{"id":311029,"date":"2023-04-17T08:33:32","date_gmt":"2023-04-17T08:33:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=311029"},"modified":"2023-04-17T08:33:32","modified_gmt":"2023-04-17T08:33:32","slug":"20230417-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20230417-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20230417 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2023<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>17<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>17<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>21<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>14<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5728\u5168\u7403\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\u4e0b\uff0c\u4ee5\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7ee7\u7eed\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002<\/p>\n

\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4e0b\u964d 0.1% \u81f3 3.5% \u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u672c\u5468\u521d\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u4e3a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u52a0\u606f\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u66f4\u591a\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08IMF\uff09\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u8868\u60b2\u89c2\u5c55\u671b\u5e76\u5c06\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u4e0b\u8c030.1%\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u65e0\u6cd5\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u52a8\u8361\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u592e\u884c\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u7d27\u7f29\u4e3e\u63aa\u9020\u6210\u7684\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08FOMC\uff092\u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u5728\u7845\u8c37\u94f6\u884c\uff08SVB\u548cSignature Bank\u5012\u95ed\uff09\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ef\u80fd\u9677\u5165\u8870\u9000\u3002\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u5728\u5fc5\u8981\u65f6\u8003\u8651\u6682\u505c\u7d27\u7f29\u653f\u7b56\u3002 \u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570(CPI)\u548c\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570(PPI)\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u652f\u6301\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6682\u505c\u7d27\u7f29\u653f\u7b56\uff0cCPI\u75316.0%\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f35.0%\uff0cPPI\u4e3a\u8d1f-0.5%\uff0c\u5747\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a \u671f\u671b\u3002<\/p>\n

\n

\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u4ea4\u6613\u4e8e2022\u5e744\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u540e\uff0c\u5468\u4e94\u91cd\u62fe\u5149\u5f69\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u968f\u540e\u7684\u53cd\u5f39\u4e3b\u8981\u5f52\u529f\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6210\u5458\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u6258\u5f17\u00b7\u6c83\u52d2\u7684\u5f3a\u786c\u8868\u6001\u3002 \u6c83\u52d2\u5728\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u8ddd\u79bb\u7f8e\u8054\u50a82%\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u8fd8\u5f88\u8fdc\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5e94\u8be5\u7ee7\u7eed\u6536\u7d27\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u6291\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5728\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5927\u91cf\u629b\u552e\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\/\u65e5\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e 133.97 \u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u3002 \u65e5\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u65e5\u672c\u65b0\u4efb\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u4e0a\u7530\u4e00\u592b\u7ef4\u6301\u8d85\u5bbd\u677e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u3002 Ueda \u8868\u793a\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u4e0d\u80fd\u4fdd\u8bc1\u5229\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u5c06\u635f\u5bb3\u56fd\u5185\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd1\u671f\u901a\u80c0\u4e0a\u5347\u662f\u7531\u6210\u672c\u63a8\u52a8\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u63a8\u52a8\u7684\u3002\u5f53\u524d\u4f01\u4e1a\u627f\u53d7\u7740\u539f\u6750\u6599\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7d27\u7f29\u5c06\u51cf\u5c11\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n

\n

\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u6536\u5e02\u4ef7\u4e3a 1.0983\u3002 \u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c (ECB) \u5185\u683c\u5c14\u53d1\u8868\u9e70\u6d3e\u8bb2\u8bdd\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002 Nagel \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u5e94\u79ef\u6781\u6536\u7d27\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u6291\u5236\u901a\u80c0\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5229\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6301\u7eed\u5904\u4e8e\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002 \u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u4e2d\u671f\u901a\u80c0\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u526f\u884c\u957f\u8def\u6613\u65af\u5fb7\u91d1\u591a\u65af\u4e5f\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u5f3a\u786c\u58f0\u660e\u3002 2 \u6708\u4efd\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e3a 5.7%\uff0c\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0b\u964d\u4e4b\u524d\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u5347\u3002 \u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7684\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u5728\u4e2d\u957f\u671f\u5185\u4fdd\u6301\uff0c\u4ee5\u6291\u5236\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u3002<\/p>\n

