00<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533a7\u6708ZEW\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570<\/td>\n37.7<\/td>\n37.2<\/td>\n\u7b49\u5f85\u4e2d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd6\u6708\u8fdb\u53e3\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u6708\u7387<\/td>\n-0.3%<\/td>\n-0.2%<\/td>\n\u7b49\u5f85\u4e2d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2017-07-19<\/td>\n04:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u81f37\u670814\u65e5\u5f53\u5468API\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58(\u4e07\u6876)<\/td>\n-813.3<\/td>\n—<\/td>\n\u7b49\u5f85\u4e2d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd6\u6708\u65b0\u5c4b\u5f00\u5de5\u603b\u6570\u5e74\u5316(\u4e07\u6237)<\/td>\n109.2<\/td>\n119<\/td>\n\u7b49\u5f85\u4e2d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n <\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd6\u6708\u8425\u5efa\u8bb8\u53ef\u603b\u6570(\u4e07\u6237)<\/td>\n116.8<\/td>\n120.5<\/td>\n\u7b49\u5f85\u4e2d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n22:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u81f37\u670814\u65e5\u5f53\u5468EIA\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58(\u4e07\u6876)<\/td>\n-756.4<\/td>\n—<\/td>\n\u7b49\u5f85\u4e2d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2017-07-20<\/td>\n11:00<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c\u81f37\u670820\u65e5\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u5b9a<\/td>\n-0.1%<\/td>\n-0.1%<\/td>\n\u7b49\u5f85\u4e2d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n19:45<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u81f37\u670820\u65e5\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4e3b\u8981\u518d\u878d\u8d44\u5229\u7387<\/td>\n0%<\/td>\n0%<\/td>\n\u7b49\u5f85\u4e2d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u81f37\u670815\u65e5\u5f53\u5468\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570(\u4e07\u4eba)<\/td>\n24.7<\/td>\n24.5<\/td>\n\u7b49\u5f85\u4e2d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n <\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd7\u6708\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570<\/td>\n27.6<\/td>\n23.7<\/td>\n\u7b49\u5f85\u4e2d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2017-07-21<\/td>\n20:30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u59276\u6708CPI\u6708\u7387<\/td>\n0.1%<\/td>\n—<\/td>\n\u7b49\u5f85\u4e2d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n <\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u59275\u6708\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387<\/td>\n0.8%<\/td>\n0.2%<\/td>\n\u7b49\u5f85\u4e2d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6280\u672f\u5206\u6790\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

EURUSD H4\uff1a\u6b27\u7f8e\u4e0a\u884c\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u9707\u8361\u76d8\u6574\uff0c\u52a8\u80fd\u504f\u5f31\uff1b\u76ee\u524d\u56de\u6d4b\u6574\u70b9\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5173\u6ce8\u9ad8\u4f4d\u533a\u95f4\u9707\u8361\uff0c\u7b49\u5f85\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u5173\u6ce8\u7a7a\u5934\u56de\u8c03\uff1b\u4e0a\u65b9\u5173\u6ce81.1500\u963b\u529b\u548c1.1550\u963b\u529b\uff1b\u4e0b\u65b9\u5173\u6ce81.1450\u652f\u6491\u548c1.1400\u652f\u6491\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

AUDUSD H4\uff1a\u6fb3\u7f8e\u8fd0\u884c\u4e0a\u884c\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u51b2\u9ad8\u7565\u5fae\u56de\u8c03\uff1b\u76ee\u524d\u56de\u6d4b\u6574\u70b9\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u4ecd\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u56de\u8c03\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5173\u6ce8\u7a7a\u5934\u56de\u8c03\uff0c\u7b49\u5f85\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4f01\u7a33\uff1b\u4e0a\u65b9\u5173\u6ce80.7830\u963b\u529b\u548c0.7860\u963b\u529b\uff1b\u4e0b\u65b9\u5173\u6ce80.7800\u652f\u6491\u548c0.7770\u652f\u6491\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

USDJPY H4\uff1a\u7f8e\u65e5\u9ad8\u4f4d\u56de\u8c03\uff0c\u9707\u8361\u4e0b\u884c\uff0c\u5747\u7ebf\u62d0\u5411\uff0c\u7a7a\u5934\u8f6c\u5f3a\uff1b\u76ee\u524d\u56de\u6d4b38.2\u6c34\u5e73\u7ebf\uff0c\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u4e70\u76d8\u63d0\u632f\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5173\u6ce8\u591a\u5934\u56de\u8c03\uff0c\u6599\u7a7a\u95f4\u4e0d\u5927\uff1b\u4e0a\u65b9\u5173\u6ce8113\u963b\u529b\u548c114\u963b\u529b\uff1b\u4e0b\u65b9\u5173\u6ce8112.3\u652f\u6491\u548c111.6\u652f\u6491\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

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