{"id":79384,"date":"2019-07-22T07:40:42","date_gmt":"2019-07-22T07:40:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=79384"},"modified":"2019-07-22T07:40:42","modified_gmt":"2019-07-22T07:40:42","slug":"20190722-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20190722-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20190722 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2019<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>22<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>22<\/strong>\u81f3<\/strong>26<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>15<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> \u2013 19<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u5168\u9762\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u4e8e96.75\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u63a8\u9ad8\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8(Fed)\u6210\u5458\u7684\u9e3d\u6d3e\u8a00\u8bba\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u7a0d\u65e9\u516c\u5e03\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u548c\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4ece\u5e02\u573a\u83b7\u5f97\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52a8\u80fd\u3002\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u5206\u522b\u4e3a0.4%\u548c21.8\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u76840.1%\u548c5.0\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7565\u5fae\u63d0\u632f\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae\u4e2d\u4ecd\u5c06\u81f3\u5c11\u964d\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u2022\u7279\u6717\u666e(Donald Trump)\u8fd8\u5a01\u80c1\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\u79f0\u4e2d\u56fd\u6ca1\u6709\u9075\u5b88\u4e24\u5468\u524d\u5728G20\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e0a\u6240\u505a\u51fa\u7684\u627f\u8bfa\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u968f\u65f6\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fdb\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u518d\u6b21\u5f81\u6536\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u5728\u65e5\u672cG20\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u540c\u610f\u5411\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d2d\u4e70\u66f4\u591a\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c06\u534e\u4e3a\u4ece\u9ed1\u540d\u5355\u4e0a\u9664\u540d\uff0c\u4f7f\u534e\u4e3a\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u672c\u571f\u4f01\u4e1a\u80fd\u591f\u7ee7\u7eed\u4fdd\u6301\u4e1a\u52a1\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u4e24\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9000\u51fa\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u8f6c\u5411\u5176\u4ed6\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5728\u5305\u62ec\u7ea6\u7ff0\u2022\u5a01\u5ec9\u59c6\u65af(John Williams)\u548c\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7\u2022\u514b\u62c9\u91cc\u8fbe(Richard Clarida)\u5728\u5185\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6210\u5458\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f53\u524d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u53d1\u8868\u8bc4\u8bba\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5149\u6cfd\u5df2\u7ecf\u6d88\u9000\u3002\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7\u514b\u62c9\u91cc\u8fbe\u91cd\u7533\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f62\u52bf\u4ecd\u5728\u7a33\u6b65\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4f46\u5168\u7403\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4f9d\u7136\u9ad8\u4f01\uff0c\u5f71\u54cd\u7740\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5a01\u5ec9\u59c6\u65af\u8fd8\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6700\u597d\u5728\u201c\u707e\u96be\u201d\u7206\u53d1\u524d\u91c7\u53d6\u9884\u9632\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u964d\u606f\u80af\u5b9a\u4f1a\u7ef4\u6301\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n


\n<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\uff08USD\/JPY\uff09\u4ece\u6700\u9ad8\u70b9\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a5107.70\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6210\u5458\u53d1\u8868\u9e3d\u6d3e\u8a00\u8bba\u540e\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u5174\u8da3\u589e\u5f3a\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u4ece\u800c\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u9e3d\u6d3e\u7acb\u573a\u5de9\u56fa\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u5373\u5c06\u51fa\u53f0\u7684\u964d\u606f\u51b3\u5b9a\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5e76\u6566\u4fc3\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u4ece\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u8f6c\u5411\u65e5\u5143\u7b49\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a0.6%\uff0c\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u76f8\u8fd1\uff0c\u4e5f\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5bf9\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u652f\u6491\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\uff08EUR\/USD\uff09\u4e0a\u5468\u5ef6\u7eed\u8dcc\u52bf\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a51.1220\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5728\u5fb7\u56fdZEW\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570\u548c\u5fb7\u56fdPPI\u7b49\u60b2\u89c2\u6570\u636e\u516c\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u9762\u4e34\u6765\u81ea\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5f3a\u52b2\u629b\u76d8\u538b\u529b\u3002\u4e24\u9879\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5206\u522b\u4e3a-24.5\u548c0.4%\uff0c\u800c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u4e3a-22.1\u548c-0.1%\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u4f9d\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u89e3\u51b3\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5df2\u7ecf\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u572811\u6708\u4e4b\u524d\u91cd\u542f\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u5e76\u51c6\u5907\u91c7\u53d6\u4efb\u4f55\u63aa\u65bd\u652f\u6301\u672c\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9884\u8ba1\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u5728\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae\u4e2d\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u5e76\u5173\u6ce8\u9a6c\u91cc\u5965\u2022\u5fb7\u62c9\u5409(Mario Draghi)\u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8868\u660e\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u91c7\u53d6\u4f55\u79cd\u63aa\u65bd\u6765\u7ef4\u6301\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\uff08GBP\/USD\uff09\u4e0a\u5468\u5ef6\u7eed\u8dcc\u52bf\uff0c\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u4e8e1.2500\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4ecd\u7136\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7740\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u800c\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u201c\u786c\u8131\u6b27\u201d\u7684\u9c8d\u91cc\u65af\u2022\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a(Boris