{"id":322571,"date":"2023-06-19T07:18:59","date_gmt":"2023-06-19T07:18:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=322571"},"modified":"2023-06-19T07:18:59","modified_gmt":"2023-06-19T07:18:59","slug":"190623-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/190623-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20230619 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2023<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>19<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>19<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>23<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>16<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u5f3a\u786c\u8a00\u8bba\uff0c\u4f46\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7f13\u89e3\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u89e6\u53ca\u516d\u5468\u4f4e\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd5\u6708\u4efd\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4ece4.9%\u964d\u81f34.0%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u9884\u671f\u76844.1%\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u7ef4\u6301\u5f53\u524d\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0cFOMC\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u6839\u636e\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u5546\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u89c2\u5bdf\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e3a96.5%\uff0c\u800c\u518d\u6b21\u52a0\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4ec5\u4e3a3.5%\u3002\u968f\u7740\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u62bc\u6ce8\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6210\u5458\u5728FOMC\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u503e\u5411\u9e3d\u6d3e\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u4e0e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u5bf9\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u8def\u5f84\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u9e70\u6d3e\u89c2\u70b9\u3002\u5728\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e00\u81f4\u51b3\u5b9a\u7ef4\u63015.25%\u7684\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5728\u6291\u5236\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u65b9\u9762\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u5728\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a(FOMC)\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5bf9\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e3a\u6291\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u6240\u505a\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u8868\u793a\u4e50\u89c2\uff0c\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u660e\u663e\u4f4e\u4e8e\u8d8b\u52bf\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4ecd\u7136\u4f1a\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8c03\u4e24\u6b21\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u57282024\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u8fbe\u52305.6%\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u8fd8\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5728\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u4e4b\u524d\u4e0d\u4f1a\u964d\u606f\u3002\u4ed6\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u8003\u8651\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u964d\u606f\u3002\u6bd5\u7adf\uff0c\u6839\u636eCME Fed watch Tool\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u4e0b\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u52a0\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e3a61.5%\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u60b2\u89c2\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u53c8\u4e00\u8f6e\u629b\u552e\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u56db\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u4fdd\u6301\u572826.2\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768424.9\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u7136\u8106\u5f31\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a86\u6708\u4efd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\u4e3a-13.7\uff0c\u7565\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684-13.5\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c10\u4e2a\u8d1f\u503c\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u6d3b\u52a8\u548c\u65b0\u8ba2\u5355\u4ecd\u4e3a\u8d1f\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5c55\u671b\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u5728\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u8fd9\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u5173\u4e8e\u7ee7\u7eed\u8df3\u8fc7\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8eab\u6216\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u7b54\u6848\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e141.50\u3002\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u75b2\u8f6f\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c(Bank of Japan)\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5b81\u613f\u91c7\u53d6\u8fc7\u591a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u5bbd\u677e\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u613f\u91c7\u53d6\u8fc7\u5c11\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u5bbd\u677e\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u6574\u4f53\u4fdd\u6301\u5f31\u52bf\u3002\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\uff0c\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\u51b3\u5b9a\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u5728-0.10%\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u98ce\u683c\u51fa\u73b0\u660e\u663e\u5206\u6b67\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u4e0a\u7530\u8bf4\uff0c\u6210\u672c\u63a8\u52a8\u578b\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u8d85\u51fa\u4e86\u592e\u884c\u7684\u63a7\u5236\u8303\u56f4\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u5bf9\u6b64\u65e0\u80fd\u4e3a\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u8df3\u6da8\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.0935\u3002\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u51b3\u5b9a\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8c0325\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u81f33.5%\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0a\u5468\u56db\u6682\u505c\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5728\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u58f0\u660e\u662f\u9e70\u6d3e\u7684\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4e3b\u5e2d\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u8482\u5a1c\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0d\u8003\u8651\u6682\u505c\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u901a\u80c0\u524d\u666f\u4e5f\u4e0d\u6ee1\u610f\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9009\u62e9\u5c06\u8d44\u91d1\u4ece\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u6b27\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e86\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.2820\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u60b2\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u63d0\u5347\u4e86\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u82f1\u56fd\u7684\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u4ecd\u7136\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9884\u8ba1\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c(BoE)\u672a\u6765\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>16<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u8d77\u4f0f\u4e0d\u5b9a\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u65f6\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