{"id":293429,"date":"2023-01-16T04:09:20","date_gmt":"2023-01-16T04:09:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=293429"},"modified":"2023-01-16T04:09:20","modified_gmt":"2023-01-16T04:09:20","slug":"20230116-1-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20230116-1-2\/","title":{"rendered":"20230116 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2022<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>16<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>16<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>20<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u8d44\u91d1\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u5176\u4ed6\u8d44\u4ea7\u4e0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5bf9\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u660e\u663e\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4ee5101.85\u6536\u76d8\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u7f13\u89e3\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u8dcc\u5e45\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd12\u6708\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570(CPI)\u73af\u6bd4\u4ece\u6b64\u524d\u76840.1%\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3-0.1%\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u81ea2020\u5e746\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5927\u4e3e\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u627f\u8bfa\u964d\u4f4e\u4e0d\u65ad\u98d9\u5347\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u52a0\u606f\u8def\u5f84\u5df2\u7ecf\u663e\u73b0\u51fa\u9884\u671f\u6548\u679c\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4eba\u58eb\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u653e\u6162\u52a0\u606f\u6b65\u4f10\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6210\u5458\u7684\u9e3d\u6d3e\u8bb2\u8bdd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7ed9\u7f8e\u5143\u5e26\u6765\u538b\u529b\u3002\u636e\u300a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u6ce2\u58eb\u987f\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u884c\u957f\u82cf\u73ca\u2022\u79d1\u6797\u65af(Susan M. Collins) 25\u65e5\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u57282\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u8bae\u606f\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\uff0c\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u52a0\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002\u5979\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5c0f\u5e45\u52a0\u606f\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u63d0\u4f9b\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u8ba9\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u505a\u51fa\u51b3\u7b56\u4e4b\u524d\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f88\u597d\u5730\u5ba1\u6838\u66f4\u591a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6210\u5458\u91cd\u7533\u4ed6\u4eec\u79ef\u6781\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u7acb\u573a\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u635f\u5931\u6709\u9650\u3002\u5723\u8def\u6613\u65af\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8a79\u59c6\u65af\u00b7\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7(James Bullard)\u5728CPI\u6570\u636e\u516c\u5e03\u540e\u53d1\u8868\u8bb2\u8bdd\uff0c\u79f0\u901a\u80c0\u76ee\u6807\u5df2\u7ecf\u671d\u7740\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4ed6\u8fd8\u662f\u5efa\u8bae\u7f8e\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5c3d\u5feb\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u63d0\u9ad8\u52305%\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u4ecd\u7136\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a82%\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u4e0a\u5468\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u8dcc\u5e45\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e127.82\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u66b4\u8dcc\u540e\uff0c\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684CPI\u6570\u636e\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u6b63\u5728\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u8fd9\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u6301\u7eed\u5927\u5e45\u52a0\u606f\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c(BoJ)\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u4e0b\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u5ba1\u8bae\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u5347\u503c\u3002\u6839\u636e\u300a\u8bfb\u5356\u65b0\u95fb\u300b\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u4fee\u6539\u4e86\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u63a7\u5236\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4f46\u9884\u8ba1\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u5728\u5373\u5c06\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u5ba1\u67e5\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u8d27\u5e01\u5bbd\u677e\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u526f\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u8fd9\u6697\u793a\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8ddf\u968f\u4e3b\u8981\u592e\u884c\u7684\u6b65\u4f10\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.0831\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5927\u5e45\u8d2c\u503c\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u770b\u6da8\u7684\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8(Fed)\u5927\u5e45\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u7b49\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\u578b\u8d27\u5e01\u53d7\u5230\u8ffd\u6367\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c(ECB)\u53d1\u8868\u9e70\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u6da8\u52bf\u5f97\u4ee5\u5ef6\u7eed\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u5df4\u52c3\u7f57\u00b7\u57c3\u5c14\u5357\u5fb7\u65af\u00b7\u5fb7\u00b7\u79d1\u65af\u4e0a\u5468\u4e09\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u5728\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u4ee5\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u201c\u5927\u5e45\u201d\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u901a\u80c0\u5728\u4e2d\u671f\u5185\u56de\u52302%\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u8fd9\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a1.2227\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u770b\u6da8\u7684\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u7f8e\u56fdCPI\u6570\u636e\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u5927\u5e45\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u731c\u6d4b\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