{"id":69699,"date":"2019-05-20T04:07:46","date_gmt":"2019-05-20T04:07:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=69699"},"modified":"2019-05-20T04:09:13","modified_gmt":"2019-05-20T04:09:13","slug":"20190520-2-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20190520-2-2\/","title":{"rendered":"20190520 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2019<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>05<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>20<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>20<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>24<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> – 17<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

US Dollar<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u4f20\u51fa\u559c\u5fe7\u53c2\u534a\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u5143\u4ecd\u6210\u529f\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e86\u770b\u6da8\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u6da80.25%\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e97.80\u70b9\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u6570\u636e\u4ec5\u51fa\u73b0\u5b9e\u9645\u8bfb\u65700.1%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e4\u6708\u4efd0.7%\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e00\u60b2\u89c2\u6570\u636e\u672a\u80fd\u9650\u5236\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6da8\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e0e\u82f1\u56fd\u548c\u6b27\u76df\u7b49\u5176\u5b83\u56fd\u5bb6\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u5177\u6709\u5f39\u6027\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4e2d\u6301\u7eed\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5982\u82f1\u56fd\u9000\u6b27\u3001\u6b27\u76df\u8bae\u4f1a\u9009\u4e3e\u548c(tradewar)\uff0c\u63d0\u632f\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u4f5c\u4e3a\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u56db\uff0c\u5728\u4e9a\u6d32\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u4e09\u9879\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u6da8\u5e45\u3002\u8be5\u4e09\u9879\u6570\u636e\u5305\u62ec\u4e86\u8425\u5efa\u8bb8\u53ef\u3001\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\u548c\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\u90fd\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u6bd4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u66f4\u4f73\u7684\u8bfb\u6570\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u636e\u7f13\u89e3\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u800c\u5e02\u573a\u6b63\u5728\u7b49\u5f85\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6570\u636e\u3002
\n<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

USD\/JPY<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u4ece\u6b64\u524d\u7684\u4f4e\u4f4d\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e110.06\u3002\u968f\u7740\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u5c06\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u8f6c\u5411\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u5df2\u7ecf\u51cf\u5f31\u3002\u4e0e\u5176\u5b83\u56fd\u5bb6\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u548c\u5f53\u524d\u7acb\u573a\u90fd\u6765\u7684\u597d\u4e00\u4e9b\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c(Bank of Japan)\u8981\u6c42\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u653e\u677e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u547c\u5401\u4e5f\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u5bf9\u65e5\u5706\u7684\u591a\u5934\u62bc\u6ce8\uff0c\u56e0\u4ed6\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u901a\u80c0\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u653e\u7f13\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

EUR\/USD<\/strong>
\n\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u7740\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.1158\u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c(ECB)\u5728\u653f\u7b56\u524d\u666f\u65b9\u9762\u6682\u65f6\u7ee7\u7eed\u4fdd\u6301\u7740\u6e29\u548c\u7684\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4eba\u6c14\u56e0\u6b64\u4e0b\u6ed1\u3002\u968f\u7740\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u5185TLTRO-III\u7684\u63a8\u51fa\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u5c06\u4ed4\u7ec6\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u8fd9\u9879\u518d\u878d\u8d44\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u63a8\u51fa\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u628a\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u57df\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u63a8\u8fdf\u5230\u660e\u5e74\uff0c\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u652f\u6301\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u8106\u5f31\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GBP\/USD<\/strong>
\n\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e86\u5176\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u5e02\u573a\u6536\u4e8e1.2713\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u7ee7\u7eed\u629b\u552e\u82f1\u9551\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u82f1\u56fd\u9996\u76f8\u7279\u857e\u838e\u00b7\u6885\u7684\u8131\u6b27\u8ba1\u5212\u8868\u793a\u6000\u7591\uff0c\u8be5\u8ba1\u5212\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u7b2c\u56db\u6b21\u8bae\u4f1a\u6295\u7968\u4e2d\u518d\u6b21\u9762\u4e34\u5931\u8d25\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u8de8\u515a\u6d3e\u7684\u8c08\u5224\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5546\u8ba8\u51fa\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u65e9\u671f\u6709\u8ff9\u8c61\u8868\u660e\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u8ba1\u5212\u4e0e\u6b64\u524d\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5c06\u57286\u67083\u65e5\u5f00\u59cb\u7684\u8bae\u4f1a\u6295\u7968\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4f1a\u5bf9\u82f1\u9551\u5e26\u6765\u770b\u8dcc\u7684\u52a8\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>13<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> – 17<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

GOLD<\/strong>
\n\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81277.29\u7f8e\u5143\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u5229\u597d\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e86\u6da8\u52bf\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u800c\u518d\u6b21\u906d\u5230\u629b\u552e\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e2d\u7f8e(tradewar)\u6108\u6f14\u6108\u70c8\uff0c\u7ed9\u4e8e\u9ec4\u91d1\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u4f46\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u66f4\u559c\u6b22\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u9ad8\u53ca\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u66f4\u4e3a\u201c\u7a33\u5b9a\u201d\u4e00\u4e9b\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\u5982\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u56e0\u6b64\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>20<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>24<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u628a\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4e5f\u4f1a\u4e13\u6ce8\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u786e\u8ba4\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u6765\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>5<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>20<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>24<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e00<\/strong>, 5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>20<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fdPPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/strong>, 5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>21<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u82f1\u56fdCBI\u5de5\u4e1a\u8d8b\u52bf\u8ba2\u5355\u6307\u6570 (\u4e94\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u5361\u5c3c(Mark Carney)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd <\/strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u82f1\u56fd\u901a\u80c0\u62a5\u544a\u542c\u8bc1\u4f1a<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e09<\/strong>, 5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>22<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd <\/strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u82f1\u56fdCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e09\u6708)
\n<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u5fb7\u62c9\u57fa(Mario Draghi)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u56db<\/strong>, 5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>23<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fdGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fdIFO\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u65b0\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u516c\u5e03\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/strong>, 5<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>24<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/td>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u82f1\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u6263\u9664\u8fd0\u8f93\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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