\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\/\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e 1.2399\u3002 \u597d\u574f\u53c2\u534a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u516c\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002 \u6839\u636e\u82f1\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u5546\u534f\u4f1a\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u5f55\u5f97 4.9% \u7684\u8bfb\u6570\uff0c\u4e0e\u4e0a\u6708\u7684\u8bfb\u6570\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 4.2%\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u7531\u4e8e\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u6301\u7eed\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u6bcd\u4eb2\u8282\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u540c\u6bd4\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4f46\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u652f\u51fa\u4ecd\u7136\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5065\u3002 \u96f6\u552e\u989d\u7684\u589e\u957f\u6765\u81ea\u4e8e\u98df\u54c1\u9500\u552e\u589e\u957f8.9%\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u98df\u54c1\u9500\u552e\u589e\u957f1.8%\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u610f\u5473\u7740\u82f1\u56fd\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u80fd\u529b\u4e0d\u53d7\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u73af\u5883\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u5bf9\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4 3 \u6708\u4efd\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc -43%\u3002 \u8d1d\u5229\u5dde\u957f\u7684\u8bb2\u8bdd\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u3002 \u8d1d\u5229\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u592e\u884c\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u89c4\u6a21\u5927\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5371\u673a\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\u3002 \u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u91cd\u62fe\u5bf9\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f3\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f8 2002.72 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u91cd\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u5267\u70c8\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002 \u6b64\u524d\u91d1\u4ef7\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u6765\u81ea\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u964d\u6e29\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u3002 \u5168\u5e74 CPI \u6570\u636e\u4ece 6.0%\u4e0b\u964d 1.0%\u81f3 5.05\uff0c\u8fd9\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6682\u505c\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0cPPI\u6570\u636e\u7684\u964d\u6e29\u4e5f\u52a9\u957f\u4e86\u91d1\u4ef7\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002 \u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6c83\u52d2\u53d1\u8868\u9e70\u6d3e\u8bb2\u8bdd\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u91cd\u62fe\u5149\u5f69\u3002 \u6c83\u52d2\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u8ddd\u79bb\u7f8e\u8054\u50a82%\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u8fd8\u5f88\u8fdc\uff0c\u5efa\u8bae\u592e\u884c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u606f\u4ee5\u6291\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u3002 \u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u626d\u8f6c\u4e86\u7531\u6da8\u8f6c\u8dcc\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>17<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>21<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5982\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u57df\u7684CPI\u548c\u4e2d\u56fdGDP\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u8d70\u5411\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u6b27\u76df\u7684\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6d88\u606f\u4e5f\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u7126\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>17<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>21<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>17<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23:00<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>18<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:30<\/td>\nAUD<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10:00<\/td>\nCNY<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b63\u5ea6GDP\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n4.05<\/td>\n2.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10:00<\/td>\nCNY<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u89c4\u6a21\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5de5\u4e1a\u589e\u52a0\u503c\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n2.6%<\/td>\n2.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u542b\u7ea2\u5229\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u5e73\u5747\u5de5\u8d44\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n5.1%<\/td>\n5.7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u7533\u8bf7\u4eba\u6570(\u4eba) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n10.2K<\/td>\n-11.2K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fdZEW\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n <\/td>\n15.1<\/td>\n13.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8425\u5efa\u8bb8\u53ef\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n <\/td>\n1.450M<\/td>\n1.550M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nCAD<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n <\/td>\n–<\/td>\n0.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>19<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n9.8%<\/td>\n10.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n <\/td>\n6.9%<\/td>\n6.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>20<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
06:45<\/td>\nNZD<\/td>\n\u65b0\u897f\u5170CPI\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.8%<\/td>\n1.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:15<\/td>\nCNY<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u8d37\u6b3e\u5e02\u573a\u62a5\u4ef7\u5229\u7387(LPR)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n3.65%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19.30<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u516c\u5e03\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n240k<\/td>\n239k<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570 (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n-20.0<\/td>\n-23.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n <\/td>\n4.50M<\/td>\n4.58M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>21<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
07:30<\/td>\nJPY<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c\u5168\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/td>\n <\/td>\n3.1%<\/td>\n3.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15;00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4)<\/td>\n <\/td>\n–0.5%<\/td>\n1.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:30<\/td>\n\u00a0EUR<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n45.6<\/td>\n44.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:00<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u6b27\u5143\u533aS&P Global\u7efc\u5408PMI (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n <\/td>\n54.0<\/td>\n53.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16;30<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u7efc\u5408PMI\u6307\u6570<\/td>\n <\/td>\n52.6<\/td>\n52.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16;30<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI<\/td>\n <\/td>\n48.5<\/td>\n47.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16;30<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI<\/td>\n <\/td>\n53.0<\/td>\n52.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20.30<\/td>\nCAD<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/td>\n <\/td>\n0.0%<\/td>\n0.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:45<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdS&P Global\u7efc\u5408PMI (\u56db\u6708)<\/td>\n <\/td>\n <\/td>\n52.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

