{"id":304997,"date":"2023-03-19T09:41:45","date_gmt":"2023-03-19T09:41:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=304997"},"modified":"2023-03-19T09:41:45","modified_gmt":"2023-03-19T09:41:45","slug":"20230319-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20230319-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20230320 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2023<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>20<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>20<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>24<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>17<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7531\u4e8e\u5bf9\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u4e0d\u5b89\u60c5\u7eea\u6270\u4e71\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5468\u5185\u5bf9\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4e2d\u6447\u6446\u4e0d\u5b9a\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e103.45\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u52a8\u8361\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u9003\u79bb\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u7845\u8c37\u94f6\u884c(SVB)\u7684\u5012\u95ed\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u5411\u5e02\u573a\u6295\u4e0b\u4e86\u4e00\u9897\u201c\u70b8\u5f39\u201d\uff0c\u9884\u793a\u7740\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u8c03\u5229\u7387\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u5c06\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u76d1\u7ba1\u673a\u6784\u8fd8\u63a7\u5236\u4e86\u56e0\u7845\u8c37\u94f6\u884c\u9677\u5165\u56f0\u5883\u7684\u540c\u884c-\u6807\u5fd7\u94f6\u884c\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5f00\u59cb\u9884\u671f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3a\u907f\u514d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u786c\u7740\u9646\u800c\u964d\u4f4e\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u5728\u672c\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u629b\u552e\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u745e\u58eb\u4fe1\u8d37(Credit Suisse)\u9886\u8dcc\u6b27\u6d32\u94f6\u884c\u80a1\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u5927\u5e45\u53cd\u5f39\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u745e\u4fe1(Credit Suisse)\u627f\u8ba4\u5176\u8d22\u52a1\u62a5\u544a\u5b58\u5728\u201c\u91cd\u5927\u7f3a\u9677\u201d\uff0c\u7a81\u663e\u51fa\u8be5\u96c6\u56e2\u672a\u80fd\u53d1\u73b0\u8d22\u52a1\u62a5\u8868\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u8d22\u52a1\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u5b9e\u8d28\u6027\u75b2\u8f6f\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u771f\u6b63\u5f15\u53d1\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u629b\u552e\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6c99\u7279\u56fd\u5bb6\u94f6\u884c(SNB)\u900f\u9732\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u76d1\u7ba1\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u4e0d\u518d\u8d2d\u4e70\u745e\u58eb\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u66f4\u591a\u80a1\u7968\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u80a1\u5e02\u66b4\u8dcc\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u6700\u5927\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u518d\u6ce8\u5165\u989d\u5916\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u5e02\u573a\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u91cd\u65b0\u6d8c\u5411\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u6709\u5229\u7684\u5c40\u9762\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u6301\u7eed\u592a\u4e45\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u52a8\u8361\u4fc3\u4f7f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u91cd\u65b0\u6269\u5927\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5373\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7ef4\u6301\u6216\u964d\u606f\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u9884\u793a\u7740\u7f8e\u5143\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u66f4\u591a\u75db\u82e6\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4eba\u58eb\u4ecd\u5728\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5bf9\u52a0\u606f\u8def\u5f84\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u8dcc\u5e45\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e131.80\u3002\u8fd9\u5bf9\u7ec4\u5408\u53d7\u5230\u5e02\u573a\u9e3d\u6d3e\u62bc\u6ce8\u7684\u6253\u51fb\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u7ef4\u6301\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u73b0\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5728\u5373\u5c06\u53ec\u5f00\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u964d\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff0c\u4ee5\u62ef\u6551\u7f8e\u56fd\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u65e8\u5728\u652f\u6301\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u65b0\u878d\u8d44\u5b89\u6392\u4e5f\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u6784\u6210\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u91cd\u65b0\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u4e0b\u4e0d\u4e00\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.0665\u3002\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u745e\u58eb\u4fe1\u8d37\u7684\u6700\u5927\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u2014\u2014\u6c99\u7279\u56fd\u5bb6\u94f6\u884c(SNB)\u900f\u9732\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u76d1\u7ba1\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u8003\u8651\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u4e0d\u518d\u8d2d\u4e70\u745e\u58eb\u4fe1\u8d37\u7684\u66f4\u591a\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u6b64\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u76df\u5355\u4e00\u8d27\u5e01\u6b27\u5143\u66b4\u8dcc\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u6700\u5927\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u518d\u6ce8\u5165\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u73b0\u91d1\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u5e02\u573a\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9003\u79bb\u6b27\u5143\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u5f00\u59cb\u6d88\u5316\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8(Federal