{"id":73061,"date":"2019-06-10T09:02:43","date_gmt":"2019-06-10T09:02:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=73061"},"modified":"2019-06-10T09:02:43","modified_gmt":"2019-06-10T09:02:43","slug":"20190610-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20190610-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20190610-\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2019<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/strong>14<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> \u2013 7<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

US Dollar<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u5ef6\u7eed\u8dcc\u52bf\uff0c\u8dcc\u783497.00\u6c34\u5e73\u5e76\u89e6\u53ca8\u5468\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u800c\u6536\u5468\u4e94\u5e02\u573a\u4e8e96.47\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u53d7\u5230\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\u6570\u636e\u7684\u538b\u529b\u5982\u5c31\u4e1a\u548c\u5de5\u8d44\u6570\u636e\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0b\u6ed1\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u9e3d\u6d3e\u58f0\u660e\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\uff08PMI\uff09\u4e0b\u632b\u81f352.1\uff0c\u5f31\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u503c\u4e3a53.0\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u770b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u610f\u5916\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u5c40\u52bf\u5347\u7ea7\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u8f83\u9ad8\uff0c\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0cADP\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u53d8\u5316\u5bfc\u81f4\u7f8e\u5143\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u53d7\u5230\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u5176\u8bfb\u6570\u4e3a27K\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e180K\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5f53\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u516556.9\u65f6\u8d85\u8fc7ISM\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u635f\u5931\u53d7\u5230\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u8d85\u51fa\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u671f\u768455.5\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\uff0c\u5728\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u4ece224K\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f375K\u540e\uff0c\u5dee\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u9884\u8ba1\u4ef7\u503c\u4e3a18.5K\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u7f8e\u5143\u9762\u4e34\u5927\u5e45\u629b\u552e\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u8868\u660e\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u8f83\u4e3a\u75b2\u8f6f\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\u57283.6\uff05\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u5c0f\u65f6\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e0b\u964d3.1\uff05\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5176\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u4e3a0.1\uff05\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u7f8e\u5143\u5de5\u8d44\u589e\u957f\u8f83\u4f4e\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u957f\u671f\u7684\u652f\u51fa\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u672a\u6765\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5728\u65e5\u672cG20\u5cf0\u4f1a\u671f\u95f4\u4ee5\u53ca\u672a\u6765\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

USDJPY<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5bf9\u65e5\u5143\u5728\u533a\u95f4\u901a\u9053\u4e0a\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u65f6\u5e02\u573a\u6536\u4f4e108.20\u3002 \u7531\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u5c40\u52bf\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4ee5\u53ca\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5728\u7f8e\u5143\u75b2\u8f6f\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u63d0\u9ad8\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u5bf9\u907f\u9669\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u597d\u574f\u53c2\u534a\u3002 \u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u75b2\u8f6f\u6570\u636e\u516c\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5728\u672c\u5468\u672b\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5356\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

EURUSD<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u98d9\u5347\u81f311\u5468\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.1330\u4ef7\u683c\u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u75b2\u8f6f\u4ee5\u53ca\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08ECB\uff09\u4ee4\u4eba\u9707\u60ca\u7684\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e3b\u8981\u88ab\u4e70\u5165\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7684\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u548c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u51fa\u73b0\u590d\u82cf\u8ff9\u8c61\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u60b2\u89c2\u6570\u636e\u5bfc\u81f4\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7eb7\u7eb7\u9003\u5f80\u6b27\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u652f\u6301\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u662f\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u9a6c\u91cc\u5965\u5fb7\u62c9\u5409(Mario Draghi\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba\u8868\u793a\u8be5\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u63a8\u8fdf\u52a0\u606f\u81f32020\u5e74\u4e2d\u671f\uff0c\u6d88\u9664\u4e86\u4e4b\u524d\u5bf9\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653e\u7f13\u5bfc\u81f4\u964d\u606f\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5728\u4e70\u5165\u6b27\u5143\u65f6\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e00\u58f0\u660e\u6d88\u5316\u4e3a\u79ef\u6781\u60c5\u7eea\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GBPUSD<\/strong>
\n\u4e0a\u5468\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1. 2730\u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u5143\u51fa\u73b0\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u82f1\u56fd\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u60b2\u89c2\u6570\u636e\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u548c\u5efa\u7b51\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u4e24\u8005\u90fd\u5747\u672a\u8fbe\u5230\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u4e3a50.5\u548c50.6\u4ee5\u53ca48.6\u548c50.5\u3002\u867d\u7136\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u768451.0\u800c\u4e0d\u662f50.6\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4ee5\u53ca\u5173\u4e8e\u9009\u4e3e\u65b0\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u7ee7\u7eed\u56f0\u6270\u82f1\u9551\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u5bf9\u82f1\u9551\u6301\u6000\u7591\u6001\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> \u2013 7<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

GOLD<\/strong>
\n\u5728\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u75b2\u8f6f\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u5ef6\u7eed\u6da8\u52bf\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4ee5\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f81340.33\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002 \u7531\u4e8e\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u548c\u5de5\u8d44\u6570\u636e\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u672c\u5468\u4e00\u76f4\u9762\u4e34\u91cd\u5927\u629b\u552e\u3002 \u968f\u7740\u8fd1\u671f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u8fd9\u60c5\u51b5\u52a0\u5927\u4e86\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u4e2d\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u6ca1\u6709\u53d6\u5f97\u4efb\u4f55\u79ef\u6781\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5e02\u573a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7ee7\u7eed\u5bf9\u907f\u9669\u5546\u54c1\u8fdb\u884c\u5927\u91cf\u6295\u8d44\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u98ce\u9669\u538c\u6076\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>3<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u5c40\u52bf\u6f14\u53d8\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002 \u540c\u6837\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u56fdPPI\u548c\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u4e5f\u5c06\u51b3\u5b9a\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u8d70\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>6<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>14<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e00<\/strong>,6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>10<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 GDP\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4)<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 \u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 3\u4e2a\u6708\u6eda\u52a8GDP\u6708\u7387(%)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong> JOLTs\u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/strong>, 6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong> \u542b\u7ea2\u5229\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u5e73\u5747\u5de5\u8d44\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u7533\u8bf7\u4eba\u6570(\u4eba) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u5931\u4e1a\u7387 (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>PPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e09<\/strong>, 6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)
\n\u4e2d\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>PPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)
\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u5fb7\u62c9\u57fa(Mario Draghi)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u56db<\/strong>, <\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>13<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3(\u4eba) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u745e\u58eb<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fdCPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong> \u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570
\n\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u745e\u58eb<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8bc4\u4f30<\/p>\n

\u745e\u58eb<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/strong>, <\/strong>6<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>14<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong> \u89c4\u6a21\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5de5\u4e1a\u589e\u52a0\u503c\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u65e5\u672c\u5de5\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u56db\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)
\n<\/u>\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u96f6\u552e\u4e1a\u9884\u671f\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)
\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u5de5\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e94\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5927\u5b66\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570 (\u516d\u6708)<\/p>\n

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