{"id":325013,"date":"2023-07-02T04:28:10","date_gmt":"2023-07-02T04:28:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=325013"},"modified":"2023-07-02T04:28:10","modified_gmt":"2023-07-02T04:28:10","slug":"20230703-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20230703-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20230703 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>2023<\/strong><strong>\u5e74<\/strong><strong>7<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>3<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong><strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>GCMAsia<\/strong><strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong><strong>7<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>3<\/strong><strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong><strong>7<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>7<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>6<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u6708<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>26<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>30<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u907f\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u9ad8\u6da8\u3001\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u8a00\u8bba\u4ee5\u53ca\u672c\u5468\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4e50\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u63a8\u52a8\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u6210\u529f\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e86\u6da8\u52bf\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e102.55\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5404\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7d27\u7f29\u4e3e\u63aa\u4ee4\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u6076\u5316\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u745e\u58eb\u56fd\u5bb6\u94f6\u884c(SNB)\u548c\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c(BoE)\u5728\u5185\u7684\u591a\u5bb6\u592e\u884c\u4e0a\u8c03\u4e86\u5b98\u65b9\u73b0\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u7684\u52a0\u606f\u5e45\u5ea6\u751a\u81f3\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u3002\u4ece\u7406\u8bba\u4e0a\u8bb2\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u901a\u5e38\u5bf9\u8d27\u5e01\u6709\u5229\uff0c\u4f46\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u82f1\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u6253\u51fb\u4e86\u82f1\u9551\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4e00\u4e9b\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bfb\u6c42\u7f8e\u5143\u7b49\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u5173\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8def\u5f84\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u8a00\u8bba\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u3002\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8bba\u575b(ECB Economic Forum)\u4e0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8(fed)\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u5728\u901a\u80c0\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u5f3a\u786c\u8a00\u8bba\uff0c\u79f0\u4ed6\u9884\u8ba1\u672a\u6765\u4f1a\u591a\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4ee5\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u6b65\u4f10\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u8fd8\u900f\u9732\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4e2d\u7edd\u5927\u591a\u6570\u4eba\u5e0c\u671b\u57282023\u5e74\u5e95\u4e4b\u524d\u52a0\u606f\u4e24\u6b21\u6216\u66f4\u591a\u3002\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u662f\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u8981\u52302025\u5e74\u624d\u80fd\u964d\u81f3\u7f8e\u8054\u50a82%\u7684\u957f\u671f\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5fc5\u987b\u5177\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u9650\u5236\u6027\uff0c\u5e76\u6301\u7eed\u8db3\u591f\u957f\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u6da8\u5e45\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5206\u6790\u5c40(Bureau of Economic Analysis)\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd2023\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6GDP\u589e\u957f2.0%\uff0c\u5f3a\u4e8e\u666e\u904d\u9884\u6d4b\u76841.4%\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u5728\u8fde\u7eed\u4e09\u5468\u591a\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4d\u5f98\u5f8a\u540e\u7ec8\u4e8e\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u90e8\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u4ece26.5\u4e07\u4eba\u964d\u81f323.9\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u663e\u8457\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u9884\u671f\u768426.6\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u8fd9\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5927\u5e45\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u4f46\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u6709\u6301\u7eed\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c55\u671b\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u7684\u516c\u5e03\u5c06\u662f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u4e0b\u4e00\u8f6e\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e4b\u524d\u63d0\u4f9b\u66f4\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u73b0\u72b6\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e86\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e144.30\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u8d70\u5f3a\u652f\u6491\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2d\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u7acb\u573a\u7ee7\u7eed\u63d0\u632f\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u8d85\u5bbd\u677e\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u65e0\u7591\u4e5f\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6253\u538b\u4e86\u65e5\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u4ea4\u6613\u6301\u5e73\uff0c\u4e0a\u4e2a\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.0910\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u8d70\u5f3a\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u538b\u529b\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\u5f3a\u8c03\u52a0\u606f\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u7a33\u6b65\u56de\u5347\u3002\u5728\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u7684\u592e\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u8bba\u575b\u4e0a\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u8482\u5a1c\u00b7\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7(Christine