f81955\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u9020\u6210\u5de8\u5927\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u4e8b\u4ef6\u662f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u548c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u5728\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a(FOMC)\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3a\u6291\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u6240\u505a\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u8868\u793a\u4e50\u89c2\uff0c\u4ed6\u5728\u4f1a\u4e0a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u660e\u663e\u4f4e\u4e8e\u8d8b\u52bf\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u6700\u521d\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4ecd\u7136\u4f1a\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8c03\u4e24\u6b21\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u57282024\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u8fbe\u52305.6%\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u8fd8\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5728\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u4e4b\u524d\u4e0d\u4f1a\u964d\u606f\u3002\u4ed6\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u8003\u8651\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u964d\u606f\u3002\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u5f3a\u786c\u58f0\u660e\u95f4\u63a5\u63a8\u9ad8\u4e86\u91d1\u4ef7\u3002\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4e0d\u505c\u6b62\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u7ee7\u7eed\u652f\u6491\u6b27\u5143\u6c47\u7387\uff0c\u4f46\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>19<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>23<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u672c\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\u7b49\u5173\u952e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u5404\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u5151\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u548c\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>19<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>23<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>19<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u65e0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>20<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
09:15<\/td>\nCNY<\/td>\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u8d37\u6b3e\u5e02\u573a\u62a5\u4ef7\u5229\u7387(LPR)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n3.65%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u8425\u5efa\u8bb8\u53ef\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.435M<\/td>\n1.417M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>21<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n8.5%<\/td>\n8.7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u53d1\u8868\u8bc1\u8bcd\u9648\u8ff0<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>22<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:30<\/td>\nCHF<\/td>\n\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n1.50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:00<\/td>\nCHF<\/td>\n\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n4.75%<\/td>\n4.50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:00<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u8b66\u544a<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20:30<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n262K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n4.24M<\/td>\n4.28M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u53d1\u8868\u8bc1\u8bcd\u9648\u8ff0<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>23<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:30<\/td>\nEUR<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n43.5<\/td>\n43.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u7efc\u5408PMI\u6307\u6570<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n53.7<\/td>\n54.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n46.8<\/td>\n47.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\nGBP<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n54.7<\/td>\n55.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:45<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n48.3<\/td>\n48.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:45<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdS&P Global\u7efc\u5408PMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n54.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21:45<\/td>\nUSD<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n54.0<\/td>\n54.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2023\u5e746\u670819\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790   GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a6\u670819\u65e5\u81f323\u65e5   \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a6\u670812\u65e5\u81f36\u670816\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u5f3a\u786c\u8a00\u8bba\uff0c\u4f46\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7f13\u89e3\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u89e6\u53ca\u516d\u5468\u4f4e\u70b9\u3002   \u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd5\u6708\u4efd\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4ece4.9%\u964d\u81f34.0%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u9884\u671f\u76844.1%\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u7ef4\u6301\u5f53\u524d\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0cFOMC\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u6839\u636e\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u5546\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u89c2\u5bdf\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e3a96.5%\uff0c\u800c\u518d\u6b21\u52a0\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4ec5\u4e3a3.5%\u3002\u968f\u7740\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u62bc\u6ce8\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6210\u5458\u5728FOMC\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u503e\u5411\u9e3d\u6d3e\u3002   \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u4e0e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u5bf9\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u8def\u5f84\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u9e70\u6d3e\u89c2\u70b9\u3002\u5728\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e00\u81f4\u51b3\u5b9a\u7ef4\u63015.25%\u7684\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5728\u6291\u5236\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u65b9\u9762\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u5728\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a(FOMC)\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5bf9\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e3a\u6291\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u6240\u505a\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u8868\u793a\u4e50\u89c2\uff0c\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u660e\u663e\u4f4e\u4e8e\u8d8b\u52bf\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4ecd\u7136\u4f1a\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8c03\u4e24\u6b21\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u57282024\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u8fbe\u52305.6%\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u8fd8\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5728\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u4e4b\u524d\u4e0d\u4f1a\u964d\u606f\u3002\u4ed6\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u8003\u8651\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u964d\u606f\u3002\u6bd5\u7adf\uff0c\u6839\u636eCME