{"id":253082,"date":"2022-06-13T05:30:01","date_gmt":"2022-06-13T05:30:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=253082"},"modified":"2022-06-13T05:30:01","modified_gmt":"2022-06-13T05:30:01","slug":"20220613-1-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20220613-1-2\/","title":{"rendered":"20220613 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2022<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>13<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>13<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>17<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5728\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u8d44\u91d1\u8f6c\u5411\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4ee5104.23\u6536\u76d8\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u6da8\u5e45\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40(Bureau of Labor Statistics)\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd5\u6708\u4efd\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a39\u4e07\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768432.5\u4e07\u3002\u968f\u7740\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u7684\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7ed9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u52bf\u5934\u5e26\u6765\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u8d44\u672c\u8f6c\u5411\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fdCPI\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u6269\u5927\u6da8\u5e45\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd5\u6708\u4efd\u6838\u5fc3\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570(CPI)\u7684\u73af\u6bd4\u6570\u636e\u4e3a0.6%\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u76840.5%\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u4e868.6%\uff0c\u8fbe\u523041\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u8fd9\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8(fed)\u4e3a\u964d\u4f4e\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u800c\u5927\u4e3e\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u6536\u7d27\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u5b9e\u65bd\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u63d0\u9ad8\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u89c4\u907f\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u56de\u62a5\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u5c06\u4e8e6\u670816\u65e5\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u5b9a\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u52a8\u5411\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u4e0a\u5468\u6269\u5927\u6da8\u5e45\uff0c\u6536\u62a5134.40\u3002\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u4fdd\u6301\u9e3d\u6d3e\u57fa\u8c03\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u7ec4\u5408\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u770b\u6da8\u7684\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u5168\u7403\u5c11\u6570\u51e0\u4e2a\u4fdd\u6301\u9e3d\u6d3e\u7acb\u573a\u7684\u592e\u884c\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u4ed6\u592e\u884c\u5219\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86\u52a0\u606f\u4ee5\u904f\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u7d27\u7f29\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u8f6c\u5411\u7f8e\u5143\u7b49\u524d\u666f\u8f83\u597d\u7684\u5176\u5b83\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u7ee7\u7eed\u5b9e\u65bd\u5bbd\u677e\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5c06\u62d6\u7d2f\u65e5\u672c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u89c4\u907f\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u56de\u62a5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1.0517\u3002\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u516c\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u5229\u7a7a\u52a8\u80fd\u3002\u6839\u636e\u6b27\u76df\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a4\u6708\u4efd\u96f6\u552eMoM\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u76840.3%\u4e0b\u964d\u5230-1.3%\u3002\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u96f6\u552e\u603b\u989d\u88ab\u7528\u4f5c\u53cd\u6620\u6b27\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6307\u6807\u3002\u867d\u7136\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u7ed9\u6b27\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u8d1f\u9762\u7684\u524d\u666f\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4e0b\u8c03\u4e86\u5176\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f32022\u5e74\u76842.8%\u548c2023\u5e74\u76842.1%\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u7ee7\u7eed\u8d70\u8f6f\u3002\u4e0e\u4e4b\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u57283\u6708\u4efd\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u5206\u522b\u4e3a2022\u5e74\u548c2023\u5e74\u76843.7%\u548c2.8%\u3002\u8fd9\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bfb\u627e\u5176\u4ed6\u524d\u666f\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143)GBP\/USD)\u8d2c\u503c\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u76d8\u65f6\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a1.2313\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u6d88\u6781\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u8fce\u6765\u4e86\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u6839\u636eMarkit\/CIPS\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u5efa\u7b51\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570(PMI)\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u768458.2\u964d\u81f356.4\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768456.6\u3002\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u8bfb\u6570\u8868\u660e\u82f1\u56fd\u5efa\u7b51\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u7ed9\u82f1\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u8d1f\u9762\u7684\u524d\u666f\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\uff0c\u8be5\u7ec4\u5408\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u91d1\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81875.20\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fdCPI\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u901a\u80c0\u5347\u81f341\u5e74\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7eb7\u7eb7\u5c06\u8d44\u91d1\u8f6c\u5411\u9ec4\u91d1\u7b49\u5bf9\u51b2\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u526f\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u672c\u5468\u6765\u81ea\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\u548c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae\u7684\u5173\u952e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u5404\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u5151\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u548c\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>17<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>13<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u82f1\u56fdGDP\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n8.7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.2%<\/td>\n-0.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>14<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u542b\u7ea2\u5229\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u5e73\u5747\u5de5\u8d44\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n7.6%<\/td>\n7.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u7533\u8bf7\u4eba\u6570(\u4eba) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-42.5K<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n

-56.9K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u5fb7\u56fdZEW\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-27.5<\/td>\n-34.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdPPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.8%<\/td>\n0.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>15<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10:00<\/td>\nCNY<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u89c4\u6a21\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5de5\u4e1a\u589e\u52a0\u503c\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.5%<\/td>\n-2.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.8%<\/td>\n0.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u7f8e\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.2%<\/td>\n0.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>16<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
02:00<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9884\u6d4b<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
02:00<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
02:00<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
