{"id":68699,"date":"2019-05-13T07:53:42","date_gmt":"2019-05-13T07:53:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=68699"},"modified":"2019-05-13T07:53:42","modified_gmt":"2019-05-13T07:53:42","slug":"20190513-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20190513-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20190513 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2019<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>05<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>13<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>13<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>17<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> – 10<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

US Dollar<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u5ef6\u7eed\u8dcc\u52bf\uff0c\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e97.06\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5728\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u8fde\u7eed\u53d1\u5e03\u60b2\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u5f00\u59cb\u6076\u5316\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u5df2\u589e\u81f322.8\u4e07\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u671f\u768421.5\u4e07\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c4\u6708\u4efd\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570(PPI)\u4ec5\u4e3a2.2%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u671f\u76842.3%\u3002\u603b\u7ed3\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\u53ef\u80fd\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u4ef7\u683c\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u53cd\u6620\u5728\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u6700\u7ec8\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\uff0c\u5728\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u53d1\u5e03\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u8dcc\u7834\u4e09\u89d2\u5f62\u6001\u3002\u636e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570(CPI)\u4ec5\u4e3a0.1%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u76840.2%\u3002\u8f83\u9884\u671f\u75b2\u5f31\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\u7684\u9884\u4f30\u76f8\u7b26\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u5f98\u5f8a\u5728\u6216\u7565\u4f4e\u4e8e\u76ee\u6807\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u6697\u793a\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u652f\u51fa\u53ef\u80fd\u653e\u7f13\u3002\u5982\u679c\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\u8d8b\u52bf\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u53bb\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u63d0\u9ad8\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5c31\u4e1a\u548c\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002
\n<\/strong><\/p>\n

USD\/JPY<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u52a0\u5267\u540e\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u5347\u503c\u3002\u7f8e\u65e5\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u4e8e109.94\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd2000\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8fdb\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u52a0\u5f81\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u4ecd\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u4e2d\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u907f\u9669\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u65e5\u5143\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u884c\u52a8\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fdb\u53e3\u4ea7\u54c1\u91c7\u53d6\u7c7b\u4f3c\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u62a5\u590d\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u7ec6\u8282\u5c1a\u672a\u516c\u5e03\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

EUR\/USD<\/strong>
\n\u6b27\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e86\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u6da8\u52bf\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u524d\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002\u6b27\u7f8e\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u62a5\u4e8e1.1233\u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u5fb7\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u4e50\u89c2\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u53d7\u5230\u770b\u6da8\u60c5\u7eea\u7684\u63d0\u632f\u3002\u6839\u636e\u6700\u65b0\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd3\u6708\u8d38\u6613\u987a\u5dee\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6269\u5927\uff0c\u4e3a200\u4ebf\uff0c\u8d85\u51fa\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684182\u4ebf\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6b64\u524d\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u7b49\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u589e\u957f\u52bf\u5934\u6b63\u5728\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u6da8\u5e45\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0e\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c(ECB)\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u76f8\u7b26\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GBP\/USD<\/strong>
\n\u7531\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u6b63\u7b49\u5f85\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u76ee\u524d\u5904\u4e8e\u7a84\u5e45\u6ce2\u52a8\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002\u9551\u7f8e\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u4e8e1.3001\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u6b64\u524d\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u9996\u76f8\u7279\u857e\u838e\u6885\u53ca\u5176\u4fdd\u5b88\u515a\u4e0e\u5de5\u515a\u9886\u8896\u6770\u91cc\u7c73\u00b7\u79d1\u5c14\u5bbe\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u79c1\u4e0b\u8c08\u5224\uff0c\u4ee5\u89e3\u51b3\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5206\u6b67\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4e3a\u987a\u5229\u8131\u6b27\u94fa\u5e73\u9053\u8def\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7279\u857e\u838e\u6885\u5c1a\u672a\u53d6\u5f97\u4efb\u4f55\u91cd\u5927\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u800c\u5979\u6240\u5728\u7684\u653f\u515a\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u7279\u857e\u838e\u6885\u5e94\u8be5\u8981\u653e\u5f03\u8c08\u5224\uff0c\u5e76\u628a\u4e13\u6ce8\u529b\u8f6c\u5411\u8bae\u4f1a\uff0c\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u7684\u8bae\u4f1a\u4f1a\u8bae\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u51b3\u5b9a\u82f1\u9551\u8fd1\u671f\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u7126\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> – 10<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

GOLD<\/strong>
\n\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u548c\u5e02\u573a\u907f\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u5347\u6e29\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u4e8e1,285.57\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u907f\u9669\u610f\u8bc6\u589e\u5f3a\uff0c\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u9700\u6c42\u968f\u4e4b\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u4ecd\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u56e0\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u5728\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8(fed)\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u7b49\u5f85\u7f8e\u56fd\u53d1\u5e03\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>17<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u628a\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4e5f\u4f1a\u4e13\u6ce8\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8861\u91cf\u5e02\u573a\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>17<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e00<\/strong>, 5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>13<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/strong>, 5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>14<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fdCPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u82f1\u56fd\u542b\u7ea2\u5229\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u5e73\u5747\u5de5\u8d44\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u82f1\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u7533\u8bf7\u4eba\u6570(\u4eba) (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fdZEW\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u4e94\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u5de5\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0\u00a0 \u00a0<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e09<\/strong>, 5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>15<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u4e2d\u56fd\u89c4\u6a21\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5de5\u4e1a\u589e\u52a0\u503c\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fdGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u5b63\u8c03\u540eGDP\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u5de5\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u8425\u8fd0\u5e93\u5b58\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)
\n<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/b><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u56db<\/strong>, 5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>16<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u6d32<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3(\u4eba) (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u8425\u5efa\u8bb8\u53ef\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570 (\u4e94\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u6ce2\u6d1b\u5179(Stephen Poloz)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/strong>, 5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>17<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/td>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5927\u5b66\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570 (\u4e94\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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