Fed watch Tool\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u4e0b\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u52a0\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e3a61.5%\u3002   \u672c\u5468\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u60b2\u89c2\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u53c8\u4e00\u8f6e\u629b\u552e\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u56db\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u4fdd\u6301\u572826.2\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768424.9\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u7136\u8106\u5f31\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a86\u6708\u4efd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\u4e3a-13.7\uff0c\u7565\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684-13.5\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c10\u4e2a\u8d1f\u503c\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u6d3b\u52a8\u548c\u65b0\u8ba2\u5355\u4ecd\u4e3a\u8d1f\u503c\u3002   \u5c55\u671b\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u5728\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u8fd9\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u5173\u4e8e\u7ee7\u7eed\u8df3\u8fc7\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8eab\u6216\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u7b54\u6848\u3002   \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e141.50\u3002\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u75b2\u8f6f\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c(Bank of Japan)\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5b81\u613f\u91c7\u53d6\u8fc7\u591a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u5bbd\u677e\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u613f\u91c7\u53d6\u8fc7\u5c11\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u5bbd\u677e\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u6574\u4f53\u4fdd\u6301\u5f31\u52bf\u3002\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\uff0c\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\u51b3\u5b9a\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u5728-0.10%\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u98ce\u683c\u51fa\u73b0\u660e\u663e\u5206\u6b67\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u4e0a\u7530\u8bf4\uff0c\u6210\u672c\u63a8\u52a8\u578b\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u8d85\u51fa\u4e86\u592e\u884c\u7684\u63a7\u5236\u8303\u56f4\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u5bf9\u6b64\u65e0\u80fd\u4e3a\u529b\u3002 \u00a0 \u6b27\u6d32 \u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u8df3\u6da8\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.0935\u3002\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u51b3\u5b9a\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8c0325\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u81f33.5%\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0a\u5468\u56db\u6682\u505c\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5728\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u58f0\u660e\u662f\u9e70\u6d3e\u7684\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4e3b\u5e2d\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u8482\u5a1c\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0d\u8003\u8651\u6682\u505c\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u901a\u80c0\u524d\u666f\u4e5f\u4e0d\u6ee1\u610f\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9009\u62e9\u5c06\u8d44\u91d1\u4ece\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u6b27\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u3002   \u82f1\u56fd \u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e86\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.2820\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u60b2\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u63d0\u5347\u4e86\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u82f1\u56fd\u7684\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u4ecd\u7136\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9884\u8ba1\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c(BoE)\u672a\u6765\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u606f\u3002   \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a6\u670812\u65e5\u81f316\u65e5 \u9ec4\u91d1 \u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u8d77\u4f0f\u4e0d\u5b9a\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u65f6\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f81955\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u9020\u6210\u5de8\u5927\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u4e8b\u4ef6\u662f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u548c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u5728\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a(FOMC)\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3a\u6291\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u6240\u505a\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u8868\u793a\u4e50\u89c2\uff0c\u4ed6\u5728\u4f1a\u4e0a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u660e\u663e\u4f4e\u4e8e\u8d8b\u52bf\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u6700\u521d\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4ecd\u7136\u4f1a\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8c03\u4e24\u6b21\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u57282024\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u8fbe\u52305.6%\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u8fd8\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5728\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u4e4b\u524d\u4e0d\u4f1a\u964d\u606f\u3002\u4ed6\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u8003\u8651\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u964d\u606f\u3002\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u5f3a\u786c\u58f0\u660e\u95f4\u63a5\u63a8\u9ad8\u4e86\u91d1\u4ef7\u3002\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4e0d\u505c\u6b62\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u7ee7\u7eed\u652f\u6491\u6b27\u5143\u6c47\u7387\uff0c\u4f46\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002     \u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a6\u670819\u65e5\u81f323\u65e5 \u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u672c\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\u7b49\u5173\u952e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u5404\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u5151\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u548c\u65b9\u5411\u3002     \u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a6\u670819\u65e5\u81f323\u65e5 \u65f6\u95f4 \u5e02\u573a \u6570\u636e \u5b9e\u9645 \u9884\u671f \u524d\u503c \u5468\u4e00\uff0c6\u670819\u65e5 \u65e0 \u5468\u4e8c\uff0c6\u670820\u65e5 09:15 CNY \u4e2d\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u8d37\u6b3e\u5e02\u573a\u62a5\u4ef7\u5229\u7387(LPR) […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[30],"tags":[],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/322571"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/25"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=322571"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/322571\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":322577,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/322571\/revisions\/322577"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=322571"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=322571"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=322571"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}