{"id":66554,"date":"2019-04-29T09:38:17","date_gmt":"2019-04-29T09:38:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=66554"},"modified":"2019-04-29T09:38:17","modified_gmt":"2019-04-29T09:38:17","slug":"20190429-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20190429-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20190429 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2019<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>04<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>29<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>29<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>22<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> – 26<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

US Dollar<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e86\u672c\u5468\u5bf9\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u4e8e97.75\u3002\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u79ef\u6781\u8fdb\u5c55\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u4e5f\u968f\u4e4b\u589e\u5f3a\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5728\u4e0a\u4e00\u6574\u5468\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u88ab\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5173\u952e\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u79ef\u6781\u4e14\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u8bfb\u6570\uff0c\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e3e\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u65b0\u623f\u9500\u552e\u548c\u6838\u5fc3\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u6570\u636e\u6210\u529f\u63d0\u632f\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u5206\u522b\u4e3a692K\u548c0.4%\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u7684647K\u548c0.2%\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6210\u529f\u5730\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5927\u91cf\u8d2d\u4e70\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u5177\u6709\u97e7\u6027\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u8d8b\u52bf\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u672b\u6709\u6240\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662fPCE\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u6570\u636e\u4f4e\u8ff7\u548cGDP\u6570\u636e\u201c\u4e0d\u5207\u5b9e\u9645\u201d\u7684\u589e\u957f\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u516c\u5e03\u7684GDP\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\uff0c3.2%\u7684GDP\u6570\u636e\u4e3b\u8981\u6765\u81ea\u4e8e\u79c1\u4eba\u6295\u8d44\u3001\u5916\u56fd\u6295\u8d44\u548c\u51c0\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u800cGDP\u4e2a\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u660e\u663e\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0b\u964d\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c45\u6c11\u6d88\u8d39\u7684\u840e\u7f29\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u901a\u80c0\u6b65\u4f10\u5c06\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u5165\u6536\u7f29\u9636\u6bb5\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u76ee\u524d\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u73b0\u5728\u90fd\u613f\u610f\u505a\u51fa\u8ba9\u6b65\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u5c3d\u5feb\u8fbe\u6210\u534f\u8bae\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u8ba1\u5212\u5728\u5468\u56db\u518d\u6b21\u4e3e\u884c\u9762\u5bf9\u9762\u7684\u4f1a\u8c08\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u80fd\u57286\u6708\u4efd\u4e3e\u884c\u7684G20\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e0a\u6b63\u5f0f\u7ed3\u675f\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u7efc\u4e0a\u6240\u8ff0\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u77ed\u671f\u8d70\u52bf\u5df2\u7531\u770b\u8dcc\u8f6c\u4e3a\u770b\u6da8\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4eba\u58eb\u6b63\u7b49\u5f85\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u52a0\u606f\u51b3\u5b9a\u3001\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u8fdb\u5c55\u548c\u5373\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u786e\u5b9a\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u52bf\u3002
\n<\/strong><\/p>\n

USD\/JPY<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f3111.55\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u53d7\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e50\u89c2\u6570\u636e\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u5f3a\u52b2\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u6253\u538b\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u6b63\u9762\u7684\u6570\u636e\u62c9\u9ad8\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u5e76\u6700\u7ec8\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u4ece\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u8f6c\u5411\u98ce\u9669\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002\u503c\u5f97\u4e00\u63d0\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u5fb7\u56fdIfo\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570(Ifo Business Climate index)\u4e3a99.2\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u768499.9\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u6210\u529f\u6536\u590d\u4e86\u90e8\u5206\u5931\u5730\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u65e5\u5706\u4ecd\u5c0f\u5e45\u8d70\u9ad8\u5c3d\u7ba1\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u51b3\u5b9a\u81f3\u5c11\u57282020\u5e74\u524d\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u6781\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5176\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u523a\u6fc0\u653f\u7b56\u4e5f\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0d\u53d8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

EUR\/USD<\/strong>
\n\u6b27\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u5ef6\u7eed\u8dcc\u52bf\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a51.1140\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5fb7\u56fdIfo\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570(Ifo Business Climate Index)\u6570\u636e\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u627f\u53d7\u4e86\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u538b\u529b\u3002\u6765\u81ea\u5fb7\u56fd\u7684\u5982\u6b64\u60b2\u89c2\u7684\u6570\u636e\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u53d7\u5230\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u56f0\u6270\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u6b27\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u51cf\u5c11\u6301\u6709\u6b27\u5143\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002\u5fb7\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u9707\u60ca\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u6b27\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5de9\u56fa\u4e86\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u9e3d\u6d3e\u7acb\u573a\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6b63\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u5373\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GBP\/USD<\/strong>
\n\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a51.2915\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019,\u82f1\u9551\u88ab\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u5927\u91cf\u629b\u552e\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a,\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5df2\u7ecf\u52a0\u5f3a, \u6566\u4fc3\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u629b\u5f03\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u82f1\u9551\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u50f5\u5c40\u7ee7\u7eed\u56f0\u6270\u82f1\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u56e0\u6b64\u524d\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u4fdd\u5b88\u515a(Conservative party)\u548c\u5de5\u515a(Labour party)\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u7ea7\u522b\u7684\u4f1a\u6664\u9677\u5165\u50f5\u5c40\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u5c06\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u7279\u91cc\u8428\u2022\u6885(Theresa May)\u4e0e\u53cd\u5bf9\u515a\u5de5\u515a(Labour party)\u672c\u5468\u80fd\u5426\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u8c08\u5224\u4e0a\u5f97\u5230\u7a81\u7834\u6027\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>22<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> – 26<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

