{"id":238300,"date":"2022-03-21T06:39:52","date_gmt":"2022-03-21T06:39:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=238300"},"modified":"2022-03-21T07:09:44","modified_gmt":"2022-03-21T07:09:44","slug":"20220321-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20220321-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20220321 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2022<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>21<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>21<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>25<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>14<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>18<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9e70\u6d3e\u60c5\u7eea\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u4e50\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5bf9\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u4e5f\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8f6c\u5411\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63a8\u52a8\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u6536\u4e8e98.21\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8(fed)\u516c\u5e03\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8ba1\u5212\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u98d9\u5347\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5468\u4e09\u81ea2018\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u9996\u6b21\u4e0a\u8c03\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u5e76\u5236\u5b9a\u4e86\u4e00\u9879\u524a\u51cf\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u6fc0\u8fdb\u8ba1\u5212\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u63d0\u9ad80.25\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u81f30.5%\uff0c\u5e76\u9884\u8ba1\u5230\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u8fbe\u52301.75%\u81f32%\u7684\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u660e\u5e74\u4e3a2.8%\uff0c\u4ee5\u5bf9\u6297\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u4e24\u540d\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u9700\u8981\u91c7\u53d6\u66f4\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u6765\u7a33\u5b9a\u8fbe\u523040\u5e74\u9ad8\u70b9\u7684\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u3002\u5723\u8def\u6613\u65af\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8a79\u59c6\u65af\u00b7\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7(James Bullard)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u652f\u6301\u5728\u4e0b\u6b21\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u671f\u95f4\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u63d0\u9ad80.5\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u540c\u65f6\u91cd\u7533\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u9694\u591c\u8d37\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u4eca\u5e74\u5e94\u8be5\u63d0\u9ad8\u52303%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u5df2\u7ecf\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u66f4\u79ef\u6781\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d7\u4f4d\u9884\u6d4b\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u57282022\u5e74\u4e0a\u5347\u52302%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u90e8\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a21.4\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u768422\u4e07\u4eba\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u5c40(Census Bureau)\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5efa\u7b51\u8bb8\u53ef\u6570\u91cf\u4e3a185.9\u4e07\u4efd\uff0c\u4e5f\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684188.5\u4e07\u4efd\u3002\u8be5\u4e24\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u90fd\u8868\u73b0\u4e50\u89c2\uff0c\u4ee4\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u611f\u5230\u4e50\u89c2\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5728\u4fc4\u4e4c\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u963f\u5179\u534a\u5c9b\u7535\u89c6\u53f0\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8c08\u5224\u65e9\u671f\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u79ef\u6781\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u4f46\u53cc\u65b9\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u4ecd\u5728\u6301\u7eed\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5b98\u5458\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5728\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4e1c\u90e8\u57ce\u5e02\u54c8\u5c14\u79d1\u592b\u5916\u7684\u6885\u5217\u6cd5\u9547\u53d1\u52a8\u88ad\u51fb\uff0c\u9020\u621021\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u8fd8\u6307\u8d23\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u519b\u961f\u8f70\u70b8\u4e86\u88ab\u56f4\u56f0\u7684\u5357\u90e8\u57ce\u5e02\u9a6c\u91cc\u4e4c\u6ce2\u5c14\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e3a\u5e73\u6c11\u63d0\u4f9b\u5e87\u62a4\u7684\u5267\u9662\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u52a1\u537f\u5b89\u4e1c\u5c3c\u00b7\u5e03\u6797\u80af(Antony Blinken)\u5468\u56db\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u53ef\u80fd\u51c6\u5907\u53d1\u52a8\u5316\u5b66\u6b66\u5668\u653b\u51fb\uff0c\u4ee5\u4f7f\u6218\u4e89\u5347\u7ea7\u3002\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u907f\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u8f6c\u5411\u907f\u9669\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143 (USDJPY) \u4e0a\u5468\u56e0\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\u800c\u6500\u5347\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u4e8e119.20\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u6e29\u548c\u57fa\u8c03\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u53d7\u5230\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u5468\u4e94\u7ef4\u6301\u5176\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u5e76\u8b66\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5371\u673a\u7ed9\u8106\u5f31\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u66f4\u5927\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u6b63\u5982\u666e\u904d\u9884\u671f\u7684\u90a3\u6837\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728-0.1%\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u7684\u6e29\u548c\u57fa\u8c03\u4e0e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u548c\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u9c9c\u660e\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u4ece\u65e5\u672c\u5730\u533a\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u82f1\u56fd\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (EURUSD) \u4e0a\u5468\u6500\u5347\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u4e8e1.0912\u3002\u5728\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c(ecb)\u5b9e\u65bd\u7d27\u7f29\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u5bf9\u6297\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u6574\u4f53\u8d70\u52bf\u4ecd\u770b\u6da8\u3002\u6839\u636e\u6b27\u76df\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c2\u6708\u4efd\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570(CPI)\u540c\u6bd4\u4e0a\u6da85.8%\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u3002\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u5e74\u5ea6\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u7684\u52a0\u901f\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8bc1\u660e\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u4ef7\u683c\u538b\u529b\u7684\u79ef\u805a\uff0c\u5176\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u6700\u521d\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u53ef\u80fd\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5728\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u540c\u65f6\u5b9e\u65bd\u7d27\u7f29\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u51cf\u5c11\u6b27\u6d32\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u6d41\u901a\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u523a\u6fc0\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (GBPUSD) \u4e0a\u5468\u6500\u5347\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u4e8e1.3035\u3002\u82f1\u9551\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u6da8\u52a8\u80fd\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c(Bank