reserve)\u6682\u505c\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u8bbe\u6cd5\u91cd\u62fe\u5149\u6cfd\u3002\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u52a0\u606f50\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u4ee5\u53ca\u8be5\u9e70\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\u5728\u672c\u5468\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u63d0\u632f\u4e86\u5355\u4e00\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1.2177\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u8d27\u5e01\u7ec4\u5408\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u4e5f\u6765\u81ea\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u7845\u8c37\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5bfc\u81f4\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u52a8\u8361\u4e4b\u540e\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u5143\u75b2\u8f6f\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u8fdc\u8fdc\u5927\u4e8e\u6b27\u5143\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u82f1\u56fd\u76ee\u524d\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u751f\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u52a8\u8361\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>17<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u4e00\u5468\u5185\u4e00\u8def\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u4ee5\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81987.50\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u6b27\u76df(EU)\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u5371\u673a\u7206\u53d1\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u745e\u4fe1(Credit Suisse)\u548c\u7b2c\u4e00\u5171\u548c\u56fd\u94f6\u884c(First Republic Bank)\u4ee4\u5e02\u573a\u611f\u5230\u4e0d\u5b89\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u62c5\u5fc3\u5371\u673a\u4f1a\u8513\u5ef6\uff0c\u5e76\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u7d27\u7f29\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5f71\u54cd\u5bfc\u81f4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7845\u8c37\u94f6\u884c\u548c\u6807\u5fd7\u94f6\u884c\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5468\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4eba\u58eb\u4e5f\u6d88\u5316\u4e86\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u5373\u5c06\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u6682\u505c\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>20<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>24<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u672c\u5468\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae\u7b49\u5173\u952e\u8d22\u7ecf\u4e8b\u4ef6\u548c\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u5404\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u5151\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u548c\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>20<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>24<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>20<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:15<\/td>\nCNY<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u8d37\u6b3e\u5e02\u573a\u62a5\u4ef7\u5229\u7387(LPR)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n3.65%<\/td>\n3.65%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>21<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
08:30<\/td>\nAUD<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdZEW\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n16.4<\/td>\n28.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nCAD<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n4.17M<\/td>\n4.00M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>22<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n9.8%<\/td>\n10.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:45<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>23<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
02:00<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n5.00%<\/td>\n4.75%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
02:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\nCHF<\/td>\n\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.00%<\/td>\n1.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\nCHF<\/td>\n\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8bc4\u4f30<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\nCHF<\/td>\n\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u76df\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5cf0\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tentative<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u8b66\u544a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n4.25%<\/td>\n4.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u516c\u5e03\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:00<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8425\u5efa\u8bb8\u53ef\u603b\u6570(\u6237)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.339M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n199K<\/td>\n192K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u65b0\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n648K<\/td>\n670K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>24<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
07:30<\/td>\nJPY<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c\u5168\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n3.1%<\/td>\n4.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.2%<\/td>\n0.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n47.0<\/td>\n46.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533aS&P Global\u7efc\u5408PMI (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n52.0<\/td>\n52.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u7efc\u5408PMI\u6307\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n52.7<\/td>\n53.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n50.0<\/td>\n49.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:30<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n53.0<\/td>\n53.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u76df\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5cf0\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6263\u9664\u8fd0\u8f93\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.2%<\/td>\n0.8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nCAD<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.6%<\/td>\n-0.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5723\u8def\u6613\u65af\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7(James Bullard)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:45<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdS&P Global\u7efc\u5408PMI (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n47.5<\/td>\n50.