{"id":83950,"date":"2019-08-19T07:58:19","date_gmt":"2019-08-19T07:58:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=83950"},"modified":"2019-08-19T07:58:19","modified_gmt":"2019-08-19T07:58:19","slug":"20190819-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20190819-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20190819 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2019<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>19<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia<\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>8<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>19<\/strong>\u81f3<\/strong>23<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> \u2013 16<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u5360\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u800c\u6536\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u4e3a98.00\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5229\u597d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u52a9\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u91cd\u5efa\u5e02\u573a\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u53d7\u5230\u4ee4\u4eba\u632f\u594b\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u800c\u5168\u9762\u652f\u6491\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u5c06\u5371\u53ca\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u3002\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u548c\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6570\u636e\u5747\u8d85\u8fc7\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u4e3a0.3\uff05\u548c0.7\uff05\uff0c\u800c\u9884\u6d4b\u8bfb\u6570\u5206\u522b\u4e3a0.2\uff05\u548c0.3\uff05\u3002\u8be5\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u6570\u636e\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u7136\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\u548c\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u7136\u62c5\u5fc3\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u8ff9\u8c61\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u66f2\u7ebf\u5df2\u5012\u8f6c\uff0c\u4ee4\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u611f\u5230\u9707\u60ca\u800c\u62c5\u5fc3\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u4f1a\u9677\u5165\u8870\u9000\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u4e5f\u968f\u7740\u5148\u524d\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4d\u8d2c\u503c\uff0c\u6307\u6570\u66b4\u8dcc\u81f392.1\uff0c\u81ea2016\u5e741\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u73b0\u5728\u5173\u6ce8\u548c\u5bfb\u6c42\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5bf9\u5982\u4f55\u5e94\u5bf9\u65e5\u76ca\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u8870\u9000\u62c5\u5fe7\u7684\u65b0\u89c1\u89e3\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u65e5\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(USDJPY)\u6c47\u7387\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u800c\u6536\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u5728106.34\u4ef7\u683c\u3002 \u7531\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u98ce\u9669\u5982\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u548c\u9999\u6e2f\u653f\u5c40\u52a8\u8361\u7b49\u5df2\u6d88\u5316\uff0c\u907f\u9669\u9700\u6c42\u7ee7\u7eed\u51cf\u5f31\u3002 \u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u901a\u80c0\u548c\u652f\u51fa\u6570\u636e\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u8bfb\u6570\u4e5f\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u8f6c\u56de\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7531\u4e8e\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08ECB\uff09\u66f4\u591a\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(\u6b27\u6d32\/\u7f8e\u56fd)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e86\u8dcc\u52bf\u3002\u6b27\u5143\u7ee7\u7eed\u7ecf\u5386\u629b\u552e\u7684\u538b\u529b\u968f\u7740\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\u6210\u5458\u5965\u5229\u00b7\u96f7\u6069(Olli Rehn)\u5728\u5468\u56db\u8868\u793a\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u91cd\u542f\u91cf\u5316\u5bbd\u677e\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\u5e76\u5f00\u653e\u5c06\u6269\u5c55\u80a1\u7968\u8d2d\u4e70\uff0c\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u62a5\u544a\u4e5f\u4e3a\u8be5\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u589e\u6dfb\u4e86\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u538b\u529b\u3002 \u6295\u8d44\u8005\u73b0\u5728\u5173\u6ce8\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5373\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e86\u89e3\u5e02\u573a\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u4e0a\u5468\u4ece\u4f4e\u4f4d\u590d\u82cf\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u4e3a1.2144\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u3002 \u7531\u4e8e\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7f13\u89e3\u4e86\u5bf9\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002 \u6839\u636e\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u7d22\u8d54\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u5316\u4e3a28.0K\uff0c\u7565\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u6d4b\u768432.0K\u3002 \u540c\u6837\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u6536\u76ca\u6307\u6570+\u5956\u91d1\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\u57283.7\uff05\u3002 \u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u76d1\u63a7\u82f1\u56fd\u5373\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6709\u5173\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u5e02\u573a\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>12<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> \u201316 <\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

GOLD<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u4ecd\u7136\u575a\u56fa\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e0a\u5468\u51cf\u5c11\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u6536\u76ca\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f81,513.31\u7f8e\u5143\u3002 \u7531\u4e8e\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u907f\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u51cf\u5f31\u548c\u7f8e\u5143\u4ece\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u53cd\u5f39\u540e\uff0c\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u4e0b\u6ed1\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff08Donald Trump\uff09\u6279\u8bc4\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u7f8e\u4e2d\u4e4b\u95f4\u957f\u671f\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u8be5\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u635f\u5931\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>19<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>23<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u5728\u672c\u5468\u4e94\u53d1\u8868\u8bb2\u8bdd\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u8fd8\u5c06\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u672c\u5468\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u5e02\u573a\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>19<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>23<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e00<\/strong>,8<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>19<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e03\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/strong>, 8<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>20<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> – CBI\u5de5\u4e1a\u8d8b\u52bf\u8ba2\u5355\u6307\u6570 (\u516b\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u6d32<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e09<\/strong>, 8<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>21<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/strong> –<\/strong> \u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e03\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u6210\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e03\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u56db<\/strong>, <\/strong>8<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>22<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8FOMC\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u516b\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533aMarkit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u516b\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u516c\u5e03\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/strong>, <\/strong>8<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>23<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65b0\u897f\u5170<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong> – \u5168\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e03\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516d\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> –<\/strong> \u6770\u514b\u900a\u970d\u5c14\u5168\u7403\u592e\u884c\u5e74\u4f1a<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2019\u5e748\u670819\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790   GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a8\u670819\u81f323\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a8\u670812\u65e5 \u2013 16\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u5360\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u800c\u6536\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u4e3a98.00\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5229\u597d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u52a9\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u91cd\u5efa\u5e02\u573a\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002   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