{"id":59297,"date":"2019-03-11T06:13:33","date_gmt":"2019-03-11T06:13:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=59297"},"modified":"2019-03-11T06:13:44","modified_gmt":"2019-03-11T06:13:44","slug":"20190311-2-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20190311-2-2\/","title":{"rendered":"20190311-\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2019<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>03<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>15<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> – 3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

US Dollar<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5728\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u60b2\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u516c\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a597.12\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u4e3b\u8981\u7ade\u4e89\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5168\u7ebf\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u56e0\u5e02\u573a\u53d7\u5230\u5404\u79cd\u75b2\u5f31\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u6253\u538b\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u3002Markit\u7efc\u5408PMI\u4ece55.8\u964d\u81f355.5\uff0c\u540c\u65f62\u6708\u4efd\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI\u4e5f\u4ece\u6b64\u524d\u768456.2\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f356.0\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8fd8\u8fc5\u901f\u6d88\u5316\u4e86\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u8be5\u6570\u636e\u4ee4\u4eba\u5403\u60ca\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u4e8e\u767d\u5bab\u7ecf\u6d4e\u987e\u95ee\u62c9\u91cc\u2022\u5e93\u5fb7\u6d1b(Larry Kudlow)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8be5\u6570\u636e\u201c\u975e\u5e38\u4e0d\u53ef\u9760\u201d\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u5e94\u8be5\u5173\u6ce8\u5b83\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u90e8\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e742\u6708\u6bcf\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ea\u589e2\u4e07\u4e2a\u5c31\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d\uff0c\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u4e3a18\u4e07\u4e2a\uff0c\u4e3a2017\u5e749\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u5c0f\u589e\u5e45\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u4e2d\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u4e5f\u5bfc\u81f4\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u8fd1\u671f\u6709\u6d88\u606f\u79f0\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e24\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u60ac\u800c\u672a\u51b3\u7684\u5206\u6b67\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u4e24\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u6301\u7eed\u4e0d\u65ad\u7684\u4e89\u7aef\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f3a\u56fd\u90fd\u63a8\u8fdf\u4e86\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u5b9a\u5cf0\u4f1a\u7684\u521d\u6b65\u8ba1\u5212\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\u7684\u6570\u636e\u62d6\u7d2f\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u800c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u76ee\u524d\u4ecd\u5173\u6ce8\u672a\u6765\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5982\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u548c\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\u672c\u5468\u5373\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8a93\u8a00\u66f4\u52a0\u201c\u8010\u5fc3\u201d\u5e76\u7b49\u5f85\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4f20\u5165\u8ba1\u5212\u518d\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

USD\/JPY<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4ea4\u6613\u4e2d\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u62a5\u4e8e111.15\u3002\u968f\u7740\u65e5\u672c\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c(GDP)\u56de\u53470.5%\uff0c\u907f\u9669\u8d27\u5e01\u65e5\u5143\u4ecd\u6709\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5468\u4e94\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\uff0c\u4ec5\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u589e\u52a02\u4e07\u4e2a\u5c31\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d\uff0c\u65e5\u5706\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u53d7\u5230\u652f\u6491\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u73b0\u5728\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u8d38\u6613\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5168\u7403\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u589e\u52a0\u5bf9\u907f\u9669\u65e5\u5706\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

EUR\/USD<\/strong>
\n\u6b27\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u6301\u7eed\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u632b\uff0c\u800c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1.1231\u3002 \u672c\u5468\u6b27\u5143\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u4e00\u6b21\u95ea\u7535\u5d29\u76d8\uff0c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f321\u4e2a\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5728\u5176\u8bc4\u8bba\u4e2d\u53ea\u7ed9\u4e88\u4e86\u9e3d\u6d3e\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u5e76\u5ba3\u5e03\u5c06\u6269\u5927\u5176\u5bf9\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u524d\u77bb\u6307\u5f15\uff0c\u5e76\u8868\u793a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u52a0\u606f \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u75b2\u8f6f\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b27\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u63a8\u52a8\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5df2\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u5f39\u6027\u5e76\u7565\u6709\u590d\u82cf\uff0c\u800c\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u548c\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5c55\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GBP\/USD<\/strong>
\n\u82f1\u9551\u7ee7\u7eed\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u5468\u5e02\u573a\u4ee51.3013\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002 \u7531\u4e8e\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u6050\u60e7\u5728\u672c\u5468\u8bae\u4f1a\u6295\u7968\u524d\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u4ecd\u7136\u5904\u4e8e\u538b\u529b\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u8fdb\u5c55\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u4ecd\u7136\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u82f1\u56fd\u6700\u8fd1\u9a73\u56de\u6b27\u76df\u5bf9\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u63d0\u8bae\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u548c\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002 \u5e02\u573a\u76ee\u524d\u4ecd\u7136\u5173\u6ce8\u8bae\u4f1a\u6295\u7968\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u4e89\u5435\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\u82f1\u56fd\u9996\u76f8\u7279\u857e\u838e\u6885\u518d\u6b21\u843d\u8d25\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> – 3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