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2023\u5e743\u670820\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790   GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a3\u670820\u65e5\u81f324\u65e5   \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a3\u670813\u65e5\u81f33\u670817\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u7531\u4e8e\u5bf9\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u4e0d\u5b89\u60c5\u7eea\u6270\u4e71\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5468\u5185\u5bf9\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4e2d\u6447\u6446\u4e0d\u5b9a\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e103.45\u3002   \u672c\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u52a8\u8361\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u9003\u79bb\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u7845\u8c37\u94f6\u884c(SVB)\u7684\u5012\u95ed\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u5411\u5e02\u573a\u6295\u4e0b\u4e86\u4e00\u9897\u201c\u70b8\u5f39\u201d\uff0c\u9884\u793a\u7740\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u8c03\u5229\u7387\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u5c06\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u76d1\u7ba1\u673a\u6784\u8fd8\u63a7\u5236\u4e86\u56e0\u7845\u8c37\u94f6\u884c\u9677\u5165\u56f0\u5883\u7684\u540c\u884c-\u6807\u5fd7\u94f6\u884c\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5f00\u59cb\u9884\u671f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3a\u907f\u514d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u786c\u7740\u9646\u800c\u964d\u4f4e\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u5728\u672c\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u629b\u552e\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u745e\u58eb\u4fe1\u8d37(Credit Suisse)\u9886\u8dcc\u6b27\u6d32\u94f6\u884c\u80a1\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u5927\u5e45\u53cd\u5f39\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u745e\u4fe1(Credit Suisse)\u627f\u8ba4\u5176\u8d22\u52a1\u62a5\u544a\u5b58\u5728\u201c\u91cd\u5927\u7f3a\u9677\u201d\uff0c\u7a81\u663e\u51fa\u8be5\u96c6\u56e2\u672a\u80fd\u53d1\u73b0\u8d22\u52a1\u62a5\u8868\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u8d22\u52a1\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u5b9e\u8d28\u6027\u75b2\u8f6f\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u771f\u6b63\u5f15\u53d1\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u629b\u552e\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6c99\u7279\u56fd\u5bb6\u94f6\u884c(SNB)\u900f\u9732\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u76d1\u7ba1\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u4e0d\u518d\u8d2d\u4e70\u745e\u58eb\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u66f4\u591a\u80a1\u7968\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u80a1\u5e02\u66b4\u8dcc\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u6700\u5927\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u518d\u6ce8\u5165\u989d\u5916\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u5e02\u573a\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u91cd\u65b0\u6d8c\u5411\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u3002   \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u6709\u5229\u7684\u5c40\u9762\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u6301\u7eed\u592a\u4e45\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u52a8\u8361\u4fc3\u4f7f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u91cd\u65b0\u6269\u5927\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5373\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7ef4\u6301\u6216\u964d\u606f\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u9884\u793a\u7740\u7f8e\u5143\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u66f4\u591a\u75db\u82e6\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4eba\u58eb\u4ecd\u5728\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5bf9\u52a0\u606f\u8def\u5f84\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u5411\u3002 \u00a0 \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u8dcc\u5e45\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e131.80\u3002\u8fd9\u5bf9\u7ec4\u5408\u53d7\u5230\u5e02\u573a\u9e3d\u6d3e\u62bc\u6ce8\u7684\u6253\u51fb\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u7ef4\u6301\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u73b0\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5728\u5373\u5c06\u53ec\u5f00\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u964d\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff0c\u4ee5\u62ef\u6551\u7f8e\u56fd\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u65e8\u5728\u652f\u6301\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u65b0\u878d\u8d44\u5b89\u6392\u4e5f\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u6784\u6210\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u91cd\u65b0\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u3002 \u00a0 \u6b27\u6d32 \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u4e0b\u4e0d\u4e00\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.0665\u3002\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u745e\u58eb\u4fe1\u8d37\u7684\u6700\u5927\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u2014\u2014\u6c99\u7279\u56fd\u5bb6\u94f6\u884c(SNB)\u900f\u9732\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u76d1\u7ba1\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u8003\u8651\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u4e0d\u518d\u8d2d\u4e70\u745e\u58eb\u4fe1\u8d37\u7684\u66f4\u591a\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u6b64\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u76df\u5355\u4e00\u8d27\u5e01\u6b27\u5143\u66b4\u8dcc\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u6700\u5927\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u518d\u6ce8\u5165\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u73b0\u91d1\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u5e02\u573a\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9003\u79bb\u6b27\u5143\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u5f00\u59cb\u6d88\u5316\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8(Federal reserve)\u6682\u505c\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u8bbe\u6cd5\u91cd\u62fe\u5149\u6cfd\u3002\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u52a0\u606f50\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u4ee5\u53ca\u8be5\u9e70\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\u5728\u672c\u5468\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u63d0\u632f\u4e86\u5355\u4e00\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u3002   \u82f1\u56fd \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1.2177\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u8d27\u5e01\u7ec4\u5408\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u4e5f\u6765\u81ea\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u7845\u8c37\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5bfc\u81f4\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u52a8\u8361\u4e4b\u540e\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u5143\u75b2\u8f6f\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u8fdc\u8fdc\u5927\u4e8e\u6b27\u5143\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u82f1\u56fd\u76ee\u524d\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u751f\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u52a8\u8361\u3002   \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a3\u670813\u65e5\u81f317\u65e5 \u9ec4\u91d1 \u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u4e00\u5468\u5185\u4e00\u8def\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u4ee5\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81987.50\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u6b27\u76df(EU)\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u5371\u673a\u7206\u53d1\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u745e\u4fe1(Credit Suisse)\u548c\u7b2c\u4e00\u5171\u548c\u56fd\u94f6\u884c(First Republic 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