{"id":306581,"date":"2023-03-27T06:35:44","date_gmt":"2023-03-27T06:35:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=306581"},"modified":"2023-03-27T06:35:44","modified_gmt":"2023-03-27T06:35:44","slug":"20230327-2-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20230327-2-2\/","title":{"rendered":"20230327 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2023<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>27<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>27<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>31<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>20<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>24<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u8fdb\u884c\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u6301\u7eed\u4f4e\u8ff7\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u8dcc\u81f38\u5468\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5df2\u7ecf\u5b9e\u65bd\u4e86\u9884\u671f\u7684\u52a0\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u516c\u5e03\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u5b9a\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u5468\u56db\u66b4\u8dcc\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u51b3\u5b9a\u5c06\u73b0\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8c0325\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u81f35.00%\uff0c\u7b26\u5408\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u9884\u671f\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u4e0a\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u672a\u6765\u52a0\u606f\u8def\u5f84\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u7ebf\u7d22\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u52302023\u5e74\u5e95\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u518d\u52a0\u606f\u4e00\u6b21\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e5f\u6697\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u52a0\u606f\u8def\u5f84\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u521d\u59cb\u505c\u6b47\u70b9\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u7845\u8c37\u94f6\u884c(SVB)\u548c\u7b7e\u540d\u94f6\u884c(Signature Bank)\u7684\u5173\u95ed\u5df2\u7ecf\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u4e25\u91cd\uff0c\u800c\u53e6\u4e00\u573a\u5386\u53f2\u6027\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u907f\u514d\u94f6\u884c\u5371\u673a\u7684\u6076\u5316\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u51b3\u5b9a\u672a\u6765\u653e\u6162\u52a0\u606f\u6b65\u4f10\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u964d\u4f4e\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u8bf4:\u201c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5bf9\u6297\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7684\u6597\u4e89\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u7ed3\u675f\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u6b27\u6d32\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u51fa\u73b0\u65b0\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u907f\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u5c55\u671b\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u5373\u5c06\u53d1\u5e03\u7684GDP\u6570\u636e\u548c\u6838\u5fc3\u4e2a\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e130.60\uff0c\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u75b2\u8f6f\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u51b3\u5b9a\u5c06\u73b0\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8c0325\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u81f35.00%\uff0c\u4e0e\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u9884\u671f\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u4e0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u52302023\u5e74\u5e95\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u518d\u52a0\u606f\u4e00\u6b21\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u5206\u6790\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e0a\u8c03\u5229\u7387\u7684\u9053\u8def\u5373\u5c06\u505c\u6b62\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.0760\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6697\u793a\u52302023\u5e74\u5e95\u53ea\u4f1a\u518d\u52a0\u606f\u4e00\u6b21\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u968f\u7740\u6b27\u6d32\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u51fa\u73b0\u65b0\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5931\u5b88\uff0c\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u5fb7\u610f\u5fd7\uff08Deutsche Bank\uff09\u94f6\u884c\u503a\u52a1\u8fdd\u7ea6\u98ce\u9669\u4fdd\u9669\u6210\u672c\u5347\u81f3\u56db\u5e74\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u8be5\u94f6\u884c\u80a1\u4ef7\u5f53\u65e5\u66b4\u8dcc\u3002\u6839\u636e\u6807\u51c6\u666e\u5c14\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u62a5\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5fb7\u610f\u5fd7\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u4fe1\u7528\u8fdd\u7ea6\u6389\u671f(CDS)\u2014\u2014\u503a\u5238\u6301\u6709\u4eba\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u4fdd\u9669\u5f62\u5f0f\u2014\u2014\u4e24\u5929\u524d\u4ece142\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u98d9\u5347\u81f3220\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u81ea2018\u5e74\u5e95\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u94f6\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u9762\u4e34\u4e00\u573a\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u7834\u4ea7\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u7845\u8c37\u94f6\u884c(Silicon Valley Bank)\u548c\u7b7e\u540d\u94f6\u884c(Signature Bank)\u4e24\u5468\u524d\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e00\u6837\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5bf9\u5176\u4ed6\u8d27\u5e01\u5931\u53bb\u4e86\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff0c\u800c\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u66f4\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u8d2d\u4e70\u907f\u9669\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e86\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u6da8\u52bf\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1.2240\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5ba3\u5e03\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u5b9a\u540e\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u4e00\u81f4\u540c\u610f\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8c0325\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u81f34.25%\uff0c\u7b26\u5408\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u9884\u671f\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5c45\u9ad8\u4e0d\u4e0b\u7684CPI\u6570\u636e\u7ee7\u7eed\u6fc0\u53d1\u82f1\u9551\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u6839\u636e\u82f1\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u7684CPI\u4e3a10.4%\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u666e\u904d\u9884\u671f\u76849.9%\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u82f1\u56fd\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>20<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>24<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81975.50\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u745e\u94f6(UBS)\u6536\u8d2d\u745e\u58eb\u4fe1\u8d37(Credit