of England)\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fdb\u5c55\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u5f3a\u786c\u8a00\u8bba\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c(Bank of England)\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u4e09\u6b21\u4e0a\u8c03\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u91cd\u7533\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4f7f\u957f\u671f\u901a\u80c0\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u8f83\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a(Monetary Policy Committee)\u4ee58\u6bd41\u7684\u6295\u7968\u7ed3\u679c\u652f\u6301\u5c06\u4e3b\u8981\u94f6\u884c\u5229\u7387\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u8c030.25%\uff0c\u4f7f\u5176\u8fbe\u52300.75%\u3002\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u8fd8\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u5728\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u9002\u5ea6\u7d27\u7f29\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u9002\u5f53\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>14<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>18<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e0a\u5468\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u632b\uff0c\u81f3\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f81925.70\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8(Federal Reserve)\u548c\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c(Bank of England)\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u52a0\u606f\u653f\u7b56\u7ee7\u7eed\u62c9\u4f4e\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u907f\u9669\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u7d27\u7f29\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c11\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u6d41\u901a\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u7a33\u5b9a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u7387\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u964d\u4f4e\u5bf9\u9ec4\u91d1\u7b49\u901a\u80c0\u5bf9\u51b2\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u53d1\u7a3f\u65f6\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af-\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5c40\u52bf\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u907f\u9669\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u539f\u6cb9<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u65f6\u6bcf\u6876\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a106.25\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u518d\u5ea6\u5347\u6e29\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u660e\u663e\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u80fd\u6e90\u7f72\u53d1\u5e03\u9884\u6d4b\u62a5\u544a\u540e\uff0c\u539f\u6cb9\u5e02\u573a\u5ef6\u7eed\u6da8\u5e45\u3002\u56fd\u9645\u80fd\u6e90\u7f72(IEA)\u672c\u5468\u79f0\uff0c\u5728\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5b9e\u65bd\u5236\u88c1\u540e\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u77f3\u6cb9\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u5c06\u51fa\u73b0\u6bcf\u65e570\u4e07\u6876\u7684\u7f3a\u53e3\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u53d7\u5230\u5e93\u5b58\u6570\u636e\u60b2\u89c2\u6570\u636e\u6240\u9650\u5236\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u60c5\u62a5\u7f72(EIA)\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u76841.863M\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u81f34.345M\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684- 1.375M\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>21<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>25<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u5173\u952e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\u548c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u60c5\u51b5\u4e5f\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u7126\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u539f\u6cb9\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd\u77f3\u6cb9\u5b66\u4f1a(API)\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u4fe1\u606f\u7ba1\u7406\u5c40(EIA)\u7684\u6bcf\u5468\u5e93\u5b58\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>21<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>25<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>21<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
9:15<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0CNY<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u8d37\u6b3e\u5e02\u573a\u62a5\u4ef7\u5229\u7387(LPR)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n3.70%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0EUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>22<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19:00<\/td>\n\u00a0 AUD<\/td>\n\u5df4\u897f\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:15<\/td>\n\u00a0 CNY<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>23<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u00a0 GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n5.90%<\/td>\n5.50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u00a0 GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8d1d\u5229(Andrew Bailey)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:00<\/td>\n\u00a0 USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0 GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u5e74\u5ea6\u9884\u7b97<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0 USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u65b0\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n813K<\/td>\n801K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:30<\/td>\n\u00a0 USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f53\u5468EIA\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u53d8\u52a8(\u6876)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n4.345M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>24<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u00a0 CHF<\/td>\n\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.75%<\/td>\n-0.75%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u00a0 CHF<\/td>\n\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8bc4\u4f30<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u00a0 EUR<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n56<\/td>\n58.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u00a0 GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u7efc\u5408PMI\u6307\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n58.7<\/td>\n59.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u00a0 GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n57<\/td>\n58<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u00a0 GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n58<\/td>\n60.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\n\u00a0 CHF<\/td>\n\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\n\u00a0 EUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u76df\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5cf0\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0 USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6263\u9664\u8fd0\u8f93\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.60%<\/td>\n0.70%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n211K<\/td>\n214K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>25<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u00a0 GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.80%<\/td>\n1.90%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\n\u00a0 EUR<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdIFO\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n94<\/td>\n98.