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2023\u5e744\u670817\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790 GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a4\u670817\u65e5\u81f321\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a4\u670810\u65e5\u81f314\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u5728\u5168\u7403\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\u4e0b\uff0c\u4ee5\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7ee7\u7eed\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4e0b\u964d 0.1% \u81f3 3.5% \u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u672c\u5468\u521d\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u4e3a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u52a0\u606f\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u66f4\u591a\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08IMF\uff09\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u8868\u60b2\u89c2\u5c55\u671b\u5e76\u5c06\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u4e0b\u8c030.1%\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u65e0\u6cd5\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u52a8\u8361\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u592e\u884c\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u7d27\u7f29\u4e3e\u63aa\u9020\u6210\u7684\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08FOMC\uff092\u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u5728\u7845\u8c37\u94f6\u884c\uff08SVB\u548cSignature Bank\u5012\u95ed\uff09\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ef\u80fd\u9677\u5165\u8870\u9000\u3002\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u5728\u5fc5\u8981\u65f6\u8003\u8651\u6682\u505c\u7d27\u7f29\u653f\u7b56\u3002 \u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570(CPI)\u548c\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570(PPI)\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u652f\u6301\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6682\u505c\u7d27\u7f29\u653f\u7b56\uff0cCPI\u75316.0%\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f35.0%\uff0cPPI\u4e3a\u8d1f-0.5%\uff0c\u5747\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a \u671f\u671b\u3002 \u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u4ea4\u6613\u4e8e2022\u5e744\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u540e\uff0c\u5468\u4e94\u91cd\u62fe\u5149\u5f69\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u968f\u540e\u7684\u53cd\u5f39\u4e3b\u8981\u5f52\u529f\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6210\u5458\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u6258\u5f17\u00b7\u6c83\u52d2\u7684\u5f3a\u786c\u8868\u6001\u3002 \u6c83\u52d2\u5728\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u8ddd\u79bb\u7f8e\u8054\u50a82%\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u8fd8\u5f88\u8fdc\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5e94\u8be5\u7ee7\u7eed\u6536\u7d27\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u6291\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u3002 \u00a0 \u65e5\u672c \u5728\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5927\u91cf\u629b\u552e\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\/\u65e5\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e 133.97 \u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u3002 \u65e5\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u65e5\u672c\u65b0\u4efb\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u4e0a\u7530\u4e00\u592b\u7ef4\u6301\u8d85\u5bbd\u677e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u3002 Ueda \u8868\u793a\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u4e0d\u80fd\u4fdd\u8bc1\u5229\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u5c06\u635f\u5bb3\u56fd\u5185\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd1\u671f\u901a\u80c0\u4e0a\u5347\u662f\u7531\u6210\u672c\u63a8\u52a8\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u63a8\u52a8\u7684\u3002\u5f53\u524d\u4f01\u4e1a\u627f\u53d7\u7740\u539f\u6750\u6599\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7d27\u7f29\u5c06\u51cf\u5c11\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u3002 \u00a0 \u6b27\u6d32 \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u6536\u5e02\u4ef7\u4e3a 1.0983\u3002 \u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c (ECB) \u5185\u683c\u5c14\u53d1\u8868\u9e70\u6d3e\u8bb2\u8bdd\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002 Nagel \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u5e94\u79ef\u6781\u6536\u7d27\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u6291\u5236\u901a\u80c0\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5229\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6301\u7eed\u5904\u4e8e\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002 \u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u4e2d\u671f\u901a\u80c0\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u526f\u884c\u957f\u8def\u6613\u65af\u5fb7\u91d1\u591a\u65af\u4e5f\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u5f3a\u786c\u58f0\u660e\u3002 2 \u6708\u4efd\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e3a 5.7%\uff0c\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0b\u964d\u4e4b\u524d\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u5347\u3002 \u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7684\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u5728\u4e2d\u957f\u671f\u5185\u4fdd\u6301\uff0c\u4ee5\u6291\u5236\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u3002 \u82f1\u56fd \u82f1\u9551\/\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e 1.2399\u3002 \u597d\u574f\u53c2\u534a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u516c\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002 \u6839\u636e\u82f1\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u5546\u534f\u4f1a\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u5f55\u5f97 4.9% \u7684\u8bfb\u6570\uff0c\u4e0e\u4e0a\u6708\u7684\u8bfb\u6570\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 4.2%\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u7531\u4e8e\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u6301\u7eed\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u6bcd\u4eb2\u8282\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u540c\u6bd4\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4f46\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u652f\u51fa\u4ecd\u7136\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5065\u3002 \u96f6\u552e\u989d\u7684\u589e\u957f\u6765\u81ea\u4e8e\u98df\u54c1\u9500\u552e\u589e\u957f8.9%\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u98df\u54c1\u9500\u552e\u589e\u957f1.8%\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u610f\u5473\u7740\u82f1\u56fd\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u80fd\u529b\u4e0d\u53d7\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u73af\u5883\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u5bf9\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4 3 \u6708\u4efd\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc -43%\u3002 \u8d1d\u5229\u5dde\u957f\u7684\u8bb2\u8bdd\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u3002 \u8d1d\u5229\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u592e\u884c\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u89c4\u6a21\u5927\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5371\u673a\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\u3002 \u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u91cd\u62fe\u5bf9\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u3002 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