Johnson)\u4ecd\u5728\u8fd9\u573a\u9886\u5bfc\u6743\u4e89\u593a\u6218\u4e2d\u5904\u4e8e\u9886\u5148\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4ed6\u8fd8\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u7ed3\u679c\u5982\u4f55\uff0c\u4ed6\u90fd\u4f1a\u57282019\u5e7410\u670831\u65e5\u6700\u540e\u671f\u9650\u4e4b\u524d\u5c06\u82f1\u56fd\u4ece\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u64a4\u51fa\u3002\u968f\u7740\u82f1\u56fd\u786c\u8131\u6b27\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u52a0\u5927\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7ee7\u7eed\u629b\u552e\u4ed6\u4eec\u6301\u6709\u7684\u82f1\u9551\u6295\u8d44\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u82f1\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u51fa\u73b0\u79ef\u6781\u8ff9\u8c61\u540e\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u8dcc\u5e45\u53d7\u5230\u9650\u5236\u3002\u6700\u503c\u5f97\u79f0\u9053\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6570\u636e\u4e3a1.0%\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u7684-0.3%\uff0c\u800c\u82f1\u56fd\u9996\u76f8\u5927\u9009\u5c06\u4e8e\u672c\u5468\u672b\u524d\u4e3e\u884c\uff0c\u5c4a\u65f6\u6709\u671b\u9009\u51fa\u4e00\u4f4d\u65b0\u9996\u76f8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>15<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> \u201319 <\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

GOLD<\/strong>
\n\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e86\u53cd\u5f39\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81408.85\u7f8e\u5143\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6210\u5458\u53d1\u8868\u9e3d\u6d3e\u8a00\u8bba\u540e\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ece\u5e02\u573a\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9003\u5f80\u9ec4\u91d1\u7b49\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u592e\u884c\u6210\u5458\u79d1\u5c14(Coeure)\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\u4e5f\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff0c\u4ed6\u91cd\u7533\uff0c\u56f4\u7ed5\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u589e\u957f\u524d\u666f\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u7ee7\u7eed\u5411\u4e0b\u503e\u659c\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u56de\u907f\u4e86\u8fd9\u79cd\u9ec4\u8272\u91d1\u5c5e\u3002 <\/u><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>22<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>26<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u6570\u636e\u7528\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u8d27\u5e01\u5151\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u3002 \u540c\u6837\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5c06\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u653e\u5728\u6b27\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae\u548c\u6b27\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8861\u91cf\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>7<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>22<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>26<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e00<\/strong>,7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>22<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/strong>, 7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>23<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u516d\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e09<\/strong>, 7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>24<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65b0\u897f\u5170<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u5341\u4e8c\u4e2a\u6708\u8d38\u6613\u5e10(\u7ebd\u5143) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u516d\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6cd5\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e03\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32 <\/strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u6cd5\u56fd\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u4e03\u6708)
\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u4e03\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fdPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u4e03\u6708)
\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533aMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e03\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533aMarkit\u7efc\u5408PMI (\u4e03\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533aMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u4e03\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fdMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e03\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fdMarkit\u7efc\u5408PMI<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong>\u2013<\/strong> \u7f8e\u56fdMarkit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u4e03\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong>\u2013<\/strong> \u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u65b0\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u516d\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u56db<\/strong>, <\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>25<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u5143<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u83f2\u5229\u666e\u00b7\u6d1b\u5a01(Philip Lowe) \u8bb2\u8bdd
\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong>\u2013<\/strong> \u5fb7\u56fdIFO\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong>\u2013<\/strong> \u6b27\u5143\u533a\u5b58\u6b3e\u4fbf\u5229\u5229\u7387(%)
\n\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong>\u2013<\/strong> \u6b27\u5143\u533a\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8fb9\u9645\u501f\u8d37\u5229\u7387(%)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong>\u2013<\/strong> \u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u4e03\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong> \u7f8e\u56fd\u6263\u9664\u8fd0\u8f93\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516d\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong> \u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong>\u2013<\/strong> \u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong> \u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u5fb7\u62c9\u57fa(Mario Draghi)\u53ec\u5f00\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/strong>, <\/strong>7<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>26<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u65e5\u672c\u4e1c\u4eac\u6838\u5fc3\u6d88\u8d39\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570(CPI)\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e03\u6708)
\n\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b9e\u9645GDP\u5e74\u5316\u5b63\u7387 (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6)