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\n\u00a0 EUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u76df\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5cf0\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0 USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u6210\u5c4b\u7b7e\u7ea6\u9500\u552e\u6307\u6570\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.50%<\/td>\n-5.70%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2022\u5e743\u670821\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790 GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a3\u670821\u65e5\u81f325\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a3\u670814\u65e5\u81f318\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9e70\u6d3e\u60c5\u7eea\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u4e50\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5bf9\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u4e5f\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8f6c\u5411\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63a8\u52a8\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u6536\u4e8e98.21\u3002   \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8(fed)\u516c\u5e03\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8ba1\u5212\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u98d9\u5347\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5468\u4e09\u81ea2018\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u9996\u6b21\u4e0a\u8c03\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u5e76\u5236\u5b9a\u4e86\u4e00\u9879\u524a\u51cf\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u6fc0\u8fdb\u8ba1\u5212\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u63d0\u9ad80.25\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u81f30.5%\uff0c\u5e76\u9884\u8ba1\u5230\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u8fbe\u52301.75%\u81f32%\u7684\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u660e\u5e74\u4e3a2.8%\uff0c\u4ee5\u5bf9\u6297\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u4e24\u540d\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u9700\u8981\u91c7\u53d6\u66f4\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u6765\u7a33\u5b9a\u8fbe\u523040\u5e74\u9ad8\u70b9\u7684\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u3002\u5723\u8def\u6613\u65af\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8a79\u59c6\u65af\u00b7\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7(James Bullard)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u652f\u6301\u5728\u4e0b\u6b21\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u671f\u95f4\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u63d0\u9ad80.5\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u540c\u65f6\u91cd\u7533\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u9694\u591c\u8d37\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u4eca\u5e74\u5e94\u8be5\u63d0\u9ad8\u52303%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u5df2\u7ecf\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u66f4\u79ef\u6781\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d7\u4f4d\u9884\u6d4b\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u57282022\u5e74\u4e0a\u5347\u52302%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u90e8\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a21.4\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u768422\u4e07\u4eba\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u5c40(Census Bureau)\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5efa\u7b51\u8bb8\u53ef\u6570\u91cf\u4e3a185.9\u4e07\u4efd\uff0c\u4e5f\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684188.5\u4e07\u4efd\u3002\u8be5\u4e24\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u90fd\u8868\u73b0\u4e50\u89c2\uff0c\u4ee4\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u611f\u5230\u4e50\u89c2\u3002   \u5728\u4fc4\u4e4c\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u963f\u5179\u534a\u5c9b\u7535\u89c6\u53f0\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8c08\u5224\u65e9\u671f\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u79ef\u6781\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u4f46\u53cc\u65b9\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u4ecd\u5728\u6301\u7eed\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5b98\u5458\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5728\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4e1c\u90e8\u57ce\u5e02\u54c8\u5c14\u79d1\u592b\u5916\u7684\u6885\u5217\u6cd5\u9547\u53d1\u52a8\u88ad\u51fb\uff0c\u9020\u621021\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u8fd8\u6307\u8d23\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u519b\u961f\u8f70\u70b8\u4e86\u88ab\u56f4\u56f0\u7684\u5357\u90e8\u57ce\u5e02\u9a6c\u91cc\u4e4c\u6ce2\u5c14\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e3a\u5e73\u6c11\u63d0\u4f9b\u5e87\u62a4\u7684\u5267\u9662\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u52a1\u537f\u5b89\u4e1c\u5c3c\u00b7\u5e03\u6797\u80af(Antony 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\u6b27\u6d32 \u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (EURUSD) 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  \u82f1\u56fd \u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (GBPUSD) \u4e0a\u5468\u6500\u5347\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u4e8e1.3035\u3002\u82f1\u9551\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u6da8\u52a8\u80fd\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c(Bank of England)\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fdb\u5c55\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u5f3a\u786c\u8a00\u8bba\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c(Bank of England)\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u4e09\u6b21\u4e0a\u8c03\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u91cd\u7533\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4f7f\u957f\u671f\u901a\u80c0\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u8f83\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a(Monetary Policy Committee)\u4ee58\u6bd41\u7684\u6295\u7968\u7ed3\u679c\u652f\u6301\u5c06\u4e3b\u8981\u94f6\u884c\u5229\u7387\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u8c030.25%\uff0c\u4f7f\u5176\u8fbe\u52300.75%\u3002\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u8fd8\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u5728\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u9002\u5ea6\u7d27\u7f29\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u9002\u5f53\u7684\u3002 \u00a0 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a3\u670814\u65e5\u81f318\u65e5 \u9ec4\u91d1 \u9ec4\u91d1\u4e0a\u5468\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u632b\uff0c\u81f3\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f81925.70\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8(Federal Reserve)\u548c\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c(Bank of England)\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u52a0\u606f\u653f\u7b56\u7ee7\u7eed\u62c9\u4f4e\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u907f\u9669\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u7d27\u7f29\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c11\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u6d41\u901a\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u7a33\u5b9a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u7387\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u964d\u4f4e\u5bf9\u9ec4\u91d1\u7b49\u901a\u80c0\u5bf9\u51b2\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u53d1\u7a3f\u65f6\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af-\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5c40\u52bf\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u907f\u9669\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u8d70\u52bf\u3002 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u539f\u6cb9 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1.375M\u3002 \u00a0     \u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a3\u670821\u65e5\u81f325\u65e5 \u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u5173\u952e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\u548c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u60c5\u51b5\u4e5f\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u7126\u70b9\u3002   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