GOLD<\/strong>
\n\u4e0a\u5468\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u6301\u7eed\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u5e02\u573a\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f81285.75\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u672c\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u50f5\u5c40\u548c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f4e\u8ff7\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4f7f\u5f97\u8fd9\u79cd\u907f\u9669\u91d1\u5c5e\u6210\u529f\u4ece\u5e95\u90e8\u53cd\u5f39\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u6700\u8fd1\u5927\u91cf\u629b\u552e\u4ef7\u503c4\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u6301\u7eed\u56f0\u6270\u5e02\u573a\u4eba\u6c14\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u8fd9\u79cd\u9ec4\u8272\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u672b\u9644\u8fd1\u906d\u9047\u5230\u4e86\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u7684\u538b\u529b\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8ADP\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u53d8\u5316\u548cNFP\u7b49\u7f8e\u56fd\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u9ec4\u91d1\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u52bf\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u79cd\u9ec4\u8272\u91d1\u5c5e\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u6570\u636e\u9ad8\u5ea6\u654f\u611f\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>29<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u628a\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u8fdb\u5c55\u548c\u672c\u5468\u5173\u952e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5982ADP\u5c31\u4e1a\u53d8\u52a8\u548c\u975e\u519c\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8861\u91cf\u5e02\u573a\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>29<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e00<\/strong>, 4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>29<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u5e74\u5316\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u5e74\u5316\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u5361\u5c3c(Mark Carney)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/strong>, 4<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>30<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b98\u65b9\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd \u2013 <\/strong>\u4e2d\u56fd\u8d22\u65b0\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32 \u2013 <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u5931\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u52a8 (\u56db\u6708)
\n\u6b27\u6d32\u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533aGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32\u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u5931\u4e1a\u7387 (\u4e09\u6708)
\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927 \u2013 <\/strong>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927GDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e8c\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd <\/strong>– \u7f8e\u56fd\u8c18\u5546\u4f1a\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570 (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> –<\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u6210\u5c4b\u7b7e\u7ea6\u9500\u552e\u6307\u6570\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u6ce2\u6d1b\u5179(Stephen Poloz)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e09<\/strong>, 5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65b0\u897f\u5170 \u2013 <\/strong>\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> – \u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> – \u7f8e\u56fdADP\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570 (\u56db\u6708)
\n\u7f8e\u56fd <\/strong>– \u7f8e\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> – \u7f8e\u56fdISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u56db\u6708)
\n<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u56db<\/strong>, 5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>2<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae
\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong>– <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u56db\u6708)
\n\u82f1\u56fd <\/strong>– \u82f1\u56fd\u5efa\u7b51\u4e1aPMI (\u56db\u6708)
\n\u82f1\u56fd <\/strong>– \u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u4e94\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd <\/strong>– \u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> – \u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a
\n\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/strong> – \u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u6ce2\u6d1b\u5179(Stephen Poloz)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> – \u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u901a\u80c0\u62a5\u544a
\n\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong>-\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u516c\u5e03\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong>– \u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u5361\u5c3c(Mark Carney)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/strong>, 5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/td>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong>– <\/strong>\u82f1\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32\u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)
\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> – \u7f8e\u56fd\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u5c0f\u65f6\u5de5\u8d44\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)
\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong>– \u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3\u53d8\u52a8 (\u56db\u6708)
\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong>– \u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387 (\u56db\u6708)
\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong>– \u7f8e\u56fdISM\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u56db\u6708)
