{"id":256970,"date":"2022-07-04T05:48:51","date_gmt":"2022-07-04T05:48:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=256970"},"modified":"2022-07-04T05:52:17","modified_gmt":"2022-07-04T05:52:17","slug":"202220704-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/202220704-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20220704 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2022<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>27<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u539f\u6cb9<\/strong><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

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\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u65e0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:30<\/td>\nAUD<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
12:30<\/td>\nAUD<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u4e03\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.35%<\/td>\n0.85%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
12:30<\/td>\nAUD<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u7efc\u5408PMI\u6307\u6570 (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n53.1<\/td>\n53.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n53.4<\/td>\n53.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8d1d\u5229(Andrew Bailey)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5efa\u7b51\u4e1aPMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n55.0<\/td>\n56.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n54.5<\/td>\n55.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdJOLTs\u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n11.050M<\/td>\n11.400M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
02:00<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
04:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f53\u5468API\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u53d8\u52a8(\u6876)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-3.799M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19:30<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u516c\u5e03\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n230K<\/td>\n231K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\nCAD<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927IVEY\u5b63\u8c03\u540ePMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n72.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f53\u5468EIA\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u53d8\u52a8(\u6876)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.569M<\/td>\n-2.762M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19:55<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3\u53d8\u52a8 (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n270K<\/td>\n390K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387 (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n3.6%<\/td>\n3.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nCAD<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u52a8(\u4eba) (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n22.5K<\/td>\n39.8K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2022\u5e747\u67084\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790 GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a7\u67084\u65e5\u81f38\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a6\u670827\u65e5\u81f37\u67081\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u56e0\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u98d9\u5347\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e3a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5373\u5c06\u53ec\u5f00\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u5b9e\u65bd\u66f4\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u52a0\u606f\u94fa\u5e73\u9053\u8def\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u60b2\u89c2\u7684\u6570\u636e\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u533a\u5219\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u6570\u636e\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u6536\u4e8e104.80\u70b9\u3002   \u5728\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4ecd\u4fdd\u6301\u5f3a\u786c\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u8a93\u8a00\u5c06\u57287\u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8fc5\u901f\u5347\u606f\uff0c\u4ee5\u964d\u4f4e\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u5173\u5934\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6b63\u9762\u4e34\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u81ea\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u75ab\u60c5\u590d\u82cf\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52a1\u4ef7\u683c\u5927\u5e45\u98d9\u5347\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u7ed9\u8fc7\u70ed\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u964d\u6e29\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u51e0\u4e4e\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u5730\u4f1a\u9762\u4e34\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6700\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u5373\u8870\u9000\u9636\u6bb5\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7f13\u6162\u548c\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4f9d\u7136\u8106\u5f31\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u610f\u63d0\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u3002\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u8a93\u8a00\u7ee7\u7eed\u523a\u6fc0\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u3002\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u6210\u529f\u6062\u590d\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u518d\u6b21\u89e6\u53ca\u4e24\u4e2a\u6708\u6765\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002   \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u60b2\u89c2\u7684\u6570\u636e\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5347\u503c\u3002\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u60b2\u89c2\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u6708\u7387\u548c\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5206\u6790\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd5\u6708\u4efd\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u6708\u7387\u4ec5\u4e3a0.3%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e0.4%\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u3002\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u7528\u4e8e\u786e\u5b9a\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4e3a\u6d88\u8d39\u76ee\u7684\u800c\u8d2d\u4e70\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52a1\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4e0d\u5305\u62ec\u98df\u54c1\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u3002\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u6570\u636e\u8868\u660e\u901a\u80c0\u5f00\u59cb\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u8fd9\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5f31\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6570\u636e\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u6784\u6210\u4e86\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u5229\u7a7a\u538b\u529b\u3002\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u7684\u76ee\u5149\u5c06\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u5173\u952e\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u6570\u636e\u4e0a\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u3002 \u00a0 \u65e5\u672c \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u51fa\u73b0\u9707\u8361\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a135.00\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5728\u672c\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u5bf9\u98d9\u5347\u540e\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u83b7\u5229\u4e86\u7ed3\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee5\u4e00\u5468\u4f4e\u70b9\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u7ef4\u6301\u8d85\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u5e76\u5f3a\u8c03\u8981\u901a\u8fc7\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u523a\u6fc0\u6765\u652f\u6491\u8106\u5f31\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e3e\u52a8\u660e\u663e\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u65e5\u672c\u4e0e\u4e16\u754c\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u6709\u7740\u5206\u6b67\u3002   \u6b27\u6d32 \u4e0a\u5468\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1.0435\u3002\u968f\u7740\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5347\u606f\u7684\u6d88\u606f\u88ab\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u6d88\u5316\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u56de\u5410\u4e86\u6da8\u5e45\u3002\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u4e24\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u4e0a\u8c03\u5b98\u65b9\u5229\u7387\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u603b\u88c1\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5468\u7684\u8bb2\u8bdd\u4e2d\u6ca1\u6709\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u524d\u666f\u63d0\u4f9b\u4efb\u4f55\u65b0\u7684\u89c1\u89e3\u6216\u7ebf\u7d22\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u5bf9\u52a0\u606f\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u9884\u671f\u51fa\u73b0\u5206\u6b67\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u6210\u529f\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u5e02\u573a\u6b63\u7ecf\u5386\u7740\u6781\u9ad8\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u3002   \u82f1\u56fd 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