Suisse)\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u6ce8\u5165\u66f4\u591a\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u6709\u6240\u7f13\u89e3\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u66b4\u8dcc\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5728\u5fb7\u610f\u5fd7\u94f6\u884c(Deutsche Bank)\u503a\u52a1\u8fdd\u7ea6\u98ce\u9669\u4fdd\u9669\u6210\u672c\u5347\u81f34\u5e74\u9ad8\u70b9\u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u8be5\u884c\u80a1\u4ef7\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u5927\u8dcc\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u8bbe\u6cd5\u91cd\u62fe\u6da8\u52bf\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u62c5\u5fc3\u6b27\u76df\u53ef\u80fd\u518d\u6b21\u51fa\u73b0\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u6050\u614c\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u7eb7\u7eb7\u6d8c\u5165\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u4ee5\u89c4\u907f\u5371\u673a\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>27<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>31<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u672c\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u548c\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u7b49\u5173\u952e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u5404\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u5151\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u548c\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>27<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>31<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>27<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0EUR<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdIFO\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n91<\/td>\n91.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>28<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8d1d\u5229(Andrew Bailey)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
8:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0AUD<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.40%<\/td>\n1.90%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:45<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8d1d\u5229(Andrew Bailey)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0BRL<\/td>\n\u5df4\u897f\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:15<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0EUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8c18\u5546\u4f1a\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570 (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n101<\/td>\n102.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>29<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u6210\u5c4b\u7b7e\u7ea6\u9500\u552e\u6307\u6570\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-3.00%<\/td>\n8.10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>30<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u8bd5\u9a8c\u6027<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u8b66\u544a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0EUR<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n7.30%<\/td>\n8.70%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b9e\u9645GDP\u5e74\u5316\u5b63\u7387 (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n2.70%<\/td>\n3.20%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n196K<\/td>\n191K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>31<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
9:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0CNY<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b98\u65b9\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n50.5<\/td>\n52.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdGDP\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.40%<\/td>\n0.20%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0GBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-0.20%<\/td>\n-0.20%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:55<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0EUR<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u5931\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u52a8 (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n3K<\/td>\n2K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0EUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n7.20%<\/td>\n8.50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0USD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.40%<\/td>\n0.60%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0CAD<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927GDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.40%<\/td>\n-0.10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\n\u00a0\u00a0EUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2023\u5e743\u670827\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790 GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a3\u670827\u65e5\u81f331\u65e5   \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a3\u670820\u65e5\u81f33\u670824\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u8fdb\u884c\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u6301\u7eed\u4f4e\u8ff7\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u8dcc\u81f38\u5468\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5df2\u7ecf\u5b9e\u65bd\u4e86\u9884\u671f\u7684\u52a0\u606f\u3002   \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u516c\u5e03\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u5b9a\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u5468\u56db\u66b4\u8dcc\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u51b3\u5b9a\u5c06\u73b0\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8c0325\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u81f35.00%\uff0c\u7b26\u5408\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u9884\u671f\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u4e0a\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u672a\u6765\u52a0\u606f\u8def\u5f84\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u7ebf\u7d22\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u52302023\u5e74\u5e95\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u518d\u52a0\u606f\u4e00\u6b21\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e5f\u6697\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u52a0\u606f\u8def\u5f84\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u521d\u59cb\u505c\u6b47\u70b9\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u7845\u8c37\u94f6\u884c(SVB)\u548c\u7b7e\u540d\u94f6\u884c(Signature