{"id":63283,"date":"2019-04-09T00:57:52","date_gmt":"2019-04-09T00:57:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=63283"},"modified":"2019-04-09T01:00:15","modified_gmt":"2019-04-09T01:00:15","slug":"20190408-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20190408-4\/","title":{"rendered":"20190408 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2019<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>04<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> – 4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

US Dollar<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u5ef6\u7eed\u6da8\u52bf\uff0c\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u62a5\u4e8e96.95\u70b9\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u516c\u5e03\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u63d0\u632f\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u4e0a\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u4e3a\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u6709\u529b\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u63a8\u52a8\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u9ad8\u3002\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0cISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u4e3a55.3\uff0c\u5f3a\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u768454.5\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e0a\u5468\u4e00\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6570\u636e\u6709\u6240\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u4f9d\u7136\u5f3a\u52b2\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u4e0b\u964d\u540e\uff0c\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u4e5f\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u8bc1\u5b9e\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4ee3\u8868\u5f53\u524d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u548c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u975e\u519c\u6570\u636e\u5b9e\u9645\u8bfb\u6570\u663e\u793a\u4e3a196\u5343\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86175\u5343\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u800c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u8fbe\u5230\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u76843.8%\u3002\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u90fd\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6570\u636e\u6ca1\u6709\u660e\u663e\u5730\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0b\u6ed1\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002<\/p>\n

\u603b\u7ed3\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u6570\u636e\u548c\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u5728\u89e3\u51b3\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u969c\u788d\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u4ecd\u7136\u5f3a\u52b2\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u672c\u5468\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5224\u65ad\u5e02\u573a\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

USD\/JPY<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u6301\u7eed\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a5111.70\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e0a\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0a\u5468\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u6570\u636e\u63d0\u632f\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u5e76\u629b\u552e\u4e86\u907f\u9669\u7684\u65e5\u5143\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u65e5\u5143\u81ea\u8eab\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u9eef\u6de1\uff0c\u77ed\u89c2\u5927\u578b\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u5c45\u6c11\u6d88\u8d39\u660e\u663e\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u4e5f\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\u3002\u60b2\u89c2\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6253\u538b\u65e5\u5706\uff0c\u5e76\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u8d44\u4ea7\u8f6c\u5411\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u6b27\u5143\u7b49\u98ce\u9669\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

EUR\/USD<\/strong>
\n\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u6574\u4f53\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a51.1215\u3002\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u9677\u5165\u50f5\u5c40\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u60b2\u89c2\u6570\u636e\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u8d27\u5e01\u5151\u4ecd\u9762\u4e34\u538b\u529b\u3002\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u50f5\u5c40\u4ecd\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e3b\u8981\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u7ee7\u7eed\u56f0\u6270\u7740\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u3002\u82f1\u56fd\u9000\u51fa\u6b27\u76df\u7684\u969c\u788d\u663e\u7136\u5f71\u54cd\u4e86\u76f8\u5173\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u53cc\u65b9\u90fd\u6df1\u523b\u7406\u89e3\uff0c\u4e0d\u516c\u5e73\u7684\u534f\u8bae\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6076\u5316\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u524d\u666f\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u75b2\u5f31\u7684\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u548c\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6570\u636e\u91cd\u7533\u4e86\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u9e3d\u6d3e\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5c06\u5bbd\u677e\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5ef6\u957f\u81f3\u66f4\u957f\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GBP\/USD<\/strong>
\n\u82f1\u9551\u4e0a\u5468\u6574\u4f53\u6765\u8bf4\u4ec5\u4e0a\u6da8\u5c11\u8bb8\uff0c\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u4e8e1.3035\u3002\u968f\u7740\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u53d1\u5c55\u5f15\u53d1\u82f1\u9551\u6c47\u7387\u7684\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u5267\u70c8\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u9996\u76f8\u7279\u857e\u838e\u00b7\u6885\u7684\u8131\u6b27\u8349\u6848\u9762\u4e34\u7b2c\u4e09\u6b21\u5931\u8d25\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u8bae\u4f1a\u4ee5388\u7968\u5bf9286\u7968\u5426\u51b3\u8be5\u63d0\u6848\u3002\u5728\u90a3\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7279\u857e\u838e\u00b7\u6885(Theresa May)\u8ba1\u5212\u8981\u6c42\u6b27\u76df\u5ef6\u957f\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u6700\u540e\u671f\u9650\uff0c\u4f46\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c\u82e5\u5728\u7231\u5c14\u5170\u540e\u76fe\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u65e0\u6cd5\u53d6\u5f97\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u6b27\u76df\u5c06\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u6279\u51c6\u5979\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5ef6\u957f\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u3002\u57284\u670812\u65e5\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u622a\u6b62\u65e5\u671f\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u6b63\u9762\u4e34\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u51b3\u5b9a\u662f\u5426\u8981\u9009\u62e9\u786c\u9000\u6b27\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u8981\u6c42\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63a8\u8fdf\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u7ee7\u7eed\u7559\u5728\u6b27\u76df\uff0c\u53c2\u52a0\u4e0b\u4e00\u5c4a\u6b27\u76df\u5927\u9009\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u975e\u519c\u6570\u636e\u5f15\u53d1\u7f8e\u5143\u5927\u4e3e\u4e70\u76d8\u540e\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>1<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> – 4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

GOLD<\/strong>
\n\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u6210\u529f\u4fdd\u4f4f\u9635\u811a\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81291.30\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u53d6\u5f97\u79ef\u6781\u8fdb\u5c55\u7684\u6d88\u606f\u63d0\u632f\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u800c\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u8fdb\u7a0b\u53d7\u963b\u5219\u63d0\u632f\u4e86\u907f\u9669\u91d1\u5c5e\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u975e\u519c\u6570\u636e\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u4f46\u9ec4\u8272\u91d1\u5c5e\u7684\u5149\u6cfd\u5e76\u672a\u6d88\u9000\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0e\u7f8e\u5143\u540c\u6b65\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u5c06\u8f6c\u5411\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fdCPI\u548cPPI\u6570\u636e\u7b49\u91cd\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u8ba4\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e00<\/strong>, 4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

EUR \u2013 <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fd\u8d38\u6613\u5e10(\u6b27\u5143) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

USD \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u5de5\u5382\u8ba2\u5355\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/strong>, 4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

CHF – <\/strong>\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u5931\u4e1a\u7387 (\u4e09\u6708)<\/p>\n

USD \u2013<\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fdJOLTs\u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e09<\/strong>, 4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

GBP \u2013 <\/strong>\u82f1\u56fdGDP\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4)<\/p>\n

GBP \u2013 <\/strong>\u82f1\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

EUR – <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u5b58\u6b3e\u4fbf\u5229\u5229\u7387(%)<\/p>\n

EUR – <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8fb9\u9645\u501f\u8d37\u5229\u7387(%)<\/p>\n

EUR – <\/strong>\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

USD – <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/p>\n

USD – <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fdCPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

EUR – <\/strong>\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/p>\n

EUR – <\/strong>\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u5fb7\u62c9\u57fa(Mario Draghi)\u53ec\u5f00\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u56db<\/strong>, <\/strong>4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

USD \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fdPPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/p>\n

USD – <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

USD \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/strong>, <\/strong>4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/td>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

USD \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5927\u5b66\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570 (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

EUR – <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u5de5\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387 (%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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