\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong>– \u7f8e\u56fd\u5f53\u5468\u8d1d\u514b\u4f11\u65af\u77f3\u6cb9\u94bb\u4e95\u603b\u6570(\u53e3)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2019\u5e7404\u670829\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790     GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a4\u670829\u65e5\u81f35\u67083\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a4\u670822\u65e5 – 26\u65e5 US Dollar \u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e86\u672c\u5468\u5bf9\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u4e8e97.75\u3002\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u79ef\u6781\u8fdb\u5c55\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u4e5f\u968f\u4e4b\u589e\u5f3a\u3002   \u5728\u4e0a\u4e00\u6574\u5468\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u88ab\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5173\u952e\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u79ef\u6781\u4e14\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u8bfb\u6570\uff0c\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e3e\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u65b0\u623f\u9500\u552e\u548c\u6838\u5fc3\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u6570\u636e\u6210\u529f\u63d0\u632f\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u5206\u522b\u4e3a692K\u548c0.4%\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u7684647K\u548c0.2%\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6210\u529f\u5730\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5927\u91cf\u8d2d\u4e70\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u5177\u6709\u97e7\u6027\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u8d8b\u52bf\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u672b\u6709\u6240\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662fPCE\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u6570\u636e\u4f4e\u8ff7\u548cGDP\u6570\u636e\u201c\u4e0d\u5207\u5b9e\u9645\u201d\u7684\u589e\u957f\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u516c\u5e03\u7684GDP\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\uff0c3.2%\u7684GDP\u6570\u636e\u4e3b\u8981\u6765\u81ea\u4e8e\u79c1\u4eba\u6295\u8d44\u3001\u5916\u56fd\u6295\u8d44\u548c\u51c0\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u800cGDP\u4e2a\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u660e\u663e\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0b\u964d\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c45\u6c11\u6d88\u8d39\u7684\u840e\u7f29\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u901a\u80c0\u6b65\u4f10\u5c06\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u5165\u6536\u7f29\u9636\u6bb5\u3002   \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u76ee\u524d\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u73b0\u5728\u90fd\u613f\u610f\u505a\u51fa\u8ba9\u6b65\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u5c3d\u5feb\u8fbe\u6210\u534f\u8bae\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u8ba1\u5212\u5728\u5468\u56db\u518d\u6b21\u4e3e\u884c\u9762\u5bf9\u9762\u7684\u4f1a\u8c08\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u80fd\u57286\u6708\u4efd\u4e3e\u884c\u7684G20\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e0a\u6b63\u5f0f\u7ed3\u675f\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u3002   \u7efc\u4e0a\u6240\u8ff0\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u77ed\u671f\u8d70\u52bf\u5df2\u7531\u770b\u8dcc\u8f6c\u4e3a\u770b\u6da8\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4eba\u58eb\u6b63\u7b49\u5f85\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u52a0\u606f\u51b3\u5b9a\u3001\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u8fdb\u5c55\u548c\u5373\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u786e\u5b9a\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u52bf\u3002 USD\/JPY \u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f3111.55\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u53d7\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e50\u89c2\u6570\u636e\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u5f3a\u52b2\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u6253\u538b\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u6b63\u9762\u7684\u6570\u636e\u62c9\u9ad8\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u5e76\u6700\u7ec8\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u4ece\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u8f6c\u5411\u98ce\u9669\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002\u503c\u5f97\u4e00\u63d0\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u5fb7\u56fdIfo\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570(Ifo Business Climate index)\u4e3a99.2\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u768499.9\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u6210\u529f\u6536\u590d\u4e86\u90e8\u5206\u5931\u5730\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u65e5\u5706\u4ecd\u5c0f\u5e45\u8d70\u9ad8\u5c3d\u7ba1\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u51b3\u5b9a\u81f3\u5c11\u57282020\u5e74\u524d\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u6781\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5176\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u523a\u6fc0\u653f\u7b56\u4e5f\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0d\u53d8\u3002 \u00a0 EUR\/USD \u6b27\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u5ef6\u7eed\u8dcc\u52bf\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a51.1140\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5fb7\u56fdIfo\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570(Ifo Business Climate Index)\u6570\u636e\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u627f\u53d7\u4e86\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u538b\u529b\u3002\u6765\u81ea\u5fb7\u56fd\u7684\u5982\u6b64\u60b2\u89c2\u7684\u6570\u636e\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u53d7\u5230\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u56f0\u6270\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u6b27\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u51cf\u5c11\u6301\u6709\u6b27\u5143\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002\u5fb7\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u9707\u60ca\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u6b27\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5de9\u56fa\u4e86\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u9e3d\u6d3e\u7acb\u573a\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6b63\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u5373\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u52bf\u3002   GBP\/USD \u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a51.2915\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019,\u82f1\u9551\u88ab\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u5927\u91cf\u629b\u552e\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a,\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5df2\u7ecf\u52a0\u5f3a, \u6566\u4fc3\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u629b\u5f03\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u82f1\u9551\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u50f5\u5c40\u7ee7\u7eed\u56f0\u6270\u82f1\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u56e0\u6b64\u524d\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u4fdd\u5b88\u515a(Conservative party)\u548c\u5de5\u515a(Labour party)\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u7ea7\u522b\u7684\u4f1a\u6664\u9677\u5165\u50f5\u5c40\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u5c06\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u7279\u91cc\u8428\u2022\u6885(Theresa May)\u4e0e\u53cd\u5bf9\u515a\u5de5\u515a(Labour party)\u672c\u5468\u80fd\u5426\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u8c08\u5224\u4e0a\u5f97\u5230\u7a81\u7834\u6027\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002 \u00a0 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a4\u670822\u65e5 – 26\u65e5 GOLD 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  \u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a4\u670829\u65e5\u81f35\u67083\u65e5 \u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u628a\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u8fdb\u5c55\u548c\u672c\u5468\u5173\u952e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5982ADP\u5c31\u4e1a\u53d8\u52a8\u548c\u975e\u519c\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8861\u91cf\u5e02\u573a\u8d70\u52bf\u3002   \u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a4\u670829\u65e5\u81f35\u67083\u65e5 \u661f\u671f\u4e00, 4\u670829\u65e5   \u6570\u636e \u7f8e\u56fd \u2013 \u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u5e74\u5316\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) 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