{"id":292064,"date":"2023-01-09T04:14:35","date_gmt":"2023-01-09T04:14:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=292064"},"modified":"2023-01-09T04:14:35","modified_gmt":"2023-01-09T04:14:35","slug":"20230109-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20230109-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20230109 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2023<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>13<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>2<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5151\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5468\u8d77\u4f0f\u4e0d\u5b9a\uff0c\u56e0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u597d\u574f\u53c2\u534a\uff0c\u6270\u4e71\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4ee5103.60\u6536\u76d8\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u52a0\u606f\u8ba1\u5212\u6301\u79ef\u6781\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u5f00\u542f\u4e862023\u5e74\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u6d41\u52a8\u8c03\u67e5\u62a5\u544a(JOLTS)\u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\u548c\u7f8e\u56fdADP\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u7b49\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u53d7\u5230\u63d0\u632f\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u6d41\u52a8\u8c03\u67e5\u62a5\u544a(JOLTS)\u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a\u4e3a1045.8\u4e07\u4e2a\uff0c\u663e\u8457\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u9884\u671f\u76841000\u4e07\u4e2a\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0cADP 2022\u5e74\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u79c1\u8425\u90e8\u95e8\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u589e\u52a0\u523023.4\u4e07\u4e2a\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e8615\u4e07\u4e2a\u7684\u666e\u904d\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u7136\u706b\u70ed\u548c\u6709\u5f39\u6027\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u90e8\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\u4e5f\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u770b\u6da8\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a20.4\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u768422.5\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u5237\u65b0\u4e8614\u5468\u4ee5\u6765\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u7eaa\u5f55\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5723\u8def\u6613\u65af\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8a79\u59c6\u65af\u00b7\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7\u4eca\u5929\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u4ed6\u5bf92023\u5e74\u524d\u666f\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\u4ed6\u5728\u6f14\u8bb2\u4e2d\u900f\u9732\uff0c2023\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u901a\u8d27\u7d27\u7f29\u5e74\uff0c\u4f46\u653f\u7b56\u8fd8\u4e0d\u591f\u4e25\u683c\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u4e00\u4efd\u504f\u5411\u9e70\u6d3e\u7684\u58f0\u660e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7eb7\u7eb7\u9000\u51fa\u98ce\u9669\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u6d8c\u5165\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u770b\u5230\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u548c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u6570\u636e\u540e\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u90e8\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u548c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u5206\u522b\u4e3a22.3\u4e07\u4eba\u548c3.5%\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u768420\u4e07\u4eba\u548c3.7%\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4f9d\u7136\u7d27\u5f20\u4e14\u5bcc\u6709\u5f39\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI\u572812\u6708\u4efd\u5927\u5e45\u840e\u7f29\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u4f9d\u7136\u4f4e\u8ff7\u3002\u6839\u636e\u4f9b\u5e94\u7ba1\u7406\u534f\u4f1a(ISM)\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4ece\u524d\u503c55.0\u964d\u81f349.6\uff0c\u5237\u65b0\u4e86\u81ea2020\u5e745\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u6536\u7f29\u7eaa\u5f55\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u5ef6\u7eed\u6da8\u52bf\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e132.05\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5347\u503c\u540e\uff0c\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u7136\u5177\u6709\u5f39\u6027\u548c\u70ed\u5ea6\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u53d7\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI\u6570\u636e\u4f4e\u8ff7\u7684\u9650\u5236\u3002\u5f31\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI\u6570\u636e\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u8868\u660e\u5360\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e8c\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u6b63\u5728\u6536\u7f29\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u8d2c\u503c\uff0c\u4f46\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.0640\u3002\u6b27\u5143\u53d7\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u62d6\u7d2f\u3002\u6839\u636e\u6b27\u76df\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a12\u6708\u4efd\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u5c45\u6c11\u6d88\u8d39\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570(CPI)\u5e74\u7387\u4e3a9.2%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e9.7%\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u3002\u5728\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u4e0d\u65ad\u964d\u4f4e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8fd1\u671f\u5927\u5e45\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5f55\u5f97\u4e00\u4e9b\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1.2090\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u7684\u60b2\u89c2\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u672a\u80fd\u4ece\u635f\u5931\u4e2d\u7ad9\u7a33\u811a\u8ddf\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570(PMI)\u6536\u7f29\u540e\uff0c\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u4ecd\u6062\u590d\u4e86\u5149\u6cfd\uff0c\u5e76\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>2<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u4e00\u8def\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u4ee5\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81865.70\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5e02\u4ef7\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u91d1\u4ef7\u7684\u6da8\u52bf\u5927\u5e45\u5ef6\u7eed\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u672c\u5468\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd12\u6708\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u51fa\u73b0\u6536\u7f29\uff0cISM\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI\u4ece11\u6708\u768456.5\u964d\u81f349.6\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u8bfb\u6570\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768455\u3002\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u9700\u6c42\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u800c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u4ef7\u683c\u5927\u5e45\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8bc1\u660e\u901a\u80c0\u6301\u7eed\u6d88\u9000\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u672c\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684CPI\u7b49\u5173\u952e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u5404\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u5151\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u548c\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5168\u5929<\/td>\nJPY<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c – \u656c\u8001\u65e5<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
8:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0AUD<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.70%<\/td>\n-0.20%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.30%<\/td>\n0.20%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdCPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.10%<\/td>\n0.10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u672a\u5b63\u8c03CPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n6.50%<\/td>\n7.10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n220K<\/td>\n204K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>13<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdGDP\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.90%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.30%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdGDP\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.30%<\/td>\n0.50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.20%<\/td>\n0.70%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

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