Lagarde)\u91cd\u7533\u4e86\u5bf9\u5229\u7387\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u5e76\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u51fa\u73b0\u91cd\u5927\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u57287\u6708\u4efd\u518d\u6b21\u6536\u7d27\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u201c\u81ea\u4fe1\u5730\u5ba3\u5e03\u5229\u7387\u5df2\u7ecf\u89c1\u9876\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.2695\u3002\u5468\u4e94\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u4fb5\u8680\u4e86\u5bb6\u5ead\u7684\u53ef\u652f\u914d\u6536\u5165\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u57282023\u5e74\u5f00\u5c40\u75b2\u8f6f\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u524d\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4ec5\u4e3a0.1%\uff0c\u4e0e\u82f1\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40(ONS)\u7684\u521d\u6b65\u4f30\u8ba1\u6301\u5e73\u3002\u6709\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\uff0c\u5b83\u8bc1\u5b9e\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u57282023\u5e74\u521d\u907f\u5f00\u4e86\u8870\u9000\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u901a\u80c0\u6709\u6240\u7f13\u89e3\uff0c\u4f46\u968f\u7740\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u9762\u4e34\u8870\u9000\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>6<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u6708<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>26<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>30<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u7531\u4e8e\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u2022\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u8a00\u8bba\u548c\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u6253\u538b\u4e86\u91d1\u4ef7\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u672c\u5468\u5168\u7ebf\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81919.00\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u5728\u7ed3\u675f\u4e3a\u671f\u4e24\u5929\u7684\u56fd\u4f1a\u8bc1\u8bcd\u65f6\u91cd\u7533\u4e86\u4ed6\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u5373\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eca\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u81f3\u5c11\u518d\u52a0\u606f\u4e24\u6b21\uff0c\u4ee5\u6291\u5236\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4ed6\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8bba\u575b\u4e0a\u518d\u6b21\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u4ed6\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u79f0\u4ed6\u9884\u8ba1\u672a\u6765\u4f1a\u6709\u591a\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4ee5\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\u6d47\u706d\u4e86\u9ec4\u91d1\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4eba\u6c14\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u91d1\u4ef7\u8dcc\u81f3\u4eca\u5e743\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>7<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u6708<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>3<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>7<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u6708<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>7<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u672c\u5468\u975e\u519c\u62a5\u544a\u548c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u7b49\u5173\u952e\u8d22\u7ecf\u4e8b\u4ef6\u548c\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u5404\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u5151\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u548c\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>7<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u6708<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>3<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>7<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u6708<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>7<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<table width=\"91%\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\"><strong>\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\"><strong>\u5e02\u573a<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\"><strong>\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\"><strong>\u5b9e\u9645<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\"><strong>\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\"><strong>\u524d\u503c<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"6\" width=\"100%\"><strong>\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/strong><strong>7<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>3<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">09:45<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">CNY<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u8d22\u65b0\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">50.2<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">50.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">15:55<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">EUR<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">41.0<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">43.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">16:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">GBP<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">46.2<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">47.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">22:00<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">USD<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">47.2<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">46.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"6\" width=\"100%\"><strong>\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c<\/strong><strong>7<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>4<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">12:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">AUD<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u4e03\u6708)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">4.35%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">4.10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">12:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">AUD<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"6\" width=\"100%\"><strong>\u5468\u4e09\uff0c<\/strong><strong>7<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>5<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">09:45<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">CNY<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u8d22\u65b0\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">57.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">09:45<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">CNY<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b98\u65b9\u7efc\u5408PMI<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">55.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">15:50<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">EUR<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u6cd5\u56fd\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">48.0<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">52.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">15:55<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">EUR<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u5fb7\u56fdPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">54.1<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">57.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">16:00<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">EUR<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u6b27\u5143\u533aS&amp;P Global\u7efc\u5408PMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">50.3<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">52.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">16:00<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">EUR<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u6b27\u5143\u533aMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">52.4<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">55.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">16:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">GBP<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u82f1\u56fd\u7efc\u5408PMI\u6307\u6570 (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">52.8<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">54.