02:00<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
06:45<\/td>\nNZD<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u65b0\u897f\u5170GDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.6%<\/td>\n3.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:30<\/td>\nAUD<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3(\u4eba) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n25.0K<\/td>\n4.0K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:30<\/td>\nCHF<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.75%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:30<\/td>\nCHF<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8bc4\u4f30<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\nCHF<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.25%<\/td>\n1.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u7f8e\u56fd\u8425\u5efa\u8bb8\u53ef\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.787M<\/td>\n1.823M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n215K<\/td>\n229K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u7f8e\u56fd\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570 (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n5.3<\/td>\n2.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>17<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11:00<\/td>\nJPY<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11:00<\/td>\nJPY<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5f85\u5b9a<\/td>\nJPY<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u53ec\u5f00\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n8.1%<\/td>\n8.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:45<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2022\u5e746\u670813\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790   GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a6\u670813\u65e5\u81f36\u670817\u65e5   \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a6\u67086\u65e5\u81f310\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u5728\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u8d44\u91d1\u8f6c\u5411\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4ee5104.23\u6536\u76d8\u3002   \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u6da8\u5e45\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40(Bureau of Labor Statistics)\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd5\u6708\u4efd\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a39\u4e07\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768432.5\u4e07\u3002\u968f\u7740\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u7684\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7ed9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u52bf\u5934\u5e26\u6765\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u8d44\u672c\u8f6c\u5411\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fdCPI\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u6269\u5927\u6da8\u5e45\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd5\u6708\u4efd\u6838\u5fc3\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570(CPI)\u7684\u73af\u6bd4\u6570\u636e\u4e3a0.6%\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u76840.5%\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u4e868.6%\uff0c\u8fbe\u523041\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u8fd9\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8(fed)\u4e3a\u964d\u4f4e\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u800c\u5927\u4e3e\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u6536\u7d27\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u5b9e\u65bd\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u63d0\u9ad8\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u89c4\u907f\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u56de\u62a5\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u5c06\u4e8e6\u670816\u65e5\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u5b9a\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u52a8\u5411\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002 \u00a0 \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u4e0a\u5468\u6269\u5927\u6da8\u5e45\uff0c\u6536\u62a5134.40\u3002\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u4fdd\u6301\u9e3d\u6d3e\u57fa\u8c03\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u7ec4\u5408\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u770b\u6da8\u7684\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u5168\u7403\u5c11\u6570\u51e0\u4e2a\u4fdd\u6301\u9e3d\u6d3e\u7acb\u573a\u7684\u592e\u884c\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u4ed6\u592e\u884c\u5219\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86\u52a0\u606f\u4ee5\u904f\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u7d27\u7f29\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u8f6c\u5411\u7f8e\u5143\u7b49\u524d\u666f\u8f83\u597d\u7684\u5176\u5b83\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u7ee7\u7eed\u5b9e\u65bd\u5bbd\u677e\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5c06\u62d6\u7d2f\u65e5\u672c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u89c4\u907f\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u56de\u62a5\u3002 \u00a0 \u6b27\u6d32 \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1.0517\u3002\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u516c\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u5229\u7a7a\u52a8\u80fd\u3002\u6839\u636e\u6b27\u76df\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a4\u6708\u4efd\u96f6\u552eMoM\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u76840.3%\u4e0b\u964d\u5230-1.3%\u3002\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u96f6\u552e\u603b\u989d\u88ab\u7528\u4f5c\u53cd\u6620\u6b27\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6307\u6807\u3002\u867d\u7136\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u7ed9\u6b27\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u8d1f\u9762\u7684\u524d\u666f\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4e0b\u8c03\u4e86\u5176\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f32022\u5e74\u76842.8%\u548c2023\u5e74\u76842.1%\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u7ee7\u7eed\u8d70\u8f6f\u3002\u4e0e\u4e4b\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u57283\u6708\u4efd\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u5206\u522b\u4e3a2022\u5e74\u548c2023\u5e74\u76843.7%\u548c2.8%\u3002\u8fd9\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bfb\u627e\u5176\u4ed6\u524d\u666f\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u5143\u3002   \u82f1\u56fd \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143)GBP\/USD)\u8d2c\u503c\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u76d8\u65f6\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a1.2313\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u6d88\u6781\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u8fce\u6765\u4e86\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u6839\u636eMarkit\/CIPS\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u5efa\u7b51\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570(PMI)\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u768458.2\u964d\u81f356.4\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768456.6\u3002\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u8bfb\u6570\u8868\u660e\u82f1\u56fd\u5efa\u7b51\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u7ed9\u82f1\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u8d1f\u9762\u7684\u524d\u666f\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\uff0c\u8be5\u7ec4\u5408\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002   \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a6\u67086\u65e5\u81f310\u65e5 \u9ec4\u91d1 \u4e0a\u5468\u91d1\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81875.20\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fdCPI\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u901a\u80c0\u5347\u81f341\u5e74\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7eb7\u7eb7\u5c06\u8d44\u91d1\u8f6c\u5411\u9ec4\u91d1\u7b49\u5bf9\u51b2\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u526f\u4f5c\u7528\u3002 \u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a6\u67086\u65e5\u81f36\u670810\u65e5 \u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u672c\u5468\u6765\u81ea\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\u548c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae\u7684\u5173\u952e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u5404\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u5151\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u548c\u65b9\u5411\u3002   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