5bf9\u82f1\u9551\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4f4e\u8ff7\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u6709\u9650\u3002\u6839\u636e\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c(GDP)\u540c\u6bd4\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u76841.5%\u4e0b\u964d\u52300.2%\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd11\u6708\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u8fd9\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u82f1\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u5468\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u65f6\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81920.17\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d2c\u503c\uff0c\u5927\u5e45\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6210\u5458\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u9e70\u6d3e\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u4f46\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u7136\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u52a0\u606f\u8ba1\u5212\u6301\u6000\u7591\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u9ad8\u5ea6\u76f8\u4fe1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u57282\u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u52a0\u606f\u8d85\u8fc75%\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e0d\u5927\u3002\u6839\u636eCME\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u89c2\u5bdf\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5728\u75b2\u8f6f\u7684CPI\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5e03\u540e\uff0c25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0a\u5347\u523093.7%\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>16<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>20<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u672c\u5468PPI\u2019\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u8910\u76ae\u4e66\u7b49\u5173\u952e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u5404\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u5151\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u548c\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>16<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>20<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>16<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5168\u5929<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u9a6c\u4e01\u8def\u5fb7\u91d1\u7eaa\u5ff5\u65e5<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdZEW\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-15.5<\/td>\n-23.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8d1d\u5229(Andrew Bailey)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>17<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10:00<\/td>\nCNY<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b63\u5ea6GDP\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.8%<\/td>\n3.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10:00<\/td>\nCNY<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u89c4\u6a21\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5de5\u4e1a\u589e\u52a0\u503c\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.5%<\/td>\n2.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u542b\u7ea2\u5229\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u5e73\u5747\u5de5\u8d44\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n6.1%<\/td>\n6.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u7533\u8bf7\u4eba\u6570(\u4eba) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n19.8K<\/td>\n30.5K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdCPI\uff08\u5e74\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4\uff09(\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n8.6%<\/td>\n8.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:00<\/td>\nCAD<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>18<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11:00<\/td>\nJPY<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u5b63\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c55\u671b\u62a5\u544a (\u540c\u6bd4)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5f85\u5b9a<\/td>\nJPY<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u53ec\u5f00\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n10.6%<\/td>\n10.7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n9.2%<\/td>\n9.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.4%<\/td>\n-0.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdPPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.1%<\/td>\n0.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.8%<\/td>\n-0.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>19<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
03:00<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u62a5\u544a\u8910\u76ae\u4e66<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
08:30<\/td>\nAUD<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3(\u4eba) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n22.5K<\/td>\n64.0K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:30<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nEUR<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n

\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u516c\u5e03\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8425\u5efa\u8bb8\u53ef\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.370M<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n

1.351M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n212K<\/td>\n205K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570 (\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-11.0<\/td>\n-13.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>20<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.4%<\/td>\n-0.