\n<\/u>\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5927\u5b66\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2019\u5e747\u670822\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790     GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a7\u670822\u81f326\u65e5   \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a7\u670815\u65e5 \u2013 19\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u5168\u9762\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u4e8e96.75\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u63a8\u9ad8\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8(Fed)\u6210\u5458\u7684\u9e3d\u6d3e\u8a00\u8bba\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u5468\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002   \u4e0a\u5468\u7a0d\u65e9\u516c\u5e03\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u548c\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4ece\u5e02\u573a\u83b7\u5f97\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52a8\u80fd\u3002\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u5206\u522b\u4e3a0.4%\u548c21.8\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u76840.1%\u548c5.0\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7565\u5fae\u63d0\u632f\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae\u4e2d\u4ecd\u5c06\u81f3\u5c11\u964d\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u2022\u7279\u6717\u666e(Donald Trump)\u8fd8\u5a01\u80c1\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\u79f0\u4e2d\u56fd\u6ca1\u6709\u9075\u5b88\u4e24\u5468\u524d\u5728G20\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e0a\u6240\u505a\u51fa\u7684\u627f\u8bfa\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u968f\u65f6\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fdb\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u518d\u6b21\u5f81\u6536\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u5728\u65e5\u672cG20\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u540c\u610f\u5411\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d2d\u4e70\u66f4\u591a\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c06\u534e\u4e3a\u4ece\u9ed1\u540d\u5355\u4e0a\u9664\u540d\uff0c\u4f7f\u534e\u4e3a\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u672c\u571f\u4f01\u4e1a\u80fd\u591f\u7ee7\u7eed\u4fdd\u6301\u4e1a\u52a1\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u4e24\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9000\u51fa\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u8f6c\u5411\u5176\u4ed6\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002   \u4e0a\u5468\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5728\u5305\u62ec\u7ea6\u7ff0\u2022\u5a01\u5ec9\u59c6\u65af(John Williams)\u548c\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7\u2022\u514b\u62c9\u91cc\u8fbe(Richard Clarida)\u5728\u5185\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6210\u5458\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f53\u524d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u53d1\u8868\u8bc4\u8bba\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5149\u6cfd\u5df2\u7ecf\u6d88\u9000\u3002\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7\u514b\u62c9\u91cc\u8fbe\u91cd\u7533\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f62\u52bf\u4ecd\u5728\u7a33\u6b65\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4f46\u5168\u7403\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4f9d\u7136\u9ad8\u4f01\uff0c\u5f71\u54cd\u7740\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5a01\u5ec9\u59c6\u65af\u8fd8\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6700\u597d\u5728\u201c\u707e\u96be\u201d\u7206\u53d1\u524d\u91c7\u53d6\u9884\u9632\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u964d\u606f\u80af\u5b9a\u4f1a\u7ef4\u6301\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002 \u00a0 \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\uff08USD\/JPY\uff09\u4ece\u6700\u9ad8\u70b9\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a5107.70\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6210\u5458\u53d1\u8868\u9e3d\u6d3e\u8a00\u8bba\u540e\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u5174\u8da3\u589e\u5f3a\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u4ece\u800c\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u9e3d\u6d3e\u7acb\u573a\u5de9\u56fa\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u5373\u5c06\u51fa\u53f0\u7684\u964d\u606f\u51b3\u5b9a\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5e76\u6566\u4fc3\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u4ece\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u8f6c\u5411\u65e5\u5143\u7b49\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a0.6%\uff0c\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u76f8\u8fd1\uff0c\u4e5f\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5bf9\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u652f\u6491\u3002 \u00a0 \u6b27\u6d32 \u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\uff08EUR\/USD\uff09\u4e0a\u5468\u5ef6\u7eed\u8dcc\u52bf\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a51.1220\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5728\u5fb7\u56fdZEW\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570\u548c\u5fb7\u56fdPPI\u7b49\u60b2\u89c2\u6570\u636e\u516c\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u9762\u4e34\u6765\u81ea\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5f3a\u52b2\u629b\u76d8\u538b\u529b\u3002\u4e24\u9879\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5206\u522b\u4e3a-24.5\u548c0.4%\uff0c\u800c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u4e3a-22.1\u548c-0.1%\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u4f9d\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u89e3\u51b3\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5df2\u7ecf\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u572811\u6708\u4e4b\u524d\u91cd\u542f\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\u8d2d\u4e70\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u5e76\u51c6\u5907\u91c7\u53d6\u4efb\u4f55\u63aa\u65bd\u652f\u6301\u672c\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9884\u8ba1\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u5728\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae\u4e2d\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u5e76\u5173\u6ce8\u9a6c\u91cc\u5965\u2022\u5fb7\u62c9\u5409(Mario Draghi)\u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8868\u660e\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u91c7\u53d6\u4f55\u79cd\u63aa\u65bd\u6765\u7ef4\u6301\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002   \u82f1\u56fd \u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\uff08GBP\/USD\uff09\u4e0a\u5468\u5ef6\u7eed\u8dcc\u52bf\uff0c\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u4e8e1.2500\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4ecd\u7136\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7740\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u800c\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u201c\u786c\u8131\u6b27\u201d\u7684\u9c8d\u91cc\u65af\u2022\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a(Boris 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