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">16:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">GBP<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">53.7<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">55.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"6\" width=\"100%\"><strong>\u5468\u56db\uff0c<\/strong><strong>7<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>6<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">02:00<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">USD<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">20:15<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">USD<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u7f8e\u56fdADP\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570 (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">236K<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">278K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">20:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">USD<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">245K<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">239K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">21:45<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">USD<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u7f8e\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">54.1<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">54.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">22:00<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">USD<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">50.5<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">50.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">22:00<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">USD<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u7f8e\u56fdJOLTs\u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a (\u4e94\u6708)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">10.103M<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" colspan=\"6\" width=\"100%\"><strong>\u5468\u4e94\uff0c<\/strong><strong>7<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>7<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">20:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">USD<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u5c0f\u65f6\u5de5\u8d44\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">0.3%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">0.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">20:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">USD<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3\u53d8\u52a8 (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">200K<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">339K<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">20:30<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"12%\">USD<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"42%\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387 (\u516d\u6708)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"10%\">3.7%<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\" width=\"11%\">3.7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2023\u5e747\u67083\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790 &nbsp; GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a7\u67083\u65e5\u81f37\u67087\u65e5 &nbsp; \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a6\u670826\u65e5\u81f330\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u5728\u5e02\u573a\u907f\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u9ad8\u6da8\u3001\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u8a00\u8bba\u4ee5\u53ca\u672c\u5468\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4e50\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u63a8\u52a8\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u6210\u529f\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e86\u6da8\u52bf\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e102.55\u3002 \u672c\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5404\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7d27\u7f29\u4e3e\u63aa\u4ee4\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u6076\u5316\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u745e\u58eb\u56fd\u5bb6\u94f6\u884c(SNB)\u548c\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c(BoE)\u5728\u5185\u7684\u591a\u5bb6\u592e\u884c\u4e0a\u8c03\u4e86\u5b98\u65b9\u73b0\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u7684\u52a0\u606f\u5e45\u5ea6\u751a\u81f3\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u3002\u4ece\u7406\u8bba\u4e0a\u8bb2\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u901a\u5e38\u5bf9\u8d27\u5e01\u6709\u5229\uff0c\u4f46\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u82f1\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u6253\u51fb\u4e86\u82f1\u9551\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4e00\u4e9b\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bfb\u6c42\u7f8e\u5143\u7b49\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u5173\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8def\u5f84\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u8a00\u8bba\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u3002\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8bba\u575b(ECB Economic Forum)\u4e0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8(fed)\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u5728\u901a\u80c0\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u5f3a\u786c\u8a00\u8bba\uff0c\u79f0\u4ed6\u9884\u8ba1\u672a\u6765\u4f1a\u591a\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4ee5\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u6b65\u4f10\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u8fd8\u900f\u9732\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4e2d\u7edd\u5927\u591a\u6570\u4eba\u5e0c\u671b\u57282023\u5e74\u5e95\u4e4b\u524d\u52a0\u606f\u4e24\u6b21\u6216\u66f4\u591a\u3002\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u662f\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u8981\u52302025\u5e74\u624d\u80fd\u964d\u81f3\u7f8e\u8054\u50a82%\u7684\u957f\u671f\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5fc5\u987b\u5177\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u9650\u5236\u6027\uff0c\u5e76\u6301\u7eed\u8db3\u591f\u957f\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u6da8\u5e45\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5206\u6790\u5c40(Bureau of Economic Analysis)\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd2023\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6GDP\u589e\u957f2.0%\uff0c\u5f3a\u4e8e\u666e\u904d\u9884\u6d4b\u76841.4%\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u5728\u8fde\u7eed\u4e09\u5468\u591a\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4d\u5f98\u5f8a\u540e\u7ec8\u4e8e\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u90e8\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u4ece26.5\u4e07\u4eba\u964d\u81f323.9\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u663e\u8457\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u9884\u671f\u768426.6\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u8fd9\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5927\u5e45\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u4f46\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u6709\u6301\u7eed\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002 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