GOLD<\/strong>
\n\u4e0a\u5468\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u4ee5\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81298.17\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u5f31\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4f5c\u4e3a\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u5df2\u7ecf\u56de\u5347\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4e5f\u5728\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u548c\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\u7684\u6570\u636e\u7ee7\u7eed\u62d6\u7d2f\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u8f6f\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u51fa\u4e8e\u907f\u9669\u5fc3\u7406\u63a8\u9ad8\u4e86\u5bf9\u5927\u4f17\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u7b49\u5f85\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u652f\u6491\u5927\u4f17\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>15<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u53caCPI\u548cPPI\u7b49\u5404\u79cd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u5e02\u573a\u4eba\u6c14\u548c\u524d\u666f\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>15<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e00<\/strong>, 3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

USD – <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

USD – <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/strong>, 3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

GBP – <\/strong>\u82f1\u56fdGDP\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4)<\/p>\n

GBP – <\/strong>\u82f1\u56fd\u5de5\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

GBP – <\/strong>\u82f1\u56fd3\u4e2a\u6708\u6eda\u52a8GDP\u6708\u7387(%)<\/p>\n

GBP – <\/strong>\u82f1\u56fd\u8d38\u6613\u5e10(\u82f1\u9551) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

USD – <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

USD<\/strong> – \u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/p>\n

GBP<\/strong> – \u82f1\u56fd\u8bae\u4f1a\u5c31\u8131\u6b27\u534f\u8bae\u8fdb\u884c\u8868\u51b3<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e09<\/strong>, 3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>13<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

EUR – <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u5de5\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

USD – <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u6263\u9664\u8fd0\u8f93\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

USD – <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fdPPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

GBP<\/strong> -\u82f1\u56fd\u8bae\u4f1a\u6ca1\u8131\u6b27\u534f\u8bae\u8fdb\u884c\u8868\u51b3<\/p>\n

GBP<\/strong> – \u82f1\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u5e74\u5ea6\u9884\u7b97<\/p>\n

GBP<\/strong> – \u82f1\u56fd\u6625\u5b63\u9884\u7b97\u58f0\u660e<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u56db<\/strong>, <\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>14<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

Data<\/strong><\/p>\n

EUR – <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fdCPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

USD – <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/p>\n

USD – <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fdb\u53e3\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

USD – <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u65b0\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/b><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/strong>, <\/strong>3<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>15<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/td>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

JPY – <\/strong>\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/p>\n

EUR<\/strong> – \u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

USD \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ebd\u7ea6\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570 (\u4e09\u6708)<\/p>\n

CAD \u2013 <\/strong>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u88c5\u8239\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

USD<\/strong> – \u7f8e\u56fdJOLTs\u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a (\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

USD<\/strong> – \u7f8e\u56fd\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5927\u5b66\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570 (\u4e09\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