Bank)\u7684\u5173\u95ed\u5df2\u7ecf\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u4e25\u91cd\uff0c\u800c\u53e6\u4e00\u573a\u5386\u53f2\u6027\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u907f\u514d\u94f6\u884c\u5371\u673a\u7684\u6076\u5316\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u51b3\u5b9a\u672a\u6765\u653e\u6162\u52a0\u606f\u6b65\u4f10\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u964d\u4f4e\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u8bf4:\u201c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5bf9\u6297\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7684\u6597\u4e89\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u7ed3\u675f\u3002\u201d   \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u6b27\u6d32\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u51fa\u73b0\u65b0\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u907f\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u5c55\u671b\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u5373\u5c06\u53d1\u5e03\u7684GDP\u6570\u636e\u548c\u6838\u5fc3\u4e2a\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u5411\u3002 \u00a0 \u65e5\u672c \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e130.60\uff0c\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u75b2\u8f6f\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u51b3\u5b9a\u5c06\u73b0\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8c0325\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u81f35.00%\uff0c\u4e0e\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u9884\u671f\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u4e0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u52302023\u5e74\u5e95\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u518d\u52a0\u606f\u4e00\u6b21\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u5206\u6790\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e0a\u8c03\u5229\u7387\u7684\u9053\u8def\u5373\u5c06\u505c\u6b62\u3002 \u00a0 \u6b27\u6d32 \u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.0760\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6697\u793a\u52302023\u5e74\u5e95\u53ea\u4f1a\u518d\u52a0\u606f\u4e00\u6b21\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u968f\u7740\u6b27\u6d32\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u51fa\u73b0\u65b0\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5931\u5b88\uff0c\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u5fb7\u610f\u5fd7\uff08Deutsche Bank\uff09\u94f6\u884c\u503a\u52a1\u8fdd\u7ea6\u98ce\u9669\u4fdd\u9669\u6210\u672c\u5347\u81f3\u56db\u5e74\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u8be5\u94f6\u884c\u80a1\u4ef7\u5f53\u65e5\u66b4\u8dcc\u3002\u6839\u636e\u6807\u51c6\u666e\u5c14\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u62a5\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5fb7\u610f\u5fd7\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u4fe1\u7528\u8fdd\u7ea6\u6389\u671f(CDS)\u2014\u2014\u503a\u5238\u6301\u6709\u4eba\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u4fdd\u9669\u5f62\u5f0f\u2014\u2014\u4e24\u5929\u524d\u4ece142\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u98d9\u5347\u81f3220\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u81ea2018\u5e74\u5e95\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u94f6\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u9762\u4e34\u4e00\u573a\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u7834\u4ea7\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u7845\u8c37\u94f6\u884c(Silicon Valley Bank)\u548c\u7b7e\u540d\u94f6\u884c(Signature Bank)\u4e24\u5468\u524d\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e00\u6837\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5bf9\u5176\u4ed6\u8d27\u5e01\u5931\u53bb\u4e86\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff0c\u800c\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u66f4\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u8d2d\u4e70\u907f\u9669\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002   \u82f1\u56fd \u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e86\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u6da8\u52bf\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1.2240\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5ba3\u5e03\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u5b9a\u540e\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u4e00\u81f4\u540c\u610f\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8c0325\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u81f34.25%\uff0c\u7b26\u5408\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u9884\u671f\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5c45\u9ad8\u4e0d\u4e0b\u7684CPI\u6570\u636e\u7ee7\u7eed\u6fc0\u53d1\u82f1\u9551\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u6839\u636e\u82f1\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u7684CPI\u4e3a10.4%\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u666e\u904d\u9884\u671f\u76849.9%\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u82f1\u56fd\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u3002   \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a3\u670820\u65e5\u81f324\u65e5 \u9ec4\u91d1 \u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81975.50\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u745e\u94f6(UBS)\u6536\u8d2d\u745e\u58eb\u4fe1\u8d37(Credit Suisse)\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u6ce8\u5165\u66f4\u591a\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u6709\u6240\u7f13\u89e3\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u66b4\u8dcc\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5728\u5fb7\u610f\u5fd7\u94f6\u884c(Deutsche 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\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a3\u670827\u65e5\u81f331\u65e5 \u65f6\u95f4 \u5e02\u573a \u6570\u636e \u5b9e\u9645 \u9884\u671f \u524d\u503c \u5468\u4e00\uff0c3\u670827\u65e5 16:00 \u00a0\u00a0EUR \u5fb7\u56fdIFO\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u4e09\u6708) – 91 91.1 \u5468\u4e8c\uff0c3\u670828\u65e5 1:00 \u00a0\u00a0GBP \u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8d1d\u5229(Andrew Bailey)\u8bb2\u8bdd 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