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\nCAD<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u5341\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n3.95M<\/td>\n4.09M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2022\u5e741\u670816\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790   GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a1\u670816\u65e5\u81f320\u65e5   \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a1\u67089\u65e5\u81f31\u670813\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u8d44\u91d1\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u5176\u4ed6\u8d44\u4ea7\u4e0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5bf9\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u660e\u663e\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4ee5101.85\u6536\u76d8\u3002   \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u7f13\u89e3\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u8dcc\u5e45\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd12\u6708\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570(CPI)\u73af\u6bd4\u4ece\u6b64\u524d\u76840.1%\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3-0.1%\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u81ea2020\u5e746\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5927\u4e3e\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u627f\u8bfa\u964d\u4f4e\u4e0d\u65ad\u98d9\u5347\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u52a0\u606f\u8def\u5f84\u5df2\u7ecf\u663e\u73b0\u51fa\u9884\u671f\u6548\u679c\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4eba\u58eb\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u653e\u6162\u52a0\u606f\u6b65\u4f10\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6210\u5458\u7684\u9e3d\u6d3e\u8bb2\u8bdd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7ed9\u7f8e\u5143\u5e26\u6765\u538b\u529b\u3002\u636e\u300a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u6ce2\u58eb\u987f\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u884c\u957f\u82cf\u73ca\u2022\u79d1\u6797\u65af(Susan M. Collins) 25\u65e5\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u57282\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u8bae\u606f\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\uff0c\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u52a0\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002\u5979\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5c0f\u5e45\u52a0\u606f\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u63d0\u4f9b\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u8ba9\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u505a\u51fa\u51b3\u7b56\u4e4b\u524d\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f88\u597d\u5730\u5ba1\u6838\u66f4\u591a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u3002   \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6210\u5458\u91cd\u7533\u4ed6\u4eec\u79ef\u6781\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u7acb\u573a\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u635f\u5931\u6709\u9650\u3002\u5723\u8def\u6613\u65af\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8a79\u59c6\u65af\u00b7\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7(James Bullard)\u5728CPI\u6570\u636e\u516c\u5e03\u540e\u53d1\u8868\u8bb2\u8bdd\uff0c\u79f0\u901a\u80c0\u76ee\u6807\u5df2\u7ecf\u671d\u7740\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4ed6\u8fd8\u662f\u5efa\u8bae\u7f8e\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5c3d\u5feb\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u63d0\u9ad8\u52305%\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u4ecd\u7136\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a82%\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002 \u00a0 \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u4e0a\u5468\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u8dcc\u5e45\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e127.82\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u66b4\u8dcc\u540e\uff0c\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684CPI\u6570\u636e\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u6b63\u5728\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u8fd9\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u6301\u7eed\u5927\u5e45\u52a0\u606f\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c(BoJ)\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u4e0b\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u5ba1\u8bae\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u5347\u503c\u3002\u6839\u636e\u300a\u8bfb\u5356\u65b0\u95fb\u300b\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u4fee\u6539\u4e86\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u63a7\u5236\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4f46\u9884\u8ba1\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u5728\u5373\u5c06\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u5ba1\u67e5\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u8d27\u5e01\u5bbd\u677e\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u526f\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u8fd9\u6697\u793a\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8ddf\u968f\u4e3b\u8981\u592e\u884c\u7684\u6b65\u4f10\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u3002 \u00a0 \u6b27\u6d32 \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.0831\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5927\u5e45\u8d2c\u503c\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u770b\u6da8\u7684\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8(Fed)\u5927\u5e45\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u7b49\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\u578b\u8d27\u5e01\u53d7\u5230\u8ffd\u6367\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c(ECB)\u53d1\u8868\u9e70\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u6da8\u52bf\u5f97\u4ee5\u5ef6\u7eed\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u5df4\u52c3\u7f57\u00b7\u57c3\u5c14\u5357\u5fb7\u65af\u00b7\u5fb7\u00b7\u79d1\u65af\u4e0a\u5468\u4e09\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u5728\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u4ee5\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u201c\u5927\u5e45\u201d\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u901a\u80c0\u5728\u4e2d\u671f\u5185\u56de\u52302%\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u8fd9\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002   \u82f1\u56fd \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a1.2227\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u4e0a\u5468\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u770b\u6da8\u7684\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u7f8e\u56fdCPI\u6570\u636e\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u5927\u5e45\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u731c\u6d4b\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5bf9\u82f1\u9551\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4f4e\u8ff7\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u6709\u9650\u3002\u6839\u636e\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c(GDP)\u540c\u6bd4\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u76841.5%\u4e0b\u964d\u52300.2%\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd11\u6708\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u8fd9\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u82f1\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002 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