JPY – <\/strong>\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/p>\n

JPY – <\/strong>\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u53ec\u5f00\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u514d\u8d23\u58f0\u660e\uff1a\u4ee5\u4e0a\u8bc4\u8bba\u5747\u4ec5\u4f9b\u53c2\u8003\uff0c\u636e\u6b64\u4e0b\u5355\uff0c\u76c8\u4e8f\u81ea\u8d1f\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2019\u5e7403\u670811\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790   GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a3\u670811\u65e5\u81f33\u670815\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a3\u67084\u65e5 – 3\u67088\u65e5 US Dollar \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5728\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u60b2\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u516c\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a597.12\u7f8e\u5143\u3002   \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u4e3b\u8981\u7ade\u4e89\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5168\u7ebf\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u56e0\u5e02\u573a\u53d7\u5230\u5404\u79cd\u75b2\u5f31\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u6253\u538b\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u3002Markit\u7efc\u5408PMI\u4ece55.8\u964d\u81f355.5\uff0c\u540c\u65f62\u6708\u4efd\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI\u4e5f\u4ece\u6b64\u524d\u768456.2\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f356.0\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8fd8\u8fc5\u901f\u6d88\u5316\u4e86\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u8be5\u6570\u636e\u4ee4\u4eba\u5403\u60ca\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u4e8e\u767d\u5bab\u7ecf\u6d4e\u987e\u95ee\u62c9\u91cc\u2022\u5e93\u5fb7\u6d1b(Larry Kudlow)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8be5\u6570\u636e\u201c\u975e\u5e38\u4e0d\u53ef\u9760\u201d\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u5e94\u8be5\u5173\u6ce8\u5b83\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u90e8\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e742\u6708\u6bcf\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ea\u589e2\u4e07\u4e2a\u5c31\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d\uff0c\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u4e3a18\u4e07\u4e2a\uff0c\u4e3a2017\u5e749\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u5c0f\u589e\u5e45\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u4e2d\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u4e5f\u5bfc\u81f4\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u8fd1\u671f\u6709\u6d88\u606f\u79f0\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e24\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u60ac\u800c\u672a\u51b3\u7684\u5206\u6b67\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u4e24\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u6301\u7eed\u4e0d\u65ad\u7684\u4e89\u7aef\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f3a\u56fd\u90fd\u63a8\u8fdf\u4e86\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u5b9a\u5cf0\u4f1a\u7684\u521d\u6b65\u8ba1\u5212\u3002   \u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\u7684\u6570\u636e\u62d6\u7d2f\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u800c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u76ee\u524d\u4ecd\u5173\u6ce8\u672a\u6765\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5982\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u548c\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\u672c\u5468\u5373\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8a93\u8a00\u66f4\u52a0\u201c\u8010\u5fc3\u201d\u5e76\u7b49\u5f85\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4f20\u5165\u8ba1\u5212\u518d\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u6570\u636e\u3002   USD\/JPY \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4ea4\u6613\u4e2d\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u62a5\u4e8e111.15\u3002\u968f\u7740\u65e5\u672c\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c(GDP)\u56de\u53470.5%\uff0c\u907f\u9669\u8d27\u5e01\u65e5\u5143\u4ecd\u6709\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5468\u4e94\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\uff0c\u4ec5\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u589e\u52a02\u4e07\u4e2a\u5c31\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d\uff0c\u65e5\u5706\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u53d7\u5230\u652f\u6491\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u73b0\u5728\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u8d38\u6613\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5168\u7403\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u589e\u52a0\u5bf9\u907f\u9669\u65e5\u5706\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002 \u00a0 EUR\/USD \u6b27\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u6301\u7eed\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u632b\uff0c\u800c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1.1231\u3002 \u672c\u5468\u6b27\u5143\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u4e00\u6b21\u95ea\u7535\u5d29\u76d8\uff0c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f321\u4e2a\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5728\u5176\u8bc4\u8bba\u4e2d\u53ea\u7ed9\u4e88\u4e86\u9e3d\u6d3e\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u5e76\u5ba3\u5e03\u5c06\u6269\u5927\u5176\u5bf9\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u524d\u77bb\u6307\u5f15\uff0c\u5e76\u8868\u793a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u52a0\u606f \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u75b2\u8f6f\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b27\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u63a8\u52a8\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5df2\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u5f39\u6027\u5e76\u7565\u6709\u590d\u82cf\uff0c\u800c\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u548c\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5c55\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002   GBP\/USD \u82f1\u9551\u7ee7\u7eed\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u5468\u5e02\u573a\u4ee51.3013\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002 \u7531\u4e8e\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u6050\u60e7\u5728\u672c\u5468\u8bae\u4f1a\u6295\u7968\u524d\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u4ecd\u7136\u5904\u4e8e\u538b\u529b\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u8fdb\u5c55\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u4ecd\u7136\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u82f1\u56fd\u6700\u8fd1\u9a73\u56de\u6b27\u76df\u5bf9\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u63d0\u8bae\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u548c\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002 \u5e02\u573a\u76ee\u524d\u4ecd\u7136\u5173\u6ce8\u8bae\u4f1a\u6295\u7968\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u4e89\u5435\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\u82f1\u56fd\u9996\u76f8\u7279\u857e\u838e\u6885\u518d\u6b21\u843d\u8d25\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002 \u00a0 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a3\u67084\u65e5 – 3\u67088\u65e5 GOLD \u4e0a\u5468\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u4ee5\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81298.17\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u5f31\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4f5c\u4e3a\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u5df2\u7ecf\u56de\u5347\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4e5f\u5728\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u548c\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\u7684\u6570\u636e\u7ee7\u7eed\u62d6\u7d2f\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u8f6f\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u51fa\u4e8e\u907f\u9669\u5fc3\u7406\u63a8\u9ad8\u4e86\u5bf9\u5927\u4f17\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u7b49\u5f85\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u652f\u6491\u5927\u4f17\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002   \u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a3\u670811\u65e5\u81f33\u670815\u65e5 \u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u53caCPI\u548cPPI\u7b49\u5404\u79cd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u5e02\u573a\u4eba\u6c14\u548c\u524d\u666f\u3002   \u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a3\u670811\u65e5\u81f33\u670815\u65e5 \u661f\u671f\u4e00, 3\u670811\u65e5   \u6570\u636e USD – \u7f8e\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e00\u6708) USD – \u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e00\u